Buffalo Blizzards vs Cincinnati Coneys

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5–4Final

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May 14, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Jabo · 7.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsCincinnati Coneys

8Shots210

6Saves33

5Faceoffs won16

10Takeaways515

15Turnovers↓510

7Blocks52

36Passes1652

1:36Possession1:202:56

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	2	1	3	2	5	1	4	1	3	5	10	0	0:21	150	7.05	7.73
Ol Woodster	0	1	1	2	0	2	2	1	4	1	12	0	0:21	36	4.28	5.33
minimongo	3	1	4	4	1	2	0	8	8	1	14	1	0:54	106	5.46	7.15

Cincinnati Coneys

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
##RR	2	2	4	4	0	2	1	8	4	1	19	1:11	124	5.40	6.58
Bowz	1	2	3	5	3	3	2	0	3	1	15	0:43	88	5.50	6.14
Exotic_-	1	1	2	1	0	1	2	7	3	0	18	1:02	73	5.01	5.61

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	10	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.407	-0.033
Saves	5	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.971	0.185
Blocks	5	0.69	0.97	0.11	4.431	0.487
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.491 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.981, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.2

Pucker+150

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	5	2.229	2.243	0.15	0.336
Blocks	5	0.693	7.211	0.07	0.505
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	10	13.425	0.745	0.08	0.06
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 1.305 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.536 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 1.498 → ×100 = 149.78 → 150

Offensive7.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.114	0.4	2.792
Shooting %	1	0.459	0.2	1.862
Assists per pass	0.1	0.1	0.4	2.393

Σ contribution = 7.047

Defensive7.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.229	9.385	0.3	2.816
Blocks	5	0.693	10	0.2	2
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 7.733

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	12	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.53 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.939, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.7

Pucker+36

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	12	13.425	0.894	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.393 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.462 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.361 → ×100 = 36.12 → 36

Offensive4.28

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.114	0.4	1.56
Shooting %	0	0.459	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.083	0.1	0.4	2.131

Σ contribution = 4.281

Defensive5.33

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 5.335

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	14	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.068	0.005
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	8	2.38	2.43	0.11	2.31	0.254

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.306 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.612, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.6

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	8	2.381	3.36	0.12	0.403
Passes	14	13.425	1.043	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2.001	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.197 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.408 − 0.352 turnover penalty = 1.056 → ×100 = 105.66 → 106

Offensive5.46

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.074	0.114	0.4	1.859
Shooting %	0.75	0.459	0.2	1.649
Assists per pass	0.071	0.1	0.4	1.951

Σ contribution = 5.458

Defensive7.15

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	8	2.381	9.929	0.25	2.482
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 7.152

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

##RR Cincinnati Coneys

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	19	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.662	0.053
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	8	2.38	2.43	0.11	2.31	0.254

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.282 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.564, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.6

Pucker+124

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	8	2.381	3.36	0.12	0.403
Passes	19	13.425	1.415	0.08	0.113
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.334	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.139 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.341 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 1.24 → ×100 = 123.98 → 124

Offensive5.40

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.056	0.114	0.4	1.652
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.105	0.1	0.4	2.477

Σ contribution = 5.4

Defensive6.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	8	2.381	9.929	0.25	2.482
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 6.576

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bowz Cincinnati Coneys

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	5	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.251	0.023
Passes	15	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.187	0.015
Saves	3	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.27	0.051
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	0	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.979	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.019 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.963, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.8

Pucker+88

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.162	0.791	0.32	0.253
Shots	5	4.141	1.207	0.08	0.097
Saves	3	2.229	1.346	0.15	0.202
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	0	2.381	0	0.12	0
Passes	15	13.425	1.117	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.201	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.778 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.915 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 0.877 → ×100 = 87.7 → 88

Offensive5.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.114	0.4	1.806
Shooting %	0.2	0.459	0.2	0.791
Assists per pass	0.133	0.1	0.4	2.907

Σ contribution = 5.504

Defensive6.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.229	7.33	0.3	2.199
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	0	2.381	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 6.145

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Exotic_- Cincinnati Coneys

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	1	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.917	-0.083
Passes	18	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.543	0.043
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	7	2.38	2.43	0.11	1.899	0.209

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.214 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.571, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.8

Pucker+73

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.162	0.474	0.32	0.152
Shots	1	4.141	0.241	0.08	0.019
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	2.381	2.94	0.12	0.353
Passes	18	13.425	1.341	0.08	0.107
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.651 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.766 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 0.728 → ×100 = 72.8 → 73

Offensive5.01

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.032	0.114	0.4	1.415
Shooting %	1	0.459	0.2	1.862
Assists per pass	0.056	0.1	0.4	1.729

Σ contribution = 5.006

Defensive5.61

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	2.381	9.838	0.25	2.46
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 5.613

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.