Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears vs Ottawa Drinkers

HSHomeHot Springs Cinnamon Bears

6–5Final

Away · ODOttawa Drinkers

Sep 5, 2023 · Prospect Division - Playoffs · Hot Springs Arena #1

MVP kman · 6.5 performance rating

Writing the recap…

Hot Springs Cinnamon BearsvsOttawa Drinkers

17Shots215

10Saves111

3Faceoffs won811

4Takeaways1418

18Turnovers↓144

3Blocks21

63Passes265

1:24Possession1:583:22

APR is the Alto Performance Rating: 0 to 10, with 6.0 league average. Click any APR to see the working.

Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	GWG	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
Snail	4	1	5	9	4	0	2	3	9	0	26	1	0:25	95	6.29	6.05
Pino	2	2	4	8	0	1	4	1	3	1	19	0	0:19	85	7.00	5.05
Agent P	0	4	4	0	6	2	5	0	6	2	18	0	0:40	91	6.64	7.23

Ottawa Drinkers

Player	G	A	Pts	Shots	Saves	FOW	FOL	TK	TO	Blk	Passes	Poss	Pucker+	Off	Def
kman	4	1	5	10	1	5	1	8	3	0	17	1:04	128	4.92	5.65
Brewski	1	2	3	1	4	3	1	3	1	0	28	0:47	86	5.66	5.85
Cozbee	0	2	2	4	6	3	1	7	0	1	20	1:31	125	4.36	8.17

Snail Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.4

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.01	1.78	0.23	1.118	0.257
Assists	1	1.78	1.29	0.19	-0.605	-0.115
Shots	9	4.79	3.17	0.09	1.326	0.119
Passes	26	18.15	6.82	0.08	1.151	0.092
Saves	4	2.78	3.46	0.19	0.353	0.067
Blocks	0	0.7	0.99	0.11	-0.701	-0.077
Takeaways	3	3.24	2.28	0.11	-0.107	-0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.332 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.663, then −0.3 turnovers → 6.4

Pucker+95

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.616	1.383	0.32	0.442
Shots	9	4.791	1.879	0.08	0.15
Saves	4	2.779	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	0	0.698	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.244	0.925	0.12	0.111
Passes	26	18.151	1.432	0.08	0.115
Faceoff win rate	0	0.5	0	0.03	0

Σ 1.034 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.217 − 0.271 turnover penalty = 0.946 → ×100 = 94.6 → 95

Offensive6.29

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.2	0.108	0.4	3.51
Shooting %	0.444	0.42	0.2	1.247
Assists per pass	0.038	0.098	0.4	1.532

Σ contribution = 6.289

Defensive6.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.779	7.652	0.3	2.296
Blocks	0	0.698	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.244	5.699	0.25	1.425
Goals conceded	5	6.233	6.967	0.25	1.742

Σ contribution = 6.054

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Pino Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.6

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	2	2.01	1.78	0.23	-0.007	-0.002
Assists	2	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	8	4.79	3.17	0.09	1.011	0.091
Passes	19	18.15	6.82	0.08	0.124	0.01
Saves	0	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.804	-0.153
Blocks	1	0.7	0.99	0.11	0.304	0.033
Takeaways	1	3.24	2.28	0.11	-0.984	-0.108

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.096 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.809, then −0.2 cold shooting → 5.6

Pucker+85

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	4	3.616	1.106	0.32	0.354
Shots	8	4.791	1.67	0.08	0.134
Saves	0	2.779	0	0.15	0
Blocks	1	0.698	1.433	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	1	3.244	0.308	0.12	0.037
Passes	19	18.151	1.047	0.08	0.084
Faceoff win rate	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.03	0.012

Σ 0.721 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.848 → ×100 = 84.78 → 85

Offensive7.00

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.211	0.108	0.4	3.586
Shooting %	0.25	0.42	0.2	0.893
Assists per pass	0.105	0.098	0.4	2.518

Σ contribution = 6.997

Defensive5.05

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	0	2.779	2.954	0.3	0.886
Blocks	1	0.698	7.632	0.2	1.526
Takeaways	1	3.244	3.604	0.25	0.901
Goals conceded	5	6.233	6.967	0.25	1.742

Σ contribution = 5.055

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Agent P Hot Springs Cinnamon Bears

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR5.9

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.01	1.78	0.23	-1.131	-0.26
Assists	4	1.78	1.29	0.19	1.726	0.328
Shots	0	4.79	3.17	0.09	-1.509	-0.136
Passes	18	18.15	6.82	0.08	-0.022	-0.002
Saves	6	2.78	3.46	0.19	0.932	0.177
Blocks	2	0.7	0.99	0.11	1.309	0.144
Takeaways	0	3.24	2.28	0.11	-1.423	-0.157

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.095 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.189, then −0.3 turnovers → 5.9

Pucker+91

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	3	3.616	0.83	0.32	0.265
Shots	0	4.791	0	0.08	0
Saves	6	2.779	2.159	0.15	0.324
Blocks	2	0.698	2.867	0.07	0.201
Takeaways	0	3.244	0	0.12	0
Passes	18	18.151	0.992	0.08	0.079
Faceoff win rate	0.286	0.5	0.571	0.03	0.017

Σ 0.886 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.043 − 0.13 turnover penalty = 0.913 → ×100 = 91.25 → 91

Offensive6.64

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.1	0.108	0.4	2.284
Shooting %	0	0.42	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.222	0.098	0.4	3.765

Σ contribution = 6.64

Defensive7.23

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.779	9.283	0.3	2.785
Blocks	2	0.698	9.813	0.2	1.963
Takeaways	0	3.244	2.954	0.25	0.738
Goals conceded	5	6.233	6.967	0.25	1.742

Σ contribution = 7.228

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

kman Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.5

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	4	2.01	1.78	0.23	1.118	0.257
Assists	1	1.78	1.29	0.19	-0.605	-0.115
Shots	10	4.79	3.17	0.09	1.641	0.148
Passes	17	18.15	6.82	0.08	-0.169	-0.014
Saves	1	2.78	3.46	0.19	-0.515	-0.098
Blocks	0	0.7	0.99	0.11	-0.701	-0.077
Takeaways	8	3.24	2.28	0.11	2.086	0.229

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.331 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.662, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.5

Pucker+128

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	5	3.616	1.383	0.32	0.442
Shots	10	4.791	2.087	0.08	0.167
Saves	1	2.779	0.36	0.15	0.054
Blocks	0	0.698	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	8	3.244	2.466	0.12	0.296
Passes	17	18.151	0.937	0.08	0.075
Faceoff win rate	0.833	0.5	1.667	0.03	0.05

Σ 1.084 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.276 → ×100 = 127.56 → 128

Offensive4.92

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.078	0.108	0.4	1.97
Shooting %	0.4	0.42	0.2	1.162
Assists per pass	0.059	0.098	0.4	1.792

Σ contribution = 4.925

Defensive5.65

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	1	2.779	3.74	0.3	1.122
Blocks	0	0.698	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	8	3.244	9.595	0.25	2.399
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 5.651

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Brewski Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.0

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	1	2.01	1.78	0.23	-0.569	-0.131
Assists	2	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	1	4.79	3.17	0.09	-1.194	-0.107
Passes	28	18.15	6.82	0.08	1.444	0.116
Saves	4	2.78	3.46	0.19	0.353	0.067
Blocks	0	0.7	0.99	0.11	-0.701	-0.077
Takeaways	3	3.24	2.28	0.11	-0.107	-0.012

6.0 + clip(Σ −0.112 × 2, −3 to 3) = 5.776, then +0.25 hot shooting → 6.0

Pucker+86

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2.5	3.616	0.691	0.32	0.221
Shots	1	4.791	0.209	0.08	0.017
Saves	4	2.779	1.439	0.15	0.216
Blocks	0	0.698	0	0.07	0
Takeaways	3	3.244	0.925	0.12	0.111
Passes	28	18.151	1.543	0.08	0.123
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 0.733 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 0.863 → ×100 = 86.26 → 86

Offensive5.66

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.064	0.108	0.4	1.781
Shooting %	1	0.42	0.2	1.905
Assists per pass	0.071	0.098	0.4	1.976

Σ contribution = 5.663

Defensive5.85

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	4	2.779	7.652	0.3	2.296
Blocks	0	0.698	2.954	0.2	0.591
Takeaways	3	3.244	5.699	0.25	1.425
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 5.851

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.

Cozbee Ottawa Drinkers

rated once over the whole game. Baseline: the player's own division.

APR6.1

Stat	Value	League avg	Std dev	Weight	z	Contribution
Goals	0	2.01	1.78	0.23	-1.131	-0.26
Assists	2	1.78	1.29	0.19	0.172	0.033
Shots	4	4.79	3.17	0.09	-0.249	-0.022
Passes	20	18.15	6.82	0.08	0.271	0.022
Saves	6	2.78	3.46	0.19	0.932	0.177
Blocks	1	0.7	0.99	0.11	0.304	0.033
Takeaways	7	3.24	2.28	0.11	1.647	0.181

6.0 + clip(Σ 0.164 × 2, −3 to 3) = 6.327, then −0.2 cold shooting → 6.1

Pucker+125

Stat	Value	League rate	Ratio	Weight	Contribution
Goal contribution	2	3.616	0.553	0.32	0.177
Shots	4	4.791	0.835	0.08	0.067
Saves	6	2.779	2.159	0.15	0.324
Blocks	1	0.698	1.433	0.07	0.1
Takeaways	7	3.244	2.158	0.12	0.259
Passes	20	18.151	1.102	0.08	0.088
Faceoff win rate	0.75	0.5	1.5	0.03	0.045

Σ 1.06 ÷ Σ weights 0.85 = 1.247 → ×100 = 124.71 → 125

Offensive4.36

Rate	Value	League	Weight	Contribution
Points per possession-sec	0.022	0.108	0.4	1.341
Shooting %	0	0.42	0.2	0.591
Assists per pass	0.1	0.098	0.4	2.432

Σ contribution = 4.364

Defensive8.17

Stat	Value	League rate	d(ratio)	Weight	Contribution
Saves	6	2.779	9.283	0.3	2.785
Blocks	1	0.698	7.632	0.2	1.526
Takeaways	7	3.244	9.281	0.25	2.32
Goals conceded	6	6.233	6.155	0.25	1.539

Σ contribution = 8.17

League average is 6.0 on APR, Offensive and Defensive, and 100 on Pucker+. Every formula.