Erie Swordfish vs Buffalo Blizzards

ESHomeErie Swordfish

9–13Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Jan 27, 2025 · Open Division · Lake Erie Ice Complex

MVP ocho · 8.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Erie SwordfishvsBuffalo Blizzards

15Shots520

7Saves16

7Faceoffs won916

10Takeaways19

9Turnovers↓110

27Blocks431

57Passes2730

1:01Possession0:031:04

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Erie Swordfish

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Waggles	0	4	4	1	2	1	3	3	3	10	15	0:15	99	8.32	5.79
ocho	7	1	8	11	2	5	7	3	2	6	25	0:16	167	6.95	5.33
axe	2	4	6	3	3	1	6	4	4	11	17	0:30	132	8.81	6.70

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	1	3	4	1	2	4	1	6	2	17	6	0:40	119	8.18	7.04
JoshAllenfan420	6	1	7	11	3	8	4	2	4	8	12	0:12	156	7.37	6.07
minimongo	6	4	10	8	1	4	2	1	4	6	12	0:12	158	9.55	4.54

Waggles Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.75	0.23	-1.125	-0.259
Assists	4	1.64	1.44	0.19	1.637	0.311
Shots	1	4.05	3	0.09	-1.019	-0.092
Passes	15	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.078	-0.006
Saves	2	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	10	6.07	3.79	0.11	1.037	0.114
Takeaways	3	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.191	-0.021

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.041 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.082, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+99

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.467	1.154	0.32	0.369
Shots	1	4.051	0.247	0.08	0.02
Saves	2	2.08	0.962	0.15	0.144
Blocks	10	6.071	1.647	0.07	0.115
Takeaways	3	3.585	0.837	0.12	0.1
Passes	15	15.523	0.966	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.841 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.99 → ×100 = 98.97 → 99

Offensive8.32

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.267	0.103	0.4	3.872
Shooting %	0	0.487	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.267	0.105	0.4	3.857

Σ contribution = 8.32

Defensive5.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.08	5.847	0.3	1.754
Blocks	10	6.071	8.279	0.2	1.656
Takeaways	3	3.585	5.353	0.25	1.338
Goals conceded	13	6.623	4.181	0.25	1.045

Σ contribution = 5.793

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ocho Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	1.97	1.75	0.23	2.869	0.66
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	11	4.05	3	0.09	2.32	0.209
Passes	25	15.52	6.73	0.08	1.409	0.113
Saves	2	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	6	6.07	3.79	0.11	-0.019	-0.002
Takeaways	3	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.191	-0.021

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.868 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.736, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.3

Pucker+167

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	3.467	2.308	0.32	0.738
Shots	11	4.051	2.715	0.08	0.217
Saves	2	2.08	0.962	0.15	0.144
Blocks	6	6.071	0.988	0.07	0.069
Takeaways	3	3.585	0.837	0.12	0.1
Passes	25	15.523	1.61	0.08	0.129
Faceoff win rate	0.417	0.5	0.833	0.03	0.025

Σ 1.423 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.675 → ×100 = 167.45 → 167

Offensive6.95

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.103	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.636	0.487	0.2	1.439
Assists per pass	0.04	0.105	0.4	1.518

Σ contribution = 6.955

Defensive5.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.08	5.847	0.3	1.754
Blocks	6	6.071	5.953	0.2	1.191
Takeaways	3	3.585	5.353	0.25	1.338
Goals conceded	13	6.623	4.181	0.25	1.045

Σ contribution = 5.328

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

axe Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.75	0.23	0.016	0.004
Assists	4	1.64	1.44	0.19	1.637	0.311
Shots	3	4.05	3	0.09	-0.351	-0.032
Passes	17	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.22	0.018
Saves	3	2.08	2.31	0.19	0.399	0.076
Blocks	11	6.07	3.79	0.11	1.301	0.143
Takeaways	4	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.135	0.015

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.534 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.069, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.1

Pucker+132

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.467	1.587	0.32	0.508
Shots	3	4.051	0.741	0.08	0.059
Saves	3	2.08	1.442	0.15	0.216
Blocks	11	6.071	1.812	0.07	0.127
Takeaways	4	3.585	1.116	0.12	0.134
Passes	17	15.523	1.095	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.143	0.5	0.286	0.03	0.009

Σ 1.14 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.341 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 1.323 → ×100 = 132.36 → 132

Offensive8.81

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.103	0.4	3.579
Shooting %	0.667	0.487	0.2	1.483
Assists per pass	0.235	0.105	0.4	3.749

Σ contribution = 8.811

Defensive6.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.08	7.663	0.3	2.299
Blocks	11	6.071	8.683	0.2	1.737
Takeaways	4	3.585	6.461	0.25	1.615
Goals conceded	13	6.623	4.181	0.25	1.045

Σ contribution = 6.696

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.75	0.23	-0.554	-0.127
Assists	3	1.64	1.44	0.19	0.944	0.179
Shots	1	4.05	3	0.09	-1.019	-0.092
Passes	6	15.52	6.73	0.08	-1.416	-0.113
Saves	2	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	17	6.07	3.79	0.11	2.884	0.317
Takeaways	6	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.787	0.087

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.244 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.489, then +0.3 blocks, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.8

Pucker+119

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.467	1.154	0.32	0.369
Shots	1	4.051	0.247	0.08	0.02
Saves	2	2.08	0.962	0.15	0.144
Blocks	17	6.071	2.8	0.07	0.196
Takeaways	6	3.585	1.673	0.12	0.201
Passes	6	15.523	0.387	0.08	0.031
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.009 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.187 → ×100 = 118.7 → 119

Offensive8.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.103	0.4	2.354
Shooting %	1	0.487	0.2	1.827
Assists per pass	0.5	0.105	0.4	3.998

Σ contribution = 8.18

Defensive7.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.08	5.847	0.3	1.754
Blocks	17	6.071	9.787	0.2	1.957
Takeaways	6	3.585	8.349	0.25	2.087
Goals conceded	9	6.623	4.967	0.25	1.242

Σ contribution = 7.04

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.97	1.75	0.23	2.298	0.529
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	11	4.05	3	0.09	2.32	0.209
Passes	12	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.524	-0.042
Saves	3	2.08	2.31	0.19	0.399	0.076
Blocks	8	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.509	0.056
Takeaways	2	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.517	-0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.687 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.373, then +0.5 hat trick, −0.2 goals against → 7.7

Pucker+156

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	3.467	2.019	0.32	0.646
Shots	11	4.051	2.715	0.08	0.217
Saves	3	2.08	1.442	0.15	0.216
Blocks	8	6.071	1.318	0.07	0.092
Takeaways	2	3.585	0.558	0.12	0.067
Passes	12	15.523	0.773	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.341 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.577 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 1.559 → ×100 = 155.96 → 156

Offensive7.37

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.583	0.103	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.545	0.487	0.2	1.296
Assists per pass	0.083	0.105	0.4	2.07

Σ contribution = 7.366

Defensive6.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.08	7.663	0.3	2.299
Blocks	8	6.071	7.23	0.2	1.446
Takeaways	2	3.585	4.338	0.25	1.085
Goals conceded	9	6.623	4.967	0.25	1.242

Σ contribution = 6.072

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.97	1.75	0.23	2.298	0.529
Assists	4	1.64	1.44	0.19	1.637	0.311
Shots	8	4.05	3	0.09	1.318	0.119
Passes	12	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.524	-0.042
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	6	6.07	3.79	0.11	-0.019	-0.002
Takeaways	1	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.842	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.733 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.466, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 8.0

Pucker+158

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	3.467	2.885	0.32	0.923
Shots	8	4.051	1.975	0.08	0.158
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	6	6.071	0.988	0.07	0.069
Takeaways	1	3.585	0.279	0.12	0.033
Passes	12	15.523	0.773	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.358 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.597 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 1.579 → ×100 = 157.95 → 158

Offensive9.55

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.833	0.103	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.75	0.487	0.2	1.595
Assists per pass	0.333	0.105	0.4	3.958

Σ contribution = 9.553

Defensive4.54

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	6	6.071	5.953	0.2	1.191
Takeaways	1	3.585	3.53	0.25	0.882
Goals conceded	9	6.623	4.967	0.25	1.242

Σ contribution = 4.543

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.