Long Island Lightning vs New Jersey Dragons

Home · LILLong Island Lightning

8–10Final

NJAwayNew Jersey Dragons

May 23, 2025 · Erveon Cup - Playoffs · The Thunderdome

MVP Mace · 8.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Long Island LightningvsNew Jersey Dragons

25Shots1213

3Saves1417

10Faceoffs won111

13Takeaways211

11Turnovers↓213

11Blocks1930

97Passes4354

3:06Possession2:001:06

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Long Island Lightning

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jagr	2	3	5	7	0	3	3	2	2	2	29	0:21	77	1.35	0.47
SOMEONE	1	3	4	3	3	3	5	4	6	7	25	1:40	81	0.88	0.95
milk	5	3	8	15	0	4	3	7	3	2	43	1:05	147	0.96	0.75

New Jersey Dragons

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Kili	4	4	8	6	1	4	4	4	5	5	20	0	0:24	112	1.84	0.77
9th coming of Jesus	3	2	5	4	3	4	4	1	5	12	20	0	0:11	95	1.58	0.94
Mace	3	5	8	3	13	3	2	6	3	13	14	1	0:31	194	1.94	1.56

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.2	1.83	0.23	-0.107	-0.025
Assists	3	2.23	1.7	0.19	0.453	0.086
Shots	7	5.46	3.65	0.09	0.422	0.038
Passes	29	24.76	9.15	0.08	0.463	0.037
Saves	0	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.733	-0.139
Blocks	2	5.82	3.36	0.11	-1.135	-0.125
Takeaways	2	3.77	2.77	0.11	-0.64	-0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.198 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.604, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	4.179	1.077	0.32	0.345
Shots	7	5.457	1.283	0.08	0.103
Saves	0	3.261	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	5.815	0.344	0.07	0.024
Takeaways	2	3.772	0.53	0.12	0.064
Passes	29	24.761	1.171	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.659 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.775 → ×100 = 77.48 → 77

Offensive1.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.238	0.101	0.4	0.75
Shooting %	0.286	0.402	0.2	0.144
Assists per pass	0.103	0.09	0.4	0.459

Σ contribution = 1.353

Defensive0.47

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	3.261	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	5.815	0.424	0.2	0.085
Takeaways	2	3.772	0.562	0.25	0.141
Goals conceded	10	6.739	0.685	0.25	0.171

Σ contribution = 0.469

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.2	1.83	0.23	-0.654	-0.15
Assists	3	2.23	1.7	0.19	0.453	0.086
Shots	3	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.672	-0.061
Passes	25	24.76	9.15	0.08	0.026	0.002
Saves	3	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.059	-0.011
Blocks	7	5.82	3.36	0.11	0.353	0.039
Takeaways	4	3.77	2.77	0.11	0.082	0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.086 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.828, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+81

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	4.179	0.837	0.32	0.268
Shots	3	5.457	0.55	0.08	0.044
Saves	3	3.261	0.92	0.15	0.138
Blocks	7	5.815	1.204	0.07	0.084
Takeaways	4	3.772	1.061	0.12	0.127
Passes	25	24.761	1.01	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	0.375	0.5	0.75	0.03	0.022

Σ 0.765 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.9 − 0.089 turnover penalty = 0.811 → ×100 = 81.11 → 81

Offensive0.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.101	0.4	0.184
Shooting %	0.333	0.402	0.2	0.166
Assists per pass	0.12	0.09	0.4	0.529

Σ contribution = 0.878

Defensive0.95

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	3.261	0.92	0.3	0.276
Blocks	7	5.815	1.201	0.2	0.24
Takeaways	4	3.772	1.06	0.25	0.265
Goals conceded	10	6.739	0.685	0.25	0.171

Σ contribution = 0.952

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.2	1.83	0.23	1.533	0.353
Assists	3	2.23	1.7	0.19	0.453	0.086
Shots	15	5.46	3.65	0.09	2.612	0.235
Passes	43	24.76	9.15	0.08	1.992	0.159
Saves	0	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.733	-0.139
Blocks	2	5.82	3.36	0.11	-1.135	-0.125
Takeaways	7	3.77	2.77	0.11	1.165	0.128

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.697 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.394, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.0

Pucker+147

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	4.179	1.914	0.32	0.613
Shots	15	5.457	2.749	0.08	0.22
Saves	0	3.261	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	5.815	0.344	0.07	0.024
Takeaways	7	3.772	1.856	0.12	0.223
Passes	43	24.761	1.737	0.08	0.139
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.252 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.473 → ×100 = 147.35 → 147

Offensive0.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.123	0.101	0.4	0.485
Shooting %	0.333	0.402	0.2	0.166
Assists per pass	0.07	0.09	0.4	0.312

Σ contribution = 0.963

Defensive0.75

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	3.261	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	2	5.815	0.424	0.2	0.085
Takeaways	7	3.772	1.694	0.25	0.424
Goals conceded	10	6.739	0.685	0.25	0.171

Σ contribution = 0.752

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kili New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.2	1.83	0.23	0.986	0.227
Assists	4	2.23	1.7	0.19	1.04	0.198
Shots	6	5.46	3.65	0.09	0.149	0.013
Passes	20	24.76	9.15	0.08	-0.52	-0.042
Saves	1	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.508	-0.097
Blocks	5	5.82	3.36	0.11	-0.243	-0.027
Takeaways	4	3.77	2.77	0.11	0.082	0.009

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.282 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.564, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Pucker+112

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	4.179	1.795	0.32	0.574
Shots	6	5.457	1.1	0.08	0.088
Saves	1	3.261	0.307	0.15	0.046
Blocks	5	5.815	0.86	0.07	0.06
Takeaways	4	3.772	1.061	0.12	0.127
Passes	20	24.761	0.808	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.99 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.165 − 0.049 turnover penalty = 1.116 → ×100 = 111.62 → 112

Offensive1.84

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.101	0.4	0.792
Shooting %	0.667	0.402	0.2	0.315
Assists per pass	0.2	0.09	0.4	0.736

Σ contribution = 1.843

Defensive0.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	3.261	0.4	0.3	0.12
Blocks	5	5.815	0.861	0.2	0.172
Takeaways	4	3.772	1.06	0.25	0.265
Goals conceded	8	6.739	0.844	0.25	0.211

Σ contribution = 0.768

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

9th coming of Jesus New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.83	0.23	0.44	0.101
Assists	2	2.23	1.7	0.19	-0.134	-0.025
Shots	4	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.399	-0.036
Passes	20	24.76	9.15	0.08	-0.52	-0.042
Saves	3	3.26	4.45	0.19	-0.059	-0.011
Blocks	12	5.82	3.36	0.11	1.84	0.202
Takeaways	1	3.77	2.77	0.11	-1.001	-0.11

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.079 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.159, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.2

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	4.179	1.196	0.32	0.383
Shots	4	5.457	0.733	0.08	0.059
Saves	3	3.261	0.92	0.15	0.138
Blocks	12	5.815	2.064	0.07	0.144
Takeaways	1	3.772	0.265	0.12	0.032
Passes	20	24.761	0.808	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.85 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1 − 0.049 turnover penalty = 0.951 → ×100 = 95.16 → 95

Offensive1.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.455	0.101	0.4	0.799
Shooting %	0.75	0.402	0.2	0.34
Assists per pass	0.1	0.09	0.4	0.444

Σ contribution = 1.583

Defensive0.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	3.261	0.92	0.3	0.276
Blocks	12	5.815	1.787	0.2	0.357
Takeaways	1	3.772	0.374	0.25	0.093
Goals conceded	8	6.739	0.844	0.25	0.211

Σ contribution = 0.937

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.2	1.83	0.23	0.44	0.101
Assists	5	2.23	1.7	0.19	1.627	0.309
Shots	3	5.46	3.65	0.09	-0.672	-0.061
Passes	14	24.76	9.15	0.08	-1.175	-0.094
Saves	13	3.26	4.45	0.19	2.19	0.416
Blocks	13	5.82	3.36	0.11	2.138	0.235
Takeaways	6	3.77	2.77	0.11	0.804	0.088

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.995 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.991, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.8

Pucker+194

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	4.179	1.795	0.32	0.574
Shots	3	5.457	0.55	0.08	0.044
Saves	13	3.261	3.987	0.15	0.598
Blocks	13	5.815	2.236	0.07	0.156
Takeaways	6	3.772	1.591	0.12	0.191
Passes	14	24.761	0.565	0.08	0.045
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.645 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.935 → ×100 = 193.51 → 194

Offensive1.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.258	0.101	0.4	0.765
Shooting %	1	0.402	0.2	0.381
Assists per pass	0.357	0.09	0.4	0.798

Σ contribution = 1.944

Defensive1.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	13	3.261	1.995	0.3	0.598
Blocks	13	5.815	1.844	0.2	0.369
Takeaways	6	3.772	1.53	0.25	0.383
Goals conceded	8	6.739	0.844	0.25	0.211

Σ contribution = 1.561

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.