Hagerstown Heroes vs Buffalo Blizzards

Home · HHagerstown Heroes

4–13Final

Away · BBBuffalo Blizzards

Mar 12, 2024 · Open Division · Frost Frontier Arena

MVP JoshAllenfan420 · 7.4 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hagerstown HeroesvsBuffalo Blizzards

5Shots3338

25Saves241

5Faceoffs won813

6Takeaways17

7Turnovers↓16

1Blocks12

37Passes1653

0:55Possession0:401:35

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hagerstown Heroes

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Ceesei	0	1	1	1	5	1	4	3	3	0	18	0:27	83	3.91	5.92
The Real Teddy Blueger	4	0	4	4	7	2	4	3	3	1	14	0:27	153	6.16	6.87
awlden	0	0	0	0	13	2	5	0	1	0	5	0:01	109	2.95	5.32

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Jabo	1	3	4	4	0	4	0	2	1	0	7	0:17	76	8.66	4.58
JoshAllenfan420	6	2	8	14	0	5	1	0	3	0	8	0:05	146	9.07	4.13
Ol Woodster	3	3	6	8	0	2	1	3	0	0	14	0:18	118	8.84	4.91
Waggles	1	1	2	3	1	1	0	2	0	1	5	0:39	65	6.41	5.69
minimongo	2	2	4	9	0	1	3	0	2	1	19	0:16	98	7.33	4.92

Ceesei Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.933	-0.215
Assists	1	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.157	-0.03
Shots	1	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.798	-0.072
Passes	18	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.653	0.052
Saves	5	2.21	2.79	0.19	0.998	0.19
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	3	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.022	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.156 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.689, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.3

Pucker+83

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.939	0.34	0.32	0.109
Shots	1	4.042	0.247	0.08	0.02
Saves	5	2.214	2.258	0.15	0.339
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.943	1.019	0.12	0.122
Passes	18	13.294	1.354	0.08	0.108
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.501	0.399	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.71 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.835 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 0.831 → ×100 = 83.18 → 83

Offensive3.91

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.037	0.101	0.4	1.504
Shooting %	0	0.45	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.056	0.091	0.4	1.81

Σ contribution = 3.906

Defensive5.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	5	2.214	9.403	0.3	2.821
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.943	6.078	0.25	1.519
Goals conceded	13	5.751	3.975	0.25	0.994

Σ contribution = 5.925

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

The Real Teddy Blueger Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.82	1.95	0.23	1.119	0.257
Assists	0	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.925	-0.176
Shots	4	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.011	-0.001
Passes	14	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.098	0.008
Saves	7	2.21	2.79	0.19	1.714	0.326
Blocks	1	0.81	1.07	0.11	0.177	0.02
Takeaways	3	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.022	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.436 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.872, then +0.35 saves, +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.3

Pucker+153

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.939	1.361	0.32	0.436
Shots	4	4.042	0.99	0.08	0.079
Saves	7	2.214	3.162	0.15	0.474
Blocks	1	0.811	1.233	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	3	2.943	1.019	0.12	0.122
Passes	14	13.294	1.053	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.501	0.665	0.03	0.02

Σ 1.302 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.532 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.528 → ×100 = 152.8 → 153

Offensive6.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.148	0.101	0.4	3.101
Shooting %	1	0.45	0.2	1.872
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.155

Defensive6.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.214	9.895	0.3	2.969
Blocks	1	0.811	6.916	0.2	1.383
Takeaways	3	2.943	6.078	0.25	1.519
Goals conceded	13	5.751	3.975	0.25	0.994

Σ contribution = 6.865

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

awlden Hagerstown Heroes

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.933	-0.215
Assists	0	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.925	-0.176
Shots	0	4.04	3.81	0.09	-1.06	-0.095
Passes	5	13.29	7.21	0.08	-1.151	-0.092
Saves	13	2.21	2.79	0.19	3.862	0.734
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	0	2.94	2.57	0.11	-1.147	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.054 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.892, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 6.0

Pucker+109

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	2.939	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.042	0	0.08	0
Saves	13	2.214	5.872	0.15	0.881
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.943	0	0.12	0
Passes	5	13.294	0.376	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.501	0.57	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.928 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.092 → ×100 = 109.17 → 109

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.101	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.45	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.091	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive5.32

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	13	2.214	10	0.3	3
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.943	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	13	5.751	3.975	0.25	0.994

Σ contribution = 5.323

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Jabo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.42	-0.097
Assists	3	1.2	1.3	0.19	1.38	0.262
Shots	4	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.011	-0.001
Passes	7	13.29	7.21	0.08	-0.873	-0.07
Saves	0	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	2	2.94	2.57	0.11	-0.367	-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.18 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.64, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.4

Pucker+76

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	2.939	1.191	0.32	0.381
Shots	4	4.042	0.99	0.08	0.079
Saves	0	2.214	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.943	0.68	0.12	0.082
Passes	7	13.294	0.527	0.08	0.042
Faceoff win rate	1	0.501	1.994	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.644 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.757 → ×100 = 75.73 → 76

Offensive8.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.235	0.101	0.4	3.793
Shooting %	0.25	0.45	0.2	0.866
Assists per pass	0.429	0.091	0.4	3.998

Σ contribution = 8.657

Defensive4.58

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.214	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.943	4.761	0.25	1.19
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 4.579

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.82	1.95	0.23	2.145	0.493
Assists	2	1.2	1.3	0.19	0.612	0.116
Shots	14	4.04	3.81	0.09	2.612	0.235
Passes	8	13.29	7.21	0.08	-0.734	-0.059
Saves	0	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	0	2.94	2.57	0.11	-1.147	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.425 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.851, then +0.5 hat trick → 7.4

Pucker+146

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	2.939	2.722	0.32	0.871
Shots	14	4.042	3.463	0.08	0.277
Saves	0	2.214	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.943	0	0.12	0
Passes	8	13.294	0.602	0.08	0.048
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.501	1.662	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.246 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.466 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.462 → ×100 = 146.24 → 146

Offensive9.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.6	0.101	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.429	0.45	0.2	1.162
Assists per pass	0.25	0.091	0.4	3.908

Σ contribution = 9.07

Defensive4.13

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.214	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.943	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 4.127

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	1.82	1.95	0.23	0.606	0.139
Assists	3	1.2	1.3	0.19	1.38	0.262
Shots	8	4.04	3.81	0.09	1.038	0.093
Passes	14	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.098	0.008
Saves	0	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	3	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.022	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.271 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.542, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.3

Pucker+118

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5.5	2.939	1.871	0.32	0.599
Shots	8	4.042	1.979	0.08	0.158
Saves	0	2.214	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	2.943	1.019	0.12	0.122
Passes	14	13.294	1.053	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.501	1.329	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.004 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.181 → ×100 = 118.07 → 118

Offensive8.84

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.101	0.4	3.969
Shooting %	0.375	0.45	0.2	1.068
Assists per pass	0.214	0.091	0.4	3.804

Σ contribution = 8.841

Defensive4.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.214	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	2.943	6.078	0.25	1.519
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 4.908

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.42	-0.097
Assists	1	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.157	-0.03
Shots	3	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.273	-0.025
Passes	5	13.29	7.21	0.08	-1.151	-0.092
Saves	1	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.435	-0.083
Blocks	1	0.81	1.07	0.11	0.177	0.02
Takeaways	2	2.94	2.57	0.11	-0.367	-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.347 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.307, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.1

Pucker+65

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1.5	2.939	0.51	0.32	0.163
Shots	3	4.042	0.742	0.08	0.059
Saves	1	2.214	0.452	0.15	0.068
Blocks	1	0.811	1.233	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	2	2.943	0.68	0.12	0.082
Passes	5	13.294	0.376	0.08	0.03
Faceoff win rate	1	0.501	1.994	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.548 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.645 → ×100 = 64.5 → 65

Offensive6.41

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.051	0.101	0.4	1.672
Shooting %	0.333	0.45	0.2	0.997
Assists per pass	0.2	0.091	0.4	3.738

Σ contribution = 6.407

Defensive5.69

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.214	4.003	0.3	1.201
Blocks	1	0.811	6.916	0.2	1.383
Takeaways	2	2.943	4.761	0.25	1.19
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 5.686

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

minimongo Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.82	1.95	0.23	0.093	0.021
Assists	2	1.2	1.3	0.19	0.612	0.116
Shots	9	4.04	3.81	0.09	1.301	0.117
Passes	19	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.792	0.063
Saves	0	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	1	0.81	1.07	0.11	0.177	0.02
Takeaways	0	2.94	2.57	0.11	-1.147	-0.126

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.061 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.121, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.9

Pucker+98

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.939	1.361	0.32	0.436
Shots	9	4.042	2.226	0.08	0.178
Saves	0	2.214	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.811	1.233	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	0	2.943	0	0.12	0
Passes	19	13.294	1.429	0.08	0.114
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.501	0.499	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.829 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.976 → ×100 = 97.56 → 98

Offensive7.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.25	0.101	0.4	3.843
Shooting %	0.222	0.45	0.2	0.827
Assists per pass	0.105	0.091	0.4	2.657

Σ contribution = 7.327

Defensive4.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.214	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.811	6.916	0.2	1.383
Takeaways	0	2.943	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 4.919

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.