Hagerstown Heroes vs Buffalo Blizzards

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Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Apr 29, 2024 · Open Division - Benders · Frost Frontier Arena

MVP Ol Woodster · 6.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hagerstown HeroesvsBuffalo Blizzards

0Shots1616

0Saves22

0Faceoffs won88

0Takeaways77

0Turnovers↓1313

0Blocks11

0Passes5858

0:00Possession1:271:27

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hagerstown Heroes

Nothing to show yet.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	1	0	1	2	1	0	1	1	4	0	2	0:10	22	4.65	5.03
JoshAllenfan420	3	1	4	8	1	3	2	3	4	0	23	0:18	102	6.21	5.80
Ol Woodster	4	1	5	4	0	3	2	1	3	1	11	0:12	95	8.09	5.66
Waggles	0	1	1	2	0	2	3	2	2	0	22	0:47	47	3.52	5.08

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.9	1.81	0.23	-0.498	-0.115
Assists	0	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.87	-0.165
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	2	13.43	8.43	0.08	-1.356	-0.108
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.667 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.665, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.7

Pucker+22

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	2	13.425	0.149	0.08	0.012
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.269 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.317 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 0.216 → ×100 = 21.62 → 22

Offensive4.65

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.114	0.4	2.201
Shooting %	0.5	0.459	0.2	1.271
Assists per pass	0	0.1	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.654

Defensive5.03

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	0	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.028

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.9	1.81	0.23	0.608	0.14
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	8	4.14	3.42	0.09	1.127	0.101
Passes	23	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.136	0.091
Saves	1	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.431	-0.082
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	3	2.38	2.43	0.11	0.254	0.028

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.157 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.314, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+102

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.162	1.265	0.32	0.405
Shots	8	4.141	1.932	0.08	0.155
Saves	1	2.229	0.449	0.15	0.067
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.381	1.26	0.12	0.151
Passes	23	13.425	1.713	0.08	0.137
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.201	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.951 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.119 − 0.101 turnover penalty = 1.018 → ×100 = 101.8 → 102

Offensive6.21

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.222	0.114	0.4	3.579
Shooting %	0.375	0.459	0.2	1.055
Assists per pass	0.043	0.1	0.4	1.579

Σ contribution = 6.213

Defensive5.80

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.229	3.994	0.3	1.198
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.381	7.017	0.25	1.754
Goals conceded	0	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.805

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.9	1.81	0.23	1.161	0.267
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	4	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.041	-0.004
Passes	11	13.43	8.43	0.08	-0.288	-0.023
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	1	0.69	0.97	0.11	0.316	0.035
Takeaways	1	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.568	-0.062

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.021 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.043, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.3

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.162	1.581	0.32	0.506
Shots	4	4.141	0.966	0.08	0.077
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.693	1.442	0.07	0.101
Takeaways	1	2.381	0.42	0.12	0.05
Passes	11	13.425	0.819	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.6	0.5	1.201	0.03	0.036

Σ 0.836 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.984 − 0.038 turnover penalty = 0.946 → ×100 = 94.57 → 95

Offensive8.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.417	0.114	0.4	3.984
Shooting %	1	0.459	0.2	1.862
Assists per pass	0.091	0.1	0.4	2.249

Σ contribution = 8.095

Defensive5.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.693	7.662	0.2	1.532
Takeaways	1	2.381	3.909	0.25	0.977
Goals conceded	0	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.657

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.9	1.81	0.23	-1.051	-0.242
Assists	1	1.35	1.55	0.19	-0.225	-0.043
Shots	2	4.14	3.42	0.09	-0.625	-0.056
Passes	22	13.43	8.43	0.08	1.018	0.081
Saves	0	2.23	2.85	0.19	-0.781	-0.148
Blocks	0	0.69	0.97	0.11	-0.713	-0.078
Takeaways	2	2.38	2.43	0.11	-0.157	-0.017

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.503 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.993, then −0.2 cold shooting → 4.8

Pucker+47

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.162	0.316	0.32	0.101
Shots	2	4.141	0.483	0.08	0.039
Saves	0	2.229	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.693	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.381	0.84	0.12	0.101
Passes	22	13.425	1.639	0.08	0.131
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.801	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.396 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.466 → ×100 = 46.56 → 47

Offensive3.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.021	0.114	0.4	1.325
Shooting %	0	0.459	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.045	0.1	0.4	1.602

Σ contribution = 3.518

Defensive5.08

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.229	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.693	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.381	5.365	0.25	1.341
Goals conceded	0	5.887	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.08

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.