Carolina Reapers vs Buffalo Blizzards

CRHomeCarolina Reapers

3–2Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Aug 20, 2024 · Prospect Division · paycor stadium

MVP Movolt · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Carolina ReapersvsBuffalo Blizzards

10Shots212

10Saves37

2Faceoffs won46

14Takeaways410

9Turnovers↓514

31Blocks2011

73Passes4528

2:40Possession1:480:52

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Carolina Reapers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
H0riz0n	1	2	3	4	6	1	3	5	3	11	21	0:54	156	5.16	8.90
Movolt	0	2	2	0	4	1	1	7	2	15	25	1:14	118	4.27	9.26
dvyr	2	1	3	6	0	0	2	2	4	5	27	0:32	81	4.95	5.29

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	0	1	1	1	6	1	1	3	5	7	3	0:20	86	6.29	7.84
JoshAllenfan420	2	0	2	6	1	1	0	5	6	4	18	0:17	83	4.97	6.37
minimongo	0	1	1	5	0	4	1	2	3	0	7	0:15	44	5.83	4.80

H0riz0n Carolina Reapers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.68	1.73	0.23	-0.391	-0.09
Assists	2	1.41	1.36	0.19	0.431	0.082
Shots	4	3.51	2.77	0.09	0.176	0.016
Passes	21	16.01	7.6	0.08	0.657	0.053
Saves	6	1.84	2.2	0.19	1.89	0.359
Blocks	11	6.54	4.01	0.11	1.112	0.122
Takeaways	5	3.26	2.72	0.11	0.64	0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.612 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.224, then −0.2 cold shooting → 7.0

Pucker+156

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.982	1.006	0.32	0.322
Shots	4	3.513	1.139	0.08	0.091
Saves	6	1.838	3.265	0.15	0.49
Blocks	11	6.545	1.681	0.07	0.118
Takeaways	5	3.257	1.535	0.12	0.184
Passes	21	16.005	1.312	0.08	0.105
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 1.325 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.558 → ×100 = 155.84 → 156

Offensive5.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.093	0.4	1.792
Shooting %	0.25	0.477	0.2	0.846
Assists per pass	0.095	0.088	0.4	2.525

Σ contribution = 5.163

Defensive8.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	1.838	9.915	0.3	2.974
Blocks	11	6.545	8.368	0.2	1.674
Takeaways	5	3.257	7.958	0.25	1.989
Goals conceded	2	5.534	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 8.899

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Movolt Carolina Reapers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.68	1.73	0.23	-0.969	-0.223
Assists	2	1.41	1.36	0.19	0.431	0.082
Shots	0	3.51	2.77	0.09	-1.267	-0.114
Passes	25	16.01	7.6	0.08	1.184	0.095
Saves	4	1.84	2.2	0.19	0.982	0.187
Blocks	15	6.54	4.01	0.11	2.111	0.232
Takeaways	7	3.26	2.72	0.11	1.375	0.151

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.409 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.819, then +0.3 blocks → 7.1

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.982	0.335	0.32	0.107
Shots	0	3.513	0	0.08	0
Saves	4	1.838	2.177	0.15	0.326
Blocks	15	6.545	2.292	0.07	0.16
Takeaways	7	3.257	2.15	0.12	0.258
Passes	25	16.005	1.562	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.007 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.185 → ×100 = 118.49 → 118

Offensive4.27

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.093	0.4	1.425
Shooting %	0	0.477	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.08	0.088	0.4	2.25

Σ contribution = 4.265

Defensive9.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	1.838	9.306	0.3	2.792
Blocks	15	6.545	9.439	0.2	1.888
Takeaways	7	3.257	9.27	0.25	2.318
Goals conceded	2	5.534	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 9.26

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

dvyr Carolina Reapers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.68	1.73	0.23	0.188	0.043
Assists	1	1.41	1.36	0.19	-0.304	-0.058
Shots	6	3.51	2.77	0.09	0.897	0.081
Passes	27	16.01	7.6	0.08	1.447	0.116
Saves	0	1.84	2.2	0.19	-0.834	-0.159
Blocks	5	6.54	4.01	0.11	-0.386	-0.042
Takeaways	2	3.26	2.72	0.11	-0.462	-0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.07 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.861, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+81

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.982	1.006	0.32	0.322
Shots	6	3.513	1.708	0.08	0.137
Saves	0	1.838	0	0.15	0
Blocks	5	6.545	0.764	0.07	0.053
Takeaways	2	3.257	0.614	0.12	0.074
Passes	27	16.005	1.687	0.08	0.135
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.721 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.848 − 0.035 turnover penalty = 0.813 → ×100 = 81.28 → 81

Offensive4.95

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.093	0.4	2.42
Shooting %	0.333	0.477	0.2	0.966
Assists per pass	0.037	0.088	0.4	1.563

Σ contribution = 4.949

Defensive5.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.838	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	5	6.545	5.073	0.2	1.015
Takeaways	2	3.257	4.529	0.25	1.132
Goals conceded	2	5.534	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.295

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.68	1.73	0.23	-0.969	-0.223
Assists	1	1.41	1.36	0.19	-0.304	-0.058
Shots	1	3.51	2.77	0.09	-0.907	-0.082
Passes	3	16.01	7.6	0.08	-1.711	-0.137
Saves	6	1.84	2.2	0.19	1.89	0.359
Blocks	7	6.54	4.01	0.11	0.114	0.013
Takeaways	3	3.26	2.72	0.11	-0.094	-0.01

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.138 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.724, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	2.982	0.168	0.32	0.054
Shots	1	3.513	0.285	0.08	0.023
Saves	6	1.838	3.265	0.15	0.49
Blocks	7	6.545	1.07	0.07	0.075
Takeaways	3	3.257	0.921	0.12	0.111
Passes	3	16.005	0.187	0.08	0.015
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.797 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.937 − 0.081 turnover penalty = 0.856 → ×100 = 85.57 → 86

Offensive6.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.093	0.4	1.712
Shooting %	0	0.477	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.333	0.088	0.4	3.988

Σ contribution = 6.29

Defensive7.84

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	1.838	9.915	0.3	2.974
Blocks	7	6.545	6.278	0.2	1.256
Takeaways	3	3.257	5.686	0.25	1.421
Goals conceded	3	5.534	8.753	0.25	2.188

Σ contribution = 7.839

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.68	1.73	0.23	0.188	0.043
Assists	0	1.41	1.36	0.19	-1.038	-0.197
Shots	6	3.51	2.77	0.09	0.897	0.081
Passes	18	16.01	7.6	0.08	0.263	0.021
Saves	1	1.84	2.2	0.19	-0.38	-0.072
Blocks	4	6.54	4.01	0.11	-0.635	-0.07
Takeaways	5	3.26	2.72	0.11	0.64	0.07

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.124 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.752, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.982	0.671	0.32	0.215
Shots	6	3.513	1.708	0.08	0.137
Saves	1	1.838	0.544	0.15	0.082
Blocks	4	6.545	0.611	0.07	0.043
Takeaways	5	3.257	1.535	0.12	0.184
Passes	18	16.005	1.125	0.08	0.09
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.81 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.953 − 0.128 turnover penalty = 0.825 → ×100 = 82.51 → 83

Offensive4.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.118	0.093	0.4	2.822
Shooting %	0.333	0.477	0.2	0.966
Assists per pass	0	0.088	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.97

Defensive6.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	1.838	4.293	0.3	1.288
Blocks	4	6.545	4.519	0.2	0.904
Takeaways	5	3.257	7.958	0.25	1.989
Goals conceded	3	5.534	8.753	0.25	2.188

Σ contribution = 6.369

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.68	1.73	0.23	-0.969	-0.223
Assists	1	1.41	1.36	0.19	-0.304	-0.058
Shots	5	3.51	2.77	0.09	0.536	0.048
Passes	7	16.01	7.6	0.08	-1.185	-0.095
Saves	0	1.84	2.2	0.19	-0.834	-0.159
Blocks	0	6.54	4.01	0.11	-1.634	-0.18
Takeaways	2	3.26	2.72	0.11	-0.462	-0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.716 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.568, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+44

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.982	0.335	0.32	0.107
Shots	5	3.513	1.423	0.08	0.114
Saves	0	1.838	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	6.545	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.257	0.614	0.12	0.074
Passes	7	16.005	0.437	0.08	0.035
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.6	0.03	0.048

Σ 0.378 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.445 → ×100 = 44.46 → 44

Offensive5.83

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.067	0.093	0.4	1.963
Shooting %	0	0.477	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.143	0.088	0.4	3.279

Σ contribution = 5.833

Defensive4.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	1.838	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	6.545	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.257	4.529	0.25	1.132
Goals conceded	3	5.534	8.753	0.25	2.188

Σ contribution = 4.797

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.