Blue Bell Buttered Bagels vs Buffalo Blizzards

BBHomeBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

4–6Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Jun 11, 2024 · Open Benders - Playoffs · The Toaster Dome

MVP Blue Lou · 7.4 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Blue Bell Buttered BagelsvsBuffalo Blizzards

9Shots817

11Saves65

6Faceoffs won6

7Takeaways411

11Turnovers↓47

1Blocks1

47Passes542

2:06Possession0:231:43

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	3	1	4	7	1	1	3	3	3	0	19	0:11	94	7.07	4.49
Blue Lou	0	4	4	1	10	3	2	3	4	1	17	1:50	163	6.23	6.37
Chimmy	1	0	1	1	0	2	1	1	4	0	11	0:05	30	6.97	3.77

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	0	2	2	3	4	2	1	4	1	1	12	0:43	94	6.20	6.69
Ol Woodster	3	1	4	8	0	2	3	2	4	0	12	0:18	88	7.57	4.39
minimongo	3	1	4	6	1	2	2	5	2	0	18	0:42	107	6.21	5.43

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	7	3.97	2.42	0.09	1.255	0.113
Passes	19	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.677	0.054
Saves	1	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.538	-0.102
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.081 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.162, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.2

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	2.895	1.209	0.32	0.387
Shots	7	3.965	1.765	0.08	0.141
Saves	1	2.163	0.462	0.15	0.069
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	19	15.407	1.233	0.08	0.099
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.803 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.945 → ×100 = 94.46 → 94

Offensive7.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.364	0.07	0.4	3.999
Shooting %	0.429	0.455	0.2	1.154
Assists per pass	0.053	0.076	0.4	1.92

Σ contribution = 7.074

Defensive4.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.163	4.035	0.3	1.211
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	6	5.523	5.683	0.25	1.421

Σ contribution = 4.493

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	4	1.17	1.33	0.19	2.124	0.404
Shots	1	3.97	2.42	0.09	-1.226	-0.11
Passes	17	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.3	0.024
Saves	10	2.16	2.16	0.19	3.623	0.688
Blocks	1	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.838	-0.092
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.6 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.201, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.4

Pucker+163

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.895	1.382	0.32	0.442
Shots	1	3.965	0.252	0.08	0.02
Saves	10	2.163	4.624	0.15	0.694
Blocks	1	4.558	0.219	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	17	15.407	1.103	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 1.387 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.632 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 1.629 → ×100 = 162.9 → 163

Offensive6.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.036	0.07	0.4	1.687
Shooting %	0	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.235	0.076	0.4	3.951

Σ contribution = 6.229

Defensive6.37

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	10	2.163	9.994	0.3	2.998
Blocks	1	4.558	3.388	0.2	0.678
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	6	5.523	5.683	0.25	1.421

Σ contribution = 6.367

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.8	1.46	0.23	-0.549	-0.126
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	1	3.97	2.42	0.09	-1.226	-0.11
Passes	11	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.831	-0.066
Saves	0	2.16	2.16	0.19	-1	-0.19
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	1	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.85	-0.093

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.872 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.255, then +0.25 hot shooting → 4.5

Pucker+30

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.895	0.345	0.32	0.111
Shots	1	3.965	0.252	0.08	0.02
Saves	0	2.163	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.919	0.255	0.12	0.031
Passes	11	15.407	0.714	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.258 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.304 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 0.301 → ×100 = 30.09 → 30

Offensive6.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.07	0.4	3.925
Shooting %	1	0.455	0.2	1.867
Assists per pass	0	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.973

Defensive3.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.163	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	3.919	3.472	0.25	0.868
Goals conceded	6	5.523	5.683	0.25	1.421

Σ contribution = 3.766

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	2	1.17	1.33	0.19	0.621	0.118
Shots	3	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.399	-0.036
Passes	12	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.642	-0.051
Saves	4	2.16	2.16	0.19	0.849	0.161
Blocks	1	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.838	-0.092
Takeaways	4	3.92	3.43	0.11	0.024	0.003

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.181 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.638, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.895	0.691	0.32	0.221
Shots	3	3.965	0.757	0.08	0.061
Saves	4	2.163	1.849	0.15	0.277
Blocks	1	4.558	0.219	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	4	3.919	1.021	0.12	0.122
Passes	12	15.407	0.779	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.799 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.94 → ×100 = 94.02 → 94

Offensive6.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.047	0.07	0.4	1.885
Shooting %	0	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.167	0.076	0.4	3.727

Σ contribution = 6.203

Defensive6.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.163	8.763	0.3	2.629
Blocks	1	4.558	3.388	0.2	0.678
Takeaways	4	3.919	6.083	0.25	1.521
Goals conceded	4	5.523	7.454	0.25	1.863

Σ contribution = 6.691

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	8	3.97	2.42	0.09	1.669	0.15
Passes	12	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.642	-0.051
Saves	0	2.16	2.16	0.19	-1	-0.19
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	2	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.559	-0.061

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.107 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.786, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.895	1.382	0.32	0.442
Shots	8	3.965	2.018	0.08	0.161
Saves	0	2.163	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.919	0.51	0.12	0.061
Passes	12	15.407	0.779	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.751 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.884 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 0.881 → ×100 = 88.05 → 88

Offensive7.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.222	0.07	0.4	3.96
Shooting %	0.375	0.455	0.2	1.061
Assists per pass	0.083	0.076	0.4	2.549

Σ contribution = 7.57

Defensive4.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.163	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	3.919	4.184	0.25	1.046
Goals conceded	4	5.523	7.454	0.25	1.863

Σ contribution = 4.386

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	6	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.842	0.076
Passes	18	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.489	0.039
Saves	1	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.538	-0.102
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	5	3.92	3.43	0.11	0.315	0.035

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.093 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.186, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.2

Pucker+107

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.895	1.382	0.32	0.442
Shots	6	3.965	1.513	0.08	0.121
Saves	1	2.163	0.462	0.15	0.069
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.919	1.276	0.12	0.153
Passes	18	15.407	1.168	0.08	0.093
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.909 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.07 → ×100 = 106.95 → 107

Offensive6.21

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.07	0.4	2.958
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.28
Assists per pass	0.056	0.076	0.4	1.976

Σ contribution = 6.214

Defensive5.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.163	4.035	0.3	1.211
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	3.919	7.077	0.25	1.769
Goals conceded	4	5.523	7.454	0.25	1.863

Σ contribution = 5.434

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.