Blue Bell Buttered Bagels vs Buffalo Blizzards

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5–4Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

May 8, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · The Toaster Dome

MVP Blue Lou · 9.2 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Blue Bell Buttered BagelsvsBuffalo Blizzards

9Shots1928

24Saves204

4Faceoffs won48

4Takeaways48

8Turnovers↓44

2Blocks2

43Passes1659

1:12Possession0:542:06

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Auugh	0	3	3	2	4	2	2	2	5	0	15	0:11	81	8.02	6.46
Blue Lou	4	0	4	4	20	1	5	2	2	1	16	0:57	251	4.85	7.81
Chimmy	1	0	1	3	0	1	1	0	1	1	12	0:04	43	5.90	5.10

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
JoshAllenfan420	2	0	2	10	1	5	3	1	1	1	18	0:38	89	3.58	5.38
Ol Woodster	1	2	3	7	0	3	0	4	1	1	21	0:43	109	4.85	6.18
Waggles	1	1	2	11	3	0	1	3	2	0	20	0:45	104	3.85	6.22

Auugh Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	3	1.35	1.55	0.19	1.066	0.203
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	15	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.187	0.015
Saves	4	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.621	0.118
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.058 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.884, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+81

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	4	2.229	1.794	0.15	0.269
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	15	13.425	1.117	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.832 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.978 − 0.164 turnover penalty = 0.814 → ×100 = 81.49 → 81

Offensive8.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.273	0.114	0.4	3.812
Shooting %	0	0.459	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.2	0.1	0.4	3.613

Σ contribution = 8.015

Defensive6.46

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.229	8.643	0.3	2.593
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 6.465

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Lou Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.9	1.81	0.23	1.161	0.267
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	16	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.306	0.024
Saves	20	2.23	2.85	0.19	6.229	1.184
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.323 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.647, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting → 9.2

Pucker+251

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	20	2.229	8.971	0.15	1.346
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	16	13.425	1.192	0.08	0.095
Faceoff win rate	0.167	0.5	0.334	0.03	0.01

Σ 2.135 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.512 → ×100 = 251.17 → 251

Offensive4.85

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.114	0.4	1.811
Shooting %	1	0.459	0.2	1.862
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.854

Defensive7.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	20	2.229	10	0.3	3
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 7.813

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chimmy Blue Bell Buttered Bagels

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	3	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.333	-0.03
Passes	12	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	0	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.979	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.545 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.91, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.7

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	3	4.141	0.724	0.08	0.058
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	0	2.381	0	0.12	0
Passes	12	13.425	0.894	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.362 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.425 → ×100 = 42.55 → 43

Offensive5.90

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.114	0.4	3.728
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.986
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.895

Defensive5.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	0	2.381	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	4	5.887	7.758	0.25	1.94

Σ contribution = 5.096

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.055	0.013
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	10	4.14	3.42	0.09	1.711	0.154
Passes	18	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.543	0.043
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.065 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.87, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	10	4.141	2.415	0.08	0.193
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	18	13.425	1.341	0.08	0.107
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.5	1.251	0.03	0.038

Σ 0.759 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.893 → ×100 = 89.3 → 89

Offensive3.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.053	0.114	0.4	1.612
Shooting %	0.2	0.459	0.2	0.791
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.584

Defensive5.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 5.383

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	7	4.14	3.42	0.09	0.835	0.075
Passes	21	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.899	0.072
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	4	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.666	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.072 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.144, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.162	0.949	0.32	0.304
Shots	7	4.141	1.69	0.08	0.135
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	4	2.381	1.68	0.12	0.202
Passes	21	13.425	1.564	0.08	0.125
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2.001	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.927 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.09 → ×100 = 109.01 → 109

Offensive4.85

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.07	0.114	0.4	1.806
Shooting %	0.143	0.459	0.2	0.722
Assists per pass	0.095	0.1	0.4	2.318

Σ contribution = 4.846

Defensive6.18

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	4	2.381	8.366	0.25	2.091
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 6.185

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	11	4.14	3.42	0.09	2.003	0.18
Passes	20	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.78	0.062
Saves	3	2.23	2.85	0.19	0.27	0.051
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	3	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.254	0.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.086 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.173, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.0

Pucker+104

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	11	4.141	2.656	0.08	0.213
Saves	3	2.229	1.346	0.15	0.202
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.26	0.12	0.151
Passes	20	13.425	1.49	0.08	0.119
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.887 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.044 → ×100 = 104.37 → 104

Offensive3.85

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.044	0.114	0.4	1.528
Shooting %	0.091	0.459	0.2	0.668
Assists per pass	0.05	0.1	0.4	1.658

Σ contribution = 3.854

Defensive6.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.229	7.33	0.3	2.199
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.381	7.017	0.25	1.754
Goals conceded	5	5.887	6.702	0.25	1.676

Σ contribution = 6.22

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.