Provo Polar Bears vs Minneapolis Milk Duds

PPHomeProvo Polar Bears

9–6Final

MMAwayMinneapolis Milk Duds

Jun 26, 2024 · Pacific Cup - Playoffs · Sundance Arena

MVP Kajun · 9.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Provo Polar BearsvsMinneapolis Milk Duds

12Shots416

10Saves73

10Faceoffs won28

16Takeaways16

16Turnovers↓16

22Blocks220

70Passes1484

3:07Possession0:292:38

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Blue	3	4	7	4	1	5	3	3	5	10	19	0:14	117	9.22	6.13
Kajun	3	5	8	5	7	5	4	11	5	9	33	2:35	219	6.15	9.02
SoccerboyEJ	3	2	5	3	2	0	1	2	6	3	18	0:18	87	8.26	5.56

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Barbeque	1	5	6	5	1	4	3	8	7	9	23	1:21	124	6.45	6.71
fueeqo	2	2	4	6	2	2	3	2	4	10	27	0:32	114	5.65	6.07
Graves	3	2	5	5	0	2	4	6	5	1	34	0:45	88	5.62	4.86

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	4	1.9	1.74	0.19	1.209	0.23
Shots	4	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.083	-0.008
Passes	19	19.15	8.04	0.08	-0.019	-0.002
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	10	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.667	0.183
Takeaways	3	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.278	-0.031

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.397 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.793, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.0

Pucker+117

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.951	1.519	0.32	0.486
Shots	4	4.228	0.946	0.08	0.076
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	10	3.761	2.659	0.07	0.186
Takeaways	3	3.957	0.758	0.12	0.091
Passes	19	19.152	0.992	0.08	0.079
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 1.03 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.212 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 1.172 → ×100 = 117.14 → 117

Offensive9.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.103	0.4	3.998
Shooting %	0.75	0.522	0.2	1.529
Assists per pass	0.211	0.099	0.4	3.692

Σ contribution = 9.22

Defensive6.13

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	10	3.761	9.72	0.2	1.944
Takeaways	3	3.957	5.051	0.25	1.263
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 6.135

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	5	1.9	1.74	0.19	1.785	0.339
Shots	5	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.282	0.025
Passes	33	19.15	8.04	0.08	1.722	0.138
Saves	7	2.02	2.38	0.19	2.091	0.397
Blocks	9	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.4	0.154
Takeaways	11	3.96	3.44	0.11	2.045	0.225

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.383 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.766, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting → 9.8

Pucker+219

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7.5	3.951	1.898	0.32	0.607
Shots	5	4.228	1.183	0.08	0.095
Saves	7	2.022	3.462	0.15	0.519
Blocks	9	3.761	2.393	0.07	0.168
Takeaways	11	3.957	2.78	0.12	0.334
Passes	33	19.152	1.723	0.08	0.138
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 1.894 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.228 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 2.188 → ×100 = 218.78 → 219

Offensive6.15

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.052	0.103	0.4	1.659
Shooting %	0.6	0.522	0.2	1.319
Assists per pass	0.152	0.099	0.4	3.171

Σ contribution = 6.149

Defensive9.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.022	9.942	0.3	2.983
Blocks	9	3.761	9.535	0.2	1.907
Takeaways	11	3.957	9.779	0.25	2.445
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 9.023

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	3	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.449	-0.04
Passes	18	19.15	8.04	0.08	-0.143	-0.011
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	3	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.203	-0.022
Takeaways	2	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.023 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.954, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 5.9

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.951	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	3	4.228	0.71	0.08	0.057
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	3	3.761	0.798	0.07	0.056
Takeaways	2	3.957	0.505	0.12	0.061
Passes	18	19.152	0.94	0.08	0.075
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.802 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.943 − 0.078 turnover penalty = 0.865 → ×100 = 86.52 → 87

Offensive8.26

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.278	0.103	0.4	3.893
Shooting %	1	0.522	0.2	1.779
Assists per pass	0.111	0.099	0.4	2.589

Σ contribution = 8.262

Defensive5.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	3	3.761	5.202	0.2	1.04
Takeaways	2	3.957	4.169	0.25	1.042
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 5.557

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Barbeque Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.691	-0.159
Assists	5	1.9	1.74	0.19	1.785	0.339
Shots	5	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.282	0.025
Passes	23	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.478	0.038
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	9	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.4	0.154
Takeaways	8	3.96	3.44	0.11	1.174	0.129

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.445 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.891, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.6

Pucker+124

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.951	1.392	0.32	0.445
Shots	5	4.228	1.183	0.08	0.095
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	9	3.761	2.393	0.07	0.168
Takeaways	8	3.957	2.022	0.12	0.243
Passes	23	19.152	1.201	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.155 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.359 − 0.116 turnover penalty = 1.243 → ×100 = 124.24 → 124

Offensive6.45

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.074	0.103	0.4	1.957
Shooting %	0.2	0.522	0.2	0.761
Assists per pass	0.217	0.099	0.4	3.728

Σ contribution = 6.447

Defensive6.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	9	3.761	9.535	0.2	1.907
Takeaways	8	3.957	9.083	0.25	2.271
Goals conceded	9	7.141	5.185	0.25	1.296

Σ contribution = 6.714

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

fueeqo Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.118	-0.027
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	6	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.647	0.058
Passes	27	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.976	0.078
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	10	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.667	0.183
Takeaways	2	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.239 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.478, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.951	1.012	0.32	0.324
Shots	6	4.228	1.419	0.08	0.114
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	10	3.761	2.659	0.07	0.186
Takeaways	2	3.957	0.505	0.12	0.061
Passes	27	19.152	1.41	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.969 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.141 − 0.002 turnover penalty = 1.139 → ×100 = 113.84 → 114

Offensive5.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.103	0.4	2.728
Shooting %	0.333	0.522	0.2	0.923
Assists per pass	0.074	0.099	0.4	2.002

Σ contribution = 5.653

Defensive6.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	10	3.761	9.72	0.2	1.944
Takeaways	2	3.957	4.169	0.25	1.042
Goals conceded	9	7.141	5.185	0.25	1.296

Σ contribution = 6.069

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	5	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.282	0.025
Passes	34	19.15	8.04	0.08	1.846	0.148
Saves	0	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.849	-0.161
Blocks	1	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.738	-0.081
Takeaways	6	3.96	3.44	0.11	0.593	0.065

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.111 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.222, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.951	1.012	0.32	0.324
Shots	5	4.228	1.183	0.08	0.095
Saves	0	2.022	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	3.761	0.266	0.07	0.019
Takeaways	6	3.957	1.516	0.12	0.182
Passes	34	19.152	1.775	0.08	0.142
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.781 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.919 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 0.879 → ×100 = 87.89 → 88

Offensive5.62

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.103	0.4	2.518
Shooting %	0.6	0.522	0.2	1.319
Assists per pass	0.059	0.099	0.4	1.782

Σ contribution = 5.618

Defensive4.86

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.022	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	3.761	3.498	0.2	0.7
Takeaways	6	3.957	7.9	0.25	1.975
Goals conceded	9	7.141	5.185	0.25	1.296

Σ contribution = 4.857

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.