Long Island Lightning vs New Jersey Dragons

Home · LILLong Island Lightning

14–6Final

NJAwayNew Jersey Dragons

Apr 9, 2025 · Pro Division · The Thunderdome

MVP Jagr · 8.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Long Island LightningvsNew Jersey Dragons

29Shots1811

5Saves1015

11Faceoffs won110

19Takeaways217

17Turnovers↓219

19Blocks1130

100Passes4357

2:13Possession0:471:26

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Long Island Lightning

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jagr	5	6	11	8	1	1	4	10	3	3	34	0:53	155	1.55	1.03
SOMEONE	3	7	10	5	4	5	3	5	7	10	29	0:39	137	1.73	1.34
milk	6	5	11	16	0	5	3	4	7	6	37	0:41	142	1.42	0.83

New Jersey Dragons

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Kili	3	0	3	8	2	2	4	4	6	11	19	0:27	81	0.62	0.93
Bingle	1	1	2	1	2	3	3	9	9	7	20	0:34	63	0.78	1.03
Mace	2	2	4	2	11	5	4	4	4	12	18	0:25	143	1.32	1.34

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.51	2.02	0.23	1.233	0.284
Assists	6	2.41	1.79	0.19	2.001	0.38
Shots	8	5.43	3.44	0.09	0.746	0.067
Passes	34	23.48	9.12	0.08	1.153	0.092
Saves	1	2.92	3.11	0.19	-0.618	-0.117
Blocks	3	6.48	3.95	0.11	-0.881	-0.097
Takeaways	10	3.94	3.24	0.11	1.868	0.205

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.814 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.629, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.3

Pucker+155

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	4.653	2.149	0.32	0.688
Shots	8	5.432	1.473	0.08	0.118
Saves	1	2.923	0.342	0.15	0.051
Blocks	3	6.484	0.463	0.07	0.032
Takeaways	10	3.943	2.536	0.12	0.304
Passes	34	23.481	1.448	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 1.321 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.555 → ×100 = 155.47 → 155

Offensive1.55

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.208	0.122	0.4	0.641
Shooting %	0.625	0.462	0.2	0.268
Assists per pass	0.176	0.103	0.4	0.646

Σ contribution = 1.555

Defensive1.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.923	0.423	0.3	0.127
Blocks	3	6.484	0.509	0.2	0.102
Takeaways	10	3.943	1.912	0.25	0.478
Goals conceded	6	7.792	1.29	0.25	0.323

Σ contribution = 1.03

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SOMEONE Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.51	2.02	0.23	0.243	0.056
Assists	7	2.41	1.79	0.19	2.559	0.486
Shots	5	5.43	3.44	0.09	-0.125	-0.011
Passes	29	23.48	9.12	0.08	0.605	0.048
Saves	4	2.92	3.11	0.19	0.346	0.066
Blocks	10	6.48	3.95	0.11	0.889	0.098
Takeaways	5	3.94	3.24	0.11	0.326	0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.779 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.557, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.9

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8.5	4.653	1.827	0.32	0.585
Shots	5	5.432	0.921	0.08	0.074
Saves	4	2.923	1.368	0.15	0.205
Blocks	10	6.484	1.542	0.07	0.108
Takeaways	5	3.943	1.268	0.12	0.152
Passes	29	23.481	1.235	0.08	0.099
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.26 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.482 − 0.117 turnover penalty = 1.365 → ×100 = 136.52 → 137

Offensive1.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.256	0.122	0.4	0.719
Shooting %	0.6	0.462	0.2	0.258
Assists per pass	0.241	0.103	0.4	0.75

Σ contribution = 1.727

Defensive1.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.923	1.352	0.3	0.406
Blocks	10	6.484	1.495	0.2	0.299
Takeaways	5	3.943	1.262	0.25	0.315
Goals conceded	6	7.792	1.29	0.25	0.323

Σ contribution = 1.343

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

milk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.51	2.02	0.23	1.727	0.397
Assists	5	2.41	1.79	0.19	1.444	0.274
Shots	16	5.43	3.44	0.09	3.069	0.276
Passes	37	23.48	9.12	0.08	1.482	0.119
Saves	0	2.92	3.11	0.19	-0.939	-0.178
Blocks	6	6.48	3.95	0.11	-0.122	-0.013
Takeaways	4	3.94	3.24	0.11	0.018	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.876 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.753, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.4 playmaker, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.2

Pucker+142

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10.5	4.653	2.257	0.32	0.722
Shots	16	5.432	2.946	0.08	0.236
Saves	0	2.923	0	0.15	0
Blocks	6	6.484	0.925	0.07	0.065
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.12	0.122
Passes	37	23.481	1.576	0.08	0.126
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.308 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.539 − 0.117 turnover penalty = 1.422 → ×100 = 142.16 → 142

Offensive1.42

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.268	0.122	0.4	0.732
Shooting %	0.375	0.462	0.2	0.163
Assists per pass	0.135	0.103	0.4	0.522

Σ contribution = 1.417

Defensive0.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.923	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	6.484	0.926	0.2	0.185
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.25	0.254
Goals conceded	6	7.792	1.29	0.25	0.323

Σ contribution = 0.834

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kili New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.51	2.02	0.23	0.243	0.056
Assists	0	2.41	1.79	0.19	-1.346	-0.256
Shots	8	5.43	3.44	0.09	0.746	0.067
Passes	19	23.48	9.12	0.08	-0.491	-0.039
Saves	2	2.92	3.11	0.19	-0.297	-0.056
Blocks	11	6.48	3.95	0.11	1.142	0.126
Takeaways	4	3.94	3.24	0.11	0.018	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.101 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.799, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+81

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	4.653	0.645	0.32	0.206
Shots	8	5.432	1.473	0.08	0.118
Saves	2	2.923	0.684	0.15	0.103
Blocks	11	6.484	1.697	0.07	0.119
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.12	0.122
Passes	19	23.481	0.809	0.08	0.065
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.752 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.885 − 0.079 turnover penalty = 0.806 → ×100 = 80.58 → 81

Offensive0.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.122	0.4	0.363
Shooting %	0.375	0.462	0.2	0.163
Assists per pass	0	0.103	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.621

Defensive0.93

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.923	0.694	0.3	0.208
Blocks	11	6.484	1.602	0.2	0.32
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.25	0.254
Goals conceded	14	7.792	0.584	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 0.928

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bingle New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.51	2.02	0.23	-0.746	-0.172
Assists	1	2.41	1.79	0.19	-0.788	-0.15
Shots	1	5.43	3.44	0.09	-1.287	-0.116
Passes	20	23.48	9.12	0.08	-0.382	-0.031
Saves	2	2.92	3.11	0.19	-0.297	-0.056
Blocks	7	6.48	3.95	0.11	0.131	0.014
Takeaways	9	3.94	3.24	0.11	1.559	0.172

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.338 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.324, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+63

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	4.653	0.43	0.32	0.138
Shots	1	5.432	0.184	0.08	0.015
Saves	2	2.923	0.684	0.15	0.103
Blocks	7	6.484	1.08	0.07	0.076
Takeaways	9	3.943	2.283	0.12	0.274
Passes	20	23.481	0.852	0.08	0.068
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.703 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.827 − 0.193 turnover penalty = 0.634 → ×100 = 63.31 → 63

Offensive0.78

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.122	0.4	0.209
Shooting %	1	0.462	0.2	0.365
Assists per pass	0.05	0.103	0.4	0.211

Σ contribution = 0.785

Defensive1.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.923	0.694	0.3	0.208
Blocks	7	6.484	1.079	0.2	0.216
Takeaways	9	3.943	1.857	0.25	0.464
Goals conceded	14	7.792	0.584	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.034

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mace New Jersey Dragons

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.51	2.02	0.23	-0.251	-0.058
Assists	2	2.41	1.79	0.19	-0.23	-0.044
Shots	2	5.43	3.44	0.09	-0.997	-0.09
Passes	18	23.48	9.12	0.08	-0.601	-0.048
Saves	11	2.92	3.11	0.19	2.595	0.493
Blocks	12	6.48	3.95	0.11	1.395	0.153
Takeaways	4	3.94	3.24	0.11	0.018	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.409 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.818, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.2

Pucker+143

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.653	0.86	0.32	0.275
Shots	2	5.432	0.368	0.08	0.029
Saves	11	2.923	3.763	0.15	0.564
Blocks	12	6.484	1.851	0.07	0.13
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.12	0.122
Passes	18	23.481	0.767	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 1.215 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.429 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 1.426 → ×100 = 142.67 → 143

Offensive1.32

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.16	0.122	0.4	0.519
Shooting %	1	0.462	0.2	0.365
Assists per pass	0.111	0.103	0.4	0.432

Σ contribution = 1.316

Defensive1.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	11	2.923	1.992	0.3	0.598
Blocks	12	6.484	1.691	0.2	0.338
Takeaways	4	3.943	1.015	0.25	0.254
Goals conceded	14	7.792	0.584	0.25	0.146

Σ contribution = 1.336

League average is 6.0 on APR, 1.0 on Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.