Erie Swordfish vs Buffalo Blizzards

ESHomeErie Swordfish

2–10Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Feb 24, 2025 · Genesis Cup - Playoffs · Lake Erie Ice Complex

MVP JoshAllenfan420 · 8.4 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Erie SwordfishvsBuffalo Blizzards

5Shots2227

17Saves143

5Faceoffs won49

8Takeaways19

9Turnovers↓18

30Blocks624

38Passes846

0:44Possession0:391:23

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Erie Swordfish

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Waggles	0	0	0	0	3	4	5	4	2	11	10	0:19	64	0.24	1.16
ocho	1	1	2	2	10	1	2	1	1	7	12	0:08	143	1.48	1.04
Bobbyboy-3k	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	3	6	12	16	0:17	83	0.59	1.20

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	5	4	0:15	46	1.22	0.89
JoshAllenfan420	6	1	7	17	1	5	2	4	2	7	22	0:22	199	1.22	1.08
Ol Woodster	2	2	4	4	1	1	0	1	3	6	4	0:26	84	1.77	0.87
minimongo	2	5	7	5	0	2	2	2	3	6	16	0:20	145	1.79	0.83

Waggles Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.961	-0.221
Assists	0	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.88	-0.167
Shots	0	3.57	2.84	0.09	-1.257	-0.113
Passes	10	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.658	-0.053
Saves	3	2.05	2.56	0.19	0.372	0.071
Blocks	11	6.89	3.65	0.11	1.125	0.124
Takeaways	4	3.54	3.14	0.11	0.146	0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.343 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.313, then −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+64

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.566	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.566	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.048	1.465	0.15	0.22
Blocks	11	6.892	1.596	0.07	0.112
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.12	0.136
Passes	10	15.048	0.665	0.08	0.053
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 0.547 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.643 → ×100 = 64.33 → 64

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.074	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.048	1.434	0.3	0.43
Blocks	11	6.892	1.534	0.2	0.307
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.25	0.282
Goals conceded	10	5.157	0.55	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.157

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ocho Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.328	-0.075
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	2	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.552	-0.05
Passes	12	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.397	-0.032
Saves	10	2.05	2.56	0.19	3.111	0.591
Blocks	7	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.03	0.003
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.33 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.661, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+143

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.566	0.779	0.32	0.249
Shots	2	3.566	0.561	0.08	0.045
Saves	10	2.048	4.882	0.15	0.732
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.07	0.071
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	12	15.048	0.797	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.215 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.43 → ×100 = 142.99 → 143

Offensive1.48

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.07	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	0.235
Assists per pass	0.083	0.074	0.4	0.447

Σ contribution = 1.478

Defensive1.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	10	2.048	1.999	0.3	0.6
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.2	0.203
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.385	0.25	0.096
Goals conceded	10	5.157	0.55	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.037

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bobbyboy-3k Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.328	-0.075
Assists	0	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.88	-0.167
Shots	3	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.2	-0.018
Passes	16	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	4	2.05	2.56	0.19	0.764	0.145
Blocks	12	6.89	3.65	0.11	1.399	0.154
Takeaways	3	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.173	-0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.029 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.058, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.566	0.39	0.32	0.125
Shots	3	3.566	0.841	0.08	0.067
Saves	4	2.048	1.953	0.15	0.293
Blocks	12	6.892	1.741	0.07	0.122
Takeaways	3	3.542	0.847	0.12	0.102
Passes	16	15.048	1.063	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.794 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.934 − 0.105 turnover penalty = 0.829 → ×100 = 82.86 → 83

Offensive0.59

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.07	0.4	0.339
Shooting %	0.333	0.426	0.2	0.157
Assists per pass	0	0.074	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.592

Defensive1.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.048	1.741	0.3	0.522
Blocks	12	6.892	1.63	0.2	0.326
Takeaways	3	3.542	0.848	0.25	0.212
Goals conceded	10	5.157	0.55	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.198

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.961	-0.221
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	1	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.904	-0.081
Passes	4	15.05	7.67	0.08	-1.44	-0.115
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	5	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.518	-0.057
Takeaways	2	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.492	-0.054

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.625 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.751, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.6

Pucker+46

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.566	0.39	0.32	0.125
Shots	1	3.566	0.28	0.08	0.022
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	5	6.892	0.726	0.07	0.051
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.565	0.12	0.068
Passes	4	15.048	0.266	0.08	0.021
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.39 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.459 → ×100 = 45.9 → 46

Offensive1.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.067	0.07	0.4	0.384
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.074	0.4	0.793

Σ contribution = 1.224

Defensive0.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	0.529	0.3	0.159
Blocks	5	6.892	0.732	0.2	0.146
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.59	0.25	0.148
Goals conceded	2	5.157	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.893

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.52	1.58	0.23	2.837	0.652
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	17	3.57	2.84	0.09	4.734	0.426
Passes	22	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.906	0.072
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	7	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.03	0.003
Takeaways	4	3.54	3.14	0.11	0.146	0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.074 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.149, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.4

Pucker+199

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.566	2.728	0.32	0.873
Shots	17	3.566	4.767	0.08	0.381
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.07	0.071
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.12	0.136
Passes	22	15.048	1.462	0.08	0.117
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 1.694 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.993 → ×100 = 199.28 → 199

Offensive1.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.318	0.07	0.4	0.799
Shooting %	0.353	0.426	0.2	0.166
Assists per pass	0.045	0.074	0.4	0.252

Σ contribution = 1.217

Defensive1.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	0.529	0.3	0.159
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.2	0.203
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.25	0.282
Goals conceded	2	5.157	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.084

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	2	1.12	1.27	0.19	0.691	0.131
Shots	4	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.153	0.014
Passes	4	15.05	7.67	0.08	-1.44	-0.115
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	6	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.244	-0.027
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.094 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.812, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Pucker+84

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.566	1.169	0.32	0.374
Shots	4	3.566	1.122	0.08	0.09
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.07	0.061
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	4	15.048	0.266	0.08	0.021
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.713 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.839 → ×100 = 83.9 → 84

Offensive1.77

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.154	0.07	0.4	0.735
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	0.235
Assists per pass	0.5	0.074	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.77

Defensive0.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	0.529	0.3	0.159
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.2	0.174
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.385	0.25	0.096
Goals conceded	2	5.157	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.869

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	5	1.12	1.27	0.19	3.049	0.579
Shots	5	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.505	0.045
Passes	16	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	0	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.801	-0.152
Blocks	6	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.244	-0.027
Takeaways	2	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.492	-0.054

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.472 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.943, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.1

Pucker+145

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.566	2.728	0.32	0.873
Shots	5	3.566	1.402	0.08	0.112
Saves	0	2.048	0	0.15	0
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.07	0.061
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.565	0.12	0.068
Passes	16	15.048	1.063	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.229 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.446 → ×100 = 144.56 → 145

Offensive1.79

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.35	0.07	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.4	0.426	0.2	0.188
Assists per pass	0.312	0.074	0.4	0.799

Σ contribution = 1.786

Defensive0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.048	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.2	0.174
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.59	0.25	0.148
Goals conceded	2	5.157	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.834

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.