Greenland Ducklings vs Vader Desperados

4–3Final

Oct 28, 2026 · Prospect Division · The Frozen River

MVP Meenimizer · 6.6 performance rating

Greenland Ducklings 4, Vader Desperados 3 (regulation). This matchup saw the 9-5 Greenland Ducklings face off against the 4-3 Vader Desperados in a regular season contest. The final score of 7 goals was a low-scoring game for the Prospect Division, falling below the division median of 13.

The game shifted gears significantly in the second period, which served as the decisive frame. The Greenland Ducklings surged ahead with 4 goals at home, while the Vader Desperados were held to 0 goals during that stretch. This outburst allowed the home side to take a commanding lead that they defended through the final period.

Meenimizer led the rankings with a 6.63 perf and a 152.23 Pucker+ rating, contributing 3 assists, 3 saves, and 9 blocks. During the action, Meenimizer reached a significant career milestone by recording their 100th save. Bam83 also provided a strong performance for the Ducklings, finishing with 4 points and a 6.17 perf.

Player of the Game: Meenimizer

Greenland DucklingsvsVader Desperados

8Shots513

10Saves64

9Faceoffs won81

16Takeaways521

21Turnovers↓516

18Blocks220

57Passes1673

1:31Possession1:373:08

Win probability

The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Greenland Ducklings gained 27 points in period 2.

Win Probability Added

How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.

bam 83home+8.05
MaxZombieJawshome+0.68
ochaseaway−1.15
MadanSmashhome−1.77
Ghostwalkeraway−2.91
meenimizeraway−2.91

Signed percentage points · model fit on 329 period-log games. WPA needs a verified period log, so it only exists for the matches whose players uploaded one — most box scores have no WPA.

By period

Greenland DucklingsVader Desperados

1st

Possession

0:221:07

Shots: 13
Faceoffs won: 20
Blocks: 78

Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws

Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer

2nd

Possession

0:400:53

Shots: 62
Faceoffs won: 41
Blocks: 35

Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws

Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer

3rd

Possession

0:291:08

Shots: 18
Faceoffs won: 30
Blocks: 87

Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws

Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Greenland Ducklings

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Bam83	2	2	4	3	4	2	0	4	9	5	19	0:33	99	0.79	1.16
MadanSmash	1	0	1	1	3	4	1	9	6	9	19	0:42	91	0.38	1.43
MaxZombieJaws	1	1	2	4	3	3	0	3	6	4	19	0:16	80	0.66	1.09

Vader Desperados

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Meenimizer	0	3	3	5	3	0	3	17	1	9	21	2:21	152	0.67	1.45
Ghostwalker	1	1	2	3	1	1	2	2	8	1	27	0:24	42	0.69	0.76
oChase	2	0	2	5	0	0	4	2	7	10	25	0:23	50	0.67	0.85

Bam83 Greenland Ducklings

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Period 1· 5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	4	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.523 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.215, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.2

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	0.69	0.95	0.23	1.384	0.318
Assists	2	0.6	0.84	0.19	1.669	0.317
Shots	2	1.34	1.45	0.09	0.454	0.041
Passes	9	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.743	0.059
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.438 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.657, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.6

Period 3· 6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	3	0.65	0.95	0.19	2.464	0.468
Blocks	4	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.983	0.108
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.35	0.11	1.332	0.147

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.386 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.579, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.7

Pucker+99

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.333	1.229	1.084	0.32	0.347
Shots	1	1.342	0.745	0.08	0.06
Saves	1.333	0.653	2.041	0.15	0.306
Blocks	1.667	2.173	0.767	0.07	0.054
Takeaways	1.333	1.201	1.11	0.12	0.133
Passes	6.333	6.548	0.967	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.037 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.22 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 0.994 → ×100 = 99.37 → 99

Offensive0.79

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.094	0.4	0.795
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0.222	0.091	0.4	0.758

Σ contribution = 1.9

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.16

Period 1· 1.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.142

Period 2· 0.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.673

Period 3· 1.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	0.653	1.998	0.3	0.6
Blocks	4	2.173	1.686	0.2	0.337
Takeaways	3	1.201	1.905	0.25	0.476
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 1.672

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MadanSmash Greenland Ducklings

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Period 1· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	6	2.17	1.86	0.11	2.059	0.227
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.011 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.016, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.7

Period 2· 6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	6	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.166	-0.013
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	4	1.2	1.35	0.11	2.072	0.228

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.065 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.902, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2

Period 3· 6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	5	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.469	-0.038
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	3	1.2	1.35	0.11	1.332	0.147

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.018 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.973, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.0

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.333	1.229	0.271	0.32	0.087
Shots	0.333	1.342	0.248	0.08	0.02
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	3	2.173	1.381	0.07	0.097
Takeaways	3	1.201	2.497	0.12	0.3
Passes	6.333	6.548	0.967	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.858 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.009 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.908 → ×100 = 90.84 → 91

Offensive0.38

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 0.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.094	0.4	0.225
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.668

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.43

Period 1· 1.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	6	2.173	1.943	0.2	0.389
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.67

Period 2· 1.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	4	1.201	1.981	0.25	0.495
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.108

Period 3· 1.51

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	3	1.201	1.905	0.25	0.476
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 1.509

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MaxZombieJaws Greenland Ducklings

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	9	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.743	0.059
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.48 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.28, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1

Period 2· 6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	7	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.137	0.011
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.464 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.695, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2

Period 3· 5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.429 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.357, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.229	0.542	0.32	0.174
Shots	1.333	1.342	0.993	0.08	0.079
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	1.333	2.173	0.614	0.07	0.043
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.832	0.12	0.1
Passes	6.333	6.548	0.967	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.763 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.897 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.796 → ×100 = 79.65 → 80

Offensive0.66

Period 1· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 2· 1.51

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.094	0.4	0.771
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0.143	0.091	0.4	0.606

Σ contribution = 1.51

Period 3· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.09

Period 1· 0.82

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	1	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.821

Period 2· 1.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.339

Period 3· 1.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	2	2.073	1.036	0.25	0.259

Σ contribution = 1.097

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Meenimizer Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Period 1· 6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	1	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.682	-0.135
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	7	1.2	1.35	0.11	4.294	0.472

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.296 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.445, then +0.3 takeaways → 6.7

Period 2· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	3	6.55	3.3	0.08	-1.075	-0.086
Saves	2	0.65	0.95	0.19	1.414	0.269
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	8	1.2	1.35	0.11	5.035	0.554

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.462 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.693, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Period 3· 6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	2	0.6	0.84	0.19	1.669	0.317
Shots	4	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.837	0.165
Passes	17	6.55	3.3	0.08	3.168	0.253
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	2	1.2	1.35	0.11	0.591	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.552 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.828, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Pucker+152

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.833	1.229	0.678	0.32	0.217
Shots	1.667	1.342	1.241	0.08	0.099
Saves	1	0.653	1.53	0.15	0.23
Blocks	3	2.173	1.381	0.07	0.097
Takeaways	5.667	1.201	4.717	0.12	0.566
Passes	7	6.548	1.069	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.294 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.522 → ×100 = 152.23 → 152

Offensive0.67

Period 1· 0.98

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.017	0.094	0.4	0.129
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	1	0.091	0.4	0.8

Σ contribution = 0.977

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.79

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.094	0.4	0.225
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.118	0.091	0.4	0.514

Σ contribution = 0.786

Defensive1.45

Period 1· 1.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	7	1.201	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.659

Period 2· 1.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	0.653	1.968	0.3	0.59
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	8	1.201	2	0.25	0.5
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 1.501

Period 3· 1.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	2	1.201	1.582	0.25	0.395
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.18

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ghostwalker Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Period 1· 5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	1	0.6	0.84	0.19	0.48	0.091
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	9	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.743	0.059
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.375 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.437, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.1

Period 2· 4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	0	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.928	-0.083
Passes	5	6.55	3.3	0.08	-0.469	-0.038
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	0	2.17	1.86	0.11	-1.169	-0.129
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.698 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.953, then −0.2 goals against → 4.8

Period 3· 5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	13	6.55	3.3	0.08	1.956	0.156
Saves	1	0.65	0.95	0.19	0.364	0.069
Blocks	1	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.631	-0.069
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.102 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.153, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+42

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.229	0.542	0.32	0.174
Shots	1	1.342	0.745	0.08	0.06
Saves	0.333	0.653	0.51	0.15	0.077
Blocks	0.333	2.173	0.153	0.07	0.011
Takeaways	0.667	1.201	0.555	0.12	0.067
Passes	9	6.548	1.374	0.08	0.11
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.517 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.608 − 0.184 turnover penalty = 0.424 → ×100 = 42.37 → 42

Offensive0.69

Period 1· 1.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.094	0.4	0.771
Shooting %	0	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.111	0.091	0.4	0.487

Σ contribution = 1.306

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.53

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.071	0.094	0.4	0.304
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.532

Defensive0.76

Period 1· 0.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.768

Period 2· 0.47

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	2.173	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.466

Period 3· 1.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	0.653	1.486	0.3	0.446
Blocks	1	2.173	0.507	0.2	0.101
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.047

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

oChase Vader Desperados

3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Period 1· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	3	1.34	1.45	0.09	1.145	0.103
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	5	2.17	1.86	0.11	1.521	0.167
Takeaways	0	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.89	-0.098

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.018 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.027, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Period 2· 4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	0.69	0.95	0.23	-0.727	-0.167
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	8	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.44	0.035
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	2	2.17	1.86	0.11	-0.093	-0.01
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.445 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.333, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.6

Period 3· 5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	0.69	0.95	0.23	0.328	0.075
Assists	0	0.6	0.84	0.19	-0.708	-0.135
Shots	1	1.34	1.45	0.09	-0.237	-0.021
Passes	9	6.55	3.3	0.08	0.743	0.059
Saves	0	0.65	0.95	0.19	-0.686	-0.13
Blocks	3	2.17	1.86	0.11	0.445	0.049
Takeaways	1	1.2	1.35	0.11	-0.149	-0.016

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.119 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.822, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 5.8

Pucker+50

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.667	1.229	0.542	0.32	0.174
Shots	1.667	1.342	1.241	0.08	0.099
Saves	0	0.653	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3.333	2.173	1.534	0.07	0.107
Takeaways	0.667	1.201	0.555	0.12	0.067
Passes	8.333	6.548	1.273	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.549 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.645 − 0.143 turnover penalty = 0.502 → ×100 = 50.28 → 50

Offensive0.67

Period 1· 1.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.094	0.4	0.795
Shooting %	0.333	0.513	0.2	0.133
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.023

Period 2· 0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.513	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Period 3· 0.75

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.071	0.094	0.4	0.304
Shooting %	1	0.513	0.2	0.348
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.748

Defensive0.85

Period 1· 0.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	5	2.173	1.862	0.2	0.372
Takeaways	0	1.201	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.944

Period 2· 0.60

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	2.173	0.921	0.2	0.184
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	4	2.073	0.552	0.25	0.138

Σ contribution = 0.602

Period 3· 0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	0.653	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	3	2.173	1.363	0.2	0.273
Takeaways	1	1.201	0.834	0.25	0.208
Goals conceded	0	2.073	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.993

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.