Hog Island Kraken Hogs vs Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

3–4Final

Oct 28, 2026 · Central B · The Squealing Strait

MVP LessThanDennis · 6.0 performance rating

Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 4, Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3 (regulation). This matchup saw the Ottawa Valley Golden Girls secure a victory in a regular season contest where the Hog Island Kraken Hogs entered with a 6-7 record and the Golden Girls sat at 5-7. The final score of 7 was a low-scoring game for Central B, falling below the division median of 13 goals.

The first period proved to be the decisive frame for the outcome. The Ottawa Valley Golden Girls took a 2-1 lead into the break, outscoring the Hog Island Kraken Hogs 2 to 1. While the Hogs managed to level the score 2-2 in the second period, the Golden Girls reclaimed the lead in the final frame to secure the win.

LessThanDennis led the way for the Golden Girls, finishing with a 6.0 perf and a 94.42 Pucker+ rating after recording 3 goals and 2 blocks. On the other side, thebakerguy1 provided a solid effort for the Hogs with a 5.93 perf, contributing 1 goal, 1 assist, 2 saves, and 3 blocks.

Player of the Game: LessThanDennis

Hog Island Kraken HogsvsOttawa Valley Golden Girls

5Shots38

4Saves22

6Faceoffs won24

12Takeaways315

15Turnovers↓312

8Blocks1220

74Passes767

2:50Possession1:031:47

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Ottawa Valley Golden Girls gained 7 points in period 3.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

LessThanDennisaway+6.39
Altohome+4.79
JG Wentworth 877-Cash-Nowhome+2.40
Kavorkaaway+0.85
Noob_Weaponsaway+0.60
Dionysusaway−0.60
TheBakerGuyhome−7.20
illumix22home−7.22

Signed percentage points · model fit on 335 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Hog Island Kraken HogsOttawa Valley Golden Girls

1st

Possession

1:040:39

Shots: 13
Faceoffs won: 22
Blocks: 47

thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22

LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka

2nd

Possession

1:020:37

Shots: 32
Faceoffs won: 20
Blocks: 26

thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22

LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka

3rd

Possession

0:440:31

Shots: 13
Faceoffs won: 22
Blocks: 27

thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22

LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hog Island Kraken Hogs

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
illumix22	1	1	2	1	0	2	0	2	3	0	19	0:35	61	0.76	0.58
Alto	1	0	1	2	2	1	1	4	7	5	16	1:04	65	0.36	1.07
JG Wentworth	0	1	1	0	0	2	0	2	3	0	19	0:14	41	0.62	0.57
thebakerguy1	1	1	2	2	2	1	3	4	2	3	20	0:57	94	0.75	1.05

Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Noob_Weapons	1	0	1	1	0	1	4	3	3	2	12	0	0:22	42	0.48	0.77
LessThanDennis	3	0	3	4	0	2	1	4	2	2	17	1	0:15	95	0.91	0.76
Kavorka	0	2	2	2	0	1	1	4	2	4	22	0	0:19	76	1.05	0.90
Dionysus	0	1	1	1	2	0	0	4	5	12	16	0	0:51	77	0.47	1.24

illumix22 Hog Island Kraken Hogs

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Period 1· 5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	9	5.95	2.91	0.08	1.049	0.084
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.292 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.562, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Period 2· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	5	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.327	-0.026
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.684 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.973, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.0

Period 3· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.41	0.67	0.23	0.882	0.203
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	5	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.327	-0.026
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	2	1.16	1.28	0.11	0.66	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.094 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.86, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	0.777	0.858	0.32	0.275
Shots	0.333	0.95	0.351	0.08	0.028
Saves	0	0.545	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.838	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0.667	1.156	0.577	0.12	0.069
Passes	6.333	5.949	1.065	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.517 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.608 → ×100 = 60.84 → 61

Offensive0.76

Period 1· 0.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.071	0.09	0.4	0.318
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.111	0.072	0.4	0.6

Σ contribution = 0.966

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.08

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.09	0.4	0.61
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.08

Defensive0.58

Period 1· 0.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.384

Period 2· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1.632	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 3· 0.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	2	1.156	1.623	0.25	0.406
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.73

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Alto Hog Island Kraken Hogs

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	5	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.327	-0.026
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	4	1.84	1.74	0.11	1.241	0.137
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.432 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.352, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.1

Period 2· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.41	0.67	0.23	0.882	0.203
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	2	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.905	0.081
Passes	7	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.361	0.029
Saves	1	0.55	0.94	0.19	0.484	0.092
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.218 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.328, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.3

Period 3· 5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	4	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.67	-0.054
Saves	1	0.55	0.94	0.19	0.484	0.092
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	3	1.16	1.28	0.11	1.443	0.159

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.251 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.623, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Pucker+65

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.777	0.429	0.32	0.137
Shots	0.667	0.95	0.701	0.08	0.056
Saves	0.667	0.545	1.223	0.15	0.183
Blocks	1.667	1.838	0.907	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	1.333	1.156	1.153	0.12	0.138
Passes	5.333	5.949	0.896	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.681 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.801 − 0.153 turnover penalty = 0.648 → ×100 = 64.79 → 65

Offensive0.36

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.09	0.4	0.281
Shooting %	0.5	0.426	0.2	0.234
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.611

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.07

Period 1· 0.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	1.838	1.826	0.2	0.365
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.701

Period 2· 1.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.545	1.683	0.3	0.505
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	0	1.632	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.276

Period 3· 1.24

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.545	1.683	0.3	0.505
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	1.156	1.921	0.25	0.48
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 1.237

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JG Wentworth Hog Island Kraken Hogs

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	5	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.327	-0.026
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.598 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.102, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Period 2· 5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	10	5.95	2.91	0.08	1.393	0.111
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.264 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.603, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Period 3· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	4	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.67	-0.054
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.626 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.061, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Pucker+41

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.777	0.429	0.32	0.137
Shots	0	0.95	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	0.545	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	1.838	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0.667	1.156	0.577	0.12	0.069
Passes	6.333	5.949	1.065	0.08	0.085
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.352 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.414 → ×100 = 41.38 → 41

Offensive0.62

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.40

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.09	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.072	0.4	0.55

Σ contribution = 1.397

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.57

Period 1· 0.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.54

Period 2· 0.62

Stat	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1.632	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.62

Period 3· 0.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.54

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

thebakerguy1 Hog Island Kraken Hogs

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Period 1· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.41	0.67	0.23	0.882	0.203
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	8	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.705	0.056
Saves	1	0.55	0.94	0.19	0.484	0.092
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.105 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.158, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.4

Period 2· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	8	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.705	0.056
Saves	1	0.55	0.94	0.19	0.484	0.092
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	2	1.16	1.28	0.11	0.66	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.087 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.87, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Period 3· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	4	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.67	-0.054
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	2	1.84	1.74	0.11	0.093	0.01
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.217 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.674, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.7

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	0.777	0.858	0.32	0.275
Shots	0.667	0.95	0.701	0.08	0.056
Saves	0.667	0.545	1.223	0.15	0.183
Blocks	1	1.838	0.544	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	1.333	1.156	1.153	0.12	0.138
Passes	6.667	5.949	1.121	0.08	0.09
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.795 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.936 → ×100 = 93.57 → 94

Offensive0.75

Period 1· 0.74

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.09	0.4	0.266
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.736

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.09	0.4	0.443
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.25	0.072	0.4	0.794

Σ contribution = 1.286

Defensive1.05

Period 1· 0.97

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.545	1.683	0.3	0.505
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.973

Period 2· 1.47

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.545	1.683	0.3	0.505
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	2	1.156	1.623	0.25	0.406
Goals conceded	0	1.632	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.466

Period 3· 0.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.838	1.088	0.2	0.218
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	2	1.632	0.818	0.25	0.204

Σ contribution = 0.71

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Noob_Weapons Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Period 1· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.41	0.67	0.23	0.882	0.203
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	6	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.017	0.001
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.089 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.867, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Period 2· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	2	5.95	2.91	0.08	-1.358	-0.109
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.618 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.073, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Period 3· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	4	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.67	-0.054
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.626 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.061, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Pucker+42

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.777	0.429	0.32	0.137
Shots	0.333	0.95	0.351	0.08	0.028
Saves	0	0.545	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0.667	1.838	0.363	0.07	0.025
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.865	0.12	0.104
Passes	4	5.949	0.672	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.36 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.424 → ×100 = 42.4 → 42

Offensive0.48

Period 1· 0.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.09	0.4	0.491
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.961

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.77

Period 1· 0.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.793

Period 2· 0.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.793

Period 3· 0.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.726

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LessThanDennis Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Period 1· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.41	0.67	0.23	0.882	0.203
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	9	5.95	2.91	0.08	1.049	0.084
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.093 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.861, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1

Period 2· 4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	2	5.95	2.91	0.08	-1.358	-0.109
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	0	1.84	1.74	0.11	-1.055	-0.116
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.689 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.966, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.8

Period 3· 7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.41	0.67	0.23	2.366	0.544
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	2	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.905	0.081
Passes	6	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.017	0.001
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	4	1.16	1.28	0.11	2.225	0.245

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.588 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.882, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	0.777	1.288	0.32	0.412
Shots	1.333	0.95	1.403	0.08	0.112
Saves	0	0.545	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0.667	1.838	0.363	0.07	0.025
Takeaways	1.333	1.156	1.153	0.12	0.138
Passes	5.667	5.949	0.952	0.08	0.076
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.804 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.946 → ×100 = 94.62 → 95

Offensive0.91

Period 1· 1.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.09	0.4	0.778
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.248

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.222	0.09	0.4	0.759
Shooting %	1	0.426	0.2	0.375
Assists per pass	0	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.229

Defensive0.76

Period 1· 0.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.637

Period 2· 0.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	1.838	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.57

Period 3· 1.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	4	1.156	1.986	0.25	0.496
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 1.073

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kavorka Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Period 1· 5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	10	5.95	2.91	0.08	1.393	0.111
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	2	1.16	1.28	0.11	0.66	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.048 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.073, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Period 2· 5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	6	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.017	0.001
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	2	1.84	1.74	0.11	0.093	0.01
Takeaways	2	1.16	1.28	0.11	0.66	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.281 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.579, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Period 3· 5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	6	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.017	0.001
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	1	1.84	1.74	0.11	-0.481	-0.053
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.311 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.533, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5

Pucker+76

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	0.777	0.858	0.32	0.275
Shots	0.667	0.95	0.701	0.08	0.056
Saves	0	0.545	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.333	1.838	0.726	0.07	0.051
Takeaways	1.333	1.156	1.153	0.12	0.138
Passes	7.333	5.949	1.233	0.08	0.099
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.649 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.763 → ×100 = 76.31 → 76

Offensive1.05

Period 1· 1.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.09	0.4	0.736
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.072	0.4	0.55

Σ contribution = 1.333

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 1.59

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.09	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.072	0.4	0.747

Σ contribution = 1.591

Defensive0.90

Period 1· 0.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	2	1.156	1.623	0.25	0.406
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.983

Period 2· 1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	1.838	1.088	0.2	0.218
Takeaways	2	1.156	1.623	0.25	0.406
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 1.086

Period 3· 0.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	1.838	0.573	0.2	0.115
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 0.637

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Dionysus Ottawa Valley Golden Girls

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	1	0.43	0.67	0.19	0.852	0.162
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	8	5.95	2.91	0.08	0.705	0.056
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	4	1.84	1.74	0.11	1.241	0.137
Takeaways	3	1.16	1.28	0.11	1.443	0.159

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.191 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.287, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.3

Period 2· 5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	0	0.95	1.16	0.09	-0.819	-0.074
Passes	5	5.95	2.91	0.08	-0.327	-0.026
Saves	2	0.55	0.94	0.19	1.549	0.294
Blocks	3	1.84	1.74	0.11	0.667	0.073
Takeaways	0	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.905	-0.1

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.091 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.864, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.9

Period 3· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.41	0.67	0.23	-0.601	-0.138
Assists	0	0.43	0.67	0.19	-0.635	-0.121
Shots	1	0.95	1.16	0.09	0.043	0.004
Passes	3	5.95	2.91	0.08	-1.014	-0.081
Saves	0	0.55	0.94	0.19	-0.58	-0.11
Blocks	5	1.84	1.74	0.11	1.815	0.2
Takeaways	1	1.16	1.28	0.11	-0.122	-0.013

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.26 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.61, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	0.777	0.429	0.32	0.137
Shots	0.333	0.95	0.351	0.08	0.028
Saves	0.667	0.545	1.223	0.15	0.183
Blocks	4	1.838	2.177	0.07	0.152
Takeaways	1.333	1.156	1.153	0.12	0.138
Passes	5.333	5.949	0.896	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.711 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.837 − 0.066 turnover penalty = 0.771 → ×100 = 77.06 → 77

Offensive0.47

Period 1· 0.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.09	0.4	0.224
Shooting %	0	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.125	0.072	0.4	0.652

Σ contribution = 0.924

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.09	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.426	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.072	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.24

Period 1· 1.31

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	1.838	1.826	0.2	0.365
Takeaways	3	1.156	1.921	0.25	0.48
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 1.307

Period 2· 1.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.545	1.99	0.3	0.597
Blocks	3	1.838	1.56	0.2	0.312
Takeaways	0	1.156	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 1.359

Period 3· 1.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.545	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	5	1.838	1.938	0.2	0.388
Takeaways	1	1.156	0.866	0.25	0.216
Goals conceded	1	1.632	1.559	0.25	0.39

Σ contribution = 1.066

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.