Oregon Capybaras - west vs Provo Polar Bears

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

2–11Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Apr 1, 2024 · Pacific Cup - Playoffs · Moda Center

MVP [LIL] Blue · 7.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Oregon Capybaras - westvsProvo Polar Bears

5Shots1116

5Saves23

5Faceoffs won510

15Takeaways116

16Turnovers↓115

5Blocks50

49Passes1564

1:41Possession2:123:53

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[OCA] Carried by Dad	0	1	1	2	0	1	4	4	4	0	17	0:19	37	4.34	3.99
[OCA] Curt	2	0	2	2	1	1	3	5	5	0	24	0:35	58	4.98	4.49
[OCA] ORO	0	1	1	1	4	3	3	6	7	5	8	0:47	100	5.05	7.39

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[LIL] Blue	5	3	8	8	2	0	0	9	4	28	2:46	154	6.05	6.70
[MMM] SoccerboyEJ	3	3	6	3	1	7	2	5	7	15	0:47	93	8.86	5.66
[PRO] Chaser	3	1	4	5	0	3	3	2	4	21	0:20	71	7.02	4.75

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.05	1.81	0.23	-1.134	-0.261
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	2	4.63	3.24	0.09	-0.812	-0.073
Passes	17	20.45	8.53	0.08	-0.404	-0.032
Saves	0	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	4	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.098	-0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.71 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.58, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+37

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.673	0.272	0.32	0.087
Shots	2	4.628	0.432	0.08	0.035
Saves	0	2.513	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	4.346	0.92	0.12	0.11
Passes	17	20.449	0.831	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.505	0.396	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.311 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.365 → ×100 = 36.53 → 37

Offensive4.34

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.053	0.083	0.4	1.843
Shooting %	0	0.443	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.059	0.087	0.4	1.905

Σ contribution = 4.338

Defensive3.99

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.513	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	4.346	5.682	0.25	1.421
Goals conceded	11	6.269	4.378	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 3.993

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.05	1.81	0.23	-0.028	-0.007
Assists	0	1.77	1.61	0.19	-1.098	-0.209
Shots	2	4.63	3.24	0.09	-0.812	-0.073
Passes	24	20.45	8.53	0.08	0.416	0.033
Saves	1	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	5	4.35	3.54	0.11	0.185	0.02

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.417 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.167, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+58

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.673	0.545	0.32	0.174
Shots	2	4.628	0.432	0.08	0.035
Saves	1	2.513	0.398	0.15	0.06
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	4.346	1.15	0.12	0.138
Passes	24	20.449	1.174	0.08	0.094
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.505	0.495	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.515 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.606 − 0.027 turnover penalty = 0.579 → ×100 = 57.95 → 58

Offensive4.98

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.057	0.083	0.4	1.921
Shooting %	1	0.443	0.2	1.88
Assists per pass	0	0.087	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 4.983

Defensive4.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.513	3.846	0.3	1.154
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	4.346	6.597	0.25	1.649
Goals conceded	11	6.269	4.378	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 4.489

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.05	1.81	0.23	-1.134	-0.261
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	1	4.63	3.24	0.09	-1.121	-0.101
Passes	8	20.45	8.53	0.08	-1.46	-0.117
Saves	4	2.51	3.17	0.19	0.469	0.089
Blocks	5	0.97	1.17	0.11	3.432	0.378
Takeaways	6	4.35	3.54	0.11	0.467	0.051

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.051 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.897, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.2

Pucker+100

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.673	0.272	0.32	0.087
Shots	1	4.628	0.216	0.08	0.017
Saves	4	2.513	1.592	0.15	0.239
Blocks	5	0.974	5.132	0.07	0.359
Takeaways	6	4.346	1.381	0.12	0.166
Passes	8	20.449	0.391	0.08	0.031
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.505	0.989	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.929 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.093 − 0.097 turnover penalty = 0.996 → ×100 = 99.56 → 100

Offensive5.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.021	0.083	0.4	1.391
Shooting %	0	0.443	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.125	0.087	0.4	3.068

Σ contribution = 5.05

Defensive7.39

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.513	8.125	0.3	2.437
Blocks	5	0.974	9.998	0.2	2
Takeaways	6	4.346	7.453	0.25	1.863
Goals conceded	11	6.269	4.378	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 7.395

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.05	1.81	0.23	1.631	0.375
Assists	3	1.77	1.61	0.19	0.764	0.145
Shots	8	4.63	3.24	0.09	1.042	0.094
Passes	28	20.45	8.53	0.08	0.886	0.071
Saves	2	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.162	-0.031
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	9	4.35	3.54	0.11	1.314	0.145

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.707 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.415, then +0.25 hot shooting → 7.7

Pucker+154

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	3.673	2.178	0.32	0.697
Shots	8	4.628	1.729	0.08	0.138
Saves	2	2.513	0.796	0.15	0.119
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	9	4.346	2.071	0.12	0.248
Passes	28	20.449	1.369	0.08	0.11
Faceoff win rate	0	0.505	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.313 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.544 → ×100 = 154.43 → 154

Offensive6.05

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.083	0.4	1.769
Shooting %	0.625	0.443	0.2	1.511
Assists per pass	0.107	0.087	0.4	2.774

Σ contribution = 6.054

Defensive6.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.513	5.195	0.3	1.558
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	9	4.346	9.159	0.25	2.29
Goals conceded	2	6.269	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.701

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.05	1.81	0.23	0.525	0.121
Assists	3	1.77	1.61	0.19	0.764	0.145
Shots	3	4.63	3.24	0.09	-0.503	-0.045
Passes	15	20.45	8.53	0.08	-0.639	-0.051
Saves	1	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	5	4.35	3.54	0.11	0.185	0.02

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.008 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.015, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers → 6.0

Pucker+93

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.673	1.634	0.32	0.523
Shots	3	4.628	0.648	0.08	0.052
Saves	1	2.513	0.398	0.15	0.06
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	4.346	1.15	0.12	0.138
Passes	15	20.449	0.734	0.08	0.059
Faceoff win rate	0.778	0.505	1.539	0.03	0.046

Σ 0.877 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.032 − 0.097 turnover penalty = 0.935 → ×100 = 93.45 → 93

Offensive8.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.128	0.083	0.4	3.194
Shooting %	1	0.443	0.2	1.88
Assists per pass	0.2	0.087	0.4	3.784

Σ contribution = 8.857

Defensive5.66

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.513	3.846	0.3	1.154
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	4.346	6.597	0.25	1.649
Goals conceded	2	6.269	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.656

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.05	1.81	0.23	0.525	0.121
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	5	4.63	3.24	0.09	0.115	0.01
Passes	21	20.45	8.53	0.08	0.065	0.005
Saves	0	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	2	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.663	-0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.269 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.461, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.7

Pucker+71

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.673	1.089	0.32	0.348
Shots	5	4.628	1.08	0.08	0.086
Saves	0	2.513	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	4.346	0.46	0.12	0.055
Passes	21	20.449	1.027	0.08	0.082
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.505	0.989	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.602 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.708 → ×100 = 70.82 → 71

Offensive7.02

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.083	0.4	3.823
Shooting %	0.6	0.443	0.2	1.472
Assists per pass	0.048	0.087	0.4	1.726

Σ contribution = 7.02

Defensive4.75

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.513	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	4.346	4.029	0.25	1.007
Goals conceded	2	6.269	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 4.746

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.