Hagerstown Heroes vs Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

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6–5Final

BBAwayBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

May 13, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Frost Frontier Arena

MVP The Real Teddy Blueger · 7.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hagerstown HeroesvsBlue Bell Buttered Bagels

13Shots112

7Saves7

5Faceoffs won38

19Takeaways172

2Turnovers↓1719

8Blocks53

61Passes1150

2:27Possession0:571:30

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hagerstown Heroes

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Ceesei	1	1	2	2	1	2	1	2	1	2	14	0	0:24	86	5.20	6.18
The Real Teddy Blueger	2	1	3	6	2	0	3	10	0	5	28	0	1:34	203	3.89	7.85
awlden	3	1	4	5	4	3	4	7	1	1	19	1	0:29	160	5.86	8.26

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	2	2	4	4	1	2	1	0	8	0	15	0:21	45	7.51	4.01
Blue Lou	2	2	4	4	4	4	1	1	5	2	23	1:00	123	5.23	7.01
Chimmy	1	2	3	4	2	2	3	1	6	1	12	0:09	61	8.12	5.67

Ceesei Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	14	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.068	0.005
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	2	0.69	0.97	0.11	1.344	0.148
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.159 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.681, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.7

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	2	0.693	2.884	0.07	0.202
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	14	13.425	1.043	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.735 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.864 → ×100 = 86.41 → 86

Offensive5.20

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.114	0.4	1.977
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.071	0.1	0.4	1.951

Σ contribution = 5.199

Defensive6.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	2	0.693	9.82	0.2	1.964
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 6.179

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

The Real Teddy Blueger Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	6	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.543	0.049
Passes	28	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.73	0.138
Saves	2	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.08	-0.015
Blocks	5	0.69	0.97	0.11	4.431	0.487
Takeaways	10	2.38	2.43	0.11	3.133	0.345

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.974 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.948, then −0.2 cold shooting → 7.7

Pucker+203

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	6	4.141	1.449	0.08	0.116
Saves	2	2.229	0.897	0.15	0.135
Blocks	5	0.693	7.211	0.07	0.505
Takeaways	10	2.381	4.2	0.12	0.504
Passes	28	13.425	2.086	0.08	0.167
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.73 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.035 → ×100 = 203.49 → 203

Offensive3.89

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.032	0.114	0.4	1.412
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.986
Assists per pass	0.036	0.1	0.4	1.492

Σ contribution = 3.89

Defensive7.85

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.229	5.59	0.3	1.677
Blocks	5	0.693	10	0.2	2
Takeaways	10	2.381	9.987	0.25	2.497
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 7.85

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

awlden Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	5	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.251	0.023
Passes	19	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.662	0.053
Saves	4	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.621	0.118
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	7	2.38	2.43	0.11	1.899	0.209

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.534 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.068, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.3

Pucker+160

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	5	4.141	1.207	0.08	0.097
Saves	4	2.229	1.794	0.15	0.269
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	7	2.381	2.94	0.12	0.353
Passes	19	13.425	1.415	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.858	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.363 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.604 → ×100 = 160.38 → 160

Offensive5.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.138	0.114	0.4	2.726
Shooting %	0.6	0.459	0.2	1.438
Assists per pass	0.053	0.1	0.4	1.691

Σ contribution = 5.856

Defensive8.26

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.229	8.643	0.3	2.593
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	7	2.381	9.838	0.25	2.46
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 8.261

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	15	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.187	0.015
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	0	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.979	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.164 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.672, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.4

Pucker+45

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.381	0	0.12	0
Passes	15	13.425	1.117	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.679 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.799 − 0.352 turnover penalty = 0.447 → ×100 = 44.7 → 45

Offensive7.51

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.19	0.114	0.4	3.332
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.133	0.1	0.4	2.907

Σ contribution = 7.51

Defensive4.01

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.381	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 4.008

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	23	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.136	0.091
Saves	4	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.621	0.118
Blocks	2	0.69	0.97	0.11	1.344	0.148
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.383 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.766, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.8

Pucker+123

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	4	2.229	1.794	0.15	0.269
Blocks	2	0.693	2.884	0.07	0.202
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	23	13.425	1.713	0.08	0.137
Faceoff win rate	0.8	0.5	1.601	0.03	0.048

Σ 1.189 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.398 − 0.164 turnover penalty = 1.234 → ×100 = 123.49 → 123

Offensive5.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.067	0.114	0.4	1.769
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.087	0.1	0.4	2.187

Σ contribution = 5.228

Defensive7.01

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.229	8.643	0.3	2.593
Blocks	2	0.693	9.82	0.2	1.964
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 7.015

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	12	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	2	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.08	-0.015
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.095 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.81, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 5.3

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.162	0.791	0.32	0.253
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	2	2.229	0.897	0.15	0.135
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	12	13.425	0.894	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.801	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.712 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.837 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 0.611 → ×100 = 61.12 → 61

Offensive8.12

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.114	0.4	3.932
Shooting %	0.25	0.459	0.2	0.859
Assists per pass	0.167	0.1	0.4	3.325

Σ contribution = 8.116

Defensive5.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.229	5.59	0.3	1.677
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	6	5.887	5.925	0.25	1.481

Σ contribution = 5.667

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.