Orange County low taper fades vs Louisville Horse Preparers

OCHomeOrange County low taper fades

13–3Final

LHAwayLouisville Horse Preparers

Jul 29, 2025 · Central A · Ninjas room

MVP Gold · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Orange County low taper fadesvsLouisville Horse Preparers

20Shots164

1Saves67

7Faceoffs won411

21Takeaways516

16Turnovers↓521

13Blocks215

60Passes258

1:39Possession1:213:00

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Orange County low taper fades

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Gold	7	3	10	11	0	3	3	8	9	4	20	0:37	153	1.65	1.09
Hydroid.	2	2	4	4	1	2	3	6	4	7	22	0:44	96	0.97	1.20
NUTSACK6	4	2	6	5	0	2	5	7	3	2	18	0:18	108	1.58	0.99

Louisville Horse Preparers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Rat	0	2	2	1	3	4	1	5	10	5	18	0:38	63	0.74	1.00
Xavier / Pretty-Wizard	1	0	1	1	4	3	3	7	6	10	20	1:01	88	0.58	1.36
wizrud	2	0	2	2	0	4	3	4	5	0	20	1:21	49	0.60	0.49

Gold Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	2.15	1.81	0.23	2.675	0.615
Assists	3	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.791	0.15
Shots	11	4.52	3.14	0.09	2.062	0.186
Passes	20	18.6	8.98	0.08	0.156	0.012
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	4	5.19	3.66	0.11	-0.324	-0.036
Takeaways	8	4.26	3.68	0.11	1.016	0.112

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.89 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.781, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 8.2

Pucker+153

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	3.769	2.653	0.32	0.849
Shots	11	4.522	2.433	0.08	0.195
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	4	5.188	0.771	0.07	0.054
Takeaways	8	4.256	1.88	0.12	0.226
Passes	20	18.6	1.075	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.501	0.998	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.439 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.693 − 0.168 turnover penalty = 1.525 → ×100 = 152.53 → 153

Offensive1.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.27	0.095	0.4	0.78
Shooting %	0.636	0.476	0.2	0.265
Assists per pass	0.15	0.096	0.4	0.604

Σ contribution = 1.65

Defensive1.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	5.188	0.775	0.2	0.155
Takeaways	8	4.256	1.706	0.25	0.427
Goals conceded	3	6.85	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.094

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hydroid. Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.15	1.81	0.23	-0.085	-0.019
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	4	4.52	3.14	0.09	-0.166	-0.015
Passes	22	18.6	8.98	0.08	0.379	0.03
Saves	1	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.453	-0.086
Blocks	7	5.19	3.66	0.11	0.495	0.054
Takeaways	6	4.26	3.68	0.11	0.473	0.052

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.043 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.086, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.1

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.769	0.929	0.32	0.297
Shots	4	4.522	0.885	0.08	0.071
Saves	1	2.362	0.423	0.15	0.063
Blocks	7	5.188	1.349	0.07	0.094
Takeaways	6	4.256	1.41	0.12	0.169
Passes	22	18.6	1.183	0.08	0.095
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.814 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.957 → ×100 = 95.72 → 96

Offensive0.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.095	0.4	0.383
Shooting %	0.5	0.476	0.2	0.21
Assists per pass	0.091	0.096	0.4	0.379

Σ contribution = 0.972

Defensive1.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.362	0.48	0.3	0.144
Blocks	7	5.188	1.336	0.2	0.267
Takeaways	6	4.256	1.388	0.25	0.347
Goals conceded	3	6.85	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.198

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

NUTSACK6 Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.15	1.81	0.23	1.019	0.234
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	5	4.52	3.14	0.09	0.152	0.014
Passes	18	18.6	8.98	0.08	-0.067	-0.005
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	2	5.19	3.66	0.11	-0.87	-0.096
Takeaways	7	4.26	3.68	0.11	0.745	0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.106 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.213, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.5

Pucker+108

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.769	1.592	0.32	0.509
Shots	5	4.522	1.106	0.08	0.088
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	5.188	0.386	0.07	0.027
Takeaways	7	4.256	1.645	0.12	0.197
Passes	18	18.6	0.968	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.501	0.57	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.917 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.079 → ×100 = 107.86 → 108

Offensive1.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.095	0.4	0.795
Shooting %	0.8	0.476	0.2	0.318
Assists per pass	0.111	0.096	0.4	0.463

Σ contribution = 1.576

Defensive0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	5.188	0.453	0.2	0.091
Takeaways	7	4.256	1.568	0.25	0.392
Goals conceded	3	6.85	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.995

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rat Louisville Horse Preparers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	1	4.52	3.14	0.09	-1.121	-0.101
Passes	18	18.6	8.98	0.08	-0.067	-0.005
Saves	3	2.36	3.01	0.19	0.212	0.04
Blocks	5	5.19	3.66	0.11	-0.051	-0.006
Takeaways	5	4.26	3.68	0.11	0.202	0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.296 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.408, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+63

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.769	0.531	0.32	0.17
Shots	1	4.522	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	3	2.362	1.27	0.15	0.19
Blocks	5	5.188	0.964	0.07	0.067
Takeaways	5	4.256	1.175	0.12	0.141
Passes	18	18.6	0.968	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.501	1.597	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.712 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.837 − 0.203 turnover penalty = 0.634 → ×100 = 63.42 → 63

Offensive0.74

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.053	0.095	0.4	0.233
Shooting %	0	0.476	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.111	0.096	0.4	0.463

Σ contribution = 0.743

Defensive1.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.362	1.263	0.3	0.379
Blocks	5	5.188	0.964	0.2	0.193
Takeaways	5	4.256	1.173	0.25	0.293
Goals conceded	13	6.85	0.559	0.25	0.14

Σ contribution = 1.005

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Xavier / Pretty-Wizard Louisville Horse Preparers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.15	1.81	0.23	-0.636	-0.146
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	1	4.52	3.14	0.09	-1.121	-0.101
Passes	20	18.6	8.98	0.08	0.156	0.012
Saves	4	2.36	3.01	0.19	0.544	0.103
Blocks	10	5.19	3.66	0.11	1.314	0.145
Takeaways	7	4.26	3.68	0.11	0.745	0.082

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.125 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.749, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.769	0.265	0.32	0.085
Shots	1	4.522	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	4	2.362	1.693	0.15	0.254
Blocks	10	5.188	1.928	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	7	4.256	1.645	0.12	0.197
Passes	20	18.6	1.075	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.501	0.998	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.805 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.947 − 0.062 turnover penalty = 0.885 → ×100 = 88.49 → 88

Offensive0.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.016	0.095	0.4	0.128
Shooting %	1	0.476	0.2	0.36
Assists per pass	0	0.096	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.584

Defensive1.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.362	1.6	0.3	0.48
Blocks	10	5.188	1.73	0.2	0.346
Takeaways	7	4.256	1.568	0.25	0.392
Goals conceded	13	6.85	0.559	0.25	0.14

Σ contribution = 1.358

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

wizrud Louisville Horse Preparers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.15	1.81	0.23	-0.085	-0.019
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	2	4.52	3.14	0.09	-0.803	-0.072
Passes	20	18.6	8.98	0.08	0.156	0.012
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	0	5.19	3.66	0.11	-1.416	-0.156
Takeaways	4	4.26	3.68	0.11	-0.07	-0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.612 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.775, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.8

Pucker+49

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.769	0.531	0.32	0.17
Shots	2	4.522	0.442	0.08	0.035
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	5.188	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	4.256	0.94	0.12	0.113
Passes	20	18.6	1.075	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.501	1.141	0.03	0.034

Σ 0.438 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.516 − 0.027 turnover penalty = 0.489 → ×100 = 48.9 → 49

Offensive0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.025	0.095	0.4	0.148
Shooting %	1	0.476	0.2	0.36
Assists per pass	0	0.096	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.604

Defensive0.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	5.188	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	4	4.256	0.94	0.25	0.235
Goals conceded	13	6.85	0.559	0.25	0.14

Σ contribution = 0.495

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.