Buffalo Blizzards vs Belleville Blues

Home · BBBuffalo Blizzards

4–8Final

BBAwayBelleville Blues

Nov 19, 2024 · Open Division · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Dang · 8.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsBelleville Blues

17Shots219

11Saves213

4Faceoffs won711

6Takeaways612

12Turnovers↓66

14Blocks1428

29Passes5887

1:02Possession2:513:53

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	2	2	4	6	9	1	0	2	3	5	7	0:22	156	1.44	1.15
JoshAllenfan420	1	0	1	9	0	0	8	1	8	6	11	0:17	22	0.36	0.58
Ol Woodster	1	0	1	2	2	3	3	3	1	3	11	0:23	60	0.45	0.87

Belleville Blues

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Dang	3	3	6	8	5	4	1	4	5	18	29	1:23	168	0.75	1.71
MofferQc	1	4	5	3	5	2	2	7	0	7	30	1:55	153	0.77	1.66
Rybloom	4	2	6	8	3	5	1	1	1	3	28	0:35	134	0.97	1.05

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.118	-0.027
Assists	2	1.73	1.59	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	6	4.3	3.15	0.09	0.54	0.049
Passes	7	15.37	7.22	0.08	-1.159	-0.093
Saves	9	2.08	2.21	0.19	3.132	0.595
Blocks	5	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.393	-0.043
Takeaways	2	2.89	2.67	0.11	-0.335	-0.037

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.477 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.954, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.9

Pucker+156

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.807	1.051	0.32	0.336
Shots	6	4.297	1.396	0.08	0.112
Saves	9	2.077	4.333	0.15	0.65
Blocks	5	6.684	0.748	0.07	0.052
Takeaways	2	2.895	0.691	0.12	0.083
Passes	7	15.367	0.456	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.33 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.564 − 0.006 turnover penalty = 1.558 → ×100 = 155.81 → 156

Offensive1.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.182	0.132	0.4	0.544
Shooting %	0.333	0.517	0.2	0.132
Assists per pass	0.286	0.112	0.4	0.765

Σ contribution = 1.441

Defensive1.15

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	9	2.077	1.997	0.3	0.599
Blocks	5	6.684	0.753	0.2	0.151
Takeaways	2	2.895	0.7	0.25	0.175
Goals conceded	8	7.188	0.899	0.25	0.225

Σ contribution = 1.15

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.643	-0.148
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	9	4.3	3.15	0.09	1.492	0.134
Passes	11	15.37	7.22	0.08	-0.605	-0.048
Saves	0	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.94	-0.179
Blocks	6	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.16	-0.018
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.67	0.11	-0.709	-0.078

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.542 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.916, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+22

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.807	0.263	0.32	0.084
Shots	9	4.297	2.094	0.08	0.168
Saves	0	2.077	0	0.15	0
Blocks	6	6.684	0.898	0.07	0.063
Takeaways	1	2.895	0.345	0.12	0.041
Passes	11	15.367	0.716	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.413 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.486 − 0.266 turnover penalty = 0.22 → ×100 = 21.99 → 22

Offensive0.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.132	0.4	0.199
Shooting %	0.111	0.517	0.2	0.069
Assists per pass	0	0.112	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.363

Defensive0.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.077	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	6	6.684	0.898	0.2	0.18
Takeaways	1	2.895	0.425	0.25	0.106
Goals conceded	8	7.188	0.899	0.25	0.225

Σ contribution = 0.583

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.643	-0.148
Assists	0	1.73	1.59	0.19	-1.084	-0.206
Shots	2	4.3	3.15	0.09	-0.729	-0.066
Passes	11	15.37	7.22	0.08	-0.605	-0.048
Saves	2	2.08	2.21	0.19	-0.035	-0.007
Blocks	3	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.859	-0.094
Takeaways	3	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.039	0.004

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.565 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.871, then −0.2 goals against → 4.7

Pucker+60

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.807	0.263	0.32	0.084
Shots	2	4.297	0.465	0.08	0.037
Saves	2	2.077	0.963	0.15	0.144
Blocks	3	6.684	0.449	0.07	0.031
Takeaways	3	2.895	1.036	0.12	0.124
Passes	11	15.367	0.716	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.509 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.599 → ×100 = 59.85 → 60

Offensive0.45

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.043	0.132	0.4	0.166
Shooting %	0.5	0.517	0.2	0.193
Assists per pass	0	0.112	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.455

Defensive0.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.077	0.963	0.3	0.289
Blocks	3	6.684	0.499	0.2	0.1
Takeaways	3	2.895	1.036	0.25	0.259
Goals conceded	8	7.188	0.899	0.25	0.225

Σ contribution = 0.873

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Dang Belleville Blues

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.22	1.9	0.23	0.408	0.094
Assists	3	1.73	1.59	0.19	0.8	0.152
Shots	8	4.3	3.15	0.09	1.175	0.106
Passes	29	15.37	7.22	0.08	1.888	0.151
Saves	5	2.08	2.21	0.19	1.322	0.251
Blocks	18	6.68	4.29	0.11	2.638	0.29
Takeaways	4	2.89	2.67	0.11	0.414	0.046

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.09 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.18, then +0.3 blocks, −0.2 cold shooting → 8.3

Pucker+168

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.807	1.445	0.32	0.462
Shots	8	4.297	1.862	0.08	0.149
Saves	5	2.077	2.407	0.15	0.361
Blocks	18	6.684	2.693	0.07	0.189
Takeaways	4	2.895	1.382	0.12	0.166
Passes	29	15.367	1.887	0.08	0.151
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.526 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.795 − 0.11 turnover penalty = 1.685 → ×100 = 168.47 → 168

Offensive0.75

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.072	0.132	0.4	0.231
Shooting %	0.375	0.517	0.2	0.146
Assists per pass	0.103	0.112	0.4	0.369

Σ contribution = 0.745

Defensive1.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.077	1.887	0.3	0.566
Blocks	18	6.684	1.935	0.2	0.387
Takeaways	4	2.895	1.364	0.25	0.341
Goals conceded	4	7.188	1.662	0.25	0.416

Σ contribution = 1.71

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MofferQc Belleville Blues

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.22	1.9	0.23	-0.643	-0.148
Assists	4	1.73	1.59	0.19	1.429	0.271
Shots	3	4.3	3.15	0.09	-0.412	-0.037
Passes	30	15.37	7.22	0.08	2.027	0.162
Saves	5	2.08	2.21	0.19	1.322	0.251
Blocks	7	6.68	4.29	0.11	0.074	0.008
Takeaways	7	2.89	2.67	0.11	1.537	0.169

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.677 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.354, then −0.2 cold shooting → 7.2

Pucker+153

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.807	1.051	0.32	0.336
Shots	3	4.297	0.698	0.08	0.056
Saves	5	2.077	2.407	0.15	0.361
Blocks	7	6.684	1.047	0.07	0.073
Takeaways	7	2.895	2.418	0.12	0.29
Passes	30	15.367	1.952	0.08	0.156
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.303 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.533 → ×100 = 153.27 → 153

Offensive0.77

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.043	0.132	0.4	0.166
Shooting %	0.333	0.517	0.2	0.132
Assists per pass	0.133	0.112	0.4	0.474

Σ contribution = 0.772

Defensive1.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.077	1.887	0.3	0.566
Blocks	7	6.684	1.047	0.2	0.209
Takeaways	7	2.895	1.889	0.25	0.472
Goals conceded	4	7.188	1.662	0.25	0.416

Σ contribution = 1.663

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Rybloom Belleville Blues

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.22	1.9	0.23	0.934	0.215
Assists	2	1.73	1.59	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	8	4.3	3.15	0.09	1.175	0.106
Passes	28	15.37	7.22	0.08	1.75	0.14
Saves	3	2.08	2.21	0.19	0.418	0.079
Blocks	3	6.68	4.29	0.11	-0.859	-0.094
Takeaways	1	2.89	2.67	0.11	-0.709	-0.078

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.4 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.8, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.8

Pucker+134

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.807	1.576	0.32	0.504
Shots	8	4.297	1.862	0.08	0.149
Saves	3	2.077	1.444	0.15	0.217
Blocks	3	6.684	0.449	0.07	0.031
Takeaways	1	2.895	0.345	0.12	0.041
Passes	28	15.367	1.822	0.08	0.146
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.139 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.339 → ×100 = 133.94 → 134

Offensive0.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.171	0.132	0.4	0.516
Shooting %	0.5	0.517	0.2	0.193
Assists per pass	0.071	0.112	0.4	0.261

Σ contribution = 0.97

Defensive1.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.077	1.417	0.3	0.425
Blocks	3	6.684	0.499	0.2	0.1
Takeaways	1	2.895	0.425	0.25	0.106
Goals conceded	4	7.188	1.662	0.25	0.416

Σ contribution = 1.047

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.