Ottawa Valley Post Dingers 3– 13 Champaign Champagne
Ottawa Valley Post Dingers vs Champaign Champagne 5 Shots 24 29
Walster 3 dave 2 13 NUTSACK6 10 Beefus 6 AboveAverageJoe 16 Saves 14 2
LessThanDennis 12 Walster 3 dave 1 2 Beefus 4 Faceoffs won 10 14
Walster 3 dave 1 6 Beefus 4 NUTSACK6 4 AboveAverageJoe 11 Takeaways 7 18
dave 6 Walster 3 LessThanDennis 2 10 Beefus 4 NUTSACK6 4 AboveAverageJoe 18 Turnovers↓ 7 11
Walster 10 dave 6 LessThanDennis 2 5 NUTSACK6 5 AboveAverageJoe 1 Beefus 32 Blocks 14 18
LessThanDennis 11 Walster 11 dave 10 10 Beefus 4 NUTSACK6 4 AboveAverageJoe 48 Passes 42 90
LessThanDennis 18 dave 15 Walster 15 41 NUTSACK6 25 Beefus 24 AboveAverageJoe 0:47 Possession 1:18 2:05
dave 0:18 LessThanDennis 0:16 Walster 0:13 1:17 Beefus 0:29 AboveAverageJoe 0:19 NUTSACK6 Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Champaign Champagne gained 23 points in period 2.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Ottawa Valley Post Dingers Champaign Champagne
1st
1 – 2
Possession
0:16 0:43
Shots 1 · 7
Faceoffs won 1 · 3
Blocks 14 · 4 LessThanDennis, dave, Walster
AboveAverageJoe, Beefus, NUTSACK6
2nd
2 – 6
Possession
0:15 0:41
Shots 3 · 11
Faceoffs won 2 · 7
Blocks 10 · 9 LessThanDennis, dave, Walster
AboveAverageJoe, Beefus, NUTSACK6
3rd Mercy
0 – 5
Possession
0:16 0:41
Shots 1 · 11
Faceoffs won 1 · 4
Blocks 8 · 5 LessThanDennis, dave, Walster
AboveAverageJoe, Beefus, NUTSACK6
Ottawa Valley Post Dingers
LessThanDennis Ottawa Valley Post Dingers 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.2 Period 1· 6.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.174 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.739, then +0.35 saves → 6.1
Period 2· 6.3 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.115 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.173, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.3
Period 3· 6.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.048 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.071, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.2
Pucker+ 103 Σ 0.874 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.029 → ×100 = 102.87 → 103
Offensive 0.57 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.24 Period 1· 1.30 Period 2· 1.24 Period 3· 1.17
dave Ottawa Valley Post Dingers 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.7 Period 1· 6.5 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.024 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.964, then +0.3 blocks, +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5
Period 2· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.069 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.896, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.9
Period 3· 4.8 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.659 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.011, then −0.2 goals against → 4.8
Pucker+ 66 Σ 0.626 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.737 − 0.074 turnover penalty = 0.663 → ×100 = 66.31 → 66
Offensive 1.00 Period 1· 0.92 Period 2· 1.85 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.91 Period 1· 1.26 Period 2· 0.89 Period 3· 0.58
Walster Ottawa Valley Post Dingers 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.2 Period 1· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.369 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.446, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4
Period 2· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.137 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.205, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.7
Period 3· 4.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.576 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.136, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.4
Pucker+ 50 Σ 0.617 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.726 − 0.223 turnover penalty = 0.503 → ×100 = 50.34 → 50
Offensive 0.75 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.77 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.98 Period 1· 1.36 Period 2· 0.98 Period 3· 0.60
Beefus Champaign Champagne 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.7 Period 1· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.119 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.822, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6
Period 2· 7.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.771 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.157, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.4
Period 3· 7.1 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.753 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.129, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.1
Pucker+ 156 Σ 1.324 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.557 → ×100 = 155.71 → 156
Offensive 1.07 Period 1· 0.45 Period 2· 1.19 Period 3· 1.57 Defensive 1.35 Period 1· 1.06 Period 2· 1.50 Period 3· 1.48
NUTSACK6 Champaign Champagne 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 7.3 Period 1· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.145 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.218, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7
Period 2· 8.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.958 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.437, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.2
Period 3· 7.9 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.751 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.126, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.9
Pucker+ 154 Σ 1.343 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.58 − 0.036 turnover penalty = 1.544 → ×100 = 154.38 → 154
Offensive 1.21 Period 1· 1.21 Period 2· 0.67 Period 3· 1.75 Defensive 0.88 Period 1· 0.98 Period 2· 0.73 Period 3· 0.92
AboveAverageJoe Champaign Champagne 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.7 Period 1· 5.3 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.154 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.768, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3
Period 2· 6.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.282 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.423, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.7
Period 3· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.455 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.317, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1
Pucker+ 83 Σ 0.74 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.87 − 0.036 turnover penalty = 0.834 → ×100 = 83.41 → 83
Offensive 1.41 Period 1· 1.10 Period 2· 1.56 Period 3· 1.55 Defensive 0.84 Period 1· 0.80 Period 2· 0.96 Period 3· 0.76 
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