Barrie Blowouts - Central vs Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

12–5Final

Oct 28, 2026 · Central C · Blowouts Arena

MVP TTV_Fries81 · 7.2 performance rating

Barrie Blowouts - Central 12, Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers 5 (regulation). This matchup proved to be a high-scoring game for Central C — 17 goals, at or above the division's 90th percentile (17). The regular season contest saw the Barrie Blowouts - Central, who entered with a 2-9 record, face off against the 0-7 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers.

The second period served as the decisive frame for the home side. During this stretch, the Barrie Blowouts - Central found the back of the net for 6 goals, while the Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers managed to find 2 goals of their own. This surge allowed the Blowouts to establish a commanding 9-2 lead heading into the final frame.

TTV_Fries81 led the way for the home team, finishing with 9 points (3 goals, 6 assists) and a 7.17 perf rating. They also recorded 3 blocks and a Pucker+ of 211.03. Other notable contributions came from Ovenchecken, who tallied 7 points, and Vile, who scored 4 goals for the Beer Leaguers.

Player of the Game: TTV_Fries81

Barrie Blowouts - CentralvsOttawa Valley Beer Leaguers

22Shots148

3Saves710

12Faceoffs won66

13Takeaways211

11Turnovers↓213

16Blocks2036

80Passes4139

1:42Possession0:381:04

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Barrie Blowouts - Central gained 20 points in period 1.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

TTV_Fries81home+14.24
ovencheckenhome+13.14
Nathanhome+6.11
Zygystar™home+5.00
skymicmachome+0.02
KManaway−3.01
Drpeckeraway−5.11
jpak32away−5.13
RoboCreed05away−8.12
Vileaway−17.13

Signed percentage points · model fit on 335 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Barrie Blowouts - CentralOttawa Valley Beer Leaguers

1st

Possession

0:300:24

Shots: 80
Faceoffs won: 40
Blocks: 316

Nathan, Ovenchecken, skymicmac, TTV_Fries81

drpecker, RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile

2nd

Possession

0:480:22

Shots: 84
Faceoffs won: 53
Blocks: 511

Nathan, Ovenchecken, TTV_Fries81, Zygystar™

RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile, kman

3rd

Possession

0:240:18

Shots: 64
Faceoffs won: 33
Blocks: 89

Nathan, Ovenchecken, skymicmac, TTV_Fries81

RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile, kman

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Barrie Blowouts - Central

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Nathan	2	3	5	3	3	4	0	3	2	8	15	0:20	146	1.57	1.15
Ovenchecken	4	3	7	7	0	2	3	3	3	5	23	0:23	161	1.59	0.78
TTV_Fries81	3	6	9	8	0	2	1	6	3	3	26	0:48	212	1.49	0.81
Zygystar™	2	1	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	7	0:11	189	1.82	0.60
skymicmac	1	0	1	2	0	3	1	0	2	0	9	0:00	45	0.40	0.47

Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Vile	4	0	4	6	0	2	3	7	2	5	13	0:21	135	0.85	0.80
kman	0	2	2	1	1	2	1	0	2	2	6	0:08	80	1.62	0.58
JPak32	1	0	1	1	3	1	5	3	5	7	13	0:15	72	0.35	0.88
RoboCreed05	0	3	3	0	5	1	2	0	3	18	5	0:08	122	1.18	1.11
drpecker	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	4	2	0:12	67	0.24	1.28

Nathan Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	2	0.44	0.71	0.19	2.198	0.418
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	8	5.48	3.15	0.08	0.799	0.064
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	2	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.08	0.009
Takeaways	2	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.876	0.096

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.358 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.537, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.3

Period 2· 6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	1	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.423	-0.114
Saves	2	0.56	1.16	0.19	1.24	0.236
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.154 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.231, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Period 3· 6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	6	5.48	3.15	0.08	0.164	0.013
Saves	1	0.56	1.16	0.19	0.376	0.072
Blocks	5	1.85	1.86	0.11	1.695	0.186
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.533 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.8, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	0.805	1.656	0.32	0.53
Shots	1	0.981	1.019	0.08	0.082
Saves	1	0.564	1.772	0.15	0.266
Blocks	2.667	1.852	1.44	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.12	0.131
Passes	5	5.483	0.912	0.08	0.073
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.242 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.462 → ×100 = 146.15 → 146

Offensive1.57

Period 1· 1.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.092	0.4	0.788
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.081	0.4	0.788

Σ contribution = 1.624

Period 2· 1.27

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.092	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.266

Period 3· 1.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.092	0.4	0.729
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0.167	0.081	0.4	0.715

Σ contribution = 1.819

Defensive1.15

Period 1· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.852	1.08	0.2	0.216
Takeaways	2	0.915	1.829	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	0	1.667	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.185

Period 2· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.564	1.988	0.3	0.596
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	2	1.667	0.835	0.25	0.209

Σ contribution = 1.192

Period 3· 1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.564	1.648	0.3	0.494
Blocks	5	1.852	1.935	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.087

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ovenchecken Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Period 1· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	3	0.98	1.2	0.09	1.684	0.152
Passes	9	5.48	3.15	0.08	1.116	0.089
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	2	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.876	0.096

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.536 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.804, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Period 2· 8.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	0.42	0.7	0.23	3.704	0.852
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	4	0.98	1.2	0.09	2.518	0.227
Passes	9	5.48	3.15	0.08	1.116	0.089
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	2	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.08	0.009
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.241 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.861, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.6

Period 3· 5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	5	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.153	-0.012
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	2	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.08	0.009
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.239 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.641, then −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+161

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.167	0.805	2.692	0.32	0.861
Shots	2.333	0.981	2.378	0.08	0.19
Saves	0	0.564	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.667	1.852	0.9	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.12	0.131
Passes	7.667	5.483	1.398	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.382 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.625 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 1.611 → ×100 = 161.15 → 161

Offensive1.59

Period 1· 1.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.092	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0.333	0.425	0.2	0.158
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.543

Σ contribution = 1.496

Period 2· 1.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.092	0.4	0.788
Shooting %	0.75	0.425	0.2	0.329
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.543

Σ contribution = 1.66

Period 3· 1.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.092	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.2	0.081	0.4	0.76

Σ contribution = 1.603

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 1.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	2	0.915	1.829	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	0	1.667	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.083

Period 2· 0.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.852	1.08	0.2	0.216
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	2	1.667	0.835	0.25	0.209

Σ contribution = 0.77

Period 3· 0.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.852	1.08	0.2	0.216
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.494

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TTV_Fries81 Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Period 1· 7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.27	0.522
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	3	0.98	1.2	0.09	1.684	0.152
Passes	9	5.48	3.15	0.08	1.116	0.089
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	0	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.997	-0.11
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.718 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.076, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.3

Period 2· 7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	4	0.44	0.71	0.19	5.023	0.954
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	8	5.48	3.15	0.08	0.799	0.064
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	2	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.08	0.009
Takeaways	4	0.91	1.24	0.11	2.49	0.274

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.072 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.608, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.8

Period 3· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	4	0.98	1.2	0.09	2.518	0.227
Passes	9	5.48	3.15	0.08	1.116	0.089
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.522 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.783, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Pucker+212

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.833	0.805	3.52	0.32	1.126
Shots	2.667	0.981	2.718	0.08	0.217
Saves	0	0.564	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.852	0.54	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	2	0.915	2.186	0.12	0.262
Passes	8.667	5.483	1.581	0.08	0.126
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.81 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.13 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 2.116 → ×100 = 211.6 → 212

Offensive1.49

Period 1· 1.53

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.176	0.092	0.4	0.689
Shooting %	0.667	0.425	0.2	0.303
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.543

Σ contribution = 1.535

Period 2· 1.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.092	0.4	0.729
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.5	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.577

Period 3· 1.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.092	0.4	0.699
Shooting %	0.25	0.425	0.2	0.122
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.543

Σ contribution = 1.365

Defensive0.81

Period 1· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.852	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	0	1.667	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.833

Period 2· 1.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.852	1.08	0.2	0.216
Takeaways	4	0.915	1.998	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	2	1.667	0.835	0.25	0.209

Σ contribution = 0.996

Period 3· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.605

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zygystar™ Barrie Blowouts - Central

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Period 1· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.27	0.522
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	2	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.85	0.076
Passes	7	5.48	3.15	0.08	0.481	0.039
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	0	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.997	-0.11
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.592 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.888, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+189

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	0.805	3.727	0.32	1.193
Shots	2	0.981	2.039	0.08	0.163
Saves	0	0.564	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.852	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.12	0.131
Passes	7	5.483	1.277	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.619 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.905 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 1.891 → ×100 = 189.08 → 189

Offensive1.82

Period 1· 1.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.092	0.4	0.784
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0.143	0.081	0.4	0.658

Σ contribution = 1.817

Defensive0.60

Period 1· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.852	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	2	1.667	0.835	0.25	0.209

Σ contribution = 0.602

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

skymicmac Barrie Blowouts - Central

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Period 1· 4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	4	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.471	-0.038
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	0	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.997	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.576 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.136, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.9

Period 2· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	5	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.153	-0.012
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	0	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.997	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.221 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.669, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+45

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	0.805	0.621	0.32	0.199
Shots	1	0.981	1.019	0.08	0.082
Saves	0	0.564	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.852	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	0.915	0	0.12	0
Passes	4.5	5.483	0.821	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.391 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.46 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 0.446 → ×100 = 44.6 → 45

Offensive0.40

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.566

Defensive0.47

Period 1· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1.852	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1.667	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 2· 0.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.852	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.326

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Vile Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	4	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.471	-0.038
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.503 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.245, then −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.27	0.522
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	4	0.98	1.2	0.09	2.518	0.227
Passes	1	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.423	-0.114
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	3	0.91	1.24	0.11	1.683	0.185

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.558 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.837, then −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Period 3· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.27	0.522
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	2	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.85	0.076
Passes	8	5.48	3.15	0.08	0.799	0.064
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	3	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.618	0.068
Takeaways	3	0.91	1.24	0.11	1.683	0.185

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.704 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.056, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	0.805	1.656	0.32	0.53
Shots	2	0.981	2.039	0.08	0.163
Saves	0	0.564	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.667	1.852	0.9	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	2.333	0.915	2.551	0.12	0.306
Passes	4.333	5.483	0.79	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.149 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.352 → ×100 = 135.23 → 135

Offensive0.85

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.092	0.4	0.775
Shooting %	0.5	0.425	0.2	0.235
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.105

Period 3· 1.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.092	0.4	0.729
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.2

Defensive0.80

Period 1· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.605

Period 2· 0.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	3	0.915	1.979	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	6	1.667	0.382	0.25	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.776

Period 3· 1.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	1.852	1.551	0.2	0.31
Takeaways	3	0.915	1.979	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.023

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kman Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Period 1· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.105	-0.088
Saves	1	0.56	1.16	0.19	0.376	0.072
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.21 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.685, then −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Period 2· 5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	4	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.471	-0.038
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	1	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.459	-0.05
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.249 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.627, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	0.805	1.242	0.32	0.398
Shots	0.5	0.981	0.51	0.08	0.041
Saves	0.5	0.564	0.886	0.15	0.133
Blocks	1	1.852	0.54	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	0	0.915	0	0.12	0
Passes	3	5.483	0.547	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.693 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.815 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 0.801 → ×100 = 80.11 → 80

Offensive1.62

Period 1· 1.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.092	0.4	0.775
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.5	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.622

Period 2· 1.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.092	0.4	0.775
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.081	0.4	0.788

Σ contribution = 1.61

Defensive0.58

Period 1· 0.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.564	1.648	0.3	0.494
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	1.667	0.382	0.25	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.763

Period 2· 0.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.852	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.392

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JPak32 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	5	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.153	-0.012
Saves	3	0.56	1.16	0.19	2.105	0.4
Blocks	3	1.85	1.86	0.11	0.618	0.068
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.133 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.2, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Period 2· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	4	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.471	-0.038
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	4	1.85	1.86	0.11	1.156	0.127
Takeaways	2	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.876	0.096

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.237 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.645, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Period 3· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.836	0.192
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	1	0.98	1.2	0.09	0.016	0.001
Passes	4	5.48	3.15	0.08	-0.471	-0.038
Saves	0	0.56	1.16	0.19	-0.488	-0.093
Blocks	0	1.85	1.86	0.11	-0.997	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.246 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.631, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.805	0.414	0.32	0.133
Shots	0.333	0.981	0.34	0.08	0.027
Saves	1	0.564	1.772	0.15	0.266
Blocks	2.333	1.852	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.12	0.131
Passes	4.333	5.483	0.79	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.718 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.845 − 0.123 turnover penalty = 0.722 → ×100 = 72.15 → 72

Offensive0.35

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.566

Defensive0.88

Period 1· 1.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.564	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	3	1.852	1.551	0.2	0.31
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.329

Period 2· 0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	1.852	1.821	0.2	0.364
Takeaways	2	0.915	1.829	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	6	1.667	0.382	0.25	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.988

Period 3· 0.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.564	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.852	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.326

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

RoboCreed05 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Period 1· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.105	-0.088
Saves	1	0.56	1.16	0.19	0.376	0.072
Blocks	8	1.85	1.86	0.11	3.31	0.364
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.064 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.904, then +0.3 blocks, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Period 2· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.786	0.149
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	1	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.423	-0.114
Saves	1	0.56	1.16	0.19	0.376	0.072
Blocks	5	1.85	1.86	0.11	1.695	0.186
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.001 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.002, then −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Period 3· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	2	0.44	0.71	0.19	2.198	0.418
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.105	-0.088
Saves	3	0.56	1.16	0.19	2.105	0.4
Blocks	5	1.85	1.86	0.11	1.695	0.186
Takeaways	0	0.91	1.24	0.11	-0.738	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.623 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.935, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+122

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.833	0.805	1.035	0.32	0.331
Shots	0	0.981	0	0.08	0
Saves	1.667	0.564	2.953	0.15	0.443
Blocks	6	1.852	3.239	0.07	0.227
Takeaways	0	0.915	0	0.12	0
Passes	1.667	5.483	0.304	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.045 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.23 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 1.216 → ×100 = 121.58 → 122

Offensive1.18

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.092	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.643

Period 3· 1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.092	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.648

Defensive1.11

Period 1· 1.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.564	1.648	0.3	0.494
Blocks	8	1.852	1.997	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.099

Period 2· 1.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.564	1.648	0.3	0.494
Blocks	5	1.852	1.935	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	1.667	0.382	0.25	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.036

Period 3· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.564	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	5	1.852	1.935	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.915	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.193

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

drpecker Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Period 1· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.597	-0.137
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.626	-0.119
Shots	0	0.98	1.2	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.48	3.15	0.08	-1.105	-0.088
Saves	1	0.56	1.16	0.19	0.376	0.072
Blocks	4	1.85	1.86	0.11	1.156	0.127
Takeaways	1	0.91	1.24	0.11	0.069	0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.212 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.682, then −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+67

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	0.805	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	0.981	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	0.564	1.772	0.15	0.266
Blocks	4	1.852	2.16	0.07	0.151
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.12	0.131
Passes	2	5.483	0.365	0.08	0.029
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.577 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.679 − 0.014 turnover penalty = 0.665 → ×100 = 66.52 → 67

Offensive0.24

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.092	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.28

Period 1· 1.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.564	1.648	0.3	0.494
Blocks	4	1.852	1.821	0.2	0.364
Takeaways	1	0.915	1.093	0.25	0.273
Goals conceded	3	1.667	0.583	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.277

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.