Oregon Capybaras vs Provo Polar Bears

OCHomeOregon Capybaras

8–6Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Oct 22, 2024 · Masters Division · Moda Center

MVP Carried by Dad · 6.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon CapybarasvsProvo Polar Bears

16Shots79

3Saves58

8Faceoffs won8

11Takeaways56

6Turnovers↓511

22Blocks814

71Passes172

2:00Possession0:172:17

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Carried by Dad	4	1	5	8	1	1	3	4	2	4	29	0:28	118	1.11	0.80
Curt	3	2	5	7	1	5	2	0	3	7	22	0:15	106	1.38	0.72
noodlefingers2	1	1	2	1	1	2	3	7	1	11	20	1:17	86	0.75	1.16

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Stryker	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	13	0:10	10	0.24	0.37
Pancake	3	0	3	4	1	0	1	0	3	3	12	0:07	62	1.19	0.52
ORO	0	1	1	0	7	5	2	3	6	7	20	1:34	102	0.40	1.22
Chaser	3	2	5	5	0	2	4	3	2	4	27	0:26	98	1.32	0.59

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.94	1.8	0.23	1.143	0.263
Assists	1	1.67	1.52	0.19	-0.438	-0.083
Shots	8	3.94	3.12	0.09	1.299	0.117
Passes	29	18.7	7.32	0.08	1.407	0.113
Saves	1	2	2.27	0.19	-0.44	-0.084
Blocks	4	5.55	3.61	0.11	-0.431	-0.047
Takeaways	4	4.14	3.47	0.11	-0.041	-0.005

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.274 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.547, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.5

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.459	1.446	0.32	0.463
Shots	8	3.944	2.029	0.08	0.162
Saves	1	2	0.5	0.15	0.075
Blocks	4	5.554	0.72	0.07	0.05
Takeaways	4	4.143	0.966	0.12	0.116
Passes	29	18.697	1.551	0.08	0.124
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.005 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.183 → ×100 = 118.26 → 118

Offensive1.11

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.179	0.083	0.4	0.726
Shooting %	0.5	0.493	0.2	0.203
Assists per pass	0.034	0.089	0.4	0.181

Σ contribution = 1.111

Defensive0.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2	0.538	0.3	0.161
Blocks	4	5.554	0.727	0.2	0.145
Takeaways	4	4.143	0.966	0.25	0.241
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 0.795

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.94	1.8	0.23	0.587	0.135
Assists	2	1.67	1.52	0.19	0.219	0.042
Shots	7	3.94	3.12	0.09	0.979	0.088
Passes	22	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.451	0.036
Saves	1	2	2.27	0.19	-0.44	-0.084
Blocks	7	5.55	3.61	0.11	0.401	0.044
Takeaways	0	4.14	3.47	0.11	-1.195	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.13 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.26, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.3

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.459	1.446	0.32	0.463
Shots	7	3.944	1.775	0.08	0.142
Saves	1	2	0.5	0.15	0.075
Blocks	7	5.554	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	0	4.143	0	0.12	0
Passes	22	18.697	1.177	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 0.905 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.064 → ×100 = 106.45 → 106

Offensive1.38

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.083	0.4	0.798
Shooting %	0.429	0.493	0.2	0.174
Assists per pass	0.091	0.089	0.4	0.408

Σ contribution = 1.38

Defensive0.72

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2	0.538	0.3	0.161
Blocks	7	5.554	1.255	0.2	0.251
Takeaways	0	4.143	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 0.72

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

noodlefingers2 Oregon Capybaras

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.94	1.8	0.23	-0.525	-0.121
Assists	1	1.67	1.52	0.19	-0.438	-0.083
Shots	1	3.94	3.12	0.09	-0.943	-0.085
Passes	20	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.178	0.014
Saves	1	2	2.27	0.19	-0.44	-0.084
Blocks	11	5.55	3.61	0.11	1.51	0.166
Takeaways	7	4.14	3.47	0.11	0.824	0.091

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.101 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.798, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.0

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.459	0.578	0.32	0.185
Shots	1	3.944	0.254	0.08	0.02
Saves	1	2	0.5	0.15	0.075
Blocks	11	5.554	1.981	0.07	0.139
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.69	0.12	0.203
Passes	20	18.697	1.07	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.731 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.86 → ×100 = 86.03 → 86

Offensive0.75

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.026	0.083	0.4	0.161
Shooting %	1	0.493	0.2	0.355
Assists per pass	0.05	0.089	0.4	0.235

Σ contribution = 0.751

Defensive1.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2	0.538	0.3	0.161
Blocks	11	5.554	1.753	0.2	0.351
Takeaways	7	4.143	1.598	0.25	0.399
Goals conceded	6	5.957	0.993	0.25	0.248

Σ contribution = 1.159

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Stryker Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	0	1.67	1.52	0.19	-1.094	-0.208
Shots	0	3.94	3.12	0.09	-1.263	-0.114
Passes	13	18.7	7.32	0.08	-0.778	-0.062
Saves	0	2	2.27	0.19	-0.879	-0.167
Blocks	0	5.55	3.61	0.11	-1.54	-0.169
Takeaways	0	4.14	3.47	0.11	-1.195	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −1.1 × 2, −3 to 3) = 3.799, then −0.2 goals against → 3.6

Pucker+10

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.459	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	3.944	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	2	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	5.554	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	4.143	0	0.12	0
Passes	13	18.697	0.695	0.08	0.056
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.086 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.101 → ×100 = 10.07 → 10

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.089	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	5.554	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	4.143	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	8	5.957	0.75	0.25	0.188

Σ contribution = 0.368

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pancake Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.94	1.8	0.23	0.587	0.135
Assists	0	1.67	1.52	0.19	-1.094	-0.208
Shots	4	3.94	3.12	0.09	0.018	0.002
Passes	12	18.7	7.32	0.08	-0.914	-0.073
Saves	1	2	2.27	0.19	-0.44	-0.084
Blocks	3	5.55	3.61	0.11	-0.708	-0.078
Takeaways	0	4.14	3.47	0.11	-1.195	-0.131

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.437 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.125, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+62

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.459	0.867	0.32	0.278
Shots	4	3.944	1.014	0.08	0.081
Saves	1	2	0.5	0.15	0.075
Blocks	3	5.554	0.54	0.07	0.038
Takeaways	0	4.143	0	0.12	0
Passes	12	18.697	0.642	0.08	0.051
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.523 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.615 → ×100 = 61.51 → 62

Offensive1.19

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.429	0.083	0.4	0.8
Shooting %	0.75	0.493	0.2	0.296
Assists per pass	0	0.089	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 1.191

Defensive0.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2	0.538	0.3	0.161
Blocks	3	5.554	0.57	0.2	0.114
Takeaways	0	4.143	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	8	5.957	0.75	0.25	0.188

Σ contribution = 0.523

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.94	1.8	0.23	-1.081	-0.249
Assists	1	1.67	1.52	0.19	-0.438	-0.083
Shots	0	3.94	3.12	0.09	-1.263	-0.114
Passes	20	18.7	7.32	0.08	0.178	0.014
Saves	7	2	2.27	0.19	2.198	0.418
Blocks	7	5.55	3.61	0.11	0.401	0.044
Takeaways	3	4.14	3.47	0.11	-0.33	-0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.006 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.989, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+102

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.459	0.289	0.32	0.093
Shots	0	3.944	0	0.08	0
Saves	7	2	3.5	0.15	0.525
Blocks	7	5.554	1.26	0.07	0.088
Takeaways	3	4.143	0.724	0.12	0.087
Passes	20	18.697	1.07	0.08	0.086
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 0.921 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.084 − 0.067 turnover penalty = 1.017 → ×100 = 101.64 → 102

Offensive0.40

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.011	0.083	0.4	0.119
Shooting %	0	0.493	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.05	0.089	0.4	0.235

Σ contribution = 0.402

Defensive1.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2	1.987	0.3	0.596
Blocks	7	5.554	1.255	0.2	0.251
Takeaways	3	4.143	0.731	0.25	0.183
Goals conceded	8	5.957	0.75	0.25	0.188

Σ contribution = 1.218

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.94	1.8	0.23	0.587	0.135
Assists	2	1.67	1.52	0.19	0.219	0.042
Shots	5	3.94	3.12	0.09	0.338	0.03
Passes	27	18.7	7.32	0.08	1.134	0.091
Saves	0	2	2.27	0.19	-0.879	-0.167
Blocks	4	5.55	3.61	0.11	-0.431	-0.047
Takeaways	3	4.14	3.47	0.11	-0.33	-0.036

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.047 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.094, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.459	1.446	0.32	0.463
Shots	5	3.944	1.268	0.08	0.101
Saves	0	2	0	0.15	0
Blocks	4	5.554	0.72	0.07	0.05
Takeaways	3	4.143	0.724	0.12	0.087
Passes	27	18.697	1.444	0.08	0.116
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.837 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.985 → ×100 = 98.45 → 98

Offensive1.32

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.192	0.083	0.4	0.746
Shooting %	0.6	0.493	0.2	0.243
Assists per pass	0.074	0.089	0.4	0.333

Σ contribution = 1.321

Defensive0.59

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	4	5.554	0.727	0.2	0.145
Takeaways	3	4.143	0.731	0.25	0.183
Goals conceded	8	5.957	0.75	0.25	0.188

Σ contribution = 0.588

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.