New Jersey Dragons vs Long Island Lightning

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11–13Final

Away · LILLong Island Lightning

May 23, 2025 · Erveon Cup - Playoffs · The Nest

MVP milk · 8.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

New Jersey DragonsvsLong Island Lightning

18Shots321

8Saves17

12Faceoffs won214

10Takeaways818

18Turnovers↓810

23Blocks518

57Passes2582

0:55Possession1:362:31

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

New Jersey Dragons

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Kili	6	3	9	11	0	2	3	8	6	1	24	0:40	130	8.21	4.90
9th coming of Jesus	3	2	5	5	1	5	6	0	8	11	18	0:02	68	8.33	4.64
Mace	2	5	7	2	7	5	5	2	4	11	15	0:13	131	9.91	6.66

Long Island Lightning

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jagr	2	2	4	5	1	4	5	2	1	10	27	0:10	85	7.31	4.97
SOMEONE	1	7	8	1	5	4	5	10	6	6	19	1:48	144	7.90	7.17
milk	10	1	11	15	1	6	2	6	3	2	36	0:33	175	7.07	4.98

Kili New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.2	1.83	0.23	2.08	0.478
Assists	3	2.23	1.7	0.19	0.453	0.086
Shots	11	5.46	3.65	0.09	1.517	0.137
Passes	24	24.76	9.15	0.08	-0.083	-0.007
Saves	0	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.733	-0.139
Blocks	1	5.82	3.36	0.11	-1.433	-0.158
Takeaways	8	3.77	2.77	0.11	1.526	0.168

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.565 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.131, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+130

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8.5	4.179	2.034	0.32	0.651
Shots	11	5.457	2.016	0.08	0.161
Saves	0	3.261	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	5.815	0.172	0.07	0.012
Takeaways	8	3.772	2.121	0.12	0.255
Passes	24	24.761	0.969	0.08	0.078
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.18 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.388 − 0.089 turnover penalty = 1.299 → ×100 = 129.99 → 130

Offensive8.21

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.225	0.101	0.4	3.745
Shooting %	0.545	0.402	0.2	1.473
Assists per pass	0.125	0.09	0.4	2.993

Σ contribution = 8.211

Defensive4.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	3.261	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	5.815	3.282	0.2	0.656
Takeaways	8	3.772	9.232	0.25	2.308
Goals conceded	13	6.739	4.21	0.25	1.052

Σ contribution = 4.902

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

9th coming of Jesus New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.83	0.23	0.44	0.101
Assists	2	2.23	1.7	0.19	-0.134	-0.025
Shots	5	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.125	-0.011
Passes	18	24.76	9.15	0.08	-0.739	-0.059
Saves	1	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.508	-0.097
Blocks	11	5.82	3.36	0.11	1.543	0.17
Takeaways	0	3.77	2.77	0.11	-1.362	-0.15

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.071 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.857, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+68

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	4.179	1.196	0.32	0.383
Shots	5	5.457	0.916	0.08	0.073
Saves	1	3.261	0.307	0.15	0.046
Blocks	11	5.815	1.892	0.07	0.132
Takeaways	0	3.772	0	0.12	0
Passes	18	24.761	0.727	0.08	0.058
Faceoff win rate	0.455	0.5	0.909	0.03	0.027

Σ 0.72 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.847 − 0.168 turnover penalty = 0.679 → ×100 = 67.89 → 68

Offensive8.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	2.5	0.101	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.6	0.402	0.2	1.564
Assists per pass	0.111	0.09	0.4	2.769

Σ contribution = 8.333

Defensive4.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	3.261	3.6	0.3	1.08
Blocks	11	5.815	8.849	0.2	1.77
Takeaways	0	3.772	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	13	6.739	4.21	0.25	1.052

Σ contribution = 4.64

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.83	0.23	-0.107	-0.025
Assists	5	2.23	1.7	0.19	1.627	0.309
Shots	2	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.946	-0.085
Passes	15	24.76	9.15	0.08	-1.066	-0.085
Saves	7	3.26	4.45	0.19	0.841	0.16
Blocks	11	5.82	3.36	0.11	1.543	0.17
Takeaways	2	3.77	2.77	0.11	-0.64	-0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.373 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.746, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.5

Pucker+131

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	4.179	1.555	0.32	0.498
Shots	2	5.457	0.367	0.08	0.029
Saves	7	3.261	2.147	0.15	0.322
Blocks	11	5.815	1.892	0.07	0.132
Takeaways	2	3.772	0.53	0.12	0.064
Passes	15	24.761	0.606	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.124 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.322 − 0.009 turnover penalty = 1.313 → ×100 = 131.27 → 131

Offensive9.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.538	0.101	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	1	0.402	0.2	1.922
Assists per pass	0.333	0.09	0.4	3.986

Σ contribution = 9.907

Defensive6.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	3.261	9.267	0.3	2.78
Blocks	11	5.815	8.849	0.2	1.77
Takeaways	2	3.772	4.248	0.25	1.062
Goals conceded	13	6.739	4.21	0.25	1.052

Σ contribution = 6.664

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.83	0.23	-0.107	-0.025
Assists	2	2.23	1.7	0.19	-0.134	-0.025
Shots	5	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.125	-0.011
Passes	27	24.76	9.15	0.08	0.245	0.02
Saves	1	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.508	-0.097
Blocks	10	5.82	3.36	0.11	1.245	0.137
Takeaways	2	3.77	2.77	0.11	-0.64	-0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.072 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.857, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+85

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.179	0.957	0.32	0.306
Shots	5	5.457	0.916	0.08	0.073
Saves	1	3.261	0.307	0.15	0.046
Blocks	10	5.815	1.72	0.07	0.12
Takeaways	2	3.772	0.53	0.12	0.064
Passes	27	24.761	1.09	0.08	0.087
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 0.723 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.851 → ×100 = 85.12 → 85

Offensive7.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.101	0.4	3.991
Shooting %	0.4	0.402	0.2	1.195
Assists per pass	0.074	0.09	0.4	2.12

Σ contribution = 7.306

Defensive4.97

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	3.261	3.6	0.3	1.08
Blocks	10	5.815	8.467	0.2	1.693
Takeaways	2	3.772	4.248	0.25	1.062
Goals conceded	11	6.739	4.524	0.25	1.131

Σ contribution = 4.966

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.83	0.23	-0.654	-0.15
Assists	7	2.23	1.7	0.19	2.8	0.532
Shots	1	5.46	3.65	0.09	-1.22	-0.11
Passes	19	24.76	9.15	0.08	-0.629	-0.05
Saves	5	3.26	4.45	0.19	0.391	0.074
Blocks	6	5.82	3.36	0.11	0.055	0.006
Takeaways	10	3.77	2.77	0.11	2.249	0.247

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.549 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.099, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 7.2

Pucker+144

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	4.179	1.795	0.32	0.574
Shots	1	5.457	0.183	0.08	0.015
Saves	5	3.261	1.533	0.15	0.23
Blocks	6	5.815	1.032	0.07	0.072
Takeaways	10	3.772	2.651	0.12	0.318
Passes	19	24.761	0.767	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 1.297 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.526 − 0.089 turnover penalty = 1.437 → ×100 = 143.77 → 144

Offensive7.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.074	0.101	0.4	1.981
Shooting %	1	0.402	0.2	1.922
Assists per pass	0.368	0.09	0.4	3.993

Σ contribution = 7.896

Defensive7.17

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	3.261	7.952	0.3	2.386
Blocks	6	5.815	6.127	0.2	1.225
Takeaways	10	3.772	9.716	0.25	2.429
Goals conceded	11	6.739	4.524	0.25	1.131

Σ contribution = 7.171

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	10	2.2	1.83	0.23	4.267	0.981
Assists	1	2.23	1.7	0.19	-0.721	-0.137
Shots	15	5.46	3.65	0.09	2.612	0.235
Passes	36	24.76	9.15	0.08	1.228	0.098
Saves	1	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.508	-0.097
Blocks	2	5.82	3.36	0.11	-1.135	-0.125
Takeaways	6	3.77	2.77	0.11	0.804	0.088

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.045 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.089, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.6

Pucker+175

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	11	4.179	2.632	0.32	0.842
Shots	15	5.457	2.749	0.08	0.22
Saves	1	3.261	0.307	0.15	0.046
Blocks	2	5.815	0.344	0.07	0.024
Takeaways	6	3.772	1.591	0.12	0.191
Passes	36	24.761	1.454	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.484 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.746 → ×100 = 174.64 → 175

Offensive7.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.101	0.4	3.968
Shooting %	0.667	0.402	0.2	1.661
Assists per pass	0.028	0.09	0.4	1.442

Σ contribution = 7.071

Defensive4.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	3.261	3.6	0.3	1.08
Blocks	2	5.815	3.697	0.2	0.739
Takeaways	6	3.772	8.122	0.25	2.03
Goals conceded	11	6.739	4.524	0.25	1.131

Σ contribution = 4.98

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.