NEHomeNew England Harbor
11–5Final
Away · LILLong Island Lightning

Aug 14, 2024 · Major League · Harbor Arena

MVP kyler · 8.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

New England HarborvsLong Island Lightning

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

New England Harbor

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
GoldenKnight538160425412500:371371.400.77
Panarin15616445281200:321201.861.46
kyler5491201312452700:591651.411.06

Long Island Lightning

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
Couture50572135863100:54980.770.89
LaffTrakk033114332581801:101470.921.15
Jagr02232533942600:30510.670.71

GoldenKnight New England Harbor

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals52.271.950.231.4010.322
Assists32.091.70.190.5370.102
Shots164.833.030.093.6820.331
Passes25237.230.080.2770.022
Saves02.543.080.19-0.823-0.156
Blocks16.233.690.11-1.416-0.156
Takeaways54.23.190.110.2510.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.493 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.987, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.8

Pucker+137
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution84.1481.9290.320.617
Shots164.8283.3140.080.265
Saves02.53800.150
Blocks16.2280.1610.070.011
Takeaways54.21.190.120.143
Passes2522.9971.0870.080.087
Faceoff win rate0.6670.5011.3320.030.04

Σ 1.163 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.369 → ×100 = 136.87 → 137

Offensive1.40
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.2160.0970.40.738
Shooting %0.3120.470.20.135
Assists per pass0.120.0910.40.525

Σ contribution = 1.398

Defensive0.77
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.5380.2380.30.072
Blocks16.2280.3140.20.063
Takeaways54.21.1880.250.297
Goals conceded56.8741.3580.250.34

Σ contribution = 0.772

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Panarin New England Harbor

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.271.950.23-0.65-0.15
Assists52.091.70.191.7130.325
Shots14.833.030.09-1.262-0.114
Passes12237.230.08-1.521-0.122
Saves62.543.080.191.1220.213
Blocks86.233.690.110.480.053
Takeaways54.23.190.110.2510.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.234 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.469, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+120
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution4.54.1481.0850.320.347
Shots14.8280.2070.080.017
Saves62.5382.3640.150.355
Blocks86.2281.2850.070.09
Takeaways54.21.190.120.143
Passes1222.9970.5220.080.042
Faceoff win rate0.50.5010.9990.030.03

Σ 1.023 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.203 → ×100 = 120.33 → 120

Offensive1.86
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.1880.0970.40.694
Shooting %10.470.20.362
Assists per pass0.4170.0910.40.799

Σ contribution = 1.856

Defensive1.46
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves62.5381.8770.30.563
Blocks86.2281.2770.20.255
Takeaways54.21.1880.250.297
Goals conceded56.8741.3580.250.34

Σ contribution = 1.455

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kyler New England Harbor

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.0
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals52.271.950.231.4010.322
Assists42.091.70.191.1250.214
Shots124.833.030.092.3640.213
Passes27237.230.080.5540.044
Saves02.543.080.19-0.823-0.156
Blocks56.233.690.11-0.333-0.037
Takeaways124.23.190.112.4430.269

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.869 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.738, then +0.3 takeaways → 8.0

Pucker+165
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution94.1482.170.320.694
Shots124.8282.4860.080.199
Saves02.53800.150
Blocks56.2280.8030.070.056
Takeaways124.22.8570.120.343
Passes2722.9971.1740.080.094
Faceoff win rate0.250.5010.4990.030.015

Σ 1.401 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.648 → ×100 = 164.84 → 165

Offensive1.41
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.1530.0970.40.609
Shooting %0.4170.470.20.177
Assists per pass0.1480.0910.40.624

Σ contribution = 1.411

Defensive1.06
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.5380.2380.30.072
Blocks56.2280.8050.20.161
Takeaways124.21.9520.250.488
Goals conceded56.8741.3580.250.34

Σ contribution = 1.061

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Couture Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals52.271.950.231.4010.322
Assists02.091.70.19-1.226-0.233
Shots74.833.030.090.7160.064
Passes31237.230.081.1070.089
Saves22.543.080.19-0.175-0.033
Blocks66.233.690.11-0.062-0.007
Takeaways54.23.190.110.2510.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.23 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.46, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.2

Pucker+98
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution54.1481.2050.320.386
Shots74.8281.450.080.116
Saves22.5380.7880.150.118
Blocks66.2280.9630.070.067
Takeaways54.21.190.120.143
Passes3122.9971.3480.080.108
Faceoff win rate0.250.5010.4990.030.015

Σ 0.953 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.121 − 0.138 turnover penalty = 0.983 → ×100 = 98.3 → 98

Offensive0.77
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0930.0970.40.384
Shooting %0.7140.470.20.296
Assists per pass00.0910.40.095

Σ contribution = 0.774

Defensive0.89
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves22.5380.7910.30.237
Blocks66.2280.9630.20.193
Takeaways54.21.1880.250.297
Goals conceded116.8740.6420.250.16

Σ contribution = 0.887

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LaffTrakk Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals02.271.950.23-1.163-0.268
Assists32.091.70.190.5370.102
Shots14.833.030.09-1.262-0.114
Passes18237.230.08-0.691-0.055
Saves142.543.080.193.7160.706
Blocks86.233.690.110.480.053
Takeaways24.23.190.11-0.689-0.076

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.349 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.698, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Pucker+147
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution2.54.1480.6030.320.193
Shots14.8280.2070.080.017
Saves142.5385.5150.150.827
Blocks86.2281.2850.070.09
Takeaways24.20.4760.120.057
Passes1822.9970.7830.080.063
Faceoff win rate0.50.5010.9990.030.03

Σ 1.276 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.502 − 0.03 turnover penalty = 1.472 → ×100 = 147.15 → 147

Offensive0.92
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0430.0970.40.198
Shooting %00.470.20.048
Assists per pass0.1670.0910.40.674

Σ contribution = 0.919

Defensive1.15
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves142.53820.30.6
Blocks86.2281.2770.20.255
Takeaways24.20.5190.250.13
Goals conceded116.8740.6420.250.16

Σ contribution = 1.145

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jagr Long Island Lightning

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals02.271.950.23-1.163-0.268
Assists22.091.70.19-0.051-0.01
Shots34.833.030.09-0.602-0.054
Passes26237.230.080.4150.033
Saves22.543.080.19-0.175-0.033
Blocks46.233.690.11-0.604-0.066
Takeaways34.23.190.11-0.376-0.041

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.439 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.122, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.4

Pucker+51
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution24.1480.4820.320.154
Shots34.8280.6210.080.05
Saves22.5380.7880.150.118
Blocks46.2280.6420.070.045
Takeaways34.20.7140.120.086
Passes2622.9971.1310.080.09
Faceoff win rate0.6250.5011.2490.030.037

Σ 0.581 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.683 − 0.174 turnover penalty = 0.509 → ×100 = 50.9 → 51

Offensive0.67
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0670.0970.40.28
Shooting %00.470.20.048
Assists per pass0.0770.0910.40.34

Σ contribution = 0.667

Defensive0.71
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves22.5380.7910.30.237
Blocks46.2280.6570.20.131
Takeaways34.20.7220.250.18
Goals conceded116.8740.6420.250.16

Σ contribution = 0.708

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.