Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs San Francisco Slashers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

3–9Final

SFAwaySan Francisco Slashers

Oct 18, 2023 · Contenders Division · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Zen · 7.0 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsSan Francisco Slashers

5Shots2025

16Saves142

6Faceoffs won28

2Takeaways1214

14Turnovers↓122

4Blocks22

41Passes748

0:49Possession2:153:04

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
DarthTaksil	0	0	0	7	3	1	1	4	2	8	0:08	82	2.95	7.10
Adict	1	1	2	7	1	3	0	8	2	18	0:27	72	3.77	6.91
Orange	2	2	3	2	2	4	1	2	0	15	0:14	57	5.10	4.49

San Francisco Slashers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Puffro.	1	3	4	7	0	1	2	5	2	0	13	0:44	87	6.11	5.87
Onion Soup	3	3	6	8	1	4	0	2	0	1	15	1:06	116	6.16	5.97
Zen	5	1	6	10	1	3	4	7	0	1	20	1:14	144	4.52	7.16

DarthTaksil Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.39	1.97	0.23	-1.211	-0.278
Assists	0	1.78	1.65	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	0	4.69	3.49	0.09	-1.344	-0.121
Passes	8	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.985	-0.079
Saves	7	2.3	2.65	0.19	1.77	0.336
Blocks	2	0.88	1	0.11	1.124	0.124
Takeaways	1	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.725	-0.08

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.304 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.393, then +0.35 saves, −0.2 goals against → 5.5

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	0	4.034	0	0.32	0
Shots	0	4.688	0	0.08	0
Saves	7	2.301	3.042	0.15	0.456
Blocks	2	0.875	2.286	0.07	0.16
Takeaways	1	2.858	0.35	0.12	0.042
Passes	8	14.426	0.555	0.08	0.044
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.748 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.88 − 0.06 turnover penalty = 0.82 → ×100 = 81.92 → 82

Offensive2.95

Rate	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.136	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0.509	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.124	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 2.954

Defensive7.10

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.301	9.868	0.3	2.96
Blocks	2	0.875	9.432	0.2	1.886
Takeaways	1	2.858	3.713	0.25	0.928
Goals conceded	9	7.42	5.305	0.25	1.326

Σ contribution = 7.1

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Adict Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.703	-0.162
Assists	0	1.78	1.65	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	2	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.77	-0.069
Passes	18	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.548	0.044
Saves	7	2.3	2.65	0.19	1.77	0.336
Blocks	2	0.88	1	0.11	1.124	0.124
Takeaways	0	2.86	2.56	0.11	-1.115	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.056 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.889, then +0.35 saves, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+72

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.034	0.248	0.32	0.079
Shots	2	4.688	0.427	0.08	0.034
Saves	7	2.301	3.042	0.15	0.456
Blocks	2	0.875	2.286	0.07	0.16
Takeaways	0	2.858	0	0.12	0
Passes	18	14.426	1.248	0.08	0.1
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.845 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.994 − 0.271 turnover penalty = 0.723 → ×100 = 72.29 → 72

Offensive3.77

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.037	0.136	0.4	1.405
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0	0.124	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 3.772

Defensive6.91

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	7	2.301	9.868	0.3	2.96
Blocks	2	0.875	9.432	0.2	1.886
Takeaways	0	2.858	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	9	7.42	5.305	0.25	1.326

Σ contribution = 6.91

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Orange Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.196	-0.045
Assists	0	1.78	1.65	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	3	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.484	-0.044
Passes	15	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.088	0.007
Saves	2	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.113	-0.022
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	1	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.725	-0.08

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.485 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.031, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.1

Pucker+57

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	4.034	0.496	0.32	0.159
Shots	3	4.688	0.64	0.08	0.051
Saves	2	2.301	0.869	0.15	0.13
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	1	2.858	0.35	0.12	0.042
Passes	15	14.426	1.04	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.485 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.571 → ×100 = 57.1 → 57

Offensive5.10

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.143	0.136	0.4	2.476
Shooting %	0.667	0.509	0.2	1.44
Assists per pass	0	0.124	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 5.097

Defensive4.49

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.301	5.48	0.3	1.644
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	1	2.858	3.713	0.25	0.928
Goals conceded	9	7.42	5.305	0.25	1.326

Σ contribution = 4.489

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Puffro. San Francisco Slashers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.703	-0.162
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	7	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.663	0.06
Passes	13	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.219	-0.017
Saves	0	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.867	-0.165
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	5	2.86	2.56	0.11	0.836	0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.148 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.703, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.5

Pucker+87

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	4.034	0.992	0.32	0.317
Shots	7	4.688	1.493	0.08	0.119
Saves	0	2.301	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	2.858	1.75	0.12	0.21
Passes	13	14.426	0.901	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.333	0.5	0.667	0.03	0.02

Σ 0.739 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.869 → ×100 = 86.92 → 87

Offensive6.11

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.136	0.4	1.885
Shooting %	0.143	0.509	0.2	0.707
Assists per pass	0.231	0.124	0.4	3.519

Σ contribution = 6.111

Defensive5.87

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.301	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	2.858	8.539	0.25	2.135
Goals conceded	3	7.42	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.874

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Onion Soup San Francisco Slashers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	3	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.311	0.072
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	8	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.95	0.085
Passes	15	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.088	0.007
Saves	1	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.49	-0.093
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	2	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.335	-0.037

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.188 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.376, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.2

Pucker+116

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	4.034	1.487	0.32	0.476
Shots	8	4.688	1.707	0.08	0.137
Saves	1	2.301	0.435	0.15	0.065
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	2	2.858	0.7	0.12	0.084
Passes	15	14.426	1.04	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	1	0.5	2	0.03	0.06

Σ 0.985 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.159 → ×100 = 115.86 → 116

Offensive6.16

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.091	0.136	0.4	1.885
Shooting %	0.375	0.509	0.2	0.994
Assists per pass	0.2	0.124	0.4	3.279

Σ contribution = 6.158

Defensive5.97

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.301	3.952	0.3	1.186
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	2	2.858	4.834	0.25	1.209
Goals conceded	3	7.42	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 5.971

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Zen San Francisco Slashers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	5	2.39	1.97	0.23	1.326	0.305
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	10	4.69	3.49	0.09	1.523	0.137
Passes	20	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.854	0.068
Saves	1	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.49	-0.093
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	7	2.86	2.56	0.11	1.616	0.178

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.518 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.037, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 7.0

Pucker+144

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6	4.034	1.487	0.32	0.476
Shots	10	4.688	2.133	0.08	0.171
Saves	1	2.301	0.435	0.15	0.065
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	7	2.858	2.449	0.12	0.294
Passes	20	14.426	1.386	0.08	0.111
Faceoff win rate	0.429	0.5	0.857	0.03	0.026

Σ 1.222 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.438 → ×100 = 143.8 → 144

Offensive4.52

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.081	0.136	0.4	1.784
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0.05	0.124	0.4	1.546

Σ contribution = 4.516

Defensive7.16

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.301	3.952	0.3	1.186
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	7	2.858	9.582	0.25	2.396
Goals conceded	3	7.42	9.046	0.25	2.262

Σ contribution = 7.158

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.