Buffalo Blizzards vs Erie Swordfish

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ESAwayErie Swordfish

May 6, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Marine Midland Arena

MVP thebakerguy1 · 7.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsErie Swordfish

5Shots1217

10Saves73

8Faceoffs won44

11Takeaways11

11Turnovers↓11

4Blocks26

38Passes4583

1:36Possession0:442:20

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	1	0	1	3	8	1	1	1	3	1	4	0:21	102	3.73	6.84
JoshAllenfan420	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	4	0:12	24	2.95	4.11
Ol Woodster	0	2	2	0	1	3	2	7	4	0	18	0:21	80	5.30	5.59
Waggles	1	1	2	2	0	3	1	2	3	3	12	0:42	80	4.96	5.57

Erie Swordfish

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
TMNNational	1	3	4	4	1	0	4	4	6	4	24	0	0:58	124	5.44	7.55
ocho	3	3	6	9	0	2	2	3	4	1	34	1	0:30	133	6.61	6.43
thebakerguy1	3	2	5	4	2	2	2	4	1	1	25	0	0:52	135	5.88	7.56

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	3	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.333	-0.03
Passes	4	13.43	8.43	0.08	-1.119	-0.089
Saves	8	2.23	2.85	0.19	2.023	0.384
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.043 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.914, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+102

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	3	4.141	0.724	0.08	0.058
Saves	8	2.229	3.589	0.15	0.538
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	4	13.425	0.298	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.903 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.062 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 1.024 → ×100 = 102.39 → 102

Offensive3.73

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.114	0.4	1.56
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.986
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.728

Defensive6.84

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.229	9.955	0.3	2.987
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	7	5.887	5.369	0.25	1.342

Σ contribution = 6.838

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	0	4.14	3.42	0.09	-1.209	-0.109
Passes	4	13.43	8.43	0.08	-1.119	-0.089
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.828 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.343, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.3

Pucker+24

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.162	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.141	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	4	13.425	0.298	0.08	0.024
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2.001	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.202 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.237 → ×100 = 23.71 → 24

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.114	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.459	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.11

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	7	5.887	5.369	0.25	1.342

Σ contribution = 4.108

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	0	4.14	3.42	0.09	-1.209	-0.109
Passes	18	13.43	8.43	0.08	0.543	0.043
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	7	2.38	2.43	0.11	1.899	0.209

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.179 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.643, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.162	0.633	0.32	0.202
Shots	0	4.141	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	2.381	2.94	0.12	0.353
Passes	18	13.425	1.341	0.08	0.107
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.201	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.766 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.901 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.8 → ×100 = 80.01 → 80

Offensive5.30

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.095	0.114	0.4	2.135
Shooting %	0	0.459	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.111	0.1	0.4	2.57

Σ contribution = 5.296

Defensive5.59

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	2.381	9.838	0.25	2.46
Goals conceded	7	5.887	5.369	0.25	1.342

Σ contribution = 5.591

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	12	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	3	0.69	0.97	0.11	2.373	0.261
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.132 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.737, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.7

Pucker+80

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	3.162	0.474	0.32	0.152
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	3	0.693	4.327	0.07	0.303
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	12	13.425	0.894	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.501	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.711 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.836 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 0.798 → ×100 = 79.8 → 80

Offensive4.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.114	0.4	1.56
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0.083	0.1	0.4	2.131

Σ contribution = 4.962

Defensive5.57

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	3	0.693	9.99	0.2	1.998
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	7	5.887	5.369	0.25	1.342

Σ contribution = 5.567

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

TMNNational Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	3	1.35	1.55	0.19	1.066	0.203
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	24	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.255	0.1
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	4	0.69	0.97	0.11	3.402	0.374
Takeaways	4	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.666	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.55 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.101, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 6.6

Pucker+124

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	3.162	1.107	0.32	0.354
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	4	0.693	5.769	0.07	0.404
Takeaways	4	2.381	1.68	0.12	0.202
Passes	24	13.425	1.788	0.08	0.143
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.247 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.467 − 0.226 turnover penalty = 1.241 → ×100 = 124.11 → 124

Offensive5.44

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.069	0.114	0.4	1.797
Shooting %	0.25	0.459	0.2	0.859
Assists per pass	0.125	0.1	0.4	2.784

Σ contribution = 5.44

Defensive7.55

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	4	0.693	9.999	0.2	2
Takeaways	4	2.381	8.366	0.25	2.091
Goals conceded	2	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.551

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ocho Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	3	1.35	1.55	0.19	1.066	0.203
Shots	9	4.14	3.42	0.09	1.419	0.128
Passes	34	13.43	8.43	0.08	2.442	0.195
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	3	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.254	0.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.58 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.16, then −0.2 cold shooting → 7.0

Pucker+133

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.162	1.74	0.32	0.557
Shots	9	4.141	2.173	0.08	0.174
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.26	0.12	0.151
Passes	34	13.425	2.533	0.08	0.203
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.215 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.43 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 1.329 → ×100 = 132.9 → 133

Offensive6.61

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.114	0.4	3.416
Shooting %	0.333	0.459	0.2	0.986
Assists per pass	0.088	0.1	0.4	2.207

Σ contribution = 6.609

Defensive6.43

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	3	2.381	7.017	0.25	1.754
Goals conceded	2	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.434

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

thebakerguy1 Erie Swordfish

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	2	1.35	1.55	0.19	0.421	0.08
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	25	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.374	0.11
Saves	2	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.08	-0.015
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	4	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.666	0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.419 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.837, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.1

Pucker+135

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	3.162	1.423	0.32	0.455
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	2	2.229	0.897	0.15	0.135
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	4	2.381	1.68	0.12	0.202
Passes	25	13.425	1.862	0.08	0.149
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1.001	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.149 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.352 → ×100 = 135.16 → 135

Offensive5.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.096	0.114	0.4	2.148
Shooting %	0.75	0.459	0.2	1.649
Assists per pass	0.08	0.1	0.4	2.079

Σ contribution = 5.876

Defensive7.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.229	5.59	0.3	1.677
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	4	2.381	8.366	0.25	2.091
Goals conceded	2	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.562

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.