Erie Swordfish vs Buffalo Blizzards

ESHomeErie Swordfish

2–10Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Feb 24, 2025 · Genesis Cup - Playoffs · Lake Erie Ice Complex

MVP JoshAllenfan420 · 8.4 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Erie SwordfishvsBuffalo Blizzards

5Shots2227

17Saves143

5Faceoffs won49

8Takeaways19

9Turnovers↓18

30Blocks624

38Passes846

0:44Possession0:391:23

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Erie Swordfish

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Waggles	0	0	0	0	3	4	5	4	2	11	10	0:19	64	2.95	6.63
ocho	1	1	2	2	10	1	2	1	1	7	12	0:08	143	7.91	6.15
Bobbyboy-3k	1	0	1	3	4	0	2	3	6	12	16	0:17	83	4.37	6.79

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	0	5	4	0:15	46	6.90	5.57
JoshAllenfan420	6	1	7	17	1	5	2	4	2	7	22	0:22	199	6.87	6.34
Ol Woodster	2	2	4	4	1	1	0	1	3	6	4	0:26	84	9.08	5.48
minimongo	2	5	7	5	0	2	2	2	3	6	16	0:20	145	9.15	5.33

Waggles Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.961	-0.221
Assists	0	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.88	-0.167
Shots	0	3.57	2.84	0.09	-1.257	-0.113
Passes	10	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.658	-0.053
Saves	3	2.05	2.56	0.19	0.372	0.071
Blocks	11	6.89	3.65	0.11	1.125	0.124
Takeaways	4	3.54	3.14	0.11	0.146	0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.343 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.313, then −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+64

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.566	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.566	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.048	1.465	0.15	0.22
Blocks	11	6.892	1.596	0.07	0.112
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.12	0.136
Passes	10	15.048	0.665	0.08	0.053
Faceoff win rate	0.444	0.5	0.889	0.03	0.027

Σ 0.547 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.643 → ×100 = 64.33 → 64

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.074	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive6.63

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.048	7.736	0.3	2.321
Blocks	11	6.892	8.137	0.2	1.627
Takeaways	4	3.542	6.514	0.25	1.629
Goals conceded	10	5.157	4.201	0.25	1.05

Σ contribution = 6.627

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ocho Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.328	-0.075
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	2	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.552	-0.05
Passes	12	15.05	7.67	0.08	-0.397	-0.032
Saves	10	2.05	2.56	0.19	3.111	0.591
Blocks	7	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.03	0.003
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.33 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.661, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+143

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.566	0.779	0.32	0.249
Shots	2	3.566	0.561	0.08	0.045
Saves	10	2.048	4.882	0.15	0.732
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.07	0.071
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	12	15.048	0.797	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.215 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.43 → ×100 = 142.99 → 143

Offensive7.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.07	0.4	3.982
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	1.338
Assists per pass	0.083	0.074	0.4	2.59

Σ contribution = 7.91

Defensive6.15

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	10	2.048	9.997	0.3	2.999
Blocks	7	6.892	6.063	0.2	1.213
Takeaways	1	3.542	3.538	0.25	0.885
Goals conceded	10	5.157	4.201	0.25	1.05

Σ contribution = 6.147

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bobbyboy-3k Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.328	-0.075
Assists	0	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.88	-0.167
Shots	3	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.2	-0.018
Passes	16	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	4	2.05	2.56	0.19	0.764	0.145
Blocks	12	6.89	3.65	0.11	1.399	0.154
Takeaways	3	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.173	-0.019

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.029 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.058, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.566	0.39	0.32	0.125
Shots	3	3.566	0.841	0.08	0.067
Saves	4	2.048	1.953	0.15	0.293
Blocks	12	6.892	1.741	0.07	0.122
Takeaways	3	3.542	0.847	0.12	0.102
Passes	16	15.048	1.063	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.794 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.934 − 0.105 turnover penalty = 0.829 → ×100 = 82.86 → 83

Offensive4.37

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.07	0.4	2.156
Shooting %	0.333	0.426	0.2	1.029
Assists per pass	0	0.074	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.366

Defensive6.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.048	8.964	0.3	2.689
Blocks	12	6.892	8.52	0.2	1.704
Takeaways	3	3.542	5.392	0.25	1.348
Goals conceded	10	5.157	4.201	0.25	1.05

Σ contribution = 6.791

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.52	1.58	0.23	-0.961	-0.221
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	1	3.57	2.84	0.09	-0.904	-0.081
Passes	4	15.05	7.67	0.08	-1.44	-0.115
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	5	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.518	-0.057
Takeaways	2	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.492	-0.054

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.625 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.751, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.6

Pucker+46

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.566	0.39	0.32	0.125
Shots	1	3.566	0.28	0.08	0.022
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	5	6.892	0.726	0.07	0.051
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.565	0.12	0.068
Passes	4	15.048	0.266	0.08	0.021
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.39 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.459 → ×100 = 45.9 → 46

Offensive6.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.067	0.07	0.4	2.334
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.25	0.074	0.4	3.972

Σ contribution = 6.897

Defensive5.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	4.115	0.3	1.234
Blocks	5	6.892	4.929	0.2	0.986
Takeaways	2	3.542	4.361	0.25	1.09
Goals conceded	2	5.157	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.572

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.52	1.58	0.23	2.837	0.652
Assists	1	1.12	1.27	0.19	-0.095	-0.018
Shots	17	3.57	2.84	0.09	4.734	0.426
Passes	22	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.906	0.072
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	7	6.89	3.65	0.11	0.03	0.003
Takeaways	4	3.54	3.14	0.11	0.146	0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.074 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.149, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.4

Pucker+199

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.566	2.728	0.32	0.873
Shots	17	3.566	4.767	0.08	0.381
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	7	6.892	1.016	0.07	0.071
Takeaways	4	3.542	1.129	0.12	0.136
Passes	22	15.048	1.462	0.08	0.117
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 1.694 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.993 → ×100 = 199.28 → 199

Offensive6.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.318	0.07	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.353	0.426	0.2	1.065
Assists per pass	0.045	0.074	0.4	1.806

Σ contribution = 6.869

Defensive6.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	4.115	0.3	1.234
Blocks	7	6.892	6.063	0.2	1.213
Takeaways	4	3.542	6.514	0.25	1.629
Goals conceded	2	5.157	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.338

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	2	1.12	1.27	0.19	0.691	0.131
Shots	4	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.153	0.014
Passes	4	15.05	7.67	0.08	-1.44	-0.115
Saves	1	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.41	-0.078
Blocks	6	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.244	-0.027
Takeaways	1	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.811	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.094 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.812, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Pucker+84

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.566	1.169	0.32	0.374
Shots	4	3.566	1.122	0.08	0.09
Saves	1	2.048	0.488	0.15	0.073
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.07	0.061
Takeaways	1	3.542	0.282	0.12	0.034
Passes	4	15.048	0.266	0.08	0.021
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.713 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.839 → ×100 = 83.9 → 84

Offensive9.08

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.154	0.07	0.4	3.74
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	1.338
Assists per pass	0.5	0.074	0.4	4

Σ contribution = 9.078

Defensive5.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.048	4.115	0.3	1.234
Blocks	6	6.892	5.485	0.2	1.097
Takeaways	1	3.542	3.538	0.25	0.885
Goals conceded	2	5.157	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.478

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.52	1.58	0.23	0.305	0.07
Assists	5	1.12	1.27	0.19	3.049	0.579
Shots	5	3.57	2.84	0.09	0.505	0.045
Passes	16	15.05	7.67	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	0	2.05	2.56	0.19	-0.801	-0.152
Blocks	6	6.89	3.65	0.11	-0.244	-0.027
Takeaways	2	3.54	3.14	0.11	-0.492	-0.054

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.472 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.943, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.1

Pucker+145

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.566	2.728	0.32	0.873
Shots	5	3.566	1.402	0.08	0.112
Saves	0	2.048	0	0.15	0
Blocks	6	6.892	0.871	0.07	0.061
Takeaways	2	3.542	0.565	0.12	0.068
Passes	16	15.048	1.063	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.229 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.446 → ×100 = 144.56 → 145

Offensive9.15

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.35	0.07	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.4	0.426	0.2	1.152
Assists per pass	0.312	0.074	0.4	3.995

Σ contribution = 9.146

Defensive5.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.048	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	6	6.892	5.485	0.2	1.097
Takeaways	2	3.542	4.361	0.25	1.09
Goals conceded	2	5.157	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.335

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.