Buffalo Blizzards vs Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

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BBAwayBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

Jun 11, 2024 · Open Benders - Playoffs · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Blue Lou · 6.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

11Shots213

8Saves19

5Faceoffs won5

10Takeaways10

10Turnovers↓10

2Blocks11

40Passes139

1:32Possession0:492:21

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	0	0	1	3	3	2	3	3	0	11	0:40	49	2.95	5.71
JoshAllenfan420	0	0	2	3	1	0	3	0	0	10	0:08	53	2.95	5.71
Ol Woodster	1	1	3	1	0	2	0	2	0	10	0:12	34	4.88	4.14
Waggles	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	0:00	26	3.64	4.02
minimongo	0	0	3	1	0	0	4	3	0	7	0:32	34	2.95	4.93

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	2	2	4	4	0	3	1	3	3	0	20	0:13	90	8.16	5.01
Blue Lou	1	1	2	4	7	0	2	7	3	0	12	2:02	119	4.78	7.98
Chimmy	2	1	3	5	2	2	2	0	4	1	7	0:06	77	8.63	5.39

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	1	3.97	2.42	0.09	-1.226	-0.11
Passes	11	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.831	-0.066
Saves	3	2.16	2.16	0.19	0.387	0.074
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.702 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.596, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+49

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.895	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	3.965	0.252	0.08	0.02
Saves	3	2.163	1.387	0.15	0.208
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	11	15.407	0.714	0.08	0.057
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.2	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.413 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.486 → ×100 = 48.61 → 49

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.163	7.475	0.3	2.243
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 5.708

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	2	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.813	-0.073
Passes	10	15.41	5.3	0.08	-1.02	-0.082
Saves	3	2.16	2.16	0.19	0.387	0.074
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.68 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.64, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.4

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.895	0	0.32	0
Shots	2	3.965	0.504	0.08	0.04
Saves	3	2.163	1.387	0.15	0.208
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	10	15.407	0.649	0.08	0.052
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.452 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.532 → ×100 = 53.2 → 53

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.71

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.163	7.475	0.3	2.243
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 5.708

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.8	1.46	0.23	-0.549	-0.126
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	3	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.399	-0.036
Passes	10	15.41	5.3	0.08	-1.02	-0.082
Saves	1	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.538	-0.102
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	0	3.92	3.43	0.11	-1.141	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.757 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.485, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.3

Pucker+34

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.895	0.345	0.32	0.111
Shots	3	3.965	0.757	0.08	0.061
Saves	1	2.163	0.462	0.15	0.069
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	10	15.407	0.649	0.08	0.052
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.292 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.344 → ×100 = 34.39 → 34

Offensive4.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.07	0.4	2.706
Shooting %	0.333	0.455	0.2	0.992
Assists per pass	0	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.879

Defensive4.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.163	4.035	0.3	1.211
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	3.919	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 4.144

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.8	1.46	0.23	-0.549	-0.126
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	2	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.813	-0.073
Passes	2	15.41	5.3	0.08	-2.528	-0.202
Saves	0	2.16	2.16	0.19	-1	-0.19
Blocks	2	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.603	-0.066
Takeaways	0	3.92	3.43	0.11	-1.141	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.951 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.098, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.1

Pucker+26

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.895	0.345	0.32	0.111
Shots	2	3.965	0.504	0.08	0.04
Saves	0	2.163	0	0.15	0
Blocks	2	4.558	0.439	0.07	0.031
Takeaways	0	3.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	2	15.407	0.13	0.08	0.01
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.222 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.261 → ×100 = 26.11 → 26

Offensive3.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.07	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.28
Assists per pass	0	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.643

Defensive4.02

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.163	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	2	4.558	3.964	0.2	0.793
Takeaways	0	3.919	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 4.021

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.8	1.46	0.23	-1.233	-0.284
Assists	0	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.883	-0.168
Shots	3	3.97	2.42	0.09	-0.399	-0.036
Passes	7	15.41	5.3	0.08	-1.585	-0.127
Saves	1	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.538	-0.102
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	4	3.92	3.43	0.11	0.024	0.003

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.832 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.337, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.1

Pucker+34

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.895	0	0.32	0
Shots	3	3.965	0.757	0.08	0.061
Saves	1	2.163	0.462	0.15	0.069
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	3.919	1.021	0.12	0.122
Passes	7	15.407	0.454	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.289 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.34 → ×100 = 33.97 → 34

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.455	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.076	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.93

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.163	4.035	0.3	1.211
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	3.919	6.083	0.25	1.521
Goals conceded	5	5.523	6.417	0.25	1.604

Σ contribution = 4.927

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.135	0.031
Assists	2	1.17	1.33	0.19	0.621	0.118
Shots	4	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.014	0.001
Passes	20	15.41	5.3	0.08	0.866	0.069
Saves	0	2.16	2.16	0.19	-1	-0.19
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	3	3.92	3.43	0.11	-0.267	-0.029

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.118 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.764, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.8

Pucker+90

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.895	1.382	0.32	0.442
Shots	4	3.965	1.009	0.08	0.081
Saves	0	2.163	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.919	0.766	0.12	0.092
Passes	20	15.407	1.298	0.08	0.104
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.764 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.898 → ×100 = 89.82 → 90

Offensive8.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.308	0.07	0.4	3.997
Shooting %	0.5	0.455	0.2	1.28
Assists per pass	0.1	0.076	0.4	2.883

Σ contribution = 8.16

Defensive5.01

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.163	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.919	5.079	0.25	1.27
Goals conceded	2	5.523	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.009

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.8	1.46	0.23	-0.549	-0.126
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	4	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.014	0.001
Passes	12	15.41	5.3	0.08	-0.642	-0.051
Saves	7	2.16	2.16	0.19	2.236	0.425
Blocks	0	4.56	4.24	0.11	-1.074	-0.118
Takeaways	7	3.92	3.43	0.11	0.897	0.099

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.204 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.408, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Pucker+119

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	2.895	0.518	0.32	0.166
Shots	4	3.965	1.009	0.08	0.081
Saves	7	2.163	3.237	0.15	0.485
Blocks	0	4.558	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	3.919	1.786	0.12	0.214
Passes	12	15.407	0.779	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.009 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.187 → ×100 = 118.66 → 119

Offensive4.78

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.016	0.07	0.4	1.369
Shooting %	0.25	0.455	0.2	0.863
Assists per pass	0.083	0.076	0.4	2.549

Σ contribution = 4.781

Defensive7.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.163	9.91	0.3	2.973
Blocks	0	4.558	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	3.919	8.625	0.25	2.156
Goals conceded	2	5.523	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.982

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.8	1.46	0.23	0.135	0.031
Assists	1	1.17	1.33	0.19	-0.131	-0.025
Shots	5	3.97	2.42	0.09	0.428	0.039
Passes	7	15.41	5.3	0.08	-1.585	-0.127
Saves	2	2.16	2.16	0.19	-0.075	-0.014
Blocks	1	4.56	4.24	0.11	-0.838	-0.092
Takeaways	0	3.92	3.43	0.11	-1.141	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.314 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.372, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.2

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	2.895	1.036	0.32	0.332
Shots	5	3.965	1.261	0.08	0.101
Saves	2	2.163	0.925	0.15	0.139
Blocks	1	4.558	0.219	0.07	0.015
Takeaways	0	3.919	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	15.407	0.454	0.08	0.036
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.653 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.768 − 0.003 turnover penalty = 0.765 → ×100 = 76.5 → 77

Offensive8.63

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.07	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.4	0.455	0.2	1.105
Assists per pass	0.143	0.076	0.4	3.526

Σ contribution = 8.63

Defensive5.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.163	5.699	0.3	1.71
Blocks	1	4.558	3.388	0.2	0.678
Takeaways	0	3.919	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	2	5.523	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.388

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.