New Jersey Dragons vs Long Island Lightning

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Away · LILLong Island Lightning

Jul 30, 2025 · Pro Division · The Nest

MVP milk · 6.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

New Jersey DragonsvsLong Island Lightning

7Shots1118

7Saves16

6Faceoffs won6

9Takeaways27

7Turnovers↓29

16Blocks97

25Passes1035

0:53Possession0:060:47

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

New Jersey Dragons

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Lucki	1	0	1	3	2	1	1	3	4	2	7	0:16	47	3.92	4.65
9th coming of Jesus	0	1	1	1	3	3	2	6	1	6	9	0:22	69	4.65	6.30
Mace	0	0	0	3	2	2	3	0	2	8	9	0:15	37	2.95	4.89

Long Island Lightning

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jagr	2	4	6	3	3	2	1	1	2	1	8	0:13	88	9.56	5.68
SOMEONE	2	3	5	3	3	2	2	5	5	5	13	0:30	96	8.44	7.04
milk	7	1	8	12	0	2	3	1	2	1	14	0:04	109	7.35	4.68

Lucki New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.26	2.04	0.23	-0.619	-0.142
Assists	0	2.16	1.91	0.19	-1.131	-0.215
Shots	3	5.05	3.76	0.09	-0.546	-0.049
Passes	7	20.7	8.67	0.08	-1.579	-0.126
Saves	2	2.79	3.55	0.19	-0.223	-0.042
Blocks	2	5.59	4.09	0.11	-0.879	-0.097
Takeaways	3	3.89	2.93	0.11	-0.305	-0.034

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.705 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.59, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+47

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.175	0.24	0.32	0.077
Shots	3	5.052	0.594	0.08	0.048
Saves	2	2.791	0.717	0.15	0.107
Blocks	2	5.594	0.358	0.07	0.025
Takeaways	3	3.894	0.77	0.12	0.092
Passes	7	20.699	0.338	0.08	0.027
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.406 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.478 − 0.005 turnover penalty = 0.473 → ×100 = 47.32 → 47

Offensive3.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.111	0.4	1.741
Shooting %	0.333	0.448	0.2	1
Assists per pass	0	0.104	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.922

Defensive4.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.791	4.896	0.3	1.469
Blocks	2	5.594	3.734	0.2	0.747
Takeaways	3	3.894	5.097	0.25	1.274
Goals conceded	11	7.136	4.65	0.25	1.162

Σ contribution = 4.652

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

9th coming of Jesus New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.26	2.04	0.23	-1.109	-0.255
Assists	1	2.16	1.91	0.19	-0.606	-0.115
Shots	1	5.05	3.76	0.09	-1.078	-0.097
Passes	9	20.7	8.67	0.08	-1.349	-0.108
Saves	3	2.79	3.55	0.19	0.059	0.011
Blocks	6	5.59	4.09	0.11	0.099	0.011
Takeaways	6	3.89	2.93	0.11	0.719	0.079

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.474 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.052, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+69

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.175	0.24	0.32	0.077
Shots	1	5.052	0.198	0.08	0.016
Saves	3	2.791	1.075	0.15	0.161
Blocks	6	5.594	1.073	0.07	0.075
Takeaways	6	3.894	1.541	0.12	0.185
Passes	9	20.699	0.435	0.08	0.035
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.584 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.688 → ×100 = 68.76 → 69

Offensive4.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.045	0.111	0.4	1.551
Shooting %	0	0.448	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.111	0.104	0.4	2.507

Σ contribution = 4.648

Defensive6.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.791	6.299	0.3	1.89
Blocks	6	5.594	6.29	0.2	1.258
Takeaways	6	3.894	7.974	0.25	1.993
Goals conceded	11	7.136	4.65	0.25	1.162

Σ contribution = 6.303

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.26	2.04	0.23	-1.109	-0.255
Assists	0	2.16	1.91	0.19	-1.131	-0.215
Shots	3	5.05	3.76	0.09	-0.546	-0.049
Passes	9	20.7	8.67	0.08	-1.349	-0.108
Saves	2	2.79	3.55	0.19	-0.223	-0.042
Blocks	8	5.59	4.09	0.11	0.588	0.065
Takeaways	0	3.89	2.93	0.11	-1.33	-0.146

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.751 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.498, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.1

Pucker+37

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	4.175	0	0.32	0
Shots	3	5.052	0.594	0.08	0.048
Saves	2	2.791	0.717	0.15	0.107
Blocks	8	5.594	1.43	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	0	3.894	0	0.12	0
Passes	9	20.699	0.435	0.08	0.035
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.314 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.369 → ×100 = 36.93 → 37

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.448	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.104	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.791	4.896	0.3	1.469
Blocks	8	5.594	7.622	0.2	1.524
Takeaways	0	3.894	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	11	7.136	4.65	0.25	1.162

Σ contribution = 4.893

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.26	2.04	0.23	-0.128	-0.029
Assists	4	2.16	1.91	0.19	0.968	0.184
Shots	3	5.05	3.76	0.09	-0.546	-0.049
Passes	8	20.7	8.67	0.08	-1.464	-0.117
Saves	3	2.79	3.55	0.19	0.059	0.011
Blocks	1	5.59	4.09	0.11	-1.123	-0.124
Takeaways	1	3.89	2.93	0.11	-0.988	-0.109

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.233 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.534, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.8

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	4.175	1.317	0.32	0.422
Shots	3	5.052	0.594	0.08	0.048
Saves	3	2.791	1.075	0.15	0.161
Blocks	1	5.594	0.179	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	1	3.894	0.257	0.12	0.031
Passes	8	20.699	0.386	0.08	0.031
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.745 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.876 → ×100 = 87.59 → 88

Offensive9.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.462	0.111	0.4	3.994
Shooting %	0.667	0.448	0.2	1.563
Assists per pass	0.5	0.104	0.4	3.998

Σ contribution = 9.556

Defensive5.68

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.791	6.299	0.3	1.89
Blocks	1	5.594	3.297	0.2	0.659
Takeaways	1	3.894	3.476	0.25	0.869
Goals conceded	1	7.136	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.68

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.26	2.04	0.23	-0.128	-0.029
Assists	3	2.16	1.91	0.19	0.443	0.084
Shots	3	5.05	3.76	0.09	-0.546	-0.049
Passes	13	20.7	8.67	0.08	-0.888	-0.071
Saves	3	2.79	3.55	0.19	0.059	0.011
Blocks	5	5.59	4.09	0.11	-0.145	-0.016
Takeaways	5	3.89	2.93	0.11	0.378	0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.029 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.943, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.2

Pucker+96

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	4.175	1.078	0.32	0.345
Shots	3	5.052	0.594	0.08	0.048
Saves	3	2.791	1.075	0.15	0.161
Blocks	5	5.594	0.894	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	5	3.894	1.284	0.12	0.154
Passes	13	20.699	0.628	0.08	0.05
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.851 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.001 − 0.043 turnover penalty = 0.958 → ×100 = 95.73 → 96

Offensive8.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.111	0.4	3.137
Shooting %	0.667	0.448	0.2	1.563
Assists per pass	0.231	0.104	0.4	3.741

Σ contribution = 8.442

Defensive7.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.791	6.299	0.3	1.89
Blocks	5	5.594	5.577	0.2	1.115
Takeaways	5	3.894	7.106	0.25	1.776
Goals conceded	1	7.136	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.043

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	2.26	2.04	0.23	2.325	0.535
Assists	1	2.16	1.91	0.19	-0.606	-0.115
Shots	12	5.05	3.76	0.09	1.849	0.166
Passes	14	20.7	8.67	0.08	-0.772	-0.062
Saves	0	2.79	3.55	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	1	5.59	4.09	0.11	-1.123	-0.124
Takeaways	1	3.89	2.93	0.11	-0.988	-0.109

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.143 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.285, then +0.5 hat trick → 6.8

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	4.175	1.916	0.32	0.613
Shots	12	5.052	2.375	0.08	0.19
Saves	0	2.791	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	5.594	0.179	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	1	3.894	0.257	0.12	0.031
Passes	14	20.699	0.676	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.925 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.088 → ×100 = 108.77 → 109

Offensive7.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	2	0.111	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.583	0.448	0.2	1.435
Assists per pass	0.071	0.104	0.4	1.913

Σ contribution = 7.349

Defensive4.68

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.791	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	5.594	3.297	0.2	0.659
Takeaways	1	3.894	3.476	0.25	0.869
Goals conceded	1	7.136	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.676

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.