Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies vs Buffalo Blizzards

OVHomeOttawa Valley Rubber Duckies

7–5Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Jan 20, 2025 · Open Division · The Valley Duck Stadium

MVP TMNNational · 7.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Ottawa Valley Rubber DuckiesvsBuffalo Blizzards

13Shots49

4Saves26

10Faceoffs won55

21Takeaways129

9Turnovers↓1221

17Blocks320

61Passes2536

3:08Possession2:110:57

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
TMNNational	5	1	6	10	1	3	2	8	2	6	19	1	0:58	152	5.29	6.58
Belevis	1	1	2	1	1	2	0	5	2	7	16	0	0:53	78	5.11	6.24
Faceguy [ >:) ]	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	0	0:09	20	2.95	4.66
Triscut	1	1	2	2	1	4	2	7	4	2	23	0	1:08	82	4.20	6.01

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
JoshAllenfan420	0	1	1	0	4	1	6	6	11	8	10	0:20	55	4.55	7.65
Ol Woodster	1	1	2	2	0	2	2	2	3	7	9	0:23	53	5.86	4.74
minimongo	4	1	5	7	2	2	2	1	7	5	17	0:14	98	7.05	5.14

TMNNational Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.97	1.75	0.23	1.728	0.397
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	10	4.05	3	0.09	1.986	0.179
Passes	19	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.517	0.041
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	6	6.07	3.79	0.11	-0.019	-0.002
Takeaways	8	3.59	3.07	0.11	1.438	0.158

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.601 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.202, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.2

Pucker+152

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.467	1.731	0.32	0.554
Shots	10	4.051	2.469	0.08	0.197
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	6	6.071	0.988	0.07	0.069
Takeaways	8	3.585	2.231	0.12	0.268
Passes	19	15.523	1.224	0.08	0.098
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.294 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.523 → ×100 = 152.27 → 152

Offensive5.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.103	0.103	0.4	2.408
Shooting %	0.5	0.487	0.2	1.222
Assists per pass	0.053	0.105	0.4	1.66

Σ contribution = 5.29

Defensive6.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	6	6.071	5.953	0.2	1.191
Takeaways	8	3.585	9.372	0.25	2.343
Goals conceded	5	6.623	7.255	0.25	1.814

Σ contribution = 6.576

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Belevis Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.75	0.23	-0.554	-0.127
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	1	4.05	3	0.09	-1.019	-0.092
Passes	16	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.071	0.006
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	7	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.245	0.027
Takeaways	5	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.461	0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.308 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.383, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.6

Pucker+78

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.467	0.577	0.32	0.185
Shots	1	4.051	0.247	0.08	0.02
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	7	6.071	1.153	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	5	3.585	1.395	0.12	0.167
Passes	16	15.523	1.031	0.08	0.082
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.667 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.785 → ×100 = 78.47 → 78

Offensive5.11

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.038	0.103	0.4	1.503
Shooting %	1	0.487	0.2	1.827
Assists per pass	0.062	0.105	0.4	1.782

Σ contribution = 5.113

Defensive6.24

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	7	6.071	6.607	0.2	1.321
Takeaways	5	3.585	7.501	0.25	1.875
Goals conceded	5	6.623	7.255	0.25	1.814

Σ contribution = 6.238

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Faceguy [ >:) ] Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.75	0.23	-1.125	-0.259
Assists	0	1.64	1.44	0.19	-1.133	-0.215
Shots	0	4.05	3	0.09	-1.352	-0.122
Passes	3	15.52	6.73	0.08	-1.862	-0.149
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	2	6.07	3.79	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	1	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.842	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ −1.044 × 2, −3 to 3) = 3.911, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 3.9

Pucker+20

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.467	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.051	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	2	6.071	0.329	0.07	0.023
Takeaways	1	3.585	0.279	0.12	0.033
Passes	3	15.523	0.193	0.08	0.015
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.174 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.205 → ×100 = 20.48 → 20

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.103	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.487	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.105	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	2	6.071	3.659	0.2	0.732
Takeaways	1	3.585	3.53	0.25	0.882
Goals conceded	5	6.623	7.255	0.25	1.814

Σ contribution = 4.656

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Triscut Ottawa Valley Rubber Duckies

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.75	0.23	-0.554	-0.127
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	2	4.05	3	0.09	-0.685	-0.062
Passes	23	15.52	6.73	0.08	1.112	0.089
Saves	1	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.468	-0.089
Blocks	2	6.07	3.79	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	7	3.59	3.07	0.11	1.112	0.122

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.269 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.463, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.5

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.467	0.577	0.32	0.185
Shots	2	4.051	0.494	0.08	0.039
Saves	1	2.08	0.481	0.15	0.072
Blocks	2	6.071	0.329	0.07	0.023
Takeaways	7	3.585	1.952	0.12	0.234
Passes	23	15.523	1.482	0.08	0.119
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.712 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.838 − 0.018 turnover penalty = 0.82 → ×100 = 82 → 82

Offensive4.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.029	0.103	0.4	1.419
Shooting %	0.5	0.487	0.2	1.222
Assists per pass	0.043	0.105	0.4	1.555

Σ contribution = 4.196

Defensive6.01

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.08	4.092	0.3	1.228
Blocks	2	6.071	3.659	0.2	0.732
Takeaways	7	3.585	8.963	0.25	2.241
Goals conceded	5	6.623	7.255	0.25	1.814

Σ contribution = 6.015

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.75	0.23	-1.125	-0.259
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	0	4.05	3	0.09	-1.352	-0.122
Passes	10	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.821	-0.066
Saves	4	2.08	2.31	0.19	0.832	0.158
Blocks	8	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.509	0.056
Takeaways	6	3.59	3.07	0.11	0.787	0.087

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.229 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.542, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.2

Pucker+55

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.467	0.288	0.32	0.092
Shots	0	4.051	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	2.08	1.923	0.15	0.288
Blocks	8	6.071	1.318	0.07	0.092
Takeaways	6	3.585	1.673	0.12	0.201
Passes	10	15.523	0.644	0.08	0.052
Faceoff win rate	0.143	0.5	0.286	0.03	0.009

Σ 0.734 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.863 − 0.311 turnover penalty = 0.552 → ×100 = 55.21 → 55

Offensive4.55

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.103	0.4	1.643
Shooting %	0	0.487	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.1	0.105	0.4	2.318

Σ contribution = 4.551

Defensive7.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.08	8.91	0.3	2.673
Blocks	8	6.071	7.23	0.2	1.446
Takeaways	6	3.585	8.349	0.25	2.087
Goals conceded	7	6.623	5.785	0.25	1.446

Σ contribution = 7.652

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.75	0.23	-0.554	-0.127
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	2	4.05	3	0.09	-0.685	-0.062
Passes	9	15.52	6.73	0.08	-0.97	-0.078
Saves	0	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.901	-0.171
Blocks	7	6.07	3.79	0.11	0.245	0.027
Takeaways	2	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.517	-0.057

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.551 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.897, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.9

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.467	0.577	0.32	0.185
Shots	2	4.051	0.494	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.08	0	0.15	0
Blocks	7	6.071	1.153	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	2	3.585	0.558	0.12	0.067
Passes	9	15.523	0.58	0.08	0.046
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.448 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.527 → ×100 = 52.72 → 53

Offensive5.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.087	0.103	0.4	2.154
Shooting %	0.5	0.487	0.2	1.222
Assists per pass	0.111	0.105	0.4	2.486

Σ contribution = 5.862

Defensive4.74

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.08	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	7	6.071	6.607	0.2	1.321
Takeaways	2	3.585	4.338	0.25	1.085
Goals conceded	7	6.623	5.785	0.25	1.446

Σ contribution = 4.738

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.97	1.75	0.23	1.157	0.266
Assists	1	1.64	1.44	0.19	-0.441	-0.084
Shots	7	4.05	3	0.09	0.984	0.089
Passes	17	15.52	6.73	0.08	0.22	0.018
Saves	2	2.08	2.31	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	5	6.07	3.79	0.11	-0.283	-0.031
Takeaways	1	3.59	3.07	0.11	-0.842	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.158 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.317, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.0

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.467	1.442	0.32	0.462
Shots	7	4.051	1.728	0.08	0.138
Saves	2	2.08	0.962	0.15	0.144
Blocks	5	6.071	0.824	0.07	0.058
Takeaways	1	3.585	0.279	0.12	0.033
Passes	17	15.523	1.095	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.953 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.121 − 0.144 turnover penalty = 0.977 → ×100 = 97.73 → 98

Offensive7.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.357	0.103	0.4	3.977
Shooting %	0.571	0.487	0.2	1.338
Assists per pass	0.059	0.105	0.4	1.736

Σ contribution = 7.051

Defensive5.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.08	5.847	0.3	1.754
Blocks	5	6.071	5.302	0.2	1.06
Takeaways	1	3.585	3.53	0.25	0.882
Goals conceded	7	6.623	5.785	0.25	1.446

Σ contribution = 5.142

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.