Oregon Capybaras vs Minneapolis Milk Duds

OCHomeOregon Capybaras

4–5Final

MMAwayMinneapolis Milk Duds

Jan 16, 2025 · West Division · Moda Center

MVP fueeqo · 6.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon CapybarasvsMinneapolis Milk Duds

13Shots215

10Saves19

4Faceoffs won48

10Takeaways111

11Turnovers↓110

20Blocks515

65Passes2590

1:50Possession1:032:53

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
SoccerboyEJ	2	2	4	6	2	2	4	0	2	9	20	0:30	100	6.25	6.07
Curt	2	1	3	5	3	2	1	3	5	8	24	0:30	106	5.00	7.02
Tony	0	1	1	2	5	0	3	7	4	3	21	0:50	95	3.56	7.72

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Cole	1	2	3	3	1	1	0	3	0	5	26	0	0:32	85	5.27	5.73
fueeqo	2	0	2	7	6	3	3	4	4	5	38	1	1:06	137	3.48	7.67
Graves	2	1	3	5	2	4	1	4	6	5	26	0	1:15	94	4.09	6.55

SoccerboyEJ Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.86	0.23	-0.043	-0.01
Assists	2	1.8	1.82	0.19	0.109	0.021
Shots	6	4	3.08	0.09	0.648	0.058
Passes	20	17.84	7.35	0.08	0.294	0.024
Saves	2	1.92	2.06	0.19	0.037	0.007
Blocks	9	5.54	4.04	0.11	0.856	0.094
Takeaways	0	4.1	3.55	0.11	-1.154	-0.127

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.067 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.134, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+100

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.687	1.085	0.32	0.347
Shots	6	4.004	1.499	0.08	0.12
Saves	2	1.924	1.039	0.15	0.156
Blocks	9	5.542	1.624	0.07	0.114
Takeaways	0	4.1	0	0.12	0
Passes	20	17.837	1.121	0.08	0.09
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.846 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.996 → ×100 = 99.57 → 100

Offensive6.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.099	0.4	2.942
Shooting %	0.333	0.519	0.2	0.925
Assists per pass	0.1	0.101	0.4	2.385

Σ contribution = 6.252

Defensive6.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	1.924	6.157	0.3	1.847
Blocks	9	5.542	8.216	0.2	1.643
Takeaways	0	4.1	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	6.793	7.376	0.25	1.844

Σ contribution = 6.072

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.86	0.23	-0.043	-0.01
Assists	1	1.8	1.82	0.19	-0.439	-0.084
Shots	5	4	3.08	0.09	0.323	0.029
Passes	24	17.84	7.35	0.08	0.839	0.067
Saves	3	1.92	2.06	0.19	0.522	0.099
Blocks	8	5.54	4.04	0.11	0.609	0.067
Takeaways	3	4.1	3.55	0.11	-0.31	-0.034

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.135 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.27, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.687	0.814	0.32	0.26
Shots	5	4.004	1.249	0.08	0.1
Saves	3	1.924	1.559	0.15	0.234
Blocks	8	5.542	1.444	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	3	4.1	0.732	0.12	0.088
Passes	24	17.837	1.346	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.931 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.095 − 0.033 turnover penalty = 1.062 → ×100 = 106.14 → 106

Offensive5.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.099	0.4	2.423
Shooting %	0.4	0.519	0.2	1.019
Assists per pass	0.042	0.101	0.4	1.555

Σ contribution = 4.998

Defensive7.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	1.924	8.029	0.3	2.409
Blocks	8	5.542	7.666	0.2	1.533
Takeaways	3	4.1	4.952	0.25	1.238
Goals conceded	5	6.793	7.376	0.25	1.844

Σ contribution = 7.024

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Tony Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.08	1.86	0.23	-1.121	-0.258
Assists	1	1.8	1.82	0.19	-0.439	-0.084
Shots	2	4	3.08	0.09	-0.651	-0.059
Passes	21	17.84	7.35	0.08	0.43	0.034
Saves	5	1.92	2.06	0.19	1.491	0.283
Blocks	3	5.54	4.04	0.11	-0.629	-0.069
Takeaways	7	4.1	3.55	0.11	0.817	0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.062 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.877, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	3.687	0.136	0.32	0.043
Shots	2	4.004	0.5	0.08	0.04
Saves	5	1.924	2.598	0.15	0.39
Blocks	3	5.542	0.541	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	7	4.1	1.707	0.12	0.205
Passes	21	17.837	1.177	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.81 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.953 → ×100 = 95.3 → 95

Offensive3.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.02	0.099	0.4	1.34
Shooting %	0	0.519	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.048	0.101	0.4	1.625

Σ contribution = 3.556

Defensive7.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	1.924	9.686	0.3	2.906
Blocks	3	5.542	4.284	0.2	0.857
Takeaways	7	4.1	8.436	0.25	2.109
Goals conceded	5	6.793	7.376	0.25	1.844

Σ contribution = 7.716

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.08	1.86	0.23	-0.582	-0.134
Assists	2	1.8	1.82	0.19	0.109	0.021
Shots	3	4	3.08	0.09	-0.326	-0.029
Passes	26	17.84	7.35	0.08	1.111	0.089
Saves	1	1.92	2.06	0.19	-0.448	-0.085
Blocks	5	5.54	4.04	0.11	-0.134	-0.015
Takeaways	3	4.1	3.55	0.11	-0.31	-0.034

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.188 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.625, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+85

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.687	0.814	0.32	0.26
Shots	3	4.004	0.749	0.08	0.06
Saves	1	1.924	0.52	0.15	0.078
Blocks	5	5.542	0.902	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	3	4.1	0.732	0.12	0.088
Passes	26	17.837	1.458	0.08	0.117
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.726 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.854 → ×100 = 85.39 → 85

Offensive5.27

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.099	0.4	2.322
Shooting %	0.333	0.519	0.2	0.925
Assists per pass	0.077	0.101	0.4	2.026

Σ contribution = 5.273

Defensive5.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.924	4.214	0.3	1.264
Blocks	5	5.542	5.61	0.2	1.122
Takeaways	3	4.1	4.952	0.25	1.238
Goals conceded	4	6.793	8.413	0.25	2.103

Σ contribution = 5.727

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

fueeqo Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.86	0.23	-0.043	-0.01
Assists	0	1.8	1.82	0.19	-0.988	-0.188
Shots	7	4	3.08	0.09	0.973	0.088
Passes	38	17.84	7.35	0.08	2.744	0.22
Saves	6	1.92	2.06	0.19	1.976	0.375
Blocks	5	5.54	4.04	0.11	-0.134	-0.015
Takeaways	4	4.1	3.55	0.11	-0.028	-0.003

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.467 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.934, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.7

Pucker+137

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.687	0.542	0.32	0.174
Shots	7	4.004	1.748	0.08	0.14
Saves	6	1.924	3.118	0.15	0.468
Blocks	5	5.542	0.902	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	4	4.1	0.976	0.12	0.117
Passes	38	17.837	2.13	0.08	0.17
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.162 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.367 → ×100 = 136.68 → 137

Offensive3.48

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.03	0.099	0.4	1.441
Shooting %	0.286	0.519	0.2	0.863
Assists per pass	0	0.101	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.485

Defensive7.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	1.924	9.886	0.3	2.966
Blocks	5	5.542	5.61	0.2	1.122
Takeaways	4	4.1	5.903	0.25	1.476
Goals conceded	4	6.793	8.413	0.25	2.103

Σ contribution = 7.667

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.08	1.86	0.23	-0.043	-0.01
Assists	1	1.8	1.82	0.19	-0.439	-0.084
Shots	5	4	3.08	0.09	0.323	0.029
Passes	26	17.84	7.35	0.08	1.111	0.089
Saves	2	1.92	2.06	0.19	0.037	0.007
Blocks	5	5.54	4.04	0.11	-0.134	-0.015
Takeaways	4	4.1	3.55	0.11	-0.028	-0.003

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.014 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.027, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.687	0.814	0.32	0.26
Shots	5	4.004	1.249	0.08	0.1
Saves	2	1.924	1.039	0.15	0.156
Blocks	5	5.542	0.902	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	4	4.1	0.976	0.12	0.117
Passes	26	17.837	1.458	0.08	0.117
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.861 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.013 − 0.07 turnover penalty = 0.943 → ×100 = 94.28 → 94

Offensive4.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.099	0.4	1.547
Shooting %	0.4	0.519	0.2	1.019
Assists per pass	0.038	0.101	0.4	1.519

Σ contribution = 4.086

Defensive6.55

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	1.924	6.157	0.3	1.847
Blocks	5	5.542	5.61	0.2	1.122
Takeaways	4	4.1	5.903	0.25	1.476
Goals conceded	4	6.793	8.413	0.25	2.103

Σ contribution = 6.548

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.