Minneapolis Milk Duds vs Provo Polar Bears

MMHomeMinneapolis Milk Duds

8–6Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Jun 26, 2024 · Pacific Cup - Playoffs · The Duds Dome

MVP Blue · 7.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Minneapolis Milk DudsvsProvo Polar Bears

19Shots109

3Saves811

13Faceoffs won76

17Takeaways413

13Turnovers↓316

12Blocks1628

72Passes72

2:28Possession0:122:16

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Minneapolis Milk Duds

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Barbeque	0	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	2	4	8	0	0:24	39	2.95	5.59
Cole	2	0	2	4	1	3	0	1	2	2	13	0	0:08	58	6.17	4.64
fueeqo	3	3	6	8	0	5	3	4	4	3	23	0	0:56	107	6.32	5.13
Graves	3	2	5	6	0	4	2	11	5	3	28	1	1:00	121	5.22	6.06

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Blue	1	3	4	3	8	2	5	9	6	16	21	1:41	182	5.50	8.74
Kajun	2	3	5	2	1	3	3	2	9	3	27	0:19	72	8.23	4.71
SoccerboyEJ	3	0	3	4	2	1	5	2	1	9	24	0:16	95	6.18	6.13

Barbeque Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.21	1.74	0.23	-1.265	-0.291
Assists	0	1.9	1.74	0.19	-1.096	-0.208
Shots	1	4.23	2.74	0.09	-1.179	-0.106
Passes	8	19.15	8.04	0.08	-1.386	-0.111
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	4	3.76	3.74	0.11	0.064	0.007
Takeaways	1	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.858	-0.094

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.805 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.39, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.2

Pucker+39

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.951	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.228	0.237	0.08	0.019
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	4	3.761	1.064	0.07	0.074
Takeaways	1	3.957	0.253	0.12	0.03
Passes	8	19.152	0.418	0.08	0.033
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.336 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.395 → ×100 = 39.47 → 39

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.103	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.522	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.099	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.59

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	4	3.761	6.254	0.2	1.251
Takeaways	1	3.957	3.466	0.25	0.866
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 5.592

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cole Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.118	-0.027
Assists	0	1.9	1.74	0.19	-1.096	-0.208
Shots	4	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.083	-0.008
Passes	13	19.15	8.04	0.08	-0.765	-0.061
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	2	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.47	-0.052
Takeaways	1	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.858	-0.094

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.532 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.936, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.9

Pucker+58

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.951	0.506	0.32	0.162
Shots	4	4.228	0.946	0.08	0.076
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	2	3.761	0.532	0.07	0.037
Takeaways	1	3.957	0.253	0.12	0.03
Passes	13	19.152	0.679	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.494 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.581 → ×100 = 58.08 → 58

Offensive6.17

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.103	0.4	3.822
Shooting %	0.5	0.522	0.2	1.167
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.17

Defensive4.64

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	2	3.761	4.253	0.2	0.851
Takeaways	1	3.957	3.466	0.25	0.866
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 4.645

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

fueeqo Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	3	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.633	0.12
Shots	8	4.23	2.74	0.09	1.378	0.124
Passes	23	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.478	0.038
Saves	0	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.849	-0.161
Blocks	3	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.203	-0.022
Takeaways	4	3.96	3.44	0.11	0.013	0.001

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.205 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.409, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2

Pucker+107

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.951	1.392	0.32	0.445
Shots	8	4.228	1.892	0.08	0.151
Saves	0	2.022	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	3.761	0.798	0.07	0.056
Takeaways	4	3.957	1.011	0.12	0.121
Passes	23	19.152	1.201	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.25	0.03	0.037

Σ 0.908 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.068 − 0.002 turnover penalty = 1.066 → ×100 = 106.56 → 107

Offensive6.32

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.107	0.103	0.4	2.457
Shooting %	0.375	0.522	0.2	0.981
Assists per pass	0.13	0.099	0.4	2.885

Σ contribution = 6.323

Defensive5.13

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.022	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	3.761	5.202	0.2	1.04
Takeaways	4	3.957	6.044	0.25	1.511
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 5.125

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Graves Minneapolis Milk Duds

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	2	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.056	0.011
Shots	6	4.23	2.74	0.09	0.647	0.058
Passes	28	19.15	8.04	0.08	1.1	0.088
Saves	0	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.849	-0.161
Blocks	3	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.203	-0.022
Takeaways	11	3.96	3.44	0.11	2.045	0.225

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.303 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.606, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.6

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.951	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	6	4.228	1.419	0.08	0.114
Saves	0	2.022	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	3.761	0.798	0.07	0.056
Takeaways	11	3.957	2.78	0.12	0.334
Passes	28	19.152	1.462	0.08	0.117
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.065 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.253 − 0.04 turnover penalty = 1.213 → ×100 = 121.27 → 121

Offensive5.22

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.103	0.4	2.092
Shooting %	0.5	0.522	0.2	1.167
Assists per pass	0.071	0.099	0.4	1.962

Σ contribution = 5.221

Defensive6.06

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.022	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	3.761	5.202	0.2	1.04
Takeaways	11	3.957	9.779	0.25	2.445
Goals conceded	6	7.141	6.752	0.25	1.688

Σ contribution = 6.059

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.691	-0.159
Assists	3	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.633	0.12
Shots	3	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.449	-0.04
Passes	21	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.23	0.018
Saves	8	2.02	2.38	0.19	2.511	0.477
Blocks	16	3.76	3.74	0.11	3.27	0.36
Takeaways	9	3.96	3.44	0.11	1.464	0.161

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.937 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.874, then +0.35 saves, +0.3 blocks, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.8

Pucker+182

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.951	0.886	0.32	0.283
Shots	3	4.228	0.71	0.08	0.057
Saves	8	2.022	3.957	0.15	0.594
Blocks	16	3.761	4.254	0.07	0.298
Takeaways	9	3.957	2.275	0.12	0.273
Passes	21	19.152	1.096	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.571	0.03	0.017

Σ 1.609 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.893 − 0.078 turnover penalty = 1.815 → ×100 = 181.53 → 182

Offensive5.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.04	0.103	0.4	1.521
Shooting %	0.333	0.522	0.2	0.923
Assists per pass	0.143	0.099	0.4	3.06

Σ contribution = 5.504

Defensive8.74

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.022	9.978	0.3	2.994
Blocks	16	3.761	9.988	0.2	1.998
Takeaways	9	3.957	9.42	0.25	2.355
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 8.74

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Kajun Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.21	1.74	0.23	-0.118	-0.027
Assists	3	1.9	1.74	0.19	0.633	0.12
Shots	2	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.814	-0.073
Passes	27	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.976	0.078
Saves	1	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.429	-0.082
Blocks	3	3.76	3.74	0.11	-0.203	-0.022
Takeaways	2	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.069 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.863, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.951	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	2	4.228	0.473	0.08	0.038
Saves	1	2.022	0.495	0.15	0.074
Blocks	3	3.761	0.798	0.07	0.056
Takeaways	2	3.957	0.505	0.12	0.061
Passes	27	19.152	1.41	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.776 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.913 − 0.192 turnover penalty = 0.721 → ×100 = 72.11 → 72

Offensive8.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.263	0.103	0.4	3.86
Shooting %	1	0.522	0.2	1.779
Assists per pass	0.111	0.099	0.4	2.589

Σ contribution = 8.229

Defensive4.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.022	4.135	0.3	1.24
Blocks	3	3.761	5.202	0.2	1.04
Takeaways	2	3.957	4.169	0.25	1.042
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 4.715

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.74	0.23	0.455	0.105
Assists	0	1.9	1.74	0.19	-1.096	-0.208
Shots	4	4.23	2.74	0.09	-0.083	-0.008
Passes	24	19.15	8.04	0.08	0.603	0.048
Saves	2	2.02	2.38	0.19	-0.009	-0.002
Blocks	9	3.76	3.74	0.11	1.4	0.154
Takeaways	2	3.96	3.44	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.027 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.054, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.951	0.759	0.32	0.243
Shots	4	4.228	0.946	0.08	0.076
Saves	2	2.022	0.989	0.15	0.148
Blocks	9	3.761	2.393	0.07	0.168
Takeaways	2	3.957	0.505	0.12	0.061
Passes	24	19.152	1.253	0.08	0.1
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.333	0.03	0.01

Σ 0.805 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.948 → ×100 = 94.76 → 95

Offensive6.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.188	0.103	0.4	3.473
Shooting %	0.75	0.522	0.2	1.529
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.184

Defensive6.13

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.022	5.957	0.3	1.787
Blocks	9	3.761	9.535	0.2	1.907
Takeaways	2	3.957	4.169	0.25	1.042
Goals conceded	8	7.141	5.572	0.25	1.393

Σ contribution = 6.129

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.