Barrie Blowouts - Central vs Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

12–5Final

Oct 28, 2026 · Central C · Blowouts Arena

MVP TTV_Fries81 · 7.2 performance rating

Barrie Blowouts - Central 12, Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers 5 (regulation). This matchup proved to be a high-scoring game for Central C — 17 goals, at or above the division's 90th percentile (17). The regular season contest saw the Barrie Blowouts - Central, who entered with a 2-9 record, face off against the 0-7 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers.

The second period served as the decisive frame for the home side. During this stretch, the Barrie Blowouts - Central found the back of the net for 6 goals, while the Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers managed to find 2 goals of their own. This surge allowed the Blowouts to establish a commanding 9-2 lead heading into the final frame.

TTV_Fries81 led the way for the home team, finishing with 9 points (3 goals, 6 assists) and a 7.17 perf rating. They also recorded 3 blocks and a Pucker+ of 211.03. Other notable contributions came from Ovenchecken, who tallied 7 points, and Vile, who scored 4 goals for the Beer Leaguers.

Player of the Game: TTV_Fries81

Barrie Blowouts - CentralvsOttawa Valley Beer Leaguers

22Shots148

3Saves710

12Faceoffs won66

13Takeaways211

11Turnovers↓213

16Blocks2036

80Passes4139

1:42Possession0:381:04

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Barrie Blowouts - Central gained 20 points in period 1.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

TTV_Fries81home+13.80
ovencheckenhome+12.77
Nathanhome+5.80
Zygystar™home+4.82
skymicmachome−0.12
KManaway−2.84
jpak32away−4.94
Drpeckeraway−5.06
RoboCreed05away−7.84
Vileaway−16.40

Signed percentage points · model fit on 325 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Barrie Blowouts - CentralOttawa Valley Beer Leaguers

1st

Possession

0:300:24

Shots: 80
Faceoffs won: 40
Blocks: 316

Nathan, Ovenchecken, skymicmac, TTV_Fries81

drpecker, RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile

2nd

Possession

0:480:22

Shots: 84
Faceoffs won: 53
Blocks: 511

Nathan, Ovenchecken, TTV_Fries81, Zygystar™

RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile, kman

3rd

Possession

0:240:18

Shots: 64
Faceoffs won: 33
Blocks: 89

Nathan, Ovenchecken, skymicmac, TTV_Fries81

RoboCreed05, JPak32, Vile, kman

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Barrie Blowouts - Central

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Nathan	2	3	5	3	3	4	0	3	2	8	15	0:20	146	1.57	1.15
Ovenchecken	4	3	7	7	0	2	3	3	3	5	23	0:23	161	1.58	0.78
TTV_Fries81	3	6	9	8	0	2	1	6	3	3	26	0:48	211	1.49	0.81
Zygystar™	2	1	3	2	0	1	1	1	1	0	7	0:11	189	1.81	0.60
skymicmac	1	0	1	2	0	3	1	0	2	0	9	0:00	45	0.40	0.47

Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Vile	4	0	4	6	0	2	3	7	2	5	13	0:21	135	0.85	0.80
kman	0	2	2	1	1	2	1	0	2	2	6	0:08	80	1.62	0.58
JPak32	1	0	1	1	3	1	5	3	5	7	13	0:15	72	0.35	0.88
RoboCreed05	0	3	3	0	5	1	2	0	3	18	5	0:08	121	1.18	1.11
drpecker	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	4	2	0:12	66	0.24	1.28

Nathan Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	2	0.44	0.71	0.19	2.196	0.417
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	8	5.47	3.2	0.08	0.791	0.063
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	2	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.084	0.009
Takeaways	2	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.864	0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.356 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.535, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.3

Period 2· 6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	1	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.396	-0.112
Saves	2	0.57	1.17	0.19	1.22	0.232
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.15 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.225, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Period 3· 6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	6	5.47	3.2	0.08	0.166	0.013
Saves	1	0.57	1.17	0.19	0.368	0.07
Blocks	5	1.85	1.85	0.11	1.708	0.188
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.531 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.797, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	0.808	1.651	0.32	0.528
Shots	1	0.986	1.014	0.08	0.081
Saves	1	0.567	1.762	0.15	0.264
Blocks	2.667	1.845	1.445	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.089	0.12	0.131
Passes	5	5.468	0.914	0.08	0.073
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.239 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.457 → ×100 = 145.74 → 146

Offensive1.57

Period 1· 1.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.093	0.4	0.788
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.081	0.4	0.788

Σ contribution = 1.623

Period 2· 1.27

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.093	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.266

Period 3· 1.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.093	0.4	0.728
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0.167	0.081	0.4	0.713

Σ contribution = 1.816

Defensive1.15

Period 1· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.845	1.084	0.2	0.217
Takeaways	2	0.919	1.827	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	0	1.675	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.186

Period 2· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.567	1.987	0.3	0.596
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	2	1.675	0.839	0.25	0.21

Σ contribution = 1.192

Period 3· 1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.567	1.642	0.3	0.493
Blocks	5	1.845	1.937	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.086

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ovenchecken Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Period 1· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	3	0.99	1.21	0.09	1.671	0.15
Passes	9	5.47	3.2	0.08	1.103	0.088
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	2	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.864	0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.531 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.797, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Period 2· 8.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	0.42	0.7	0.23	3.686	0.848
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	4	0.99	1.21	0.09	2.5	0.225
Passes	9	5.47	3.2	0.08	1.103	0.088
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	2	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.084	0.009
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.235 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.852, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.6

Period 3· 5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	5	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.146	-0.012
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	2	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.084	0.009
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.237 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.644, then −0.2 goals against → 5.4

Pucker+161

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.167	0.808	2.683	0.32	0.859
Shots	2.333	0.986	2.366	0.08	0.189
Saves	0	0.567	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.667	1.845	0.903	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.089	0.12	0.131
Passes	7.667	5.468	1.402	0.08	0.112
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.378 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.621 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.608 → ×100 = 160.78 → 161

Offensive1.58

Period 1· 1.49

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.093	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0.333	0.425	0.2	0.158
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.541

Σ contribution = 1.494

Period 2· 1.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.286	0.093	0.4	0.788
Shooting %	0.75	0.425	0.2	0.329
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.541

Σ contribution = 1.657

Period 3· 1.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.093	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.2	0.081	0.4	0.759

Σ contribution = 1.602

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 1.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	2	0.919	1.827	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	0	1.675	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.083

Period 2· 0.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.845	1.084	0.2	0.217
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	2	1.675	0.839	0.25	0.21

Σ contribution = 0.771

Period 3· 0.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.845	1.084	0.2	0.217
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.495

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TTV_Fries81 Barrie Blowouts - Central

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Period 1· 7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.258	0.519
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	3	0.99	1.21	0.09	1.671	0.15
Passes	9	5.47	3.2	0.08	1.103	0.088
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	0	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.999	-0.11
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.712 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.069, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.3

Period 2· 7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	4	0.44	0.71	0.19	5.019	0.954
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	8	5.47	3.2	0.08	0.791	0.063
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	2	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.084	0.009
Takeaways	4	0.92	1.25	0.11	2.462	0.271

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.069 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.603, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.8

Period 3· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	4	0.99	1.21	0.09	2.5	0.225
Passes	9	5.47	3.2	0.08	1.103	0.088
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.518 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.777, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4

Pucker+211

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.833	0.808	3.509	0.32	1.123
Shots	2.667	0.986	2.704	0.08	0.216
Saves	0	0.567	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	1.845	0.542	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	2	0.919	2.177	0.12	0.261
Passes	8.667	5.468	1.585	0.08	0.127
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.805 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.124 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 2.111 → ×100 = 211.03 → 211

Offensive1.49

Period 1· 1.53

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.176	0.093	0.4	0.688
Shooting %	0.667	0.425	0.2	0.303
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.541

Σ contribution = 1.531

Period 2· 1.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.093	0.4	0.728
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.5	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.576

Period 3· 1.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.093	0.4	0.698
Shooting %	0.25	0.425	0.2	0.122
Assists per pass	0.111	0.081	0.4	0.541

Σ contribution = 1.361

Defensive0.81

Period 1· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.845	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	0	1.675	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.832

Period 2· 1.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.845	1.084	0.2	0.217
Takeaways	4	0.919	1.998	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	2	1.675	0.839	0.25	0.21

Σ contribution = 0.998

Period 3· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.604

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zygystar™ Barrie Blowouts - Central

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Period 1· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.258	0.519
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	2	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.841	0.076
Passes	7	5.47	3.2	0.08	0.478	0.038
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	0	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.999	-0.11
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.588 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.882, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+189

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	0.808	3.715	0.32	1.189
Shots	2	0.986	2.028	0.08	0.162
Saves	0	0.567	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.845	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.089	0.12	0.131
Passes	7	5.468	1.28	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.614 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.899 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.886 → ×100 = 188.56 → 189

Offensive1.81

Period 1· 1.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.093	0.4	0.784
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0.143	0.081	0.4	0.656

Σ contribution = 1.815

Defensive0.60

Period 1· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.845	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	2	1.675	0.839	0.25	0.21

Σ contribution = 0.602

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

skymicmac Barrie Blowouts - Central

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Period 1· 4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	4	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.459	-0.037
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	0	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.999	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.575 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.138, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.9

Period 2· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	5	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.146	-0.012
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	0	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.999	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.221 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.668, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+45

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	0.808	0.619	0.32	0.198
Shots	1	0.986	1.014	0.08	0.081
Saves	0	0.567	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.845	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	0.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	4.5	5.468	0.823	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.39 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.459 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.446 → ×100 = 44.57 → 45

Offensive0.40

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.566

Defensive0.47

Period 1· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1.845	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1.675	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 2· 0.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.845	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.326

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Vile Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	4	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.459	-0.037
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.502 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.247, then −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.258	0.519
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	4	0.99	1.21	0.09	2.5	0.225
Passes	1	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.396	-0.112
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	3	0.92	1.25	0.11	1.663	0.183

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.554 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.832, then −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Period 3· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.42	0.7	0.23	2.258	0.519
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	2	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.841	0.076
Passes	8	5.47	3.2	0.08	0.791	0.063
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	3	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.625	0.069
Takeaways	3	0.92	1.25	0.11	1.663	0.183

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.699 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.049, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	0.808	1.651	0.32	0.528
Shots	2	0.986	2.028	0.08	0.162
Saves	0	0.567	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.667	1.845	0.903	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	2.333	0.919	2.54	0.12	0.305
Passes	4.333	5.468	0.792	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.146 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.348 → ×100 = 134.83 → 135

Offensive0.85

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.093	0.4	0.774
Shooting %	0.5	0.425	0.2	0.235
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.105

Period 3· 1.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.093	0.4	0.728
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.199

Defensive0.80

Period 1· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.604

Period 2· 0.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	3	0.919	1.979	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	6	1.675	0.383	0.25	0.096

Σ contribution = 0.777

Period 3· 1.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	1.845	1.555	0.2	0.311
Takeaways	3	0.919	1.979	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.024

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kman Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Period 1· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.083	-0.087
Saves	1	0.57	1.17	0.19	0.368	0.07
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.21 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.685, then −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Period 2· 5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	4	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.459	-0.037
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	1	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.458	-0.05
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.247 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.629, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	0.808	1.238	0.32	0.396
Shots	0.5	0.986	0.507	0.08	0.041
Saves	0.5	0.567	0.881	0.15	0.132
Blocks	1	1.845	0.542	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	0	0.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	3	5.468	0.549	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.691 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.813 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.8 → ×100 = 79.94 → 80

Offensive1.62

Period 1· 1.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.093	0.4	0.774
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.5	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.622

Period 2· 1.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.093	0.4	0.774
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.081	0.4	0.788

Σ contribution = 1.609

Defensive0.58

Period 1· 0.76

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.567	1.642	0.3	0.493
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	1.675	0.383	0.25	0.096

Σ contribution = 0.763

Period 2· 0.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.845	0.571	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.392

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JPak32 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	5	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.146	-0.012
Saves	3	0.57	1.17	0.19	2.071	0.394
Blocks	3	1.85	1.85	0.11	0.625	0.069
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.127 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.191, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Period 2· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	4	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.459	-0.037
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	4	1.85	1.85	0.11	1.167	0.128
Takeaways	2	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.864	0.095

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.235 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.647, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Period 3· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.42	0.7	0.23	0.83	0.191
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	1	0.99	1.21	0.09	0.012	0.001
Passes	4	5.47	3.2	0.08	-0.459	-0.037
Saves	0	0.57	1.17	0.19	-0.483	-0.092
Blocks	0	1.85	1.85	0.11	-0.999	-0.11
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.246 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.63, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.808	0.413	0.32	0.132
Shots	0.333	0.986	0.338	0.08	0.027
Saves	1	0.567	1.762	0.15	0.264
Blocks	2.333	1.845	1.265	0.07	0.089
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.089	0.12	0.131
Passes	4.333	5.468	0.792	0.08	0.063
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.716 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.842 − 0.122 turnover penalty = 0.72 → ×100 = 72.02 → 72

Offensive0.35

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	1	0.425	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.566

Defensive0.88

Period 1· 1.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.567	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	3	1.845	1.555	0.2	0.311
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.329

Period 2· 0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	1.845	1.824	0.2	0.365
Takeaways	2	0.919	1.827	0.25	0.457
Goals conceded	6	1.675	0.383	0.25	0.096

Σ contribution = 0.99

Period 3· 0.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.567	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.845	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.326

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

RoboCreed05 Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Period 1· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.083	-0.087
Saves	1	0.57	1.17	0.19	0.368	0.07
Blocks	8	1.85	1.85	0.11	3.332	0.367
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.061 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.908, then +0.3 blocks, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Period 2· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	1	0.44	0.71	0.19	0.784	0.149
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	1	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.396	-0.112
Saves	1	0.57	1.17	0.19	0.368	0.07
Blocks	5	1.85	1.85	0.11	1.708	0.188
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.003 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.005, then −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Period 3· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	2	0.44	0.71	0.19	2.196	0.417
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.083	-0.087
Saves	3	0.57	1.17	0.19	2.071	0.394
Blocks	5	1.85	1.85	0.11	1.708	0.188
Takeaways	0	0.92	1.25	0.11	-0.734	-0.081

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.62 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.93, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.833	0.808	1.032	0.32	0.33
Shots	0	0.986	0	0.08	0
Saves	1.667	0.567	2.937	0.15	0.441
Blocks	6	1.845	3.252	0.07	0.228
Takeaways	0	0.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	1.667	5.468	0.305	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.043 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.227 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 1.214 → ×100 = 121.35 → 121

Offensive1.18

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.093	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.643

Period 3· 1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.093	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.081	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 1.648

Defensive1.11

Period 1· 1.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.567	1.642	0.3	0.493
Blocks	8	1.845	1.997	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.098

Period 2· 1.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.567	1.642	0.3	0.493
Blocks	5	1.845	1.937	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	1.675	0.383	0.25	0.096

Σ contribution = 1.036

Period 3· 1.19

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.567	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	5	1.845	1.937	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	0	0.919	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.193

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

drpecker Ottawa Valley Beer Leaguers

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Period 1· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.42	0.7	0.23	-0.598	-0.138
Assists	0	0.44	0.71	0.19	-0.627	-0.119
Shots	0	0.99	1.21	0.09	-0.818	-0.074
Passes	2	5.47	3.2	0.08	-1.083	-0.087
Saves	1	0.57	1.17	0.19	0.368	0.07
Blocks	4	1.85	1.85	0.11	1.167	0.128
Takeaways	1	0.92	1.25	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.212 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.683, then −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+66

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	0.808	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	0.986	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	0.567	1.762	0.15	0.264
Blocks	4	1.845	2.168	0.07	0.152
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.089	0.12	0.131
Passes	2	5.468	0.366	0.08	0.029
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.576 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.678 − 0.013 turnover penalty = 0.665 → ×100 = 66.43 → 66

Offensive0.24

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.093	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.425	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.081	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.28

Period 1· 1.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.567	1.642	0.3	0.493
Blocks	4	1.845	1.824	0.2	0.365
Takeaways	1	0.919	1.088	0.25	0.272
Goals conceded	3	1.675	0.585	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.276

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.