North Nexus vs Atlanta Otters

NNHomeNorth Nexus

4–12Final

AOAwayAtlanta Otters

Jan 8, 2024 · Prospect Division - Playoffs · North Pole Pond

MVP MitchP · 9.7 performance rating

Writing the recap…

North NexusvsAtlanta Otters

9Shots2130

18Saves135

4Faceoffs won1014

3Takeaways2023

23Turnovers↓203

2Blocks2

61Passes853

0:51Possession1:482:39

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

North Nexus

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Pinks0	2	1	3	4	1	1	6	0	7	0	27	0:09	43	1.12	0.38
Glueshop	2	0	2	4	9	0	5	2	9	0	21	0:18	84	0.60	0.94
King Kapanen	0	2	2	1	8	3	3	1	7	2	13	0:24	94	0.88	1.20

Atlanta Otters

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
LALLAREN	1	2	3	1	4	3	3	3	0	1	12	0:36	89	1.23	1.29
MitchP	7	4	11	17	1	3	0	12	3	1	19	0:41	215	1.55	1.25
Galaxy	4	5	9	12	0	8	1	8	0	0	22	1:22	159	1.18	0.98

Pinks0 North Nexus

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.34	1.92	0.23	-0.178	-0.041
Assists	1	1.87	1.36	0.19	-0.639	-0.121
Shots	4	4.89	3.62	0.09	-0.247	-0.022
Passes	27	18.84	6.84	0.08	1.192	0.095
Saves	1	2.63	2.91	0.19	-0.561	-0.107
Blocks	0	0.87	0.93	0.11	-0.929	-0.102
Takeaways	0	3.24	2.49	0.11	-1.301	-0.143

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.441 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.118, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.6

Pucker+43

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	4.066	0.738	0.32	0.236
Shots	4	4.895	0.817	0.08	0.065
Saves	1	2.632	0.38	0.15	0.057
Blocks	0	0.868	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	3.237	0	0.12	0
Passes	27	18.842	1.433	0.08	0.115
Faceoff win rate	0.143	0.497	0.287	0.03	0.009

Σ 0.482 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.567 − 0.139 turnover penalty = 0.428 → ×100 = 42.76 → 43

Offensive1.12

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.333	0.152	0.4	0.733
Shooting %	0.5	0.478	0.2	0.209
Assists per pass	0.037	0.099	0.4	0.178

Σ contribution = 1.12

Defensive0.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.632	0.449	0.3	0.135
Blocks	0	0.868	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	0	3.237	0.238	0.25	0.06
Goals conceded	12	6.421	0.566	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 0.384

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Glueshop North Nexus

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.34	1.92	0.23	-0.178	-0.041
Assists	0	1.87	1.36	0.19	-1.375	-0.261
Shots	4	4.89	3.62	0.09	-0.247	-0.022
Passes	21	18.84	6.84	0.08	0.315	0.025
Saves	9	2.63	2.91	0.19	2.19	0.416
Blocks	0	0.87	0.93	0.11	-0.929	-0.102
Takeaways	2	3.24	2.49	0.11	-0.497	-0.055

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.04 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.92, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.8

Pucker+84

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	4.066	0.492	0.32	0.157
Shots	4	4.895	0.817	0.08	0.065
Saves	9	2.632	3.42	0.15	0.513
Blocks	0	0.868	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	3.237	0.618	0.12	0.074
Passes	21	18.842	1.115	0.08	0.089
Faceoff win rate	0	0.497	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.899 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.058 − 0.222 turnover penalty = 0.836 → ×100 = 83.6 → 84

Offensive0.60

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.111	0.152	0.4	0.295
Shooting %	0.5	0.478	0.2	0.209
Assists per pass	0	0.099	0.4	0.095

Σ contribution = 0.6

Defensive0.94

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	9	2.632	1.984	0.3	0.595
Blocks	0	0.868	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	2	3.237	0.635	0.25	0.159
Goals conceded	12	6.421	0.566	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 0.943

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

King Kapanen North Nexus

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.34	1.92	0.23	-1.219	-0.28
Assists	2	1.87	1.36	0.19	0.097	0.018
Shots	1	4.89	3.62	0.09	-1.077	-0.097
Passes	13	18.84	6.84	0.08	-0.854	-0.068
Saves	8	2.63	2.91	0.19	1.846	0.351
Blocks	2	0.87	0.93	0.11	1.21	0.133
Takeaways	1	3.24	2.49	0.11	-0.899	-0.099

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.042 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.915, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.6

Pucker+94

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	4.066	0.492	0.32	0.157
Shots	1	4.895	0.204	0.08	0.016
Saves	8	2.632	3.04	0.15	0.456
Blocks	2	0.868	2.303	0.07	0.161
Takeaways	1	3.237	0.309	0.12	0.037
Passes	13	18.842	0.69	0.08	0.055
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.497	1.005	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.913 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.075 − 0.139 turnover penalty = 0.936 → ×100 = 93.54 → 94

Offensive0.88

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.152	0.4	0.231
Shooting %	0	0.478	0.2	0.048
Assists per pass	0.154	0.099	0.4	0.601

Σ contribution = 0.879

Defensive1.20

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	8	2.632	1.967	0.3	0.59
Blocks	2	0.868	1.863	0.2	0.373
Takeaways	1	3.237	0.401	0.25	0.1
Goals conceded	12	6.421	0.566	0.25	0.141

Σ contribution = 1.204

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LALLAREN Atlanta Otters

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.34	1.92	0.23	-0.699	-0.161
Assists	2	1.87	1.36	0.19	0.097	0.018
Shots	1	4.89	3.62	0.09	-1.077	-0.097
Passes	12	18.84	6.84	0.08	-1	-0.08
Saves	4	2.63	2.91	0.19	0.471	0.089
Blocks	1	0.87	0.93	0.11	0.141	0.015
Takeaways	3	3.24	2.49	0.11	-0.095	-0.01

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.225 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.55, then +0.25 hot shooting → 5.8

Pucker+89

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	4.066	0.738	0.32	0.236
Shots	1	4.895	0.204	0.08	0.016
Saves	4	2.632	1.52	0.15	0.228
Blocks	1	0.868	1.152	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	3	3.237	0.927	0.12	0.111
Passes	12	18.842	0.637	0.08	0.051
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.497	1.005	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.753 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.886 → ×100 = 88.63 → 89

Offensive1.23

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.083	0.152	0.4	0.231
Shooting %	1	0.478	0.2	0.359
Assists per pass	0.167	0.099	0.4	0.637

Σ contribution = 1.227

Defensive1.29

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.632	1.478	0.3	0.443
Blocks	1	0.868	1.15	0.2	0.23
Takeaways	3	3.237	0.927	0.25	0.232
Goals conceded	4	6.421	1.541	0.25	0.385

Σ contribution = 1.29

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

MitchP Atlanta Otters

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR9.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	7	2.34	1.92	0.23	2.425	0.558
Assists	4	1.87	1.36	0.19	1.568	0.298
Shots	17	4.89	3.62	0.09	3.348	0.301
Passes	19	18.84	6.84	0.08	0.023	0.002
Saves	1	2.63	2.91	0.19	-0.561	-0.107
Blocks	1	0.87	0.93	0.11	0.141	0.015
Takeaways	12	3.24	2.49	0.11	3.523	0.388

6.0 + clip(Σ 1.455 × 2, −3 to 3) = 8.911, then +0.5 hat trick, +0.3 takeaways → 9.7

Pucker+215

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	10.5	4.066	2.583	0.32	0.826
Shots	17	4.895	3.473	0.08	0.278
Saves	1	2.632	0.38	0.15	0.057
Blocks	1	0.868	1.152	0.07	0.081
Takeaways	12	3.237	3.707	0.12	0.445
Passes	19	18.842	1.008	0.08	0.081
Faceoff win rate	1	0.497	2.01	0.03	0.06

Σ 1.828 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 2.15 → ×100 = 215.03 → 215

Offensive1.55

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.268	0.152	0.4	0.658
Shooting %	0.412	0.478	0.2	0.172
Assists per pass	0.211	0.099	0.4	0.724

Σ contribution = 1.554

Defensive1.25

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.632	0.449	0.3	0.135
Blocks	1	0.868	1.15	0.2	0.23
Takeaways	12	3.237	1.991	0.25	0.498
Goals conceded	4	6.421	1.541	0.25	0.385

Σ contribution = 1.248

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Galaxy Atlanta Otters

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.34	1.92	0.23	0.863	0.198
Assists	5	1.87	1.36	0.19	2.304	0.438
Shots	12	4.89	3.62	0.09	1.965	0.177
Passes	22	18.84	6.84	0.08	0.461	0.037
Saves	0	2.63	2.91	0.19	-0.905	-0.172
Blocks	0	0.87	0.93	0.11	-0.929	-0.102
Takeaways	8	3.24	2.49	0.11	1.915	0.211

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.787 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.573, then +0.4 playmaker, −0.2 cold shooting → 7.8

Pucker+159

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	4.066	2.214	0.32	0.708
Shots	12	4.895	2.452	0.08	0.196
Saves	0	2.632	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.868	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.237	2.472	0.12	0.297
Passes	22	18.842	1.168	0.08	0.093
Faceoff win rate	0.889	0.497	1.787	0.03	0.054

Σ 1.348 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.586 → ×100 = 158.6 → 159

Offensive1.18

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.11	0.152	0.4	0.292
Shooting %	0.333	0.478	0.2	0.141
Assists per pass	0.227	0.099	0.4	0.744

Σ contribution = 1.177

Defensive0.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.632	0.238	0.3	0.072
Blocks	0	0.868	0.238	0.2	0.048
Takeaways	8	3.237	1.9	0.25	0.475
Goals conceded	4	6.421	1.541	0.25	0.385

Σ contribution = 0.98

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.