Buffalo Blizzards vs Kingston Flame

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8–5Final

KFAwayKingston Flame

Aug 31, 2024 · Prospect Division - Playoffs · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Ol Woodster · 6.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsKingston Flame

14Shots212

7Saves16

3Faceoffs won912

9Takeaways918

18Turnovers↓99

32Blocks1319

39Passes1049

1:11Possession1:553:06

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
JoshAllenfan420	5	0	5	9	2	0	4	0	7	10	14	1	0:06	110	6.64	5.36
Ol Woodster	2	2	4	3	2	0	3	6	9	12	17	0	0:42	87	7.44	6.82
minimongo	1	3	4	2	3	3	5	3	2	10	8	0	0:23	111	9.09	6.43

Kingston Flame

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
MaxZombieJaws	1	0	1	6	1	6	0	11	2	2	23	1:34	99	3.23	5.49
Slickback Tony-Balonley	4	1	5	5	2	5	3	3	4	10	10	0:31	126	8.20	5.56
Zck	0	2	2	1	3	1	0	4	3	7	16	1:01	91	5.35	6.02

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	1.62	1.57	0.23	2.156	0.496
Assists	0	1.32	1.29	0.19	-1.02	-0.194
Shots	9	3.89	3.18	0.09	1.608	0.145
Passes	14	16.3	7.08	0.08	-0.325	-0.026
Saves	2	2.27	2.84	0.19	-0.096	-0.018
Blocks	10	7.44	3.85	0.11	0.665	0.073
Takeaways	0	3.78	3.35	0.11	-1.13	-0.124

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.352 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.703, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.4

Pucker+110

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	2.829	1.768	0.32	0.566
Shots	9	3.89	2.313	0.08	0.185
Saves	2	2.274	0.88	0.15	0.132
Blocks	10	7.438	1.344	0.07	0.094
Takeaways	0	3.781	0	0.12	0
Passes	14	16.301	0.859	0.08	0.069
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.045 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.23 − 0.129 turnover penalty = 1.101 → ×100 = 110.12 → 110

Offensive6.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.833	0.079	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.556	0.415	0.2	1.46
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.641

Defensive5.36

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.274	5.52	0.3	1.656
Blocks	10	7.438	7.326	0.2	1.465
Takeaways	0	3.781	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	4.986	5.989	0.25	1.497

Σ contribution = 5.356

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.62	1.57	0.23	0.244	0.056
Assists	2	1.32	1.29	0.19	0.531	0.101
Shots	3	3.89	3.18	0.09	-0.28	-0.025
Passes	17	16.3	7.08	0.08	0.099	0.008
Saves	2	2.27	2.84	0.19	-0.096	-0.018
Blocks	12	7.44	3.85	0.11	1.184	0.13
Takeaways	6	3.78	3.35	0.11	0.663	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.325 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.649, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.6

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.829	1.061	0.32	0.339
Shots	3	3.89	0.771	0.08	0.062
Saves	2	2.274	0.88	0.15	0.132
Blocks	12	7.438	1.613	0.07	0.113
Takeaways	6	3.781	1.587	0.12	0.19
Passes	17	16.301	1.043	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.92 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.082 − 0.208 turnover penalty = 0.874 → ×100 = 87.37 → 87

Offensive7.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.079	0.4	2.718
Shooting %	0.667	0.415	0.2	1.632
Assists per pass	0.118	0.081	0.4	3.086

Σ contribution = 7.436

Defensive6.82

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.274	5.52	0.3	1.656
Blocks	12	7.438	8.186	0.2	1.637
Takeaways	6	3.781	8.111	0.25	2.028
Goals conceded	5	4.986	5.989	0.25	1.497

Σ contribution = 6.818

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.62	1.57	0.23	-0.393	-0.09
Assists	3	1.32	1.29	0.19	1.306	0.248
Shots	2	3.89	3.18	0.09	-0.595	-0.054
Passes	8	16.3	7.08	0.08	-1.173	-0.094
Saves	3	2.27	2.84	0.19	0.255	0.048
Blocks	10	7.44	3.85	0.11	0.665	0.073
Takeaways	3	3.78	3.35	0.11	-0.233	-0.026

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.106 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.213, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.2

Pucker+111

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.829	1.414	0.32	0.452
Shots	2	3.89	0.514	0.08	0.041
Saves	3	2.274	1.319	0.15	0.198
Blocks	10	7.438	1.344	0.07	0.094
Takeaways	3	3.781	0.793	0.12	0.095
Passes	8	16.301	0.491	0.08	0.039
Faceoff win rate	0.375	0.5	0.75	0.03	0.022

Σ 0.943 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.109 → ×100 = 110.89 → 111

Offensive9.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.174	0.079	0.4	3.731
Shooting %	0.5	0.415	0.2	1.361
Assists per pass	0.375	0.081	0.4	3.998

Σ contribution = 9.089

Defensive6.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.274	7.235	0.3	2.171
Blocks	10	7.438	7.326	0.2	1.465
Takeaways	3	3.781	5.185	0.25	1.296
Goals conceded	5	4.986	5.989	0.25	1.497

Σ contribution = 6.429

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MaxZombieJaws Kingston Flame

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.62	1.57	0.23	-0.393	-0.09
Assists	0	1.32	1.29	0.19	-1.02	-0.194
Shots	6	3.89	3.18	0.09	0.664	0.06
Passes	23	16.3	7.08	0.08	0.947	0.076
Saves	1	2.27	2.84	0.19	-0.448	-0.085
Blocks	2	7.44	3.85	0.11	-1.412	-0.155
Takeaways	11	3.78	3.35	0.11	2.157	0.237

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.152 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.696, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.3

Pucker+99

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.829	0.354	0.32	0.113
Shots	6	3.89	1.542	0.08	0.123
Saves	1	2.274	0.44	0.15	0.066
Blocks	2	7.438	0.269	0.07	0.019
Takeaways	11	3.781	2.909	0.12	0.349
Passes	23	16.301	1.411	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.843 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.992 → ×100 = 99.21 → 99

Offensive3.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.011	0.079	0.4	1.281
Shooting %	0.167	0.415	0.2	0.771
Assists per pass	0	0.081	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.234

Defensive5.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.274	3.967	0.3	1.19
Blocks	2	7.438	3.505	0.2	0.701
Takeaways	11	3.781	9.828	0.25	2.457
Goals conceded	8	4.986	4.561	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 5.488

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Slickback Tony-Balonley Kingston Flame

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.62	1.57	0.23	1.519	0.349
Assists	1	1.32	1.29	0.19	-0.244	-0.046
Shots	5	3.89	3.18	0.09	0.349	0.031
Passes	10	16.3	7.08	0.08	-0.89	-0.071
Saves	2	2.27	2.84	0.19	-0.096	-0.018
Blocks	10	7.44	3.85	0.11	0.665	0.073
Takeaways	3	3.78	3.35	0.11	-0.233	-0.026

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.292 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.585, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Pucker+126

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	2.829	1.768	0.32	0.566
Shots	5	3.89	1.285	0.08	0.103
Saves	2	2.274	0.88	0.15	0.132
Blocks	10	7.438	1.344	0.07	0.094
Takeaways	3	3.781	0.793	0.12	0.095
Passes	10	16.301	0.613	0.08	0.049
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.076 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.266 − 0.009 turnover penalty = 1.257 → ×100 = 125.69 → 126

Offensive8.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.161	0.079	0.4	3.641
Shooting %	0.8	0.415	0.2	1.783
Assists per pass	0.1	0.081	0.4	2.776

Σ contribution = 8.2

Defensive5.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.274	5.52	0.3	1.656
Blocks	10	7.438	7.326	0.2	1.465
Takeaways	3	3.781	5.185	0.25	1.296
Goals conceded	8	4.986	4.561	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 5.557

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zck Kingston Flame

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.62	1.57	0.23	-1.03	-0.237
Assists	2	1.32	1.29	0.19	0.531	0.101
Shots	1	3.89	3.18	0.09	-0.91	-0.082
Passes	16	16.3	7.08	0.08	-0.043	-0.003
Saves	3	2.27	2.84	0.19	0.255	0.048
Blocks	7	7.44	3.85	0.11	-0.114	-0.013
Takeaways	4	3.78	3.35	0.11	0.065	0.007

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.178 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.644, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.829	0.707	0.32	0.226
Shots	1	3.89	0.257	0.08	0.021
Saves	3	2.274	1.319	0.15	0.198
Blocks	7	7.438	0.941	0.07	0.066
Takeaways	4	3.781	1.058	0.12	0.127
Passes	16	16.301	0.982	0.08	0.079
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.776 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.913 → ×100 = 91.3 → 91

Offensive5.35

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.033	0.079	0.4	1.556
Shooting %	0	0.415	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.125	0.081	0.4	3.2

Σ contribution = 5.347

Defensive6.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.274	7.235	0.3	2.171
Blocks	7	7.438	5.765	0.2	1.153
Takeaways	4	3.781	6.232	0.25	1.558
Goals conceded	8	4.986	4.561	0.25	1.14

Σ contribution = 6.022

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.