Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs Sarasota Sloppers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

6–13Final

SSAwaySarasota Sloppers

Oct 31, 2023 · Contenders Division · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Bridgeysqueezy · 7.8 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsSarasota Sloppers

12Shots1527

14Saves86

13Faceoffs won58

5Takeaways38

8Turnovers↓35

2Blocks13

43Passes241

1:16Possession0:081:24

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	3	1	4	8	9	5	1	4	0	0	15	0:55	153	4.41	6.56
Adict	1	3	4	2	2	3	3	1	3	1	15	0:17	84	7.86	4.98
Orange	2	0	2	2	3	5	4	0	5	1	13	0:04	56	6.96	5.30

Sarasota Sloppers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
LookADog	5	1	6	10	2	0	3	6	2	0	11	1:04	128	5.09	6.27
Bridgeysqueezy	5	3	8	10	4	4	3	2	2	2	23	0:14	164	7.67	7.38
Natebopp	3	5	8	7	0	4	7	0	1	1	7	0:06	105	9.07	4.67

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.311	0.072
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	8	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.95	0.085
Passes	15	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.088	0.007
Saves	9	2.3	2.65	0.19	2.524	0.479
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	4	2.86	2.56	0.11	0.446	0.049

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.506 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.012, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 cold shooting, −0.2 goals against → 7.0

Pucker+153

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3.5	4.034	0.868	0.32	0.278
Shots	8	4.688	1.707	0.08	0.137
Saves	9	2.301	3.911	0.15	0.587
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	2.858	1.4	0.12	0.168
Passes	15	14.426	1.04	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.302 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.532 → ×100 = 153.17 → 153

Offensive4.41

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.073	0.136	0.4	1.703
Shooting %	0.375	0.509	0.2	0.994
Assists per pass	0.067	0.124	0.4	1.711

Σ contribution = 4.408

Defensive6.56

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	9	2.301	9.976	0.3	2.993
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	2.858	7.518	0.25	1.88
Goals conceded	13	7.42	4.381	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 6.559

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Adict Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.703	-0.162
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	2	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.77	-0.069
Passes	15	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.088	0.007
Saves	2	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.113	-0.022
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	1	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.725	-0.08

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.172 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.657, then −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+84

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.034	0.992	0.32	0.317
Shots	2	4.688	0.427	0.08	0.034
Saves	2	2.301	0.869	0.15	0.13
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	1	2.858	0.35	0.12	0.042
Passes	15	14.426	1.04	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.717 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.843 − 0.008 turnover penalty = 0.835 → ×100 = 83.57 → 84

Offensive7.86

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.235	0.136	0.4	3.392
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0.2	0.124	0.4	3.279

Σ contribution = 7.856

Defensive4.98

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.301	5.48	0.3	1.644
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	1	2.858	3.713	0.25	0.928
Goals conceded	13	7.42	4.381	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 4.981

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Orange Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.3

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.196	-0.045
Assists	0	1.78	1.65	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	2	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.77	-0.069
Passes	13	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.219	-0.017
Saves	3	2.3	2.65	0.19	0.263	0.05
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	0	2.86	2.56	0.11	-1.115	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.396 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.207, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.3

Pucker+56

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	4.034	0.496	0.32	0.159
Shots	2	4.688	0.427	0.08	0.034
Saves	3	2.301	1.304	0.15	0.196
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	0	2.858	0	0.12	0
Passes	13	14.426	0.901	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.556	0.5	1.111	0.03	0.033

Σ 0.574 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.675 − 0.113 turnover penalty = 0.562 → ×100 = 56.21 → 56

Offensive6.96

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.5	0.136	0.4	3.985
Shooting %	1	0.509	0.2	1.797
Assists per pass	0	0.124	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.963

Defensive5.30

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.301	7.179	0.3	2.154
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	0	2.858	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	13	7.42	4.381	0.25	1.095

Σ contribution = 5.301

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

LookADog Sarasota Sloppers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.39	1.97	0.23	1.326	0.305
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	10	4.69	3.49	0.09	1.523	0.137
Passes	11	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.525	-0.042
Saves	2	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.113	-0.022
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	6	2.86	2.56	0.11	1.226	0.135

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.327 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.654, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7

Pucker+128

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	4.034	1.487	0.32	0.476
Shots	10	4.688	2.133	0.08	0.171
Saves	2	2.301	0.869	0.15	0.13
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	6	2.858	2.099	0.12	0.252
Passes	11	14.426	0.763	0.08	0.061
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.09 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.282 → ×100 = 128.22 → 128

Offensive5.09

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.094	0.136	0.4	1.915
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0.091	0.124	0.4	1.986

Σ contribution = 5.087

Defensive6.27

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.301	5.48	0.3	1.644
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	6	2.858	9.201	0.25	2.3
Goals conceded	6	7.42	6.93	0.25	1.732

Σ contribution = 6.267

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Bridgeysqueezy Sarasota Sloppers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.8

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.39	1.97	0.23	1.326	0.305
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	10	4.69	3.49	0.09	1.523	0.137
Passes	23	14.43	6.53	0.08	1.314	0.105
Saves	4	2.3	2.65	0.19	0.64	0.122
Blocks	2	0.88	1	0.11	1.124	0.124
Takeaways	2	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.335	-0.037

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.896 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.791, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.8

Pucker+164

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	4.034	1.735	0.32	0.555
Shots	10	4.688	2.133	0.08	0.171
Saves	4	2.301	1.738	0.15	0.261
Blocks	2	0.875	2.286	0.07	0.16
Takeaways	2	2.858	0.7	0.12	0.084
Passes	23	14.426	1.594	0.08	0.128
Faceoff win rate	0.571	0.5	1.143	0.03	0.034

Σ 1.392 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.638 → ×100 = 163.82 → 164

Offensive7.67

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.571	0.136	0.4	3.995
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0.13	0.124	0.4	2.487

Σ contribution = 7.668

Defensive7.38

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.301	8.512	0.3	2.554
Blocks	2	0.875	9.432	0.2	1.886
Takeaways	2	2.858	4.834	0.25	1.209
Goals conceded	6	7.42	6.93	0.25	1.732

Σ contribution = 7.381

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Natebopp Sarasota Sloppers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.311	0.072
Assists	5	1.78	1.65	0.19	1.95	0.371
Shots	7	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.663	0.06
Passes	7	14.43	6.53	0.08	-1.138	-0.091
Saves	0	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.867	-0.165
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	0	2.86	2.56	0.11	-1.115	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.137 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.274, then +0.4 playmaker → 6.7

Pucker+105

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	8	4.034	1.983	0.32	0.635
Shots	7	4.688	1.493	0.08	0.119
Saves	0	2.301	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	0	2.858	0	0.12	0
Passes	7	14.426	0.485	0.08	0.039
Faceoff win rate	0.364	0.5	0.727	0.03	0.022

Σ 0.895 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.053 → ×100 = 105.26 → 105

Offensive9.07

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1.333	0.136	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.429	0.509	0.2	1.075
Assists per pass	0.714	0.124	0.4	4

Σ contribution = 9.074

Defensive4.67

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.301	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	0	2.858	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	6	7.42	6.93	0.25	1.732

Σ contribution = 4.67

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.