Greenland Ducklings 4– 3 Vader Desperados
Greenland Ducklings vs Vader Desperados 8 Shots 5 13
MaxZombieJaws 4 Bam83 3 MadanSmash 1 5 Meenimizer 5 oChase 3 Ghostwalker 10 Saves 6 4
Bam83 4 MadanSmash 3 MaxZombieJaws 3 3 Meenimizer 1 Ghostwalker 9 Faceoffs won 8 1
MadanSmash 4 MaxZombieJaws 3 Bam83 2 1 Ghostwalker 16 Takeaways 5 21
MadanSmash 9 Bam83 4 MaxZombieJaws 3 17 Meenimizer 2 Ghostwalker 2 oChase 21 Turnovers↓ 5 16
Bam83 9 MadanSmash 6 MaxZombieJaws 6 8 Ghostwalker 7 oChase 1 Meenimizer 18 Blocks 2 20
MadanSmash 9 Bam83 5 MaxZombieJaws 4 10 oChase 9 Meenimizer 1 Ghostwalker 57 Passes 16 73
Bam83 19 MadanSmash 19 MaxZombieJaws 19 27 Ghostwalker 25 oChase 21 Meenimizer 1:31 Possession 1:37 3:08
MadanSmash 0:42 Bam83 0:33 MaxZombieJaws 0:16 2:21 Meenimizer 0:24 Ghostwalker 0:23 oChase Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Greenland Ducklings gained 27 points in period 2.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Greenland Ducklings Vader Desperados Win Probability Added How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.
1 bam 83 home +7.97 2 MaxZombieJaws home +0.63 3 ochase away −1.07 4 MadanSmash home −1.82 5 Ghostwalker away −2.85 6 meenimizer away −2.85
1st
0 – 1
Possession
0:22 1:07
Shots 1 · 3
Faceoffs won 2 · 0
Blocks 7 · 8 Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws
Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer
2nd
4 – 0
Possession
0:40 0:53
Shots 6 · 2
Faceoffs won 4 · 1
Blocks 3 · 5 Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws
Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer
3rd
0 – 2
Possession
0:29 1:08
Shots 1 · 8
Faceoffs won 3 · 0
Blocks 8 · 7 Bam83, MadanSmash, MaxZombieJaws
Ghostwalker, oChase, Meenimizer
Bam83 Greenland Ducklings 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.2 Period 1· 5.2 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.523 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.215, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.2
Period 2· 6.6 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.438 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.657, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.6
Period 3· 6.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.386 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.579, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.7
Pucker+ 99 Σ 1.037 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.22 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 0.994 → ×100 = 99.37 → 99
Offensive 0.79 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.90 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.16 Period 1· 1.14 Period 2· 0.67 Period 3· 1.67
MadanSmash Greenland Ducklings 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.0 Period 1· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.011 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.016, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.7
Period 2· 6.2 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.065 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.902, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2
Period 3· 6.0 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.018 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.973, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.0
Pucker+ 91 Σ 0.858 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.009 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.908 → ×100 = 90.84 → 91
Offensive 0.38 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 0.67 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.43 Period 1· 1.67 Period 2· 1.11 Period 3· 1.51
MaxZombieJaws Greenland Ducklings 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.6 Period 1· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.48 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.28, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1
Period 2· 6.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.464 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.695, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2
Period 3· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.429 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.357, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4
Pucker+ 80 Σ 0.763 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.897 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.796 → ×100 = 79.65 → 80
Offensive 0.66 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.51 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.09 Period 1· 0.82 Period 2· 1.34 Period 3· 1.10
Meenimizer Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.6 Period 1· 6.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.296 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.445, then +0.3 takeaways → 6.7
Period 2· 6.6 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.462 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.693, then +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6
Period 3· 6.6 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.552 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.828, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6
Pucker+ 152 Σ 1.294 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.522 → ×100 = 152.23 → 152
Offensive 0.67 Period 1· 0.98 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.79 Defensive 1.45 Period 1· 1.66 Period 2· 1.50 Period 3· 1.18
Ghostwalker Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.2 Period 1· 5.1 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.375 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.437, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.1
Period 2· 4.8 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.698 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 4.953, then −0.2 goals against → 4.8
Period 3· 5.7 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.102 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.153, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7
Pucker+ 42 Σ 0.517 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.608 − 0.184 turnover penalty = 0.424 → ×100 = 42.37 → 42
Offensive 0.69 Period 1· 1.31 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.53 Defensive 0.76 Period 1· 0.77 Period 2· 0.47 Period 3· 1.05
oChase Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.4 Period 1· 5.8 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.018 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.027, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8
Period 2· 4.6 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.445 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.333, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.6
Period 3· 5.8 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.119 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.822, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 5.8
Pucker+ 50 Σ 0.549 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.645 − 0.143 turnover penalty = 0.502 → ×100 = 50.28 → 50
Offensive 0.67 Period 1· 1.02 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.75 Defensive 0.85 Period 1· 0.94 Period 2· 0.60 Period 3· 0.99 
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