Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3– 4 Ottawa Valley Golden Girls
Hog Island Kraken Hogs vs Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 5 Shots 3 8
Alto 2 thebakerguy1 2 illumix22 1 4 LessThanDennis 2 Kavorka 1 Noob_Weapons 1 Dionysus 4 Saves 2 2
Alto 2 thebakerguy1 2 2 Dionysus 6 Faceoffs won 2 4
illumix22 2 JG Wentworth 2 Alto 1 thebakerguy1 1 2 LessThanDennis 1 Noob_Weapons 1 Kavorka 12 Takeaways 3 15
Alto 4 thebakerguy1 4 illumix22 2 JG Wentworth 2 4 LessThanDennis 4 Kavorka 4 Dionysus 3 Noob_Weapons 15 Turnovers↓ 3 12
Alto 7 illumix22 3 JG Wentworth 3 thebakerguy1 2 5 Dionysus 3 Noob_Weapons 2 LessThanDennis 2 Kavorka 8 Blocks 12 20
Alto 5 thebakerguy1 3 12 Dionysus 4 Kavorka 2 Noob_Weapons 2 LessThanDennis 74 Passes 7 67
thebakerguy1 20 illumix22 19 JG Wentworth 19 Alto 16 22 Kavorka 17 LessThanDennis 16 Dionysus 12 Noob_Weapons 2:50 Possession 1:03 1:47
Alto 1:04 thebakerguy1 0:57 illumix22 0:35 JG Wentworth 0:14 0:51 Dionysus 0:22 Noob_Weapons 0:19 Kavorka 0:15 LessThanDennis Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Ottawa Valley Golden Girls gained 7 points in period 1.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Hog Island Kraken Hogs Ottawa Valley Golden Girls
1st
1 – 2
Possession
1:04 0:39
Shots 1 · 3
Faceoffs won 2 · 2
Blocks 4 · 7 thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22
LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka
2nd
1 – 0
Possession
1:02 0:37
Shots 3 · 2
Faceoffs won 2 · 0
Blocks 2 · 6 thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22
LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka
3rd
1 – 2
Possession
0:44 0:31
Shots 1 · 3
Faceoffs won 2 · 2
Blocks 2 · 7 thebakerguy1, Alto, JG Wentworth, illumix22
LessThanDennis, Dionysus, Noob_Weapons, Kavorka
Ottawa Valley Golden Girls
illumix22 Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.6 Period 1· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.294 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.558, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6
Period 2· 5.0 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.686 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.972, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.0
Period 3· 6.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.095 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.858, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1
Pucker+ 61 Σ 0.516 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.607 → ×100 = 60.73 → 61
Offensive 0.76 Period 1· 0.96 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 1.08 Defensive 0.58 Period 1· 0.39 Period 2· 0.62 Period 3· 0.73
Alto Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.7 Period 1· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.433 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.351, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.1
Period 2· 6.3 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.216 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.324, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.3
Period 3· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.252 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.622, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6
Pucker+ 64 Σ 0.679 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.799 − 0.154 turnover penalty = 0.645 → ×100 = 64.49 → 64
Offensive 0.36 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 0.61 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.07 Period 1· 0.70 Period 2· 1.27 Period 3· 1.24
JG Wentworth Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.3 Period 1· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.599 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.101, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1
Period 2· 5.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.267 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.6, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6
Period 3· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.627 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.06, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1
Pucker+ 41 Σ 0.351 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.413 → ×100 = 41.35 → 41
Offensive 0.62 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.40 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.57 Period 1· 0.54 Period 2· 0.62 Period 3· 0.54
thebakerguy1 Hog Island Kraken Hogs 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.9 Period 1· 6.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.103 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.154, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.4
Period 2· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.088 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.869, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7
Period 3· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.219 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.671, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.7
Pucker+ 93 Σ 0.793 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.933 → ×100 = 93.32 → 93
Offensive 0.75 Period 1· 0.74 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 1.29 Defensive 1.05 Period 1· 0.97 Period 2· 1.47 Period 3· 0.71
Noob_Weapons Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.4 Period 1· 6.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.091 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.864, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1
Period 2· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.619 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.072, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1
Period 3· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.627 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.06, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1
Pucker+ 42 Σ 0.36 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.424 → ×100 = 42.36 → 42
Offensive 0.48 Period 1· 0.96 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.77 Period 1· 0.80 Period 2· 0.80 Period 3· 0.73
LessThanDennis Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.0 Period 1· 6.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.095 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.858, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.1
Period 2· 4.8 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.691 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.964, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.8
Period 3· 7.1 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.586 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.88, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1
Pucker+ 94 Σ 0.803 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.944 → ×100 = 94.42 → 94
Offensive 0.91 Period 1· 1.25 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 1.23 Defensive 0.76 Period 1· 0.64 Period 2· 0.57 Period 3· 1.07
Kavorka Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.6 Period 1· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.047 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.07, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9
Period 2· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.281 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.578, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4
Period 3· 5.5 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.314 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.529, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5
Pucker+ 76 Σ 0.648 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.762 → ×100 = 76.2 → 76
Offensive 1.05 Period 1· 1.33 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 1.59 Defensive 0.90 Period 1· 0.98 Period 2· 1.09 Period 3· 0.64
Dionysus Ottawa Valley Golden Girls 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.8 Period 1· 6.3 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.19 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.285, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.3
Period 2· 5.9 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.093 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.861, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.9
Period 3· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.261 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.609, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1
Pucker+ 77 Σ 0.71 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.835 − 0.067 turnover penalty = 0.768 → ×100 = 76.81 → 77
Offensive 0.47 Period 1· 0.92 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.25 Period 1· 1.31 Period 2· 1.36 Period 3· 1.07 
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