Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs San Diego Sabers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

7–12Final

SDAwaySan Diego Sabers

Oct 19, 2023 · Contenders Division · Hot Springs Arena Rink A

MVP Mojo · 8.1 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsSan Diego Sabers

8Shots1220

8Saves71

7Faceoffs won815

6Takeaways1622

22Turnovers↓166

2Blocks20

39Passes4685

0:50Possession3:144:04

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	2	1	3	2	2	2	6	4	4	1	15	0:37	82	5.29	5.97
DarthTaksil	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	0	1	0	2	0:00	22	5.76	3.65
Adict	4	1	5	4	3	4	6	2	10	0	13	0:12	61	7.57	5.09
Orange	1	0	1	2	2	0	2	0	7	1	9	0:01	22	6.37	4.83

San Diego Sabers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Atro	4	3	7	8	0	5	2	4	0	28	0:53	120	5.72	4.92
Mojo	4	3	7	5	1	4	2	13	3	31	1:59	171	5.25	5.83
kale	4	5	9	7	0	6	3	5	3	26	1:12	144	6.77	5.17

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.196	-0.045
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	2	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.77	-0.069
Passes	15	14.43	6.53	0.08	0.088	0.007
Saves	2	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.113	-0.022
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	4	2.86	2.56	0.11	0.446	0.049

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.157 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.687, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+82

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	4.034	0.744	0.32	0.238
Shots	2	4.688	0.427	0.08	0.034
Saves	2	2.301	0.869	0.15	0.13
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	4	2.858	1.4	0.12	0.168
Passes	15	14.426	1.04	0.08	0.083
Faceoff win rate	0.25	0.5	0.5	0.03	0.015

Σ 0.749 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.881 − 0.06 turnover penalty = 0.821 → ×100 = 82.04 → 82

Offensive5.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.081	0.136	0.4	1.784
Shooting %	1	0.509	0.2	1.797
Assists per pass	0.067	0.124	0.4	1.711

Σ contribution = 5.292

Defensive5.97

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.301	5.48	0.3	1.644
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	4	2.858	7.518	0.25	1.88
Goals conceded	12	7.42	4.544	0.25	1.136

Σ contribution = 5.974

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

DarthTaksil Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR3.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.39	1.97	0.23	-1.211	-0.278
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	0	4.69	3.49	0.09	-1.344	-0.121
Passes	2	14.43	6.53	0.08	-1.904	-0.152
Saves	1	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.49	-0.093
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	0	2.86	2.56	0.11	-1.115	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.954 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.092, then −0.2 goals against → 3.9

Pucker+22

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.034	0.248	0.32	0.079
Shots	0	4.688	0	0.08	0
Saves	1	2.301	0.435	0.15	0.065
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	0	2.858	0	0.12	0
Passes	2	14.426	0.139	0.08	0.011
Faceoff win rate	0.5	0.5	1	0.03	0.03

Σ 0.186 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.218 → ×100 = 21.84 → 22

Offensive5.76

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0	0.136	0.4	1.181
Shooting %	0	0.509	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.5	0.124	0.4	3.993

Σ contribution = 5.765

Defensive3.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.301	3.952	0.3	1.186
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	0	2.858	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	12	7.42	4.544	0.25	1.136

Σ contribution = 3.651

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Adict Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	1	1.78	1.65	0.19	-0.476	-0.09
Shots	4	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.197	-0.018
Passes	13	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.219	-0.017
Saves	3	2.3	2.65	0.19	0.263	0.05
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	2	2.86	2.56	0.11	-0.335	-0.037

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.02 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.96, then +0.25 hot shooting, −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 5.7

Pucker+61

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	4.034	1.239	0.32	0.397
Shots	4	4.688	0.853	0.08	0.068
Saves	3	2.301	1.304	0.15	0.196
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	2	2.858	0.7	0.12	0.084
Passes	13	14.426	0.901	0.08	0.072
Faceoff win rate	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.03	0.024

Σ 0.841 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.989 − 0.376 turnover penalty = 0.613 → ×100 = 61.29 → 61

Offensive7.57

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.417	0.136	0.4	3.948
Shooting %	1	0.509	0.2	1.797
Assists per pass	0.077	0.124	0.4	1.822

Σ contribution = 7.568

Defensive5.09

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	3	2.301	7.179	0.3	2.154
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	2	2.858	4.834	0.25	1.209
Goals conceded	12	7.42	4.544	0.25	1.136

Σ contribution = 5.09

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Orange Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR4.2

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.39	1.97	0.23	-0.703	-0.162
Assists	0	1.78	1.65	0.19	-1.082	-0.206
Shots	2	4.69	3.49	0.09	-0.77	-0.069
Passes	9	14.43	6.53	0.08	-0.831	-0.067
Saves	2	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.113	-0.022
Blocks	1	0.88	1	0.11	0.125	0.014
Takeaways	0	2.86	2.56	0.11	-1.115	-0.123

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.634 × 2, −3 to 3) = 4.733, then −0.3 turnovers, −0.2 goals against → 4.2

Pucker+22

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	1	4.034	0.248	0.32	0.079
Shots	2	4.688	0.427	0.08	0.034
Saves	2	2.301	0.869	0.15	0.13
Blocks	1	0.875	1.143	0.07	0.08
Takeaways	0	2.858	0	0.12	0
Passes	9	14.426	0.624	0.08	0.05
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 0.374 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.44 − 0.218 turnover penalty = 0.222 → ×100 = 22.16 → 22

Offensive6.37

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	1	0.136	0.4	4
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0	0.124	0.4	1.181

Σ contribution = 6.367

Defensive4.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	2	2.301	5.48	0.3	1.644
Blocks	1	0.875	6.568	0.2	1.314
Takeaways	0	2.858	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	12	7.42	4.544	0.25	1.136

Σ contribution = 4.832

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Atro San Diego Sabers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.7

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	8	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.95	0.085
Passes	28	14.43	6.53	0.08	2.08	0.166
Saves	0	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.867	-0.165
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	4	2.86	2.56	0.11	0.446	0.049

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.368 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.737, nothing hit the bonus or penalty thresholds → 6.7

Pucker+120

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	6.5	4.034	1.611	0.32	0.516
Shots	8	4.688	1.707	0.08	0.137
Saves	0	2.301	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	4	2.858	1.4	0.12	0.168
Passes	28	14.426	1.941	0.08	0.155
Faceoff win rate	0.714	0.5	1.429	0.03	0.043

Σ 1.018 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.198 → ×100 = 119.79 → 120

Offensive5.72

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.132	0.136	0.4	2.349
Shooting %	0.5	0.509	0.2	1.186
Assists per pass	0.107	0.124	0.4	2.187

Σ contribution = 5.722

Defensive4.92

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.301	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	4	2.858	7.518	0.25	1.88
Goals conceded	7	7.42	6.24	0.25	1.56

Σ contribution = 4.917

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Mojo San Diego Sabers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR8.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	3	1.78	1.65	0.19	0.737	0.14
Shots	5	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.09	0.008
Passes	31	14.43	6.53	0.08	2.539	0.203
Saves	1	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.49	-0.093
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	13	2.86	2.56	0.11	3.957	0.435

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.786 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.571, then +0.3 takeaways, +0.25 hot shooting → 8.1

Pucker+171

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	7	4.034	1.735	0.32	0.555
Shots	5	4.688	1.067	0.08	0.085
Saves	1	2.301	0.435	0.15	0.065
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	13	2.858	4.549	0.12	0.546
Passes	31	14.426	2.149	0.08	0.172
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.464 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.722 − 0.008 turnover penalty = 1.714 → ×100 = 171.4 → 171

Offensive5.25

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.059	0.136	0.4	1.577
Shooting %	0.8	0.509	0.2	1.613
Assists per pass	0.097	0.124	0.4	2.057

Σ contribution = 5.247

Defensive5.83

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.301	3.952	0.3	1.186
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	13	2.858	9.993	0.25	2.498
Goals conceded	7	7.42	6.24	0.25	1.56

Σ contribution = 5.835

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kale San Diego Sabers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR7.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.39	1.97	0.23	0.819	0.188
Assists	5	1.78	1.65	0.19	1.95	0.371
Shots	7	4.69	3.49	0.09	0.663	0.06
Passes	26	14.43	6.53	0.08	1.773	0.142
Saves	0	2.3	2.65	0.19	-0.867	-0.165
Blocks	0	0.88	1	0.11	-0.874	-0.096
Takeaways	5	2.86	2.56	0.11	0.836	0.092

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.591 × 2, −3 to 3) = 7.183, then +0.4 playmaker → 7.6

Pucker+144

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	9	4.034	2.231	0.32	0.714
Shots	7	4.688	1.493	0.08	0.119
Saves	0	2.301	0	0.15	0
Blocks	0	0.875	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	5	2.858	1.75	0.12	0.21
Passes	26	14.426	1.802	0.08	0.144
Faceoff win rate	0.667	0.5	1.333	0.03	0.04

Σ 1.228 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.444 − 0.008 turnover penalty = 1.436 → ×100 = 143.64 → 144

Offensive6.77

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.125	0.136	0.4	2.267
Shooting %	0.571	0.509	0.2	1.298
Assists per pass	0.192	0.124	0.4	3.207

Σ contribution = 6.771

Defensive5.17

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.301	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	0	0.875	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	5	2.858	8.539	0.25	2.135
Goals conceded	7	7.42	6.24	0.25	1.56

Σ contribution = 5.172

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.