Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers vs Boston Bahds

6–7Final

Oct 29, 2026 · Intermediate Division · Lester's Egg Emporium

MVP BroBurgota · 7.2 performance rating

Boston Bahds 7, Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers 6 (overtime). This matchup saw the Boston Bahds secure a victory in a regular season contest where the Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers entered 8-4 and the Boston Bahds entered 8-5. The final score of 13 goals represents a typical Intermediate Division scoreline, sitting just above the division median of 12.

The game was decided in the third period, which saw the Boston Bahds outscore the Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers 3-1 to push the match into overtime. During this decisive frame, dxmxnz netted 2 goals while dvyr added 1 goal and 1 assist. This surge allowed the Bahds to overcome the Slappers' 5-4 lead from the second period.

BroBurgota led the Slappers with a 7.2 perf, recording 3 goals, 1 assist, 9 saves, and 12 blocks. On the other side, dxmxnz tallied 6 goals for the Bahds. The Slappers also celebrated a milestone as EggsThink recorded their career 1000th goal during the match.

Player of the Game: BroBurgota

Ottawa Valley Puck SlappersvsBoston Bahds

11Shots617

10Saves55

6Faceoffs won28

23Takeaways518

18Turnovers↓523

20Blocks2040

62Passes769

2:13Possession0:553:08

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Boston Bahds gained 14 points in period 3.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

dvyraway+4.57
Dagahome+2.31
dxmxnzaway+2.13
Ademy24away+2.06
BroBurgotahome+0.06
kill.Cancerhome0.00
napqleonaway−1.98
EggsThinkhome−9.14

Signed percentage points · model fit on 325 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Ottawa Valley Puck SlappersBoston Bahds

1st

Possession

0:330:45

Shots: 33
Faceoffs won: 13
Blocks: 1010

Patalie Nortman, BroBurgota, EggsThink

dxmxnz, Ademy24, napqleon

2nd

Possession

0:380:46

Shots: 56
Faceoffs won: 23
Blocks: 511

Patalie Nortman, BroBurgota, EggsThink

dxmxnz, Ademy24, napqleon

3rdOT

Possession

1:021:37

Shots: 38
Faceoffs won: 32
Blocks: 519

BroBurgota, EggsThink, Kill Cancer

dxmxnz, Ademy24, dvyr

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Kill Cancer	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	3	0	9	0:13	29	0.24	0.78
BroBurgota	3	1	4	5	9	2	1	13	6	12	12	1:28	180	0.70	1.48
EggsThink	2	0	2	5	0	1	3	6	6	4	31	0:29	64	0.48	0.77
Patalie Nortman	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	1	3	4	10	0:03	47	0.75	0.81

Boston Bahds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Ademy24	0	4	4	1	5	2	1	6	2	25	16	0	1:15	136	1.03	1.51
dxmxnz	6	0	6	12	0	5	1	5	13	11	32	0	0:39	96	0.87	0.97
napqleon	0	2	2	0	0	1	2	0	3	1	14	0	0:09	39	0.94	0.43
dvyr	1	1	2	4	0	0	2	7	5	3	7	1	1:05	136	0.83	1.26

Kill Cancer Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Period 1· 4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	9	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.817	0.065
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	0	2.41	1.89	0.11	-1.276	-0.14
Takeaways	3	1.22	1.49	0.11	1.191	0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.526 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.21, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+29

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	1.331	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	1.519	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	0.785	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	2.413	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	1.222	2.455	0.12	0.295
Passes	9	6.644	1.355	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.433 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.509 − 0.221 turnover penalty = 0.288 → ×100 = 28.85 → 29

Offensive0.24

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.78

Period 1· 0.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.413	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	1.222	1.897	0.25	0.474
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 0.779

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

BroBurgota Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Period 1· 6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.73	0.89	0.23	0.3	0.069
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	1	1.52	1.36	0.09	-0.382	-0.034
Passes	3	6.64	2.88	0.08	-1.264	-0.101
Saves	1	0.78	1.14	0.19	0.189	0.036
Blocks	5	2.41	1.89	0.11	1.367	0.15
Takeaways	1	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.056 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.915, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2

Period 2· 8.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.73	0.89	0.23	1.43	0.329
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	3	1.52	1.36	0.09	1.091	0.098
Passes	3	6.64	2.88	0.08	-1.264	-0.101
Saves	3	0.78	1.14	0.19	1.946	0.37
Blocks	3	2.41	1.89	0.11	0.31	0.034
Takeaways	7	1.22	1.49	0.11	3.87	0.426

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.996 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.494, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.4

Period 3· 7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	1	0.66	0.78	0.19	0.437	0.083
Shots	1	1.52	1.36	0.09	-0.382	-0.034
Passes	6	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.223	-0.018
Saves	5	0.78	1.14	0.19	3.702	0.703
Blocks	4	2.41	1.89	0.11	0.839	0.092
Takeaways	5	1.22	1.49	0.11	2.53	0.278

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.914 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.371, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.0

Pucker+180

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	1.331	1.002	0.32	0.321
Shots	1.667	1.519	1.097	0.08	0.088
Saves	3	0.785	3.823	0.15	0.573
Blocks	4	2.413	1.658	0.07	0.116
Takeaways	4.333	1.222	3.545	0.12	0.425
Passes	4	6.644	0.602	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.611 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.896 − 0.097 turnover penalty = 1.799 → ×100 = 179.87 → 180

Offensive0.70

Period 1· 0.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.11	0.4	0.217
Shooting %	1	0.483	0.2	0.358
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.67

Period 2· 0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.061	0.11	0.4	0.232
Shooting %	0.667	0.483	0.2	0.272
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.6

Period 3· 0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.11	0.4	0.145
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.099	0.4	0.637

Σ contribution = 0.83

Defensive1.48

Period 1· 1.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.785	1.268	0.3	0.38
Blocks	5	2.413	1.79	0.2	0.358
Takeaways	1	1.222	0.82	0.25	0.205
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 1.218

Period 2· 1.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.785	1.993	0.3	0.598
Blocks	3	2.413	1.238	0.2	0.248
Takeaways	7	1.222	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 1.621

Period 3· 1.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	0.785	2	0.3	0.6
Blocks	4	2.413	1.577	0.2	0.315
Takeaways	5	1.222	1.996	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 1.599

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

EggsThink Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Period 1· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.73	0.89	0.23	0.3	0.069
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	2	1.52	1.36	0.09	0.354	0.032
Passes	5	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.57	-0.046
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	2	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.218	-0.024
Takeaways	3	1.22	1.49	0.11	1.191	0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.129 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.807, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Period 2· 4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	1	1.52	1.36	0.09	-0.382	-0.034
Passes	7	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.123	0.01
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	1	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.747	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.819	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.678 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.982, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.8

Period 3· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.73	0.89	0.23	0.3	0.069
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	2	1.52	1.36	0.09	0.354	0.032
Passes	19	6.64	2.88	0.08	4.285	0.343
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	1	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.747	-0.082
Takeaways	3	1.22	1.49	0.11	1.191	0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.202 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.302, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+64

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.331	0.501	0.32	0.16
Shots	1.667	1.519	1.097	0.08	0.088
Saves	0	0.785	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1.333	2.413	0.553	0.07	0.039
Takeaways	2	1.222	1.636	0.12	0.196
Passes	10.333	6.644	1.555	0.08	0.124
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.623 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.732 − 0.097 turnover penalty = 0.635 → ×100 = 63.52 → 64

Offensive0.48

Period 1· 0.59

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.077	0.11	0.4	0.284
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.586

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.11	0.4	0.306
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.608

Defensive0.77

Period 1· 0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.413	0.83	0.2	0.166
Takeaways	3	1.222	1.897	0.25	0.474
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.987

Period 2· 0.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.413	0.473	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.222	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.502

Period 3· 0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.413	0.473	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	3	1.222	1.897	0.25	0.474
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 0.826

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Patalie Nortman Ottawa Valley Puck Slappers

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	6	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.223	-0.018
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	3	2.41	1.89	0.11	0.31	0.034
Takeaways	1	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.583 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.126, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Period 2· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.73	0.89	0.23	0.3	0.069
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	1	1.52	1.36	0.09	-0.382	-0.034
Passes	4	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.917	-0.073
Saves	1	0.78	1.14	0.19	0.189	0.036
Blocks	1	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.747	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.819	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.335 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.498, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+47

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	1.331	0.376	0.32	0.12
Shots	0.5	1.519	0.329	0.08	0.026
Saves	0.5	0.785	0.637	0.15	0.096
Blocks	2	2.413	0.829	0.07	0.058
Takeaways	0.5	1.222	0.409	0.12	0.049
Passes	5	6.644	0.753	0.08	0.06
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.429 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.505 − 0.035 turnover penalty = 0.47 → ×100 = 46.98 → 47

Offensive0.75

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.11	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	1	0.483	0.2	0.358
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.253

Defensive0.81

Period 1· 0.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.413	1.238	0.2	0.248
Takeaways	1	1.222	0.82	0.25	0.205
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.8

Period 2· 0.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.785	1.268	0.3	0.38
Blocks	1	2.413	0.473	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.222	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.81

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ademy24 Boston Bahds

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Period 1· 6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	1	0.66	0.78	0.19	0.437	0.083
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	6	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.223	-0.018
Saves	1	0.78	1.14	0.19	0.189	0.036
Blocks	7	2.41	1.89	0.11	2.425	0.267
Takeaways	1	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.06 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.09, then +0.3 blocks → 6.4

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	1	0.66	0.78	0.19	0.437	0.083
Shots	1	1.52	1.36	0.09	-0.382	-0.034
Passes	3	6.64	2.88	0.08	-1.264	-0.101
Saves	2	0.78	1.14	0.19	1.067	0.203
Blocks	8	2.41	1.89	0.11	2.953	0.325
Takeaways	4	1.22	1.49	0.11	1.861	0.205

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.489 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.734, then +0.3 blocks, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Period 3· 7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	2	0.66	0.78	0.19	1.716	0.326
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	7	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.123	0.01
Saves	2	0.78	1.14	0.19	1.067	0.203
Blocks	10	2.41	1.89	0.11	4.011	0.441
Takeaways	1	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.672 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.008, then +0.3 blocks → 7.3

Pucker+136

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.167	1.331	0.877	0.32	0.281
Shots	0.333	1.519	0.219	0.08	0.018
Saves	1.667	0.785	2.124	0.15	0.319
Blocks	8.333	2.413	3.453	0.07	0.242
Takeaways	2	1.222	1.636	0.12	0.196
Passes	5.333	6.644	0.803	0.08	0.064
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.159 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.364 → ×100 = 136.35 → 136

Offensive1.03

Period 1· 0.84

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.11	0.4	0.159
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.167	0.099	0.4	0.637

Σ contribution = 0.844

Period 2· 1.01

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.037	0.11	0.4	0.168
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.333	0.099	0.4	0.793

Σ contribution = 1.009

Period 3· 1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.11	0.4	0.405
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.286	0.099	0.4	0.782

Σ contribution = 1.235

Defensive1.51

Period 1· 1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.785	1.268	0.3	0.38
Blocks	7	2.413	1.956	0.2	0.391
Takeaways	1	1.222	0.82	0.25	0.205
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 1.251

Period 2· 1.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.785	1.914	0.3	0.574
Blocks	8	2.413	1.981	0.2	0.396
Takeaways	4	1.222	1.979	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 1.65

Period 3· 1.62

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.785	1.914	0.3	0.574
Blocks	10	2.413	1.996	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	1	1.222	0.82	0.25	0.205
Goals conceded	1	2.203	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.618

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dxmxnz Boston Bahds

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Period 1· 6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.73	0.89	0.23	1.43	0.329
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	3	1.52	1.36	0.09	1.091	0.098
Passes	11	6.64	2.88	0.08	1.51	0.121
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	2	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.218	-0.024
Takeaways	1	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.217 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.325, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.3

Period 2· 6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.73	0.89	0.23	1.43	0.329
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	5	1.52	1.36	0.09	2.564	0.231
Passes	13	6.64	2.88	0.08	2.204	0.176
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	3	2.41	1.89	0.11	0.31	0.034
Takeaways	2	1.22	1.49	0.11	0.521	0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.537 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.805, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Period 3· 6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.73	0.89	0.23	1.43	0.329
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	4	1.52	1.36	0.09	1.827	0.164
Passes	8	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.47	0.038
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	6	2.41	1.89	0.11	1.896	0.209
Takeaways	2	1.22	1.49	0.11	0.521	0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.506 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.759, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.5

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.331	1.503	0.32	0.481
Shots	4	1.519	2.633	0.08	0.211
Saves	0	0.785	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3.667	2.413	1.519	0.07	0.106
Takeaways	1.667	1.222	1.364	0.12	0.164
Passes	10.667	6.644	1.605	0.08	0.128
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.14 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.341 − 0.386 turnover penalty = 0.955 → ×100 = 95.56 → 96

Offensive0.87

Period 1· 1.04

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.11	0.4	0.671
Shooting %	0.667	0.483	0.2	0.272
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.038

Period 2· 0.75

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.11	0.4	0.485
Shooting %	0.4	0.483	0.2	0.166
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.746

Period 3· 0.82

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.11	0.4	0.517
Shooting %	0.5	0.483	0.2	0.207
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.819

Defensive0.97

Period 1· 0.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.413	0.83	0.2	0.166
Takeaways	1	1.222	0.82	0.25	0.205
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.718

Period 2· 0.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.413	1.238	0.2	0.248
Takeaways	2	1.222	1.562	0.25	0.391
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 0.896

Period 3· 1.28

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	2.413	1.903	0.2	0.381
Takeaways	2	1.222	1.562	0.25	0.391
Goals conceded	1	2.203	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.284

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

napqleon Boston Bahds

2 of 2 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Period 1· 5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	0	0.66	0.78	0.19	-0.841	-0.16
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	9	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.817	0.065
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	1	2.41	1.89	0.11	-0.747	-0.082
Takeaways	0	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.819	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.689 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.966, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.0

Period 2· 5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.73	0.89	0.23	-0.83	-0.191
Assists	2	0.66	0.78	0.19	1.716	0.326
Shots	0	1.52	1.36	0.09	-1.119	-0.101
Passes	5	6.64	2.88	0.08	-0.57	-0.046
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	0	2.41	1.89	0.11	-1.276	-0.14
Takeaways	0	1.22	1.49	0.11	-0.819	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.372 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.441, then −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+39

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	1.331	0.751	0.32	0.24
Shots	0	1.519	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	0.785	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0.5	2.413	0.207	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	0	1.222	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	6.644	1.054	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.359 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.423 − 0.035 turnover penalty = 0.388 → ×100 = 38.72 → 39

Offensive0.94

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.11	0.4	0.799
Shooting %	0	0.483	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.4	0.099	0.4	0.798

Σ contribution = 1.645

Defensive0.43

Period 1· 0.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.413	0.473	0.2	0.095
Takeaways	0	1.222	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	2	2.203	1.101	0.25	0.275

Σ contribution = 0.502

Period 2· 0.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.413	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	1.222	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	3	2.203	0.74	0.25	0.185

Σ contribution = 0.365

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dvyr Boston Bahds

1 of 1 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Period 1· 6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.73	0.89	0.23	0.3	0.069
Assists	1	0.66	0.78	0.19	0.437	0.083
Shots	4	1.52	1.36	0.09	1.827	0.164
Passes	7	6.64	2.88	0.08	0.123	0.01
Saves	0	0.78	1.14	0.19	-0.689	-0.131
Blocks	3	2.41	1.89	0.11	0.31	0.034
Takeaways	7	1.22	1.49	0.11	3.87	0.426

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.655 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.983, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+136

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	1.331	1.503	0.32	0.481
Shots	4	1.519	2.633	0.08	0.211
Saves	0	0.785	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	2.413	1.243	0.07	0.087
Takeaways	7	1.222	5.727	0.12	0.687
Passes	7	6.644	1.054	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.55 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.824 − 0.468 turnover penalty = 1.356 → ×100 = 135.57 → 136

Offensive0.83

Period 1· 0.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.031	0.11	0.4	0.153
Shooting %	0.25	0.483	0.2	0.11
Assists per pass	0.143	0.099	0.4	0.566

Σ contribution = 0.83

Defensive1.26

Period 1· 1.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.785	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.413	1.238	0.2	0.248
Takeaways	7	1.222	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	1	2.203	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.26

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.