Home · LILLong Island Lightning
15–5Final
NJAwayNew Jersey Dragons

Jul 10, 2025 · Pro Division · The Thunderdome

MVP Jagr · 8.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Long Island LightningvsNew Jersey Dragons

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Long Island Lightning

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
Jagr651160414242500:241439.435.29
SOMEONE167327362111201:231217.027.16
milk8412120422332900:201608.464.69

New Jersey Dragons

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
Lucki22422283161600:21817.975.02
Kili31450261641600:19566.793.75
Mace011042135101800:33683.706.31

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals62.262.040.231.8340.422
Assists52.161.910.191.4920.284
Shots65.053.760.090.2520.023
Passes2520.78.670.080.4960.04
Saves02.793.550.19-0.785-0.149
Blocks45.594.090.11-0.39-0.043
Takeaways43.892.930.110.0360.004

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.58 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.159, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.3

Pucker+143
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution10.54.1752.5150.320.805
Shots65.0521.1880.080.095
Saves02.79100.150
Blocks45.5940.7150.070.05
Takeaways43.8941.0270.120.123
Passes2520.6991.2080.080.097
Faceoff win rate0.80.51.5990.030.048

Σ 1.218 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.433 → ×100 = 143.25 → 143

Offensive9.43
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.4580.1110.43.994
Shooting %10.4480.21.875
Assists per pass0.20.1040.43.562

Σ contribution = 9.431

Defensive5.29
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.7912.9540.30.886
Blocks45.5944.890.20.978
Takeaways43.8946.1080.251.527
Goals conceded57.1367.6120.251.903

Σ contribution = 5.294

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.262.040.23-0.619-0.142
Assists62.161.910.192.0170.383
Shots35.053.760.09-0.546-0.049
Passes1220.78.670.08-1.003-0.08
Saves22.793.550.19-0.223-0.042
Blocks115.594.090.111.3220.145
Takeaways63.892.930.110.7190.079

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.294 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.587, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+121
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution64.1751.4370.320.46
Shots35.0520.5940.080.048
Saves22.7910.7170.150.107
Blocks115.5941.9660.070.138
Takeaways63.8941.5410.120.185
Passes1220.6990.580.080.046
Faceoff win rate0.70.51.40.030.042

Σ 1.026 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.207 → ×100 = 120.68 → 121

Offensive7.02
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0840.1110.42.02
Shooting %0.3330.4480.21
Assists per pass0.50.1040.43.998

Σ contribution = 7.019

Defensive7.16
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves22.7914.8960.31.469
Blocks115.5948.9890.21.798
Takeaways63.8947.9740.251.993
Goals conceded57.1367.6120.251.903

Σ contribution = 7.163

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals82.262.040.232.8160.648
Assists42.161.910.190.9680.184
Shots125.053.760.091.8490.166
Passes2920.78.670.080.9570.077
Saves02.793.550.19-0.785-0.149
Blocks35.594.090.11-0.634-0.07
Takeaways23.892.930.11-0.647-0.071

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.784 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.569, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.3

Pucker+160
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution124.1752.8740.320.92
Shots125.0522.3750.080.19
Saves02.79100.150
Blocks35.5940.5360.070.038
Takeaways23.8940.5140.120.062
Passes2920.6991.4010.080.112
Faceoff win rate0.6670.51.3330.030.04

Σ 1.361 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.601 → ×100 = 160.11 → 160

Offensive8.46
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.60.1110.43.999
Shooting %0.6670.4480.21.563
Assists per pass0.1380.1040.42.902

Σ contribution = 8.464

Defensive4.69
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.7912.9540.30.886
Blocks35.5944.2680.20.854
Takeaways23.8944.1940.251.049
Goals conceded57.1367.6120.251.903

Σ contribution = 4.692

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Lucki New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals22.262.040.23-0.128-0.029
Assists22.161.910.19-0.082-0.016
Shots25.053.760.09-0.812-0.073
Passes1620.78.670.08-0.542-0.043
Saves22.793.550.19-0.223-0.042
Blocks65.594.090.110.0990.011
Takeaways33.892.930.11-0.305-0.034

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.226 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.547, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+81
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution44.1750.9580.320.307
Shots25.0520.3960.080.032
Saves22.7910.7170.150.107
Blocks65.5941.0730.070.075
Takeaways33.8940.770.120.092
Passes1620.6990.7730.080.062
Faceoff win rate0.20.50.40.030.012

Σ 0.687 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.808 → ×100 = 80.83 → 81

Offensive7.97
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.190.1110.43.379
Shooting %10.4480.21.875
Assists per pass0.1250.1040.42.716

Σ contribution = 7.971

Defensive5.02
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves22.7914.8960.31.469
Blocks65.5946.290.21.258
Takeaways33.8945.0970.251.274
Goals conceded157.1364.0760.251.019

Σ contribution = 5.02

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kili New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals32.262.040.230.3630.083
Assists12.161.910.19-0.606-0.115
Shots55.053.760.09-0.014-0.001
Passes1620.78.670.08-0.542-0.043
Saves02.793.550.19-0.785-0.149
Blocks45.594.090.11-0.39-0.043
Takeaways13.892.930.11-0.988-0.109

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.377 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.246, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.0

Pucker+56
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution44.1750.9580.320.307
Shots55.0520.990.080.079
Saves02.79100.150
Blocks45.5940.7150.070.05
Takeaways13.8940.2570.120.031
Passes1620.6990.7730.080.062
Faceoff win rate0.250.50.50.030.015

Σ 0.543 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.639 − 0.082 turnover penalty = 0.557 → ×100 = 55.74 → 56

Offensive6.79
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.2110.1110.43.54
Shooting %0.60.4480.21.462
Assists per pass0.0620.1040.41.792

Σ contribution = 6.795

Defensive3.75
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.7912.9540.30.886
Blocks45.5944.890.20.978
Takeaways13.8943.4760.250.869
Goals conceded157.1364.0760.251.019

Σ contribution = 3.752

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals02.262.040.23-1.109-0.255
Assists12.161.910.19-0.606-0.115
Shots05.053.760.09-1.344-0.121
Passes1820.78.670.08-0.311-0.025
Saves42.793.550.190.340.065
Blocks105.594.090.111.0770.119
Takeaways33.892.930.11-0.305-0.034

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.367 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.267, then −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+68
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution14.1750.240.320.077
Shots05.05200.080
Saves42.7911.4330.150.215
Blocks105.5941.7880.070.125
Takeaways33.8940.770.120.092
Passes1820.6990.870.080.07
Faceoff win rate0.6670.51.3330.030.04

Σ 0.619 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.728 − 0.043 turnover penalty = 0.685 → ×100 = 68.47 → 68

Offensive3.70
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.030.1110.41.405
Shooting %00.4480.20.591
Assists per pass0.0560.1040.41.703

Σ contribution = 3.7

Defensive6.31
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves42.7917.6320.32.29
Blocks105.5948.6280.21.726
Takeaways33.8945.0970.251.274
Goals conceded157.1364.0760.251.019

Σ contribution = 6.309

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.