Sacramento Steamers vs Provo Polar Bears

SSHomeSacramento Steamers

3–13Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

May 13, 2024 · West Division · Steam Stadium

MVP Blue · 9.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Sacramento SteamersvsProvo Polar Bears

8Shots1725

12Saves75

7Faceoffs won411

16Takeaways622

22Turnovers↓616

5Blocks32

35Passes3873

1:10Possession2:133:23

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Sacramento Steamers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Mojo	0	1	1	2	7	2	4	6	6	2	13	0:32	121	0.49	1.51
LookADog	3	0	3	5	5	2	4	7	11	2	8	0:29	110	0.70	1.52
thug shaker	0	0	0	1	0	3	3	3	5	1	14	0:09	32	0.24	0.70

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Pediatric Patrick	3	0	3	5	0	2	0	1	3	0	21	0:17	63	0.94	0.65
Blue	4	8	12	11	5	3	1	16	7	2	25	2:44	274	1.19	1.90
Chaser	6	3	9	9	0	6	6	5	6	0	27	0:22	135	1.46	0.89

Mojo Sacramento Steamers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.21	1.97	0.23	-1.12	-0.258
Assists	1	1.82	1.72	0.19	-0.475	-0.09
Shots	2	4.29	3.28	0.09	-0.698	-0.063
Passes	13	16.67	6.99	0.08	-0.525	-0.042
Saves	7	2.05	2.66	0.19	1.862	0.354
Blocks	2	0.68	0.98	0.11	1.354	0.149
Takeaways	6	3.76	3.47	0.11	0.644	0.071

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.121 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.242, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.9

Pucker+121

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.871	0.258	0.32	0.083
Shots	2	4.292	0.466	0.08	0.037
Saves	7	2.054	3.408	0.15	0.511
Blocks	2	0.678	2.95	0.07	0.207
Takeaways	6	3.763	1.595	0.12	0.191
Passes	13	16.668	0.78	0.08	0.062
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.502	0.664	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.111 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.307 − 0.096 turnover penalty = 1.211 → ×100 = 121.15 → 121

Offensive0.49

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.031	0.112	0.4	0.153
Shooting %	0	0.515	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.077	0.109	0.4	0.285

Σ contribution = 0.486

Defensive1.51

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.054	1.984	0.3	0.595
Blocks	2	0.678	1.96	0.2	0.392
Takeaways	6	3.763	1.533	0.25	0.383
Goals conceded	13	6.932	0.564	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 1.511

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LookADog Sacramento Steamers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.97	0.23	0.4	0.092
Assists	0	1.82	1.72	0.19	-1.057	-0.201
Shots	5	4.29	3.28	0.09	0.216	0.019
Passes	8	16.67	6.99	0.08	-1.24	-0.099
Saves	5	2.05	2.66	0.19	1.109	0.211
Blocks	2	0.68	0.98	0.11	1.354	0.149
Takeaways	7	3.76	3.47	0.11	0.932	0.103

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.273 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.547, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 6.3

Pucker+110

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.871	0.775	0.32	0.248
Shots	5	4.292	1.165	0.08	0.093
Saves	5	2.054	2.434	0.15	0.365
Blocks	2	0.678	2.95	0.07	0.207
Takeaways	7	3.763	1.86	0.12	0.223
Passes	8	16.668	0.48	0.08	0.038
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.502	0.664	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.194 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.405 − 0.301 turnover penalty = 1.104 → ×100 = 110.44 → 110

Offensive0.70

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.103	0.112	0.4	0.369
Shooting %	0.6	0.515	0.2	0.233
Assists per pass	0	0.109	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.697

Defensive1.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.054	1.892	0.3	0.568
Blocks	2	0.678	1.96	0.2	0.392
Takeaways	7	3.763	1.696	0.25	0.424
Goals conceded	13	6.932	0.564	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 1.525

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

thug shaker Sacramento Steamers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.21	1.97	0.23	-1.12	-0.258
Assists	0	1.82	1.72	0.19	-1.057	-0.201
Shots	1	4.29	3.28	0.09	-1.002	-0.09
Passes	14	16.67	6.99	0.08	-0.382	-0.031
Saves	0	2.05	2.66	0.19	-0.773	-0.147
Blocks	1	0.68	0.98	0.11	0.33	0.036
Takeaways	3	3.76	3.47	0.11	-0.22	-0.024

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.714 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.572, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+32

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.871	0	0.32	0
Shots	1	4.292	0.233	0.08	0.019
Saves	0	2.054	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.678	1.475	0.07	0.103
Takeaways	3	3.763	0.797	0.12	0.096
Passes	14	16.668	0.84	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.502	0.997	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.315 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.37 − 0.055 turnover penalty = 0.315 → ×100 = 31.53 → 32

Offensive0.24

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.112	0.4	0.095
Shooting %	0.515	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.109	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.238

Defensive0.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.054	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	1	0.678	1.442	0.2	0.288
Takeaways	3	3.763	0.8	0.25	0.2
Goals conceded	13	6.932	0.564	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 0.701

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pediatric Patrick Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.21	1.97	0.23	0.4	0.092
Assists	0	1.82	1.72	0.19	-1.057	-0.201
Shots	5	4.29	3.28	0.09	0.216	0.019
Passes	21	16.67	6.99	0.08	0.62	0.05
Saves	0	2.05	2.66	0.19	-0.773	-0.147
Blocks	0	0.68	0.98	0.11	-0.694	-0.076
Takeaways	1	3.76	3.47	0.11	-0.795	-0.087

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.351 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.299, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.5

Pucker+63

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.871	0.775	0.32	0.248
Shots	5	4.292	1.165	0.08	0.093
Saves	0	2.054	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.678	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	3.763	0.266	0.12	0.032
Passes	21	16.668	1.26	0.08	0.101
Faceoff win rate	1	0.502	1.993	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.534 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.628 → ×100 = 62.79 → 63

Offensive0.94

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.176	0.112	0.4	0.608
Shooting %	0.6	0.515	0.2	0.233
Assists per pass	0	0.109	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.936

Defensive0.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.054	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.678	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	3.763	0.374	0.25	0.094
Goals conceded	3	6.932	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.654

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.21	1.97	0.23	0.907	0.209
Assists	8	1.82	1.72	0.19	3.598	0.684
Shots	11	4.29	3.28	0.09	2.043	0.184
Passes	25	16.67	6.99	0.08	1.192	0.095
Saves	5	2.05	2.66	0.19	1.109	0.211
Blocks	2	0.68	0.98	0.11	1.354	0.149
Takeaways	16	3.76	3.47	0.11	3.523	0.388

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.919 × 2, −3 to 3) = 9, then +0.4 playmaker, +0.3 takeaways, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 9.2

Pucker+274

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	12	3.871	3.1	0.32	0.992
Shots	11	4.292	2.563	0.08	0.205
Saves	5	2.054	2.434	0.15	0.365
Blocks	2	0.678	2.95	0.07	0.207
Takeaways	16	3.763	4.252	0.12	0.51
Passes	25	16.668	1.5	0.08	0.12
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.502	1.495	0.03	0.045

Σ 2.444 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.875 − 0.137 turnover penalty = 2.738 → ×100 = 273.81 → 274

Offensive1.19

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.073	0.112	0.4	0.267
Shooting %	0.364	0.515	0.2	0.143
Assists per pass	0.32	0.109	0.4	0.784

Σ contribution = 1.193

Defensive1.90

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.054	1.892	0.3	0.568
Blocks	2	0.678	1.96	0.2	0.392
Takeaways	16	3.763	1.997	0.25	0.499
Goals conceded	3	6.932	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 1.899

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.21	1.97	0.23	1.92	0.442
Assists	3	1.82	1.72	0.19	0.688	0.131
Shots	9	4.29	3.28	0.09	1.434	0.129
Passes	27	16.67	6.99	0.08	1.478	0.118
Saves	0	2.05	2.66	0.19	-0.773	-0.147
Blocks	0	0.68	0.98	0.11	-0.694	-0.076
Takeaways	5	3.76	3.47	0.11	0.356	0.039

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.636 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.271, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 7.7

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	3.871	2.325	0.32	0.744
Shots	9	4.292	2.097	0.08	0.168
Saves	0	2.054	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.678	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	3.763	1.329	0.12	0.159
Passes	27	16.668	1.62	0.08	0.13
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.502	0.997	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.231 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.448 − 0.096 turnover penalty = 1.352 → ×100 = 135.2 → 135

Offensive1.46

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.409	0.112	0.4	0.796
Shooting %	0.667	0.515	0.2	0.257
Assists per pass	0.111	0.109	0.4	0.408

Σ contribution = 1.461

Defensive0.89

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.054	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.678	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	5	3.763	1.317	0.25	0.329
Goals conceded	3	6.932	1.762	0.25	0.44

Σ contribution = 0.889

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.