Buffalo Blizzards vs Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

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6–4Final

BBAwayBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

Jun 4, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Blue Lou · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

16Shots313

9Saves110

5Faceoffs won38

10Takeaways73

3Turnovers↓710

3Blocks12

39Passes1958

1:49Possession0:031:46

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	1	0	1	2	8	2	3	5	2	0	2	0:59	114	0.44	1.46
JoshAllenfan420	4	1	5	9	1	2	5	2	0	3	12	0:31	146	1.08	1.12
minimongo	1	3	4	5	0	1	0	3	1	0	25	0:19	101	1.25	0.79

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	2	1	3	6	0	1	1	1	5	0	24	0:18	59	0.91	0.48
Blue Lou	0	2	2	3	9	4	3	2	2	2	21	1:13	150	0.57	1.45
Chimmy	2	0	2	4	1	3	1	0	3	0	13	0:15	51	0.78	0.50

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	2	13.43	8.43	0.08	-1.356	-0.108
Saves	8	2.23	2.85	0.19	2.023	0.384
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	5	2.38	2.43	0.11	1.077	0.118

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.02 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.959, then +0.35 saves → 6.3

Pucker+114

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	8	2.229	3.589	0.15	0.538
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	2.381	2.1	0.12	0.252
Passes	2	13.425	0.149	0.08	0.012
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.801	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.966 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.137 → ×100 = 113.65 → 114

Offensive0.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.017	0.114	0.4	0.123
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	0.218
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.436

Defensive1.46

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.229	1.989	0.3	0.597
Blocks	0	0.693	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	5	2.381	1.8	0.25	0.45
Goals conceded	4	5.887	1.44	0.25	0.36

Σ contribution = 1.455

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.9	1.81	0.23	1.161	0.267
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	9	4.14	3.42	0.09	1.419	0.128
Passes	12	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	3	0.69	0.97	0.11	2.373	0.261
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.5 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.001, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.0

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.162	1.581	0.32	0.506
Shots	9	4.141	2.173	0.08	0.174
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	3	0.693	4.327	0.07	0.303
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	12	13.425	0.894	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.572	0.03	0.017

Σ 1.24 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.458 → ×100 = 145.83 → 146

Offensive1.08

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.161	0.114	0.4	0.556
Shooting %	0.444	0.459	0.2	0.194
Assists per pass	0.083	0.1	0.4	0.333

Σ contribution = 1.082

Defensive1.12

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	0.498	0.3	0.15
Blocks	3	0.693	1.997	0.2	0.399
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.841	0.25	0.21
Goals conceded	4	5.887	1.44	0.25	0.36

Σ contribution = 1.119

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	3	1.35	1.55	0.19	1.066	0.203
Shots	5	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.251	0.023
Passes	25	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.374	0.11
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	3	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.254	0.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.022 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.043, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+101

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	5	4.141	1.207	0.08	0.097
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.26	0.12	0.151
Passes	25	13.425	1.862	0.08	0.149
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2.001	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.862 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.014 → ×100 = 101.37 → 101

Offensive1.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.211	0.114	0.4	0.675
Shooting %	0.2	0.459	0.2	0.098
Assists per pass	0.12	0.1	0.4	0.477

Σ contribution = 1.25

Defensive0.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.693	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.254	0.25	0.314
Goals conceded	4	5.887	1.44	0.25	0.36

Σ contribution = 0.794

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	6	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.543	0.049
Passes	24	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.255	0.1
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.17 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.66, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5

Pucker+59

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	6	4.141	1.449	0.08	0.116
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	24	13.425	1.788	0.08	0.143
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.643 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.756 − 0.164 turnover penalty = 0.592 → ×100 = 59.29 → 59

Offensive0.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.167	0.114	0.4	0.571
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.147
Assists per pass	0.042	0.1	0.4	0.19

Σ contribution = 0.907

Defensive0.48

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.693	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.477	0.25	0.119
Goals conceded	6	5.887	0.981	0.25	0.245

Σ contribution = 0.484

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	3	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.333	-0.03
Passes	21	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.899	0.072
Saves	9	2.23	2.85	0.19	2.373	0.451
Blocks	2	0.69	0.97	0.11	1.344	0.148
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.462 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.923, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.1

Pucker+150

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.162	0.474	0.32	0.152
Shots	3	4.141	0.724	0.08	0.058
Saves	9	2.229	4.037	0.15	0.606
Blocks	2	0.693	2.884	0.07	0.202
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	21	13.425	1.564	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.144	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.278 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.503 → ×100 = 150.29 → 150

Offensive0.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.114	0.4	0.143
Shooting %	0	0.459	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.095	0.1	0.4	0.379

Σ contribution = 0.571

Defensive1.45

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	9	2.229	1.995	0.3	0.599
Blocks	2	0.693	1.955	0.2	0.391
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.841	0.25	0.21
Goals conceded	6	5.887	0.981	0.25	0.245

Σ contribution = 1.445

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	13	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.05	-0.004
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	0	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.979	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.429 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.143, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.1

Pucker+51

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.381	0	0.12	0
Passes	13	13.425	0.968	0.08	0.077
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.501	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.469 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.552 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 0.514 → ×100 = 51.42 → 51

Offensive0.78

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.114	0.4	0.466
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	0.218
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.779

Defensive0.50

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	0.498	0.3	0.15
Blocks	0	0.693	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	2.381	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	6	5.887	0.981	0.25	0.245

Σ contribution = 0.503

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.