Orange County low taper fades vs Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

OCHomeOrange County low taper fades

4–5Final

Away · OVFAOttawa Valley Fighting Admirals

Jul 1, 2025 · Central A · Ninjas room

MVP Panarin · 8.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Orange County low taper fadesvsOttawa Valley Fighting Admirals

20Shots812

7Saves916

8Faceoffs won44

23Takeaways320

20Turnovers↓323

33Blocks1716

54Passes1872

2:38Possession1:123:50

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Orange County low taper fades

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Gold	4	0	4	10	1	2	3	18	5	15	28	1:24	166	3.92	7.49
Hydroid.	0	2	2	2	6	3	1	3	6	13	11	0:53	104	5.67	7.89
NUTSACK6	0	0	0	8	0	3	0	2	9	5	15	0:21	29	2.95	4.93

Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Panarin	0	2	2	2	15	1	2	12	5	10	19	0	3:06	196	4.41	9.35
Slime	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	4	1	1	4	0	0:12	19	2.95	5.10
BroBurgota	0	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	3	1	15	0	0:08	42	7.47	4.69
EggsThink	1	0	1	2	0	0	1	0	2	1	5	0	0:02	18	6.42	4.40
AboveAverageJoe	4	1	5	6	0	2	4	4	12	3	29	1	0:22	70	6.81	5.32

Gold Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.15	1.81	0.23	1.019	0.234
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	10	4.52	3.14	0.09	1.744	0.157
Passes	28	18.6	8.98	0.08	1.047	0.084
Saves	1	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.453	-0.086
Blocks	15	5.19	3.66	0.11	2.679	0.295
Takeaways	18	4.26	3.68	0.11	3.73	0.41

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.874 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.747, then +0.3 blocks, +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.1

Pucker+166

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.769	1.061	0.32	0.34
Shots	10	4.522	2.211	0.08	0.177
Saves	1	2.362	0.423	0.15	0.063
Blocks	15	5.188	2.892	0.07	0.202
Takeaways	18	4.256	4.229	0.12	0.507
Passes	28	18.6	1.505	0.08	0.12
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.434 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.687 − 0.027 turnover penalty = 1.66 → ×100 = 166.08 → 166

Offensive3.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.095	0.4	1.662
Shooting %	0.4	0.476	0.2	1.073
Assists per pass	0	0.096	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.917

Defensive7.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.362	3.919	0.3	1.176
Blocks	15	5.188	9.822	0.2	1.964
Takeaways	18	4.256	9.987	0.25	2.497
Goals conceded	5	6.85	7.416	0.25	1.854

Σ contribution = 7.491

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Hydroid. Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	2	4.52	3.14	0.09	-0.803	-0.072
Passes	11	18.6	8.98	0.08	-0.846	-0.068
Saves	6	2.36	3.01	0.19	1.209	0.23
Blocks	13	5.19	3.66	0.11	2.133	0.235
Takeaways	3	4.26	3.68	0.11	-0.341	-0.038

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.04 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.081, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6

Pucker+104

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.769	0.531	0.32	0.17
Shots	2	4.522	0.442	0.08	0.035
Saves	6	2.362	2.54	0.15	0.381
Blocks	13	5.188	2.506	0.07	0.175
Takeaways	3	4.256	0.705	0.12	0.085
Passes	11	18.6	0.591	0.08	0.047
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.501	1.497	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.938 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.104 − 0.062 turnover penalty = 1.042 → ×100 = 104.21 → 104

Offensive5.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.038	0.095	0.4	1.537
Shooting %	0	0.476	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.182	0.096	0.4	3.542

Σ contribution = 5.67

Defensive7.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.362	9.648	0.3	2.894
Blocks	13	5.188	9.625	0.2	1.925
Takeaways	3	4.256	4.853	0.25	1.213
Goals conceded	5	6.85	7.416	0.25	1.854

Σ contribution = 7.886

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

NUTSACK6 Orange County low taper fades

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	8	4.52	3.14	0.09	1.107	0.1
Passes	15	18.6	8.98	0.08	-0.401	-0.032
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	5	5.19	3.66	0.11	-0.051	-0.006
Takeaways	2	4.26	3.68	0.11	-0.612	-0.067

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.648 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.703, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.2

Pucker+29

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.769	0	0.32	0
Shots	8	4.522	1.769	0.08	0.142
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	5	5.188	0.964	0.07	0.067
Takeaways	2	4.256	0.47	0.12	0.056
Passes	15	18.6	0.806	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	1	0.501	1.996	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.39 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.459 − 0.168 turnover penalty = 0.291 → ×100 = 29.07 → 29

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.476	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.096	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.93

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	5	5.188	5.855	0.2	1.171
Takeaways	2	4.256	4.058	0.25	1.015
Goals conceded	5	6.85	7.416	0.25	1.854

Σ contribution = 4.926

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	2	4.52	3.14	0.09	-0.803	-0.072
Passes	19	18.6	8.98	0.08	0.045	0.004
Saves	15	2.36	3.01	0.19	4.202	0.798
Blocks	10	5.19	3.66	0.11	1.314	0.145
Takeaways	12	4.26	3.68	0.11	2.102	0.231

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.859 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.717, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 takeaways, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.2

Pucker+196

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.769	0.398	0.32	0.127
Shots	2	4.522	0.442	0.08	0.035
Saves	15	2.362	6.349	0.15	0.952
Blocks	10	5.188	1.928	0.07	0.135
Takeaways	12	4.256	2.819	0.12	0.338
Passes	19	18.6	1.022	0.08	0.082
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.501	0.665	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.69 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.988 − 0.027 turnover penalty = 1.961 → ×100 = 196.17 → 196

Offensive4.41

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.011	0.095	0.4	1.264
Shooting %	0	0.476	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.105	0.096	0.4	2.555

Σ contribution = 4.41

Defensive9.35

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	15	2.362	10	0.3	3
Blocks	10	5.188	8.918	0.2	1.784
Takeaways	12	4.256	9.795	0.25	2.449
Goals conceded	4	6.85	8.449	0.25	2.112

Σ contribution = 9.345

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Slime Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	1	4.52	3.14	0.09	-1.121	-0.101
Passes	4	18.6	8.98	0.08	-1.626	-0.13
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	1	5.19	3.66	0.11	-1.143	-0.126
Takeaways	4	4.26	3.68	0.11	-0.07	-0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ −1.007 × 2, −3 to 3) = 3.985, then −0.2 cold shooting → 3.8

Pucker+19

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.769	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.522	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	5.188	0.193	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	4	4.256	0.94	0.12	0.113
Passes	4	18.6	0.215	0.08	0.017
Faceoff win rate	0	0.501	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.161 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.19 → ×100 = 18.96 → 19

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.476	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.096	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	5.188	3.328	0.2	0.666
Takeaways	4	4.256	5.759	0.25	1.44
Goals conceded	4	6.85	8.449	0.25	2.112

Σ contribution = 5.104

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

BroBurgota Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.15	1.81	0.23	-1.188	-0.273
Assists	2	1.78	1.54	0.19	0.14	0.027
Shots	1	4.52	3.14	0.09	-1.121	-0.101
Passes	15	18.6	8.98	0.08	-0.401	-0.032
Saves	1	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.453	-0.086
Blocks	1	5.19	3.66	0.11	-1.143	-0.126
Takeaways	0	4.26	3.68	0.11	-1.155	-0.127

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.719 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.563, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+42

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.769	0.531	0.32	0.17
Shots	1	4.522	0.221	0.08	0.018
Saves	1	2.362	0.423	0.15	0.063
Blocks	1	5.188	0.193	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	0	4.256	0	0.12	0
Passes	15	18.6	0.806	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.501	0.998	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.359 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.422 → ×100 = 42.23 → 42

Offensive7.47

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.095	0.4	3.882
Shooting %	0	0.476	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.133	0.096	0.4	2.994

Σ contribution = 7.467

Defensive4.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.362	3.919	0.3	1.176
Blocks	1	5.188	3.328	0.2	0.666
Takeaways	0	4.256	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	4	6.85	8.449	0.25	2.112

Σ contribution = 4.692

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

EggsThink Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.15	1.81	0.23	-0.636	-0.146
Assists	0	1.78	1.54	0.19	-1.161	-0.221
Shots	2	4.52	3.14	0.09	-0.803	-0.072
Passes	5	18.6	8.98	0.08	-1.515	-0.121
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	1	5.19	3.66	0.11	-1.143	-0.126
Takeaways	0	4.26	3.68	0.11	-1.155	-0.127

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.962 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.075, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.1

Pucker+18

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.769	0.265	0.32	0.085
Shots	2	4.522	0.442	0.08	0.035
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	5.188	0.193	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	0	4.256	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	18.6	0.269	0.08	0.022
Faceoff win rate	0	0.501	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.155 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.183 → ×100 = 18.27 → 18

Offensive6.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.095	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.5	0.476	0.2	1.24
Assists per pass	0	0.096	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.421

Defensive4.40

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	5.188	3.328	0.2	0.666
Takeaways	0	4.256	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	4	6.85	8.449	0.25	2.112

Σ contribution = 4.402

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

AboveAverageJoe Ottawa Valley Fighting Admirals

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.15	1.81	0.23	1.019	0.234
Assists	1	1.78	1.54	0.19	-0.51	-0.097
Shots	6	4.52	3.14	0.09	0.471	0.042
Passes	29	18.6	8.98	0.08	1.158	0.093
Saves	0	2.36	3.01	0.19	-0.785	-0.149
Blocks	3	5.19	3.66	0.11	-0.597	-0.066
Takeaways	4	4.26	3.68	0.11	-0.07	-0.008

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.05 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.1, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.0

Pucker+70

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.769	1.327	0.32	0.425
Shots	6	4.522	1.327	0.08	0.106
Saves	0	2.362	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	5.188	0.578	0.07	0.04
Takeaways	4	4.256	0.94	0.12	0.113
Passes	29	18.6	1.559	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.501	0.665	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.829 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.975 − 0.274 turnover penalty = 0.701 → ×100 = 70.1 → 70

Offensive6.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.227	0.095	0.4	3.814
Shooting %	0.667	0.476	0.2	1.504
Assists per pass	0.034	0.096	0.4	1.496

Σ contribution = 6.813

Defensive5.32

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.362	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	5.188	4.407	0.2	0.881
Takeaways	4	4.256	5.759	0.25	1.44
Goals conceded	4	6.85	8.449	0.25	2.112

Σ contribution = 5.319

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.