THHomeToronto Horrors
11–3Final
OVAwayOttawa Valley Tater Tots

Apr 30, 2024 · Prospect Cross-Play · The Horror House

MVP Scruffy · 7.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Toronto HorrorsvsOttawa Valley Tater Tots

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Toronto Horrors

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
Cronix22424106321201:211456.819.10
DonkeyNuts631011020222200:03546.976.30
Uno43780124202000:181278.415.59
Scruffy42651466411200:481297.647.25

Ottawa Valley Tater Tots

PlayerGAPtsShotsSavesFOWFOLTKTOBlkPassesGWGPossAPRPucker+OffDef
brandon hagel12323333612400:54835.076.37
i ride wayne ; )11220414401800:21565.164.46
conpeylil11242144812100:37654.136.17

Cronix Toronto Horrors

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals22.011.830.23-0.006-0.001
Assists21.591.570.190.2640.05
Shots24.273.360.09-0.675-0.061
Passes1216.228.320.08-0.508-0.041
Saves42.212.690.190.6660.127
Blocks20.710.980.111.320.145
Takeaways62.932.550.111.2060.133

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.352 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.704, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.0

Pucker+145
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution43.4611.1560.320.37
Shots24.2670.4690.080.037
Saves42.2111.810.150.271
Blocks20.7122.8080.070.197
Takeaways62.932.0480.120.246
Passes1216.2210.740.080.059
Faceoff win rate10.5031.9880.030.06

Σ 1.24 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.459 − 0.005 turnover penalty = 1.454 → ×100 = 145.34 → 145

Offensive6.81
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0490.1120.41.59
Shooting %10.4710.21.847
Assists per pass0.1670.0980.43.372

Σ contribution = 6.808

Defensive9.10
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves42.2118.6770.32.603
Blocks20.7129.790.21.958
Takeaways62.939.1240.252.281
Goals conceded36.7479.0460.252.262

Σ contribution = 9.104

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DonkeyNuts63 Toronto Horrors

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.011.830.23-0.553-0.127
Assists01.591.570.19-1.011-0.192
Shots14.273.360.09-0.973-0.088
Passes216.228.320.08-1.71-0.137
Saves02.212.690.19-0.822-0.156
Blocks20.710.980.111.320.145
Takeaways22.932.550.11-0.365-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.595 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.81, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.1

Pucker+54
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution13.4610.2890.320.092
Shots14.2670.2340.080.019
Saves02.21100.150
Blocks20.7122.8080.070.197
Takeaways22.930.6830.120.082
Passes216.2210.1230.080.01
Faceoff win rate10.5031.9880.030.06

Σ 0.459 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.54 → ×100 = 54.02 → 54

Offensive6.97
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.3330.1120.43.941
Shooting %10.4710.21.847
Assists per pass00.0980.41.181

Σ contribution = 6.969

Defensive6.30
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.2112.9540.30.886
Blocks20.7129.790.21.958
Takeaways22.934.7720.251.193
Goals conceded36.7479.0460.252.262

Σ contribution = 6.299

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Uno Toronto Horrors

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals42.011.830.231.090.251
Assists31.591.570.190.9010.171
Shots84.273.360.091.1120.1
Passes2016.228.320.080.4540.036
Saves02.212.690.19-0.822-0.156
Blocks00.710.980.11-0.73-0.08
Takeaways42.932.550.110.420.046

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.368 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.736, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7

Pucker+127
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution73.4612.0220.320.647
Shots84.2671.8750.080.15
Saves02.21100.150
Blocks00.71200.070
Takeaways42.931.3650.120.164
Passes2016.2211.2330.080.099
Faceoff win rate0.3330.5030.6630.030.02

Σ 1.079 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.27 → ×100 = 127 → 127

Offensive8.41
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.3890.1120.43.978
Shooting %0.50.4710.21.249
Assists per pass0.150.0980.43.182

Σ contribution = 8.408

Defensive5.59
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.2112.9540.30.886
Blocks00.7122.9540.20.591
Takeaways42.937.3990.251.85
Goals conceded36.7479.0460.252.262

Σ contribution = 5.589

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Scruffy Toronto Horrors

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals42.011.830.231.090.251
Assists21.591.570.190.2640.05
Shots54.273.360.090.2180.02
Passes1216.228.320.08-0.508-0.041
Saves12.212.690.19-0.45-0.086
Blocks10.710.980.110.2950.032
Takeaways62.932.550.111.2060.133

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.359 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.719, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.0

Pucker+129
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution63.4611.7330.320.555
Shots54.2671.1720.080.094
Saves12.2110.4520.150.068
Blocks10.7121.4040.070.098
Takeaways62.932.0480.120.246
Passes1216.2210.740.080.059
Faceoff win rate0.40.5030.7950.030.024

Σ 1.143 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.345 − 0.057 turnover penalty = 1.288 → ×100 = 128.81 → 129

Offensive7.64
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.1250.1120.42.589
Shooting %0.80.4710.21.682
Assists per pass0.1670.0980.43.372

Σ contribution = 7.643

Defensive7.25
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves12.2114.0050.31.202
Blocks10.7127.5330.21.507
Takeaways62.939.1240.252.281
Goals conceded36.7479.0460.252.262

Σ contribution = 7.252

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

brandon hagel Ottawa Valley Tater Tots

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.011.830.23-0.553-0.127
Assists21.591.570.190.2640.05
Shots24.273.360.09-0.675-0.061
Passes2416.228.320.080.9350.075
Saves32.212.690.190.2940.056
Blocks10.710.980.110.2950.032
Takeaways32.932.550.110.0280.003

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.028 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.056, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+83
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution2.53.4610.7220.320.231
Shots24.2670.4690.080.037
Saves32.2111.3570.150.204
Blocks10.7121.4040.070.098
Takeaways32.931.0240.120.123
Passes2416.2211.480.080.118
Faceoff win rate0.50.5030.9940.030.03

Σ 0.842 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.99 − 0.161 turnover penalty = 0.829 → ×100 = 82.95 → 83

Offensive5.07
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0560.1120.41.657
Shooting %0.50.4710.21.249
Assists per pass0.0830.0980.42.165

Σ contribution = 5.071

Defensive6.37
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves32.2117.3710.32.211
Blocks10.7127.5330.21.507
Takeaways32.936.0960.251.524
Goals conceded116.7474.5260.251.132

Σ contribution = 6.374

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

i ride wayne ; ) Ottawa Valley Tater Tots

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.9
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.011.830.23-0.553-0.127
Assists11.591.570.19-0.373-0.071
Shots24.273.360.09-0.675-0.061
Passes1816.228.320.080.2140.017
Saves02.212.690.19-0.822-0.156
Blocks00.710.980.11-0.73-0.08
Takeaways42.932.550.110.420.046

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.432 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.136, then −0.2 goals against → 4.9

Pucker+56
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution23.4610.5780.320.185
Shots24.2670.4690.080.037
Saves02.21100.150
Blocks00.71200.070
Takeaways42.931.3650.120.164
Passes1816.2211.110.080.089
Faceoff win rate0.80.5031.590.030.048

Σ 0.523 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.615 − 0.057 turnover penalty = 0.558 → ×100 = 55.79 → 56

Offensive5.16
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0950.1120.42.166
Shooting %0.50.4710.21.249
Assists per pass0.0560.0980.41.749

Σ contribution = 5.163

Defensive4.46
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves02.2112.9540.30.886
Blocks00.7122.9540.20.591
Takeaways42.937.3990.251.85
Goals conceded116.7474.5260.251.132

Σ contribution = 4.459

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

conpeylil Ottawa Valley Tater Tots

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1
StatValueLeague avgStd devWeightzContribution
Goals12.011.830.23-0.553-0.127
Assists11.591.570.19-0.373-0.071
Shots44.273.360.09-0.079-0.007
Passes2116.228.320.080.5750.046
Saves22.212.690.19-0.078-0.015
Blocks10.710.980.110.2950.032
Takeaways42.932.550.110.420.046

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.096 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.809, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+65
StatValueLeague rateRatioWeightContribution
Goal contribution23.4610.5780.320.185
Shots44.2670.9380.080.075
Saves22.2110.9050.150.136
Blocks10.7121.4040.070.098
Takeaways42.931.3650.120.164
Passes2116.2211.2950.080.104
Faceoff win rate0.20.5030.3980.030.012

Σ 0.773 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.91 − 0.264 turnover penalty = 0.646 → ×100 = 64.56 → 65

Offensive4.13
RateValueLeagueWeightContribution
Points per possession-sec0.0540.1120.41.64
Shooting %0.250.4710.20.85
Assists per pass0.0480.0980.41.644

Σ contribution = 4.135

Defensive6.17
StatValueLeague rated(ratio)WeightContribution
Saves22.2115.620.31.686
Blocks10.7127.5330.21.507
Takeaways42.937.3990.251.85
Goals conceded116.7474.5260.251.132

Σ contribution = 6.175

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.