Buffalo Blizzards vs Saskatchewan Thunder

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4–11Final

STAwaySaskatchewan Thunder

Mar 4, 2024 · Open Division · Marine Midland Arena

MVP Tanman · 8.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Buffalo BlizzardsvsSaskatchewan Thunder

8Shots917

6Saves24

7Faceoffs won411

8Takeaways19

8Turnovers↓8

4Blocks15

37Passes2259

1:03Possession0:391:42

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Buffalo Blizzards

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
JoshAllenfan420	2	0	2	5	2	2	6	2	1	0	17	0:15	77	5.19	4.52
Ol Woodster	2	2	4	3	1	3	3	3	4	1	11	0:27	97	8.28	5.16
Waggles	0	1	1	0	3	2	2	3	3	3	9	0:21	91	4.97	6.78

Saskatchewan Thunder

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
BrianDzle	4	3	7	7	0	4	3	5	4	1	29	0:43	159	7.31	6.29
Tanman	6	4	10	8	2	2	3	2	3	0	16	0:25	186	9.57	5.38
holy	1	4	5	2	2	5	1	2	1	4	14	0:34	144	8.33	6.79

JoshAllenfan420 Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.82	1.95	0.23	0.093	0.021
Assists	0	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.925	-0.176
Shots	5	4.04	3.81	0.09	0.251	0.023
Passes	17	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.514	0.041
Saves	2	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.077	-0.015
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	2	2.94	2.57	0.11	-0.367	-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.229 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.542, then −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+77

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	2.939	0.68	0.32	0.218
Shots	5	4.042	1.237	0.08	0.099
Saves	2	2.214	0.903	0.15	0.136
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.943	0.68	0.12	0.082
Passes	17	13.294	1.279	0.08	0.102
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.501	0.499	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.651 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.766 → ×100 = 76.59 → 77

Offensive5.19

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.133	0.101	0.4	2.9
Shooting %	0.4	0.45	0.2	1.112
Assists per pass	0	0.091	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.193

Defensive4.52

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.214	5.615	0.3	1.684
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.943	4.761	0.25	1.19
Goals conceded	11	5.751	4.224	0.25	1.056

Σ contribution = 4.521

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Ol Woodster Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	1.82	1.95	0.23	0.093	0.021
Assists	2	1.2	1.3	0.19	0.612	0.116
Shots	3	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.273	-0.025
Passes	11	13.29	7.21	0.08	-0.318	-0.025
Saves	1	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.435	-0.083
Blocks	1	0.81	1.07	0.11	0.177	0.02
Takeaways	3	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.022	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.027 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.054, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 6.1

Pucker+97

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	2.939	1.361	0.32	0.436
Shots	3	4.042	0.742	0.08	0.059
Saves	1	2.214	0.452	0.15	0.068
Blocks	1	0.811	1.233	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	3	2.943	1.019	0.12	0.122
Passes	11	13.294	0.827	0.08	0.066
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.501	0.997	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.867 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.02 − 0.055 turnover penalty = 0.965 → ×100 = 96.57 → 97

Offensive8.28

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.148	0.101	0.4	3.101
Shooting %	0.667	0.45	0.2	1.558
Assists per pass	0.182	0.091	0.4	3.624

Σ contribution = 8.283

Defensive5.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.214	4.003	0.3	1.201
Blocks	1	0.811	6.916	0.2	1.383
Takeaways	3	2.943	6.078	0.25	1.519
Goals conceded	11	5.751	4.224	0.25	1.056

Σ contribution = 5.159

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Waggles Buffalo Blizzards

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.933	-0.215
Assists	1	1.2	1.3	0.19	-0.157	-0.03
Shots	0	4.04	3.81	0.09	-1.06	-0.095
Passes	9	13.29	7.21	0.08	-0.596	-0.048
Saves	3	2.21	2.79	0.19	0.281	0.053
Blocks	3	0.81	1.07	0.11	2.054	0.226
Takeaways	3	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.022	0.002

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.106 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.789, then −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	2.939	0.34	0.32	0.109
Shots	0	4.042	0	0.08	0
Saves	3	2.214	1.355	0.15	0.203
Blocks	3	0.811	3.699	0.07	0.259
Takeaways	3	2.943	1.019	0.12	0.122
Passes	9	13.294	0.677	0.08	0.054
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.501	0.997	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.778 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.915 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 0.911 → ×100 = 91.11 → 91

Offensive4.97

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.048	0.101	0.4	1.627
Shooting %	0	0.45	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.111	0.091	0.4	2.757

Σ contribution = 4.974

Defensive6.78

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.214	7.363	0.3	2.209
Blocks	3	0.811	9.964	0.2	1.993
Takeaways	3	2.943	6.078	0.25	1.519
Goals conceded	11	5.751	4.224	0.25	1.056

Σ contribution = 6.777

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

BrianDzle Saskatchewan Thunder

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	1.82	1.95	0.23	1.119	0.257
Assists	3	1.2	1.3	0.19	1.38	0.262
Shots	7	4.04	3.81	0.09	0.776	0.07
Passes	29	13.29	7.21	0.08	2.179	0.174
Saves	0	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.793	-0.151
Blocks	1	0.81	1.07	0.11	0.177	0.02
Takeaways	5	2.94	2.57	0.11	0.802	0.088

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.721 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.442, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.4

Pucker+159

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	2.939	2.382	0.32	0.762
Shots	7	4.042	1.732	0.08	0.139
Saves	0	2.214	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.811	1.233	0.07	0.086
Takeaways	5	2.943	1.699	0.12	0.204
Passes	29	13.294	2.182	0.08	0.175
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.501	1.14	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.4 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.647 − 0.055 turnover penalty = 1.592 → ×100 = 159.18 → 159

Offensive7.31

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.163	0.101	0.4	3.277
Shooting %	0.571	0.45	0.2	1.411
Assists per pass	0.103	0.091	0.4	2.626

Σ contribution = 7.314

Defensive6.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.214	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.811	6.916	0.2	1.383
Takeaways	5	2.943	8.415	0.25	2.104
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 6.285

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Tanman Saskatchewan Thunder

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	6	1.82	1.95	0.23	2.145	0.493
Assists	4	1.2	1.3	0.19	2.148	0.408
Shots	8	4.04	3.81	0.09	1.038	0.093
Passes	16	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.376	0.03
Saves	2	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.077	-0.015
Blocks	0	0.81	1.07	0.11	-0.761	-0.084
Takeaways	2	2.94	2.57	0.11	-0.367	-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.886 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.773, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.5

Pucker+186

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10	2.939	3.402	0.32	1.089
Shots	8	4.042	1.979	0.08	0.158
Saves	2	2.214	0.903	0.15	0.136
Blocks	0	0.811	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.943	0.68	0.12	0.082
Passes	16	13.294	1.204	0.08	0.096
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.501	0.798	0.03	0.024

Σ 1.584 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.864 − 0.004 turnover penalty = 1.86 → ×100 = 186.04 → 186

Offensive9.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.4	0.101	0.4	3.992
Shooting %	0.75	0.45	0.2	1.667
Assists per pass	0.25	0.091	0.4	3.908

Σ contribution = 9.566

Defensive5.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.214	5.615	0.3	1.684
Blocks	0	0.811	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.943	4.761	0.25	1.19
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 5.377

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

holy Saskatchewan Thunder

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	1.82	1.95	0.23	-0.42	-0.097
Assists	4	1.2	1.3	0.19	2.148	0.408
Shots	2	4.04	3.81	0.09	-0.536	-0.048
Passes	14	13.29	7.21	0.08	0.098	0.008
Saves	2	2.21	2.79	0.19	-0.077	-0.015
Blocks	4	0.81	1.07	0.11	2.992	0.329
Takeaways	2	2.94	2.57	0.11	-0.367	-0.04

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.545 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.091, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.1

Pucker+144

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4.5	2.939	1.531	0.32	0.49
Shots	2	4.042	0.495	0.08	0.04
Saves	2	2.214	0.903	0.15	0.136
Blocks	4	0.811	4.933	0.07	0.345
Takeaways	2	2.943	0.68	0.12	0.082
Passes	14	13.294	1.053	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.501	1.662	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.226 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.442 → ×100 = 144.23 → 144

Offensive8.33

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.147	0.101	0.4	3.087
Shooting %	0.5	0.45	0.2	1.289
Assists per pass	0.286	0.091	0.4	3.958

Σ contribution = 8.334

Defensive6.79

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.214	5.615	0.3	1.684
Blocks	4	0.811	9.997	0.2	1.999
Takeaways	2	2.943	4.761	0.25	1.19
Goals conceded	4	5.751	7.647	0.25	1.912

Σ contribution = 6.785

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.