Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates 3– 10 Vader Desperados
Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates vs Vader Desperados 8 Shots 16 24
Special 4 TheRealAmeriCam 3 drpecker 1 10 Ghostwalker 9 oChase 5 Meenimizer 14 Saves 9 5
TheRealAmeriCam 10 Special 3 drpecker 1 4 Meenimizer 1 Ghostwalker 3 Faceoffs won 9 12
Special 2 drpecker 1 5 Meenimizer 4 Ghostwalker 3 oChase 10 Takeaways 12 22
drpecker 7 TheRealAmeriCam 2 Special 1 9 Ghostwalker 8 Meenimizer 5 oChase 22 Turnovers↓ 12 10
TheRealAmeriCam 10 drpecker 7 Special 5 6 oChase 3 Ghostwalker 1 Meenimizer 27 Blocks 20 7
Special 10 TheRealAmeriCam 9 drpecker 8 4 Meenimizer 2 Ghostwalker 1 oChase 42 Passes 20 62
drpecker 16 Special 14 TheRealAmeriCam 12 28 Ghostwalker 21 oChase 13 Meenimizer 0:56 Possession 2:13 3:09
TheRealAmeriCam 0:21 drpecker 0:20 Special 0:15 1:46 Meenimizer 1:01 Ghostwalker 0:22 oChase Win probability The model's chance of winning at each period break.Biggest swing: Vader Desperados gained 27 points in period 2.
100% 75% 50% 25% 0% Start P1 P2 P3 Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates Vader Desperados Win Probability Added How much each player moved the chance of winning, in percentage points. Zero-sum: every point one player gained, somebody on the other side lost.
1 Ghostwalker away +23.35 2 meenimizer away +19.27 3 ochase away −5.54 4 TheRealAmeriCam home −5.76 5 special home −7.62 6 Drpecker home −23.70
1st
2 – 1
Possession
0:20 1:23
Shots 3 · 4
Faceoffs won 1 · 3
Blocks 11 · 0 drpecker, TheRealAmeriCam, Special
oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer
2nd
1 – 5
Possession
0:09 0:40
Shots 2 · 11
Faceoffs won 1 · 6
Blocks 9 · 2 drpecker, TheRealAmeriCam, Special
oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer
3rd
0 – 4
Possession
0:27 1:06
Shots 3 · 9
Faceoffs won 1 · 3
Blocks 7 · 5 drpecker, TheRealAmeriCam, Special
oChase, Ghostwalker, Meenimizer
Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates
drpecker Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.5 Period 1· 5.3 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.278 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.583, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.3
Period 2· 5.8 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.181 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.729, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.8
Period 3· 5.3 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.308 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.539, then −0.2 goals against → 5.3
Pucker+ 55 Σ 0.587 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.691 − 0.143 turnover penalty = 0.548 → ×100 = 54.83 → 55
Offensive 0.57 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.97 Period 1· 1.20 Period 2· 0.73 Period 3· 0.98
Special Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.8 Period 1· 7.2 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.623 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.934, then +0.3 blocks, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.2
Period 2· 5.2 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.368 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.448, then −0.2 goals against → 5.2
Period 3· 5.0 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.386 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.421, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.0
Pucker+ 86 Σ 0.78 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.918 − 0.059 turnover penalty = 0.859 → ×100 = 85.9 → 86
Offensive 1.01 Period 1· 1.14 Period 2· 1.65 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 0.99 Period 1· 1.49 Period 2· 0.72 Period 3· 0.74
TheRealAmeriCam Ottawa Valley Pond Pirates 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.9 Period 1· 5.3 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.24 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.64, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.3
Period 2· 6.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.468 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.702, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.4
Period 3· 6.0 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.237 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.356, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.0
Pucker+ 95 Σ 1.037 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.22 − 0.268 turnover penalty = 0.952 → ×100 = 95.18 → 95
Offensive 0.24 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 0.24 Defensive 1.25 Period 1· 1.34 Period 2· 1.11 Period 3· 1.28
Meenimizer Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.9 Period 1· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.384 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.423, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4
Period 2· 6.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.274 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.41, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.4
Period 3· 8.8 6.0 + clip(Σ 1.369 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 8.054, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.8
Pucker+ 163 Σ 1.382 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.625 → ×100 = 162.54 → 163
Offensive 1.08 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.52 Period 3· 1.49 Defensive 1.36 Period 1· 1.23 Period 2· 1.05 Period 3· 1.80
Ghostwalker Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 6.7 Period 1· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.246 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.631, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4
Period 2· 8.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 1.132 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 7.698, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.4
Period 3· 6.4 6.0 + clip(Σ 0.429 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 6.644, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.4
Pucker+ 160 Σ 1.358 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.597 → ×100 = 159.72 → 160
Offensive 0.94 Period 1· 0.24 Period 2· 1.54 Period 3· 1.03 Defensive 1.12 Period 1· 0.87 Period 2· 1.04 Period 3· 1.47
oChase Vader Desperados 3 of 3 periods rated, then averaged. Baseline: the player's own division.
APR 5.4 Period 1· 5.5 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.009 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.987, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5
Period 2· 5.4 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.274 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.589, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4
Period 3· 5.2 6.0 + clip(Σ −0.416 × 1.5, −3 to 3) = 5.376, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.2
Pucker+ 69 Σ 0.675 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.794 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.693 → ×100 = 69.33 → 69
Offensive 0.81 Period 1· 0.70 Period 2· 0.24 Period 3· 1.50 Defensive 0.83 Period 1· 0.85 Period 2· 1.01 Period 3· 0.62 
Home · OVPPOttawa Valley Pond Pirates
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