Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers vs Boston Bahds

6–7Final

Oct 29, 2026 · Intermediate Division · Lester's Egg Emporium

MVP BroBurgota · 7.2 performance rating

Boston Bahds 7, Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers 6 (overtime). This matchup saw the Boston Bahds secure a victory in a regular season contest where the Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers entered 8-4 and the Boston Bahds entered 8-5. The final score of 13 goals represents a typical Intermediate Division scoreline, sitting just above the division median of 12.

The game was decided in the third period, which saw the Boston Bahds outscore the Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers 3-1 to push the match into overtime. During this decisive frame, dxmxnz netted 2 goals while dvyr added 1 goal and 1 assist. This surge allowed the Bahds to overcome the Slappers' 5-4 lead from the second period.

BroBurgota led the Slappers with a 7.2 perf, recording 3 goals, 1 assist, 9 saves, and 12 blocks. On the other side, dxmxnz tallied 6 goals for the Bahds. The Slappers also celebrated a milestone as EggsThink recorded their career 1000th goal during the match.

Player of the Game: BroBurgota

Ottawa Valley Puck SlappersvsBoston Bahds

11Shots617

10Saves55

6Faceoffs won28

23Takeaways518

18Turnovers↓523

20Blocks2040

62Passes769

2:13Possession0:553:08

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Boston Bahds gained 14 points in period 3.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

dvyraway+4.82
Dagahome+2.40
dxmxnzaway+2.30
Ademy24away+2.18
kill.Cancerhome0.00
BroBurgotahome−0.01
napqleonaway−2.06
EggsThinkhome−9.63

Signed percentage points · model fit on 335 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Ottawa Valley Puck SlappersBoston Bahds

1st

Possession

0:330:45

Shots: 33
Faceoffs won: 13
Blocks: 1010

Patalie Nortman, BroBurgota, EggsThink

dxmxnz, Ademy24, napqleon

2nd

Possession

0:380:46

Shots: 56
Faceoffs won: 23
Blocks: 511

Patalie Nortman, BroBurgota, EggsThink

dxmxnz, Ademy24, napqleon

3rdOT

Possession

1:021:37

Shots: 38
Faceoffs won: 32
Blocks: 519

BroBurgota, EggsThink, Kill Cancer

dxmxnz, Ademy24, dvyr

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Kill Cancer	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	3	0	9	0:13	29	0.24	0.78
BroBurgota	3	1	4	5	9	2	1	13	6	12	12	1:28	180	0.70	1.48
EggsThink	2	0	2	5	0	1	3	6	6	4	31	0:29	63	0.48	0.78
Patalie Nortman	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	4	10	0:03	47	0.75	0.81

Boston Bahds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Ademy24	0	4	4	1	5	2	1	6	2	25	16	0	1:15	137	1.03	1.51
dxmxnz	6	0	6	12	0	5	1	5	13	11	32	0	0:39	94	0.86	0.97
napqleon	0	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	1	14	0	0:09	38	0.94	0.43
dvyr	1	1	2	4	0	0	2	7	5	3	7	1	1:05	136	0.83	1.26

Kill Cancer Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Period 1· 4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	9	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.812	0.065
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	0	2.4	1.88	0.11	-1.275	-0.14
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.48	0.11	1.219	0.134

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.519 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.221, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+29

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	1.337	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	1.53	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	0.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	2.396	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	1.196	2.509	0.12	0.301
Passes	9	6.639	1.356	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.44 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.517 − 0.229 turnover penalty = 0.288 → ×100 = 28.82 → 29

Offensive0.24

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 0.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.396	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	1.196	1.907	0.25	0.477
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 0.783

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

BroBurgota Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Period 1· 6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.74	0.9	0.23	0.289	0.067
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	1	1.53	1.39	0.09	-0.383	-0.034
Passes	3	6.64	2.91	0.08	-1.253	-0.1
Saves	1	0.79	1.14	0.19	0.183	0.035
Blocks	5	2.4	1.88	0.11	1.385	0.152
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.132	-0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.054 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.919, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2

Period 2· 8.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.74	0.9	0.23	1.398	0.321
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	3	1.53	1.39	0.09	1.061	0.095
Passes	3	6.64	2.91	0.08	-1.253	-0.1
Saves	3	0.79	1.14	0.19	1.933	0.367
Blocks	3	2.4	1.88	0.11	0.321	0.035
Takeaways	7	1.2	1.48	0.11	3.922	0.431

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.992 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.488, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.4

Period 3· 7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	1	0.66	0.79	0.19	0.426	0.081
Shots	1	1.53	1.39	0.09	-0.383	-0.034
Passes	6	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.22	-0.018
Saves	5	0.79	1.14	0.19	3.683	0.7
Blocks	4	2.4	1.88	0.11	0.853	0.094
Takeaways	5	1.2	1.48	0.11	2.57	0.283

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.917 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.375, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.0

Pucker+180

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	1.337	0.997	0.32	0.319
Shots	1.667	1.53	1.089	0.08	0.087
Saves	3	0.791	3.792	0.15	0.569
Blocks	4	2.396	1.669	0.07	0.117
Takeaways	4.333	1.196	3.624	0.12	0.435
Passes	4	6.639	0.602	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.615 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.9 − 0.103 turnover penalty = 1.797 → ×100 = 179.73 → 180

Offensive0.70

Period 1· 0.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.111	0.4	0.216
Shooting %	1	0.483	0.2	0.358
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.669

Period 2· 0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.061	0.111	0.4	0.231
Shooting %	0.667	0.483	0.2	0.273
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.599

Period 3· 0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.111	0.4	0.145
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.1	0.4	0.634

Σ contribution = 0.827

Defensive1.48

Period 1· 1.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.791	1.258	0.3	0.377
Blocks	5	2.396	1.796	0.2	0.359
Takeaways	1	1.196	0.838	0.25	0.209
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 1.222

Period 2· 1.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.791	1.993	0.3	0.598
Blocks	3	2.396	1.247	0.2	0.249
Takeaways	7	1.196	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 1.624

Period 3· 1.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	0.791	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	4	2.396	1.584	0.2	0.317
Takeaways	5	1.196	1.997	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 1.602

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

EggsThink Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Period 1· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.74	0.9	0.23	0.289	0.067
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	2	1.53	1.39	0.09	0.339	0.031
Passes	5	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.564	-0.045
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	2	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.211	-0.023
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.48	0.11	1.219	0.134

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.127 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.809, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Period 2· 4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	1	1.53	1.39	0.09	-0.383	-0.034
Passes	7	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	1	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.743	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.808	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.674 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.99, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.8

Period 3· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.74	0.9	0.23	0.289	0.067
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	2	1.53	1.39	0.09	0.339	0.031
Passes	19	6.64	2.91	0.08	4.254	0.34
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	1	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.743	-0.082
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.48	0.11	1.219	0.134

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.2 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.299, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+63

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.337	0.499	0.32	0.16
Shots	1.667	1.53	1.089	0.08	0.087
Saves	0	0.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.333	2.396	0.556	0.07	0.039
Takeaways	2	1.196	1.673	0.12	0.201
Passes	10.333	6.639	1.556	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.626 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.736 − 0.103 turnover penalty = 0.633 → ×100 = 63.37 → 63

Offensive0.48

Period 1· 0.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.077	0.111	0.4	0.282
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.584

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.111	0.4	0.303
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.606

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.396	0.836	0.2	0.167
Takeaways	3	1.196	1.907	0.25	0.477
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.993

Period 2· 0.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.396	0.475	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.196	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.504

Period 3· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.396	0.475	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	3	1.196	1.907	0.25	0.477
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 0.83

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Patalie Nortman Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	6	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.22	-0.018
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	3	2.4	1.88	0.11	0.321	0.035
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.132	-0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.575 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.138, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Period 2· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.74	0.9	0.23	0.289	0.067
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	1	1.53	1.39	0.09	-0.383	-0.034
Passes	4	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.908	-0.073
Saves	1	0.79	1.14	0.19	0.183	0.035
Blocks	1	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.743	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.808	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.335 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.497, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+47

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	1.337	0.374	0.32	0.12
Shots	0.5	1.53	0.327	0.08	0.026
Saves	0.5	0.791	0.632	0.15	0.095
Blocks	2	2.396	0.835	0.07	0.058
Takeaways	0.5	1.196	0.418	0.12	0.05
Passes	5	6.639	0.753	0.08	0.06
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.429 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.505 − 0.039 turnover penalty = 0.466 → ×100 = 46.58 → 47

Offensive0.75

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.111	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	1	0.483	0.2	0.358
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.253

Defensive0.81

Period 1· 0.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.396	1.247	0.2	0.249
Takeaways	1	1.196	0.838	0.25	0.209
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.807

Period 2· 0.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.791	1.258	0.3	0.377
Blocks	1	2.396	0.475	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.196	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.809

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ademy24 Boston Bahds

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Period 1· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	1	0.66	0.79	0.19	0.426	0.081
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	6	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.22	-0.018
Saves	1	0.79	1.14	0.19	0.183	0.035
Blocks	7	2.4	1.88	0.11	2.449	0.269
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.132	-0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.065 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.098, then +0.3 blocks → 6.4

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	1	0.66	0.79	0.19	0.426	0.081
Shots	1	1.53	1.39	0.09	-0.383	-0.034
Passes	3	6.64	2.91	0.08	-1.253	-0.1
Saves	2	0.79	1.14	0.19	1.058	0.201
Blocks	8	2.4	1.88	0.11	2.981	0.328
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.48	0.11	1.895	0.208

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.495 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.743, then +0.3 blocks, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Period 3· 7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	2	0.66	0.79	0.19	1.686	0.32
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	7	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	2	0.79	1.14	0.19	1.058	0.201
Blocks	10	2.4	1.88	0.11	4.045	0.445
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.132	-0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.674 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.011, then +0.3 blocks → 7.3

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.167	1.337	0.873	0.32	0.279
Shots	0.333	1.53	0.218	0.08	0.017
Saves	1.667	0.791	2.107	0.15	0.316
Blocks	8.333	2.396	3.477	0.07	0.243
Takeaways	2	1.196	1.673	0.12	0.201
Passes	5.333	6.639	0.803	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.161 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.366 → ×100 = 136.59 → 137

Offensive1.03

Period 1· 0.84

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.111	0.4	0.159
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.1	0.4	0.634

Σ contribution = 0.841

Period 2· 1.01

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.037	0.111	0.4	0.167
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.333	0.1	0.4	0.793

Σ contribution = 1.008

Period 3· 1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.111	0.4	0.402
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.286	0.1	0.4	0.781

Σ contribution = 1.231

Defensive1.51

Period 1· 1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.791	1.258	0.3	0.377
Blocks	7	2.396	1.958	0.2	0.392
Takeaways	1	1.196	0.838	0.25	0.209
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 1.255

Period 2· 1.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.791	1.91	0.3	0.573
Blocks	8	2.396	1.982	0.2	0.396
Takeaways	4	1.196	1.982	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 1.65

Period 3· 1.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.791	1.91	0.3	0.573
Blocks	10	2.396	1.996	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	1	1.196	0.838	0.25	0.209
Goals conceded	1	2.22	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.621

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dxmxnz Boston Bahds

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.74	0.9	0.23	1.398	0.321
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	3	1.53	1.39	0.09	1.061	0.095
Passes	11	6.64	2.91	0.08	1.501	0.12
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	2	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.211	-0.023
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.132	-0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.209 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.314, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Period 2· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.74	0.9	0.23	1.398	0.321
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	5	1.53	1.39	0.09	2.504	0.225
Passes	13	6.64	2.91	0.08	2.189	0.175
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	3	2.4	1.88	0.11	0.321	0.035
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.48	0.11	0.543	0.06

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.527 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.79, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Period 3· 6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.74	0.9	0.23	1.398	0.321
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	4	1.53	1.39	0.09	1.783	0.16
Passes	8	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.468	0.037
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	6	2.4	1.88	0.11	1.917	0.211
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.48	0.11	0.543	0.06

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.5 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.75, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.5

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.337	1.496	0.32	0.479
Shots	4	1.53	2.614	0.08	0.209
Saves	0	0.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3.667	2.396	1.53	0.07	0.107
Takeaways	1.667	1.196	1.394	0.12	0.167
Passes	10.667	6.639	1.607	0.08	0.129
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.141 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.342 − 0.397 turnover penalty = 0.945 → ×100 = 94.47 → 94

Offensive0.86

Period 1· 1.04

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.111	0.4	0.667
Shooting %	0.667	0.483	0.2	0.273
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.036

Period 2· 0.74

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.111	0.4	0.481
Shooting %	0.4	0.483	0.2	0.166
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.742

Period 3· 0.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.111	0.4	0.513
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.816

Defensive0.97

Period 1· 0.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.396	0.836	0.2	0.167
Takeaways	1	1.196	0.838	0.25	0.209
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.725

Period 2· 0.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.396	1.247	0.2	0.249
Takeaways	2	1.196	1.587	0.25	0.397
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 0.904

Period 3· 1.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	2.396	1.906	0.2	0.381
Takeaways	2	1.196	1.587	0.25	0.397
Goals conceded	1	2.22	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.29

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

napqleon Boston Bahds

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	0	0.66	0.79	0.19	-0.835	-0.159
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	9	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.812	0.065
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	1	2.4	1.88	0.11	-0.743	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.808	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.684 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.975, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.0

Period 2· 5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.74	0.9	0.23	-0.819	-0.188
Assists	2	0.66	0.79	0.19	1.686	0.32
Shots	0	1.53	1.39	0.09	-1.104	-0.099
Passes	5	6.64	2.91	0.08	-0.564	-0.045
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	0	2.4	1.88	0.11	-1.275	-0.14
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.48	0.11	-0.808	-0.089

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.373 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.44, then −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+38

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	1.337	0.748	0.32	0.239
Shots	0	1.53	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	0.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0.5	2.396	0.209	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	0	1.196	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	6.639	1.054	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.358 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.422 − 0.039 turnover penalty = 0.383 → ×100 = 38.21 → 38

Offensive0.94

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.111	0.4	0.799
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.4	0.1	0.4	0.798

Σ contribution = 1.645

Defensive0.43

Period 1· 0.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.396	0.475	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.196	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.22	1.11	0.25	0.277

Σ contribution = 0.504

Period 2· 0.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.396	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.196	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.22	0.746	0.25	0.186

Σ contribution = 0.366

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dvyr Boston Bahds

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Period 1· 6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.74	0.9	0.23	0.289	0.067
Assists	1	0.66	0.79	0.19	0.426	0.081
Shots	4	1.53	1.39	0.09	1.783	0.16
Passes	7	6.64	2.91	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	0	0.79	1.14	0.19	-0.692	-0.132
Blocks	3	2.4	1.88	0.11	0.321	0.035
Takeaways	7	1.2	1.48	0.11	3.922	0.431

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.653 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.979, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+136

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.337	1.496	0.32	0.479
Shots	4	1.53	2.614	0.08	0.209
Saves	0	0.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	2.396	1.252	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	7	1.196	5.854	0.12	0.702
Passes	7	6.639	1.054	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.562 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.838 − 0.482 turnover penalty = 1.356 → ×100 = 135.65 → 136

Offensive0.83

Period 1· 0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.031	0.111	0.4	0.153
Shooting %	0.25	0.483	0.2	0.11
Assists per pass	0.143	0.1	0.4	0.563

Σ contribution = 0.826

Defensive1.26

Period 1· 1.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.791	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.396	1.247	0.2	0.249
Takeaways	7	1.196	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	1	2.22	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.261

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.