Provo Polar Bears vs Oregon Capybaras

PPHomeProvo Polar Bears

0–6Final

OCAwayOregon Capybaras

Nov 10, 2024 · Masters Division · Sundance Arena

MVP noodlefingers2 · 6.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Provo Polar BearsvsOregon Capybaras

4Shots711

5Saves14

3Faceoffs won36

12Takeaways820

20Turnovers↓812

16Blocks115

39Passes3574

2:28Possession1:243:52

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Provo Polar Bears

Player	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Pancake	1	0	2	2	0	7	0	8	0:05	0	0.24	0.43
ORO	1	4	0	1	5	5	11	11	1:48	73	0.24	1.43
Chaser	2	1	1	3	7	8	5	20	0:35	43	0.24	0.99

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	4	2	6	7	0	3	2	7	4	1	29	0:55	121	1.06	0.98
Curt	2	3	5	4	0	0	1	4	7	7	22	0:23	89	1.57	1.00
noodlefingers2	0	4	4	0	4	3	0	9	1	7	23	2:34	128	0.91	1.68

Pancake Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	0	1.67	1.52	0.19	-1.094	-0.208
Shots	1	3.94	3.12	0.09	-0.943	-0.085
Passes	8	18.7	7.32	0.08	-1.46	-0.117
Saves	0	2	2.27	0.19	-0.879	-0.167
Blocks	0	5.55	3.61	0.11	-1.54	-0.169
Takeaways	0	4.14	3.47	0.11	-1.195	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −1.126 × 2, −3 to 3) = 3.748, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 3.2

Pucker+0

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.459	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	3.944	0.254	0.08	0.02
Saves	0	2	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	5.554	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	4.143	0	0.12	0
Passes	8	18.697	0.428	0.08	0.034
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.085 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.099 − 0.103 turnover penalty = −0.004 → ×100 = 0 → 0

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.089	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	5.554	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	4.143	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 0.428

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	0	1.67	1.52	0.19	-1.094	-0.208
Shots	1	3.94	3.12	0.09	-0.943	-0.085
Passes	11	18.7	7.32	0.08	-1.051	-0.084
Saves	4	2	2.27	0.19	0.879	0.167
Blocks	11	5.55	3.61	0.11	1.51	0.166
Takeaways	5	4.14	3.47	0.11	0.247	0.027

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.265 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.47, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+73

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.459	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	3.944	0.254	0.08	0.02
Saves	4	2	2	0.15	0.3
Blocks	11	5.554	1.981	0.07	0.139
Takeaways	5	4.143	1.207	0.12	0.145
Passes	11	18.697	0.588	0.08	0.047
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.651 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.766 − 0.031 turnover penalty = 0.735 → ×100 = 73.46 → 73

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.089	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive1.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2	1.762	0.3	0.528
Blocks	11	5.554	1.753	0.2	0.351
Takeaways	5	4.143	1.204	0.25	0.301
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 1.428

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	0	1.67	1.52	0.19	-1.094	-0.208
Shots	2	3.94	3.12	0.09	-0.623	-0.056
Passes	20	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.178	0.014
Saves	1	2	2.27	0.19	-0.44	-0.084
Blocks	5	5.55	3.61	0.11	-0.154	-0.017
Takeaways	7	4.14	3.47	0.11	0.824	0.091

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.508 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.984, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.5

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.459	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	3.944	0.507	0.08	0.041
Saves	1	2	0.5	0.15	0.075
Blocks	5	5.554	0.9	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.69	0.12	0.203
Passes	20	18.697	1.07	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.482 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.567 − 0.14 turnover penalty = 0.427 → ×100 = 42.73 → 43

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.089	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2	0.538	0.3	0.161
Blocks	5	5.554	0.901	0.2	0.18
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.598	0.25	0.399
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 0.988

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.94	1.8	0.23	1.143	0.263
Assists	2	1.67	1.52	0.19	0.219	0.042
Shots	7	3.94	3.12	0.09	0.979	0.088
Passes	29	18.7	7.32	0.08	1.407	0.113
Saves	0	2	2.27	0.19	-0.879	-0.167
Blocks	1	5.55	3.61	0.11	-1.263	-0.139
Takeaways	7	4.14	3.47	0.11	0.824	0.091

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.29 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.58, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.6

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.459	1.59	0.32	0.509
Shots	7	3.944	1.775	0.08	0.142
Saves	0	2	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	5.554	0.18	0.07	0.013
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.69	0.12	0.203
Passes	29	18.697	1.551	0.08	0.124
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.026 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.207 → ×100 = 120.74 → 121

Offensive1.06

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.109	0.083	0.4	0.52
Shooting %	0.571	0.493	0.2	0.232
Assists per pass	0.069	0.089	0.4	0.311

Σ contribution = 1.063

Defensive0.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	5.554	0.325	0.2	0.065
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.598	0.25	0.399
Goals conceded	0	5.957	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.976

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.94	1.8	0.23	0.031	0.007
Assists	3	1.67	1.52	0.19	0.876	0.166
Shots	4	3.94	3.12	0.09	0.018	0.002
Passes	22	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.451	0.036
Saves	0	2	2.27	0.19	-0.879	-0.167
Blocks	7	5.55	3.61	0.11	0.401	0.044
Takeaways	4	4.14	3.47	0.11	-0.041	-0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.084 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.168, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.9

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.459	1.446	0.32	0.463
Shots	4	3.944	1.014	0.08	0.081
Saves	0	2	0	0.15	0
Blocks	7	5.554	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	4	4.143	0.966	0.12	0.116
Passes	22	18.697	1.177	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.842 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.991 − 0.103 turnover penalty = 0.888 → ×100 = 88.71 → 89

Offensive1.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.217	0.083	0.4	0.769
Shooting %	0.5	0.493	0.2	0.203
Assists per pass	0.136	0.089	0.4	0.594

Σ contribution = 1.566

Defensive1.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	7	5.554	1.255	0.2	0.251
Takeaways	4	4.143	0.966	0.25	0.241
Goals conceded	0	5.957	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.004

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

noodlefingers2 Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	4	1.67	1.52	0.19	1.532	0.291
Shots	0	3.94	3.12	0.09	-1.263	-0.114
Passes	23	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.587	0.047
Saves	4	2	2.27	0.19	0.879	0.167
Blocks	7	5.55	3.61	0.11	0.401	0.044
Takeaways	9	4.14	3.47	0.11	1.401	0.154

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.341 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.682, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7

Pucker+128

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.459	0.867	0.32	0.278
Shots	0	3.944	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	2	2	0.15	0.3
Blocks	7	5.554	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	9	4.143	2.172	0.12	0.261
Passes	23	18.697	1.23	0.08	0.098
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.085 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.276 → ×100 = 127.63 → 128

Offensive0.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.026	0.083	0.4	0.161
Shooting %	0	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.174	0.089	0.4	0.696

Σ contribution = 0.905

Defensive1.68

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2	1.762	0.3	0.528
Blocks	7	5.554	1.255	0.2	0.251
Takeaways	9	4.143	1.825	0.25	0.456
Goals conceded	0	5.957	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.675

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.