Oregon Capybaras - west vs Provo Polar Bears

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

6–4Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Apr 1, 2024 · Pacific Cup - Playoffs · Moda Center

MVP [OCA] Carried by Dad · 7.3 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[OCA] Carried by Dad	6	0	6	9	1	2	2	4	4	1	18	1	0:13	120	6.75	5.81
[OCA] Curt	0	1	1	0	2	1	4	3	2	5	17	0	0:37	86	3.96	6.77
[OCA] ORO	0	1	1	0	8	1	3	4	5	0	10	0	1:05	83	4.56	7.00

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[LIL] Blue	1	3	4	6	2	2	0	5	1	0	33	2:18	106	4.72	5.34
[MMM] SoccerboyEJ	2	0	2	6	1	5	3	2	7	0	26	0:47	53	3.87	4.30
[PRO] Chaser	1	1	2	3	0	2	1	4	3	1	28	0:32	66	4.58	5.07

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	2.05	1.81	0.23	2.184	0.502
Assists	0	1.77	1.61	0.19	-1.098	-0.209
Shots	9	4.63	3.24	0.09	1.351	0.122
Passes	18	20.45	8.53	0.08	-0.287	-0.023
Saves	1	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Blocks	1	0.97	1.17	0.11	0.022	0.002
Takeaways	4	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.098	-0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.293 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.586, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 7.3

Pucker+120

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	3.673	1.634	0.32	0.523
Shots	9	4.628	1.945	0.08	0.156
Saves	1	2.513	0.398	0.15	0.06
Blocks	1	0.974	1.026	0.07	0.072
Takeaways	4	4.346	0.92	0.12	0.11
Passes	18	20.449	0.88	0.08	0.07
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.505	0.989	0.03	0.03

Σ 1.02 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.2 → ×100 = 120.04 → 120

Offensive6.75

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.462	0.083	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.667	0.443	0.2	1.572
Assists per pass	0	0.087	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.753

Defensive5.81

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.513	3.846	0.3	1.154
Blocks	1	0.974	6.105	0.2	1.221
Takeaways	4	4.346	5.682	0.25	1.421
Goals conceded	4	6.269	8.054	0.25	2.013

Σ contribution = 5.809

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.05	1.81	0.23	-1.134	-0.261
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	0	4.63	3.24	0.09	-1.43	-0.129
Passes	17	20.45	8.53	0.08	-0.404	-0.032
Saves	2	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.162	-0.031
Blocks	5	0.97	1.17	0.11	3.432	0.378
Takeaways	3	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.38	-0.042

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.208 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.584, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.6

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.673	0.272	0.32	0.087
Shots	0	4.628	0	0.08	0
Saves	2	2.513	0.796	0.15	0.119
Blocks	5	0.974	5.132	0.07	0.359
Takeaways	3	4.346	0.69	0.12	0.083
Passes	17	20.449	0.831	0.08	0.067
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.505	0.396	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.727 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.855 → ×100 = 85.52 → 86

Offensive3.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.027	0.083	0.4	1.461
Shooting %	0	0.443	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.059	0.087	0.4	1.905

Σ contribution = 3.956

Defensive6.77

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.513	5.195	0.3	1.558
Blocks	5	0.974	9.998	0.2	2
Takeaways	3	4.346	4.799	0.25	1.2
Goals conceded	4	6.269	8.054	0.25	2.013

Σ contribution = 6.771

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.05	1.81	0.23	-1.134	-0.261
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	0	4.63	3.24	0.09	-1.43	-0.129
Passes	10	20.45	8.53	0.08	-1.225	-0.098
Saves	8	2.51	3.17	0.19	1.731	0.329
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	4	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.098	-0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.352 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.297, then +0.35 saves → 5.6

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.673	0.272	0.32	0.087
Shots	0	4.628	0	0.08	0
Saves	8	2.513	3.184	0.15	0.478
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	4.346	0.92	0.12	0.11
Passes	10	20.449	0.489	0.08	0.039
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.505	0.495	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.729 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.858 − 0.027 turnover penalty = 0.831 → ×100 = 83.1 → 83

Offensive4.56

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.015	0.083	0.4	1.325
Shooting %	0	0.443	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.1	0.087	0.4	2.647

Σ contribution = 4.563

Defensive7.00

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.513	9.9	0.3	2.97
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	4.346	5.682	0.25	1.421
Goals conceded	4	6.269	8.054	0.25	2.013

Σ contribution = 6.995

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Blue Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.05	1.81	0.23	-0.581	-0.134
Assists	3	1.77	1.61	0.19	0.764	0.145
Shots	6	4.63	3.24	0.09	0.424	0.038
Passes	33	20.45	8.53	0.08	1.472	0.118
Saves	2	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.162	-0.031
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	5	4.35	3.54	0.11	0.185	0.02

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.066 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.131, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+106

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.673	1.089	0.32	0.348
Shots	6	4.628	1.296	0.08	0.104
Saves	2	2.513	0.796	0.15	0.119
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	4.346	1.15	0.12	0.138
Passes	33	20.449	1.614	0.08	0.129
Faceoff win rate	1	0.505	1.979	0.03	0.059

Σ 0.898 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.057 → ×100 = 105.66 → 106

Offensive4.72

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.029	0.083	0.4	1.486
Shooting %	0.167	0.443	0.2	0.757
Assists per pass	0.091	0.087	0.4	2.481

Σ contribution = 4.724

Defensive5.34

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.513	5.195	0.3	1.558
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	4.346	6.597	0.25	1.649
Goals conceded	6	6.269	6.179	0.25	1.545

Σ contribution = 5.343

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.05	1.81	0.23	-0.028	-0.007
Assists	0	1.77	1.61	0.19	-1.098	-0.209
Shots	6	4.63	3.24	0.09	0.424	0.038
Passes	26	20.45	8.53	0.08	0.651	0.052
Saves	1	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Blocks	0	0.97	1.17	0.11	-0.831	-0.091
Takeaways	2	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.663	-0.073

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.38 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.24, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting → 4.7

Pucker+53

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.673	0.545	0.32	0.174
Shots	6	4.628	1.296	0.08	0.104
Saves	1	2.513	0.398	0.15	0.06
Blocks	0	0.974	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	4.346	0.46	0.12	0.055
Passes	26	20.449	1.271	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.625	0.505	1.237	0.03	0.037

Σ 0.532 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.626 − 0.097 turnover penalty = 0.529 → ×100 = 52.81 → 53

Offensive3.87

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.043	0.083	0.4	1.679
Shooting %	0.333	0.443	0.2	1.006
Assists per pass	0	0.087	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.866

Defensive4.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.513	3.846	0.3	1.154
Blocks	0	0.974	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	4.346	4.029	0.25	1.007
Goals conceded	6	6.269	6.179	0.25	1.545

Σ contribution = 4.297

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.05	1.81	0.23	-0.581	-0.134
Assists	1	1.77	1.61	0.19	-0.477	-0.091
Shots	3	4.63	3.24	0.09	-0.503	-0.045
Passes	28	20.45	8.53	0.08	0.886	0.071
Saves	0	2.51	3.17	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	1	0.97	1.17	0.11	0.022	0.002
Takeaways	4	4.35	3.54	0.11	-0.098	-0.011

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.358 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.284, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1

Pucker+66

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.673	0.545	0.32	0.174
Shots	3	4.628	0.648	0.08	0.052
Saves	0	2.513	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.974	1.026	0.07	0.072
Takeaways	4	4.346	0.92	0.12	0.11
Passes	28	20.449	1.369	0.08	0.11
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.505	1.319	0.03	0.04

Σ 0.558 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.656 → ×100 = 65.59 → 66

Offensive4.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.063	0.083	0.4	2.017
Shooting %	0.333	0.443	0.2	1.006
Assists per pass	0.036	0.087	0.4	1.555

Σ contribution = 4.578

Defensive5.07

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.513	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.974	6.105	0.2	1.221
Takeaways	4	4.346	5.682	0.25	1.421
Goals conceded	6	6.269	6.179	0.25	1.545

Σ contribution = 5.073

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.