Oregon Capybaras - west vs Provo Polar Bears

OCHomeOregon Capybaras - west

7–1Final

PPAwayProvo Polar Bears

Feb 21, 2024 · Masters Division · Moda Center

MVP [OCA] Carried by Dad · 6.6 performance rating

Writing the recap…

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Oregon Capybaras - west

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[OCA] Carried by Dad	4	2	6	4	0	2	2	7	1	0	20	0:52	105	7.50	5.70
[OCA] Curt	1	3	4	4	0	2	3	4	4	1	25	0:26	93	7.34	6.04
[OCA] ORO	2	1	3	4	1	2	0	6	9	2	18	1:07	94	4.80	7.22

Provo Polar Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
[BOAT] Pediatric Patrick	0	1	1	0	3	1	1	5	3	1	22	1:09	72	3.58	6.73
[EMS] Craig Ferguson	1	0	1	2	2	3	1	2	8	2	19	0:38	66	3.88	6.04
[MMM] SoccerboyEJ	0	1	1	0	0	1	0	4	2	1	7	0:20	46	5.67	5.14
[PRO] Chaser	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	3	4	1	16	0:29	29	2.95	4.94

Carried by Dad Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.97	1.72	0.23	1.18	0.271
Assists	2	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.238	0.045
Shots	4	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.035	-0.003
Passes	20	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.225	0.018
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	0	0.7	1	0.11	-0.695	-0.076
Takeaways	7	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.723	0.08

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.152 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.305, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.6

Pucker+105

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	3.429	1.604	0.32	0.513
Shots	4	4.103	0.975	0.08	0.078
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.697	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	7	4.658	1.503	0.12	0.18
Passes	20	18.394	1.087	0.08	0.087
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.889 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.045 → ×100 = 104.54 → 105

Offensive7.50

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.115	0.079	0.4	3.08
Shooting %	1	0.48	0.2	1.836
Assists per pass	0.1	0.09	0.4	2.581

Σ contribution = 7.497

Defensive5.70

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.697	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	7	4.658	7.857	0.25	1.964
Goals conceded	1	6.058	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.703

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Curt Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	3	1.65	1.47	0.19	0.919	0.175
Shots	4	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.035	-0.003
Passes	25	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.924	0.074
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	4	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.203	-0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.055 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.89, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.7

Pucker+93

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.429	1.167	0.32	0.373
Shots	4	4.103	0.975	0.08	0.078
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	4	4.658	0.859	0.12	0.103
Passes	25	18.394	1.359	0.08	0.109
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.788 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.926 → ×100 = 92.65 → 93

Offensive7.34

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.154	0.079	0.4	3.575
Shooting %	0.25	0.48	0.2	0.844
Assists per pass	0.12	0.09	0.4	2.919

Σ contribution = 7.338

Defensive6.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	4	4.658	5.439	0.25	1.36
Goals conceded	1	6.058	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 6.036

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

ORO Oregon Capybaras - west

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.97	1.72	0.23	0.019	0.004
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	4	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.035	-0.003
Passes	18	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.055	-0.004
Saves	1	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.51	-0.097
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	6	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.414	0.046

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.004 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.008, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.7

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.429	0.875	0.32	0.28
Shots	4	4.103	0.975	0.08	0.078
Saves	1	2.135	0.468	0.15	0.07
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	6	4.658	1.288	0.12	0.155
Passes	18	18.394	0.979	0.08	0.078
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.922 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.085 − 0.141 turnover penalty = 0.944 → ×100 = 94.36 → 94

Offensive4.80

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.045	0.079	0.4	1.744
Shooting %	0.5	0.48	0.2	1.234
Assists per pass	0.056	0.09	0.4	1.818

Σ contribution = 4.795

Defensive7.22

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.135	4.053	0.3	1.216
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	6	4.658	7.121	0.25	1.78
Goals conceded	1	6.058	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.221

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pediatric Patrick Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.72	0.23	-1.142	-0.263
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	0	4.1	2.93	0.09	-1.399	-0.126
Passes	22	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.504	0.04
Saves	3	2.14	2.23	0.19	0.388	0.074
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	5	4.66	3.24	0.11	0.106	0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.314 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.372, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 5.4

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0.5	3.429	0.146	0.32	0.047
Shots	0	4.103	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.135	1.405	0.15	0.211
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	5	4.658	1.073	0.12	0.129
Passes	22	18.394	1.196	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.612 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.72 → ×100 = 72.04 → 72

Offensive3.58

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.014	0.079	0.4	1.322
Shooting %	0	0.48	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.045	0.09	0.4	1.669

Σ contribution = 3.581

Defensive6.73

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.135	7.536	0.3	2.261
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	5	4.658	6.293	0.25	1.573
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 6.728

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Craig Ferguson Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.97	1.72	0.23	-0.562	-0.129
Assists	0	1.65	1.47	0.19	-1.126	-0.214
Shots	2	4.1	2.93	0.09	-0.717	-0.065
Passes	19	18.39	7.15	0.08	0.085	0.007
Saves	2	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.061	-0.012
Blocks	2	0.7	1	0.11	1.3	0.143
Takeaways	2	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.821	-0.09

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.36 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.28, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.0

Pucker+66

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.429	0.292	0.32	0.093
Shots	2	4.103	0.487	0.08	0.039
Saves	2	2.135	0.937	0.15	0.14
Blocks	2	0.697	2.87	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	2	4.658	0.429	0.12	0.052
Passes	19	18.394	1.033	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.653 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.768 − 0.109 turnover penalty = 0.659 → ×100 = 65.94 → 66

Offensive3.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.026	0.079	0.4	1.466
Shooting %	0.5	0.48	0.2	1.234
Assists per pass	0	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.881

Defensive6.04

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.135	5.747	0.3	1.724
Blocks	2	0.697	9.815	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	2	4.658	3.937	0.25	0.984
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 6.037

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

SoccerboyEJ Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.72	0.23	-1.142	-0.263
Assists	1	1.65	1.47	0.19	-0.444	-0.084
Shots	0	4.1	2.93	0.09	-1.399	-0.126
Passes	7	18.39	7.15	0.08	-1.593	-0.127
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	4	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.203	-0.022

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.772 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.456, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.5

Pucker+46

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	3.429	0.292	0.32	0.093
Shots	0	4.103	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	4	4.658	0.859	0.12	0.103
Passes	7	18.394	0.381	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.387 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.456 → ×100 = 45.56 → 46

Offensive5.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.05	0.079	0.4	1.833
Shooting %	0	0.48	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.143	0.09	0.4	3.249

Σ contribution = 5.673

Defensive5.14

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	4	4.658	5.439	0.25	1.36
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 5.14

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Chaser Provo Polar Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.97	1.72	0.23	-1.142	-0.263
Assists	0	1.65	1.47	0.19	-1.126	-0.214
Shots	0	4.1	2.93	0.09	-1.399	-0.126
Passes	16	18.39	7.15	0.08	-0.335	-0.027
Saves	0	2.14	2.23	0.19	-0.959	-0.182
Blocks	1	0.7	1	0.11	0.302	0.033
Takeaways	3	4.66	3.24	0.11	-0.512	-0.056

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.835 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.331, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 4.3

Pucker+29

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	3.429	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.103	0	0.08	0
Saves	0	2.135	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.697	1.435	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	3	4.658	0.644	0.12	0.077
Passes	16	18.394	0.87	0.08	0.07
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.247 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.291 → ×100 = 29.1 → 29

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.079	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.48	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.09	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive4.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.135	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.697	7.639	0.2	1.528
Takeaways	3	4.658	4.633	0.25	1.158
Goals conceded	7	6.058	5.465	0.25	1.366

Σ contribution = 4.938

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.